Multi Year CnH with RR of over 4Multi Year Cup and Handle pattern on JD.
First price target is latest high, at around 65$+
SL set with ATR.
Good luck!
NFA DYOR
013A trade ideas
Can China's E-commerce Giant Defy Economic Gravity?In a landscape where economic headwinds meet technological innovation, JD.com's recent performance presents a fascinating paradox. Despite China's persistent economic challenges, the e-commerce powerhouse delivered a 5.1% revenue growth and an impressive 29.5% surge in earnings per share, demonstrating resilience in an increasingly competitive market. This dichotomy between macroeconomic pressures and corporate performance raises intriguing questions about the future of digital retail in the world's second-largest economy.
The company's strategic metamorphosis reveals a sophisticated approach to market challenges. By leveraging its robust logistics infrastructure and forging strategic partnerships with former rivals like Alibaba's Taobao, JD.com is rewriting the rules of competitive dynamics in Chinese e-commerce. The firm's participation in government stimulus programs, particularly the 150-billion-yuan trade-in initiative, showcases its ability to align corporate strategy with national economic objectives, creating a powerful synergy that benefits both shareholders and consumers.
However, the true intrigue lies in JD.com's balancing act between growth and profitability. While marketing expenses surged 25.7% and free cash flow turned negative, the company's core retail division achieved a remarkable 6.1% revenue growth. This apparent contradiction points to a larger truth about modern retail: success in today's market requires bold investments in future capabilities, even at the cost of short-term financial metrics. With analysts maintaining an 89% Buy rating and the stock trading at an attractive 8.9 times forward earnings, the market seems to believe in JD.com's long-term vision despite near-term turbulence. Will this calculated gamble on future growth pay off in China's evolving economic landscape?
JD.COM - we had amazing earnings, waiting for the yearly report!JD.com is scheduled to release its fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 financial results on March 6, 2025.Analysts are optimistic about the company's performance, with several key indicators pointing toward positive growth:
Earnings Projections:
Earnings Per Share (EPS): The consensus estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.85, reflecting an increase from last year's $0.73 for the same period.
Revenue Growth: Projections indicate a year-over-year revenue growth of approximately 6.61%, with expected revenues rising from $43.11 billion to $45.96 billion.
Analyst Ratings:
Strong Buy Recommendation: Based on evaluations from nine analysts, JD.com has received a consensus rating of "Strong Buy," underscoring confidence in the company's growth trajectory.
Future Outlook:
Earnings Growth: Forecasts suggest JD.com's earnings will grow by 13% per annum, with an anticipated EPS growth rate of 12.8% annually.
Revenue Projections: The company's revenue is expected to increase by 5.6% per year, indicating sustained business expansion.
These positive indicators reflect JD.com's robust market position and its potential for continued growth in the upcoming earnings release.
Entry: 42.00
Target 70.00
JD.com (JD) AnalysisCompany Overview:
JD.com NASDAQ:JD is one of China’s leading e-commerce and logistics giants, rapidly expanding into cloud computing and AI-driven solutions. With a strong focus on efficiency, retail innovation, and policy-driven tailwinds, JD.com is well-positioned for long-term growth.
Key Catalysts:
Chinese Government's “Trade-In” Policy Boost 📈
The extended consumer electronics trade-in policy is expected to accelerate sales, driving demand across JD’s platform.
Full Acquisition of Dada Nexus 🚚
JD’s 100% ownership of Dada Nexus strengthens its last-mile delivery efficiency, improving logistics and customer satisfaction.
Omnichannel Expansion: JD MALL & JD E-Space 🏬
JD is expanding its offline footprint with JD MALL and JD E-Space, enhancing its omnichannel retail strategy for deeper customer engagement.
AI & Cloud Computing Growth ☁️
JD’s investment in cloud and AI positions it as a tech-driven e-commerce leader, driving new revenue streams.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on JD above $34.00-$35.00, supported by policy tailwinds, logistics integration, and AI-driven retail innovation.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $60.00-$62.00, reflecting enhanced logistics, e-commerce expansion, and growing cloud adoption.
📢 JD.com—Innovating E-Commerce with AI & Logistics. #JD #ECommerce #AI #CloudComputing
Watch $JD to start BullishFundamental Analysis:
In the third quarter of 2024, JD.com reported a net profit increase of 48% year-over-year, reaching 11.73 billion yuan ($1.62 billion), surpassing analyst expectations of 9.45 billion yuan. Revenue grew by 5.1% to 260.39 billion yuan, slightly below the forecasted 262.63 billion yuan. This growth was attributed to improved consumer sentiment and strategic participation in China's trade-in program.
Despite these positive results, JD.com's stock experienced a decline of approximately 7% to $33.21 following the earnings release. This reaction was influenced by broader concerns regarding China's economic recovery, including reduced consumer spending and a weak property market. However, the company's retail segment demonstrated resilience, growing by 6% year-over-year and contributing significantly to overall revenue.
