ZIM Harmonic: Deep-Crab PatternZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. engages in the provision of shipping and logistics services. It offers shipping solutions, including the transportation of out-of-gauge cargo, refrigerated cargo, and dangerous and hazardous cargo. ZIM has a STRONG quantitative fundamental score (Greater than 7) with great analyst prospects (Strong Buy and Hold ratings). Furthermore, ZIM has an EXCELLENT dividend pay out @ 2.50 per share/year (Approximately 19.7% of the entry price at 12.68). Therefore, this ZIM long play has EXTREME DEEP-VALUE (one might say "ABYSSAL-VALUE", it's so deep), at the price levels from 12.68 - 11.30. Really, this trade is blowing my mind, it's insanely good.
In this idea, we have a deep crab pattern showing us that price should reverse between 12.68 - 11.30. I expect price to reverse exactly at 12.58ish. I would set the stop-loss for 3%; however, I'd consider averaging into a position on this trade, if price goes below the stop (I don't expect it to). Once the 0.382 target is acquired, I would sell half of my position and set stop-loss runners to trail price by the 'Average True Range' of multiple timeframes. Once price has reached the 0.618 target, I would sell the remainder of my position. The first target nets 236.12% (Risk-to-Reward of 76.77) and the second target nets 382.57% (Risk-to-Reward of 124.38). Averaging these percentage gains out and adding for the dividend (I would expect to hold this for at least one year), one would profit approximately 329% of their original investment.
Plugging in the probability for success of a deep-crab pattern and the R:R values into our Kelly Criterion betting calculator for an account of $1000, we get;
FIRST TARGET
Probability: 0.93
Odds: 76.77
Bankroll:$1000
Calculation:
Kelly Criterion (Adjusted) - 0.9291
Bet This Much (Adjusted) - $929.09
SECOND TARGET
Probability: 0.93
Odds: 124.38
Bankroll:$1000
Calculation:
Kelly Criterion (Adjusted) - 0.9294
Bet This Much (Adjusted) - $929.44
Therefore, one should bet approximately 92.9% of their normal lot size. Good luck and trade safely!
2SV trade ideas
$ZIM last chance to shine$ZIM is in for a long 3 quarters with global freight rates in the gutter but after a 75% move down and a really nice reaction to the last major level ($18-19) the major HTF bull div has a shot at playing out. Specifically with wall-street running away as the massive dividend is likely to be cut in Q1 (who cares)
The main thing to consider is if this is a hold or a swing trade and with the current macro environment I think it needs to be a swing trade OR long long term hold. For the long term hold you need to examine freight rates and what ZIM was doing in 2019 (exclude bubble data from 2020-2022) DYOR and see what you think. Worth a look IMO.
The main thing is the S/R level could not be more clear... above $18 upside potential is pretty good and below $18 downside is price discovery...
ZIM - a stock to hold foreverZIM is a logistics company, one of the top global carriers.
Given the fundamentals and insane dividends I would hold this stock forever, or at least till when it reaches 5x of today's value.
If nothing changes, I am doing exactly this.
Market cap - 7.9B
Revenue - 10.73B
Income - 4.64B
Assets - 9.84B
Operating cash flow - 5.81B
interesting situation at 24.49The interesting situation at 24.49, the price is using this level as a support, and it seems compressed between level 26.81 and 22.12, if the price will broke above Area 1 we will have a good chance to see a little uptrend before a second drop. Let's see, my vision is still short.
Short closed at interesting levelDue to the volatility, I decided to close the position and take the profit at home.
The price reaches a level that is very interesting and it seems to be using it as support, let's if the price will break to create a new trend and go up or continue the downtrend.
My vison is still short, but...
ZIM bounceNYSE:ZIM
I see ZIM stock fallowing Baltic Dry Index with a lag. As we observe a bounce in BDI we can expect the same in ZIM stock price.
From a technical point of view the same thing.
We are now in wave 5 of an impulse wave down. which could also be done.
So from wave analysis point of view we can expect a correction up, most likely to the minor wave 4 extreme. in the region of $34.
And financially the company is rock solid.
Disclaimer: This is my analysis and does not constitute financial advice.
Shorting opportunity This stock has a clear downward trend with the next support at around $28.16. Many are trapped in the $49.61 range. So, once it touches the $28.16 range, if it puts in a box to set up a stage one there with support we could see a potential long back towards the $49.61 range. The RSI indicators show that it is oversold and the MACD shows that it is ready for the buyers to come back in. We are not ready for the long trend yet though, because the 10EMA and the 20 EMA haven't crossed upward yet indicating a new trend is being made.
