33L trade ideas
LULUAmazing break out with LULU is coming close to 52 week high after great break out. Not a good time to enter just keep a watch out on it
LULU about to breakoutI predict a bullish price action of LULU based on the following 3 indicators:
- A backtest of the triangle wedge followed by a clean bounce.
- A parallel rising channel which was unbroken during last week's sell-off.
- Chaikin Money Flow reversed but needs to follow through.
Buy the dip on $LULU after earnings?If past movement are not a guaranteed for future result, i did not get that memo... Because as it happened in the past, again $LULU had amazing earnings, beating both revenues and earnings and yet share are down more than 5% as this morning.
Here some number:
Revenue increased 22% to $1.1 billion
Comparable sales increased 19%, or 18% on a constant dollar basis
Diluted EPS of $1.10, Adjusted EPS of $1.16
IMO demand for athletics clothing will continue to rise. The mirror acquisition will guaranteed $LULU to take a piece of the pay from other player like $PTON and $APPL during lockdown orders.
Why am I bullish? On a technical prospective it seems to be holding well around 345-348 price. There are multiple factors for that:
1. Support at around 361$, 344$ and 325$. It seems to be holding at 348$ for the moment. If it does not, will be looking to buy at 325$.
2. Trend line still in up trend. It intersect quite well with support at 348$. That is why I bought some shares
3. Fibonacci retracement: also at around 348$ price.
Usually where there are multiple convergence of factors at once, stocks tend to do well.
In addition many analysts raise PT and reiterate their buying ideas.
AGAIN, past movement are not indication for FUTURE price actions. But $LULU seems to different :) Time will see.
This is not an investment advice. Do your own due diligence before investing.
$LULU with a neutral outlook following earning release The PEAD projected a neutral outlook for $LULU following a negative under reaction after earning release placing the stock in Drift D
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Lessons of LULU Earnings (also RH and ADBE)LULU had made symmetry advancement prior to earnings to the high of 383. A little turn downwards on MACD. The line in the sand of the first retracement is 61.8 Fib level which also is at 50 EMA.
RH had a similar reaction as well as ADBE.
LULU earnings 12/10 @ 4:05pmLULU designs and retails athletic clothing for women, men, and female youth. Its apparel assortment, including items, such as fitness pants, shorts, tops and jackets, is designed for activities such as yoga, running and general fitness. The Company's fitness-related accessories include an array of items, such as bags, socks, underwear, yoga mats, instructional yoga digital versatile discs and water bottles. Lululemon athletica Inc. is based in Vancouver, Canada.
3rd Quarter October 2020 earnings announcement is tomorrow on 12/10 at 4:05pm
Earnings Whisper $0.95
Consensus: $0.86
Revenue: $1.01 Billion
LULU is showing bearish signals on rsi, volume ema and price action the past four days, plus it sure looks like a variation of a shrunken head and shoulders, lol. With that said, it's all going to come down to the fundamentals in the end. If there's anything short of a +$ earnings surprise, expect LULU to tank post market tomorrow. If, on the other hand, LULU pulls out stellar earnings, the share price could pop. Because I don't know what the earnings are going to be, I'm taking a bearish perspective with caution. End result range is between $340 - 400, which is quite an unhelpful spread to forecast LULU 12/11 price action, so a low risk 4-option strategy could be best. What I have in mind is buy $370 straddle 12/18 (put = $1875, call = $1300, total = $31.75) and sell a $350-390 straddle 12/11 (put = -$7.95, call = -$4.85, total credit = -$12.80). One case scenario, LULU closes below $350 or above $390 on 12/11 and you receive a $2k credit, and because the original trade cost you $1895, you make $105 profit per contract (not a great gain, but no loss). Another scenario is LULU misses passing $350 on the down side or $390 on the up side on 12/11 and you've positioned yourself for all the price action next week by getting a straddle for -$1280 discount. And finally, the more likely scenario is you can liquidate the calendar spread 4-option strategy at any point in pieces as the price action permits. Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Small incremental steps work : If you double a penny for a month it = $5,368,709. Good luck and happy trading friends...
*3x lucky 7s of trading*
7pt Trading compass:
Price action, entry/exit
Volume average/direction
Trend, patterns, momentum
Newsworthy current events
Revenue
Earnings
Balance sheet
7 Common mistakes:
+5% portfolio trades, risk management
Beware of analysts motives
Emotions & Opinions
FOMO : bad timing
Lack of planning & discipline
Forgetting restraint
Obdurate repetitive errors
7 Important tools:
Trading View app!, Brokerage UI
Accurate indicators & settings
Wide screen monitor/s
Trading log (pencil & graph paper)
Big organized desk
Reading books, playing chess
Sorted watch-list
Checkout my indicators:
Fibonacci VIP - volume
Fibonacci MA7 - price
pi RSI - trend momentum
www.tradingview.com
LULU - December 5, 2020Hot off Black Friday/Cyber Monday sales, look for Lululemon (LULU) to be active as we approach Thursday's earnings. Total American Cyber Monday sales soared to $10.8 Billion (largest e-commerce day in US history), and LULU is well positioned to take advantage given the recent demand for athleisure. After a strong month of November, watch for LULU to build momentum as we progress through the high-volume holiday season.
ABC Bullish Ascending Triangle Was in Rectangle but broke up from rectangle..
The top of the rectangle also provides support, was resistance but becomes support
Not a recommendation..but hide your stop from Mr Market (o:
LULU - over analysis?NASDAQ:LULU
long/short play with bullish bias
Anticipating a head and shoulder formation