Technical Analysis:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for JD.com is at 44.3, indicating neutral conditions. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is -0.5, suggesting bearish momentum. The stock is trading below its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $36.2, which may indicate a potential downtrend.
Support levels are identified around $33.09 to $33.35, with resistance zones between $35.38 to $35.54. The stock is currently trading in the middle of its 52-week range, indicating a neutral position relative to its historical performance.
Conclusion:
JD.com exhibits strong fundamental performance with significant profit growth and resilience in its retail segment. However, technical indicators suggest a cautious approach due to neutral RSI and bearish MACD signals. Investors should monitor broader economic conditions in China and JD.com's strategic responses to competitive pressures in the e-commerce sector.
JD....the eye of the tigerInteresting to see this nice set-up. We can see the green line (slow) and the red line (fast). We see very clearly how the fast line goes down below the green line, bounces back on the support line, and then jumps over the green line. This indicates a turnaround / momentum. There is something very interesting about to happen here that will spark a jump. I'd place an alert an elephants hair above because this baby will fly.
Best of luck and always do your DD!
JD stock looks bullishhi Traders
JD stock looks bullish
Beautiful higher low structure and now we had a successful breakout of the falling wedge formation.
The price still may pull back to retest the previous downsloping resistance and confirm it as support, but it may just continue the uptrend without giving this pullback.
64 % gains to be made in the next few weeks.
Good luck
Another Long We have opened a window this morning. Looks as like it will not be closed today.
But there is still a wide open window opeden on 12th November to be closed. As thwere comes new buying interest into the market I suggest thatb this will be closed first.
There is still enough space to correct the decline since October 30th.
E-Commerce on the Rise!JD.com is building strong bullish momentum, with a gap forming around the $35.50 level. A breakout above the $41.95 resistance would confirm further strength, positioning the stock to target the $50.68 weekly resistance. This setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio, with a stop-loss set at $37.36 to manage downside risk.
As one of China’s leading e-commerce platforms, JD.com is well-positioned to benefit from the continued recovery of the Chinese economy and growing consumer demand. The company’s robust supply chain infrastructure and commitment to innovation in logistics and AI-driven retail further bolster its long-term growth prospects. With increasing investments in cloud services and international expansion, JD.com is poised for sustained upside.
This combination of technical momentum and strong fundamentals supports a bullish case for JD.com, with $50.68 as a realistic near-term target.
NASDAQ:JD
JD.com (NASDAQ:JD) Has Caught The Eye Of InvestorsKey Stats:
Market Cap: $53.91B
P/E Ratio (TTM): 13.1 (cheap compared to the sector average)
EPS Growth (2024E): Upward revisions over the last 12 months
Profit Margins: Low but stabilizing as cost-cutting measures take effect
Next Earnings Date: Likely March 2025
Top 3 Technical Reasons JD Will Rise:
Bullish Trendline Support: The stock has been respecting its ascending trendline since mid-October, bouncing off $35.50 recently—a strong signal for bullish continuation.
Breakout Potential: JD is trading close to its 50-day moving average ($38.25), and a clean break above this level could ignite momentum buying toward $44, where the 200-day MA resides.
Improved RSI: The RSI has climbed above 50, suggesting bullish momentum is creeping back after oversold conditions in Q3.
Top 3 Fundamental Reasons JD Will Rise:
Stimulus in China: The Chinese government has been rolling out economic support measures targeting consumer spending and e-commerce—a direct boon for JD’s operations.
Operational Efficiency: Aggressive cost reductions in Q3 have improved cash flow, despite declining revenues, which could boost investor confidence in profitability growth.
Valuation Appeal: With a forward P/E of just 1.56x expected sales, JD looks undervalued compared to peers like Alibaba and Coupang. Wall Street analysts are increasingly bullish, with price targets being revised upward.
Potential Paths to Profit:
Low-Risk Play: Buy shares outright and ride the wave over the next 95 days.
Medium-Risk Strategy: Buy the March 2025 $40 call options—cheap exposure with time for catalysts to play out.
High-Octane Speculation: Use a call debit spread, e.g., buying the $38 call and selling the $44 call (March 2025). This caps risk while boosting potential ROI if the stock closes near $44.
Disclaimer: We are not a brokerage or investment firm. We do not offer financial advice or investment advice and/or signals. This is not certified financial education. We offer access to the daily thought process of an individual and his experiences. We do not offer refunds. All sales are final.
Bottom Buiolding?Last week's little wickless candle indicated losening momentum already. Today we've opened lower but this may not mean much. At this level, i.e. around the May top there may be some buying interest anyway.
It may be to early to expect a renewed uptrend already but an upward correction may be possible until the end of the month.