8/31/22 ZIMZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. ( NYSE:ZIM )
Sector: Transportation (Marine Shipping)
Market Capitalization: 4.408B
Current Price: $36.09
Breakdown Price: $33.90
Sell Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $40.75-$51.80
Price Target: $19.50-$15.80
Estimated Duration to Target: 86-91d
Contract of Interest: $ZIM 12/16/22 30p
Trade price as of publish date: $2.50/contract
ZIM Short TradeBA is breaking down and setting up for a powerful move lower. Biden has essentially declared war on shipping companies for hiking prices post-COVID and has threatened to lower prices by executive order. This was all the bulls needed to head for the exits and take their profits after a strong run in 2022.
Relative strength has broken down over the last 2 weeks as the stock fell more aggressively than the overall market. ZIM now trades near the crucial $48 level which served as resistance before the last breakout and support on several re-tests of this area. It is also sitting on the 200-day moving average which is the line in the sand for long-term holders. If ZIM breaks this area, which I believe it will, expect to see the stock fall fast and hard.
Several days of aggressive selling over the last two weeks point to heavy institutional selling and the beginning of Stage 3 (see Wyckoff Market Cycles). Don't be surprised if ZIM falls another 50% or more from today's level. Look for a move below $47.50 on above-average volume. That will be trigger to go short ZIM.
ZIM short tradeZIM is breaking down and likely heading much lower. The stock has been a market leader in 2022 along with other shipping stocks. Profits are up triple digits after shippers realized they could 10X their rates to transport cargo containers after the pandemic.
The White House has essentially declared war on these companies and institutional investors are heading for the exits.
After a strong Stage 2 (markup phase), ZIM is in Stage 3 (distribution phase) and quickly head for Stage 4 (markdown/capitulation).
Relative strength is breaking down and the RS line is trending aggressively lower.
The 50-day moving average is rolling over and the 200-day line has now been broken (big no-no).
You can also see institutional selling in the volume footprint. Traders may consider selling ZIM short here with a stop above the pivot high near $53.
ZIM: Descending Triangle (-72%)With economy going into recession (most likely), shipping services will not be as required as they were during the pandemic.
That said, ZIM took a lot of value during the pandemic. Now that it is over, and adding that inflation is super high, gas prices through the roof, shipping services will not be as popular over the next few months, years as they were.
So basically people will stop buying stuff cause they won't have any money available to spend. Stuff won't need shipping anymore, or at least not as much as before.
So here we are. Descending triangle, confirmed (-72%)
Target price = 14.18$
Same price as IPO price going back 2 years ago.
Not pretty.
But as always,
Stay humble, have fun, make money!
Only LONG!ZİM İntegrated shipping have a great revenue, income, P/E. They pays dividends normally $2.50 for per share, and the paid $17 one time. Normally big companies pays about 1%-5% dividends per year. In this case if buy ZIM (if the price will be stable at currents) you will get 33% dividends and after 3 years you will get your invested money back, or ZIM integrated will find it's fair price which is $300-400
$ZIM Short IdeaWatch for ZIM to close above the strong trendline it's been following since inception, otherwise implications are more downside.
Rejected twice now, expecting a move to more downside , first PT $48
I'm long JUN PUTS
I was very long ZIM but had to see once broke $70s and stop was triggered.
Zim Integrated USASun Storm Investment Trading Desk & NexGen Wealth Management Service Present's: SSITD & NexGen Portfolio of the Week Series
Focus: Worldwide
By Sun Storm Investment Research & NexGen Wealth Management Service
A Profit & Solutions Strategy & Research
Trading | Investment | Stocks | ETF | Mutual Funds | Crypto | Bonds | Options | Dividend | Futures |
USA | Canada | UK | Germany | France | Italy | Rest of Europe | Mexico | India
Disclaimer: Sun Storm Investment and NexGen are not registered financial advisors, so please do your own research before trading & investing anything. This is information is for only research purposes not for actual trading & investing decision.
#debadipb #profitsolutions
#ZIM signaling a potential leg up #ZIM over the last 3 days is clearly showing on the VP that people are buying what they see as a potential leg up area due to the POC being shown at the top of the last three trading days price action, looking at other indicators for sense of direction we see the 8ma making a move crossed over the 21 ema signaling a bullish sentiment on the daily chart which potentially means to us days of possible green days to the top side, MACD is also signaling bullish or buying period and an RSI above 50. Further analyzing this ticker looking at the options flow there was significant buying volume in the 70, 65, calls and 62 sold puts as well as some significant amount going into the 75 sold calls indicating in all ways some room to the top side. If you have a flow tool or software like Unusual Whales, you can also see the 65 call being the one with the most bullish sentiment of all for the May 20th expiration please just consider the other factors freight is currently extremely expensive, fuel cost are still going up, and supply chain issues still wildly common in most ports in us and around the world are still seeing long delays so all factors included i feel we may see us go up to retest previous highs not ATH but mid 70's seems capable which if we do would potentially be the formation for a massive head and shoulders best of luck to all who play it.