GOOG Simple Short TradeCRACK!
GOOG has now broken a key area with the potential to have a huge move down.
This is a very simple trade with great risk/reward.
Bulls!! Caution is in order!!
ABEA trade ideas
GOOGL ON SUPPORT: 23% BOUNCE IMMINENTNASDAQ:GOOGL GOOGL has consolidated significantly over the last few weeks and, like the NASDAQ, has also taken a beating. Due to the now attractive valuation, the continued stable growth and earnings growth, GOOGL is still a good investment.
Technically, we have reached a trend line and a weaker horizontal support with a further support area at around USD 150. We are already seeing the first RSI divergence. The Bollinger Bands (not shown in the chart, otherwise it would be confusing) are also far overstretched and make a bounce likely. There is also an open gap at $192 - $203.
I would open about 50% of the actual trading position now and the rest when the price falls into the green box, which I still consider to be a possible consolidation area. If the price turns immediately, we are still in with half.
Target Zones:
$192.00
$205.00
Support Zones:
$165.00
$150.00
The only tech stock I’d consider buying right nowThis analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research.
We’ve seen the S&P, NASDAQ and every other American index get slammed in the last couple of days. Some people are panicking. A lot of people are panicking. If you go on Twitter (sorry — X dot com) you will find a lot of people who listened to a recommendation from a guy on YouTube about a trash stock like say, IonQ or HIMS, and are now fairly upset said YouTube guy (or Twitch guy, or whatever) got it wrong.
Frankly, a correction is a healthy thing because it allows investors to purchase good companies at more reasonable multiples.
I have no idea where the market goes from here. I can’t see the future. I admit this sell-off has me adding tech stocks (and other American stocks) to my watch-list, and I’ll continue to monitor them.
A lot of tech stocks — the bulk of what has fallen as of late — still aren’t in that zone for me yet. Amazon still trades at a current multiple of 35x earnings and a fwd multiple of 28x — I can’t find much value in that, especially when I consider that Google, a company with +$83 billion in net profit and a 32% operating margin, can be acquired for 16x fwd earnings (I had to check those numbers too just to be sure — when you’ve still got things like Palantir trading “to the moon” (and back), 16x⁴ seems like a reasonable price for the dominant advertising platform in the world).
Here’s Buffett, in his 2008 essay — Buy American, I am:
A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful. And most certainly, fear is now widespread, gripping even seasoned investors. To be sure, investors are right to be wary of highly leveraged entities or businesses in weak competitive positions. But fears regarding the long-term prosperity of the nation’s many sound companies make no sense. These businesses will indeed suffer earnings hiccups, as they always have. But most major companies will be setting new profit records 5, 10 and 20 years from now.
Buffett was right, of course. If you purchased stocks in 2008 and held them you would’ve done pretty well (as long as you didn’t buy Lehman Brothers!). The GFC saw stocks fall 48% from their peak — if we are indeed heading towards that territory there is more room to fall. I have no idea — examining the basket of tech stocks I look at, the only one that presents any value is Google. It’s reasonable at 16x fwd earnings. If it traded at 12x earnings, it would be a bargain - in my opinion. How low can you go?
Alphabet Stock (GOOGL): Bounce Incoming?There is growing potential that a major price top has formed, particularly after the break below the November low, which has increased the probability of this scenario. The move down from the February high appears to be a three-wave structure, and I am watching for a bounce from the current region. However, this could simply be a B-wave in the yellow scenario, setting up for much lower prices.
At this stage, it's too early to confirm a major top with certainty. The structure of the next rally will provide crucial insights. The current downward move is not yet a clear five-wave decline, leaving the door open for higher prices in the white scenario. However, even that becomes increasingly unlikely with a break below $157.50.
For now, the working thesis is that a major top has formed, but confirmation of new highs would only come with a break above $196.69. In the short term, the price should ideally react to the current region, but we need to see a break above $173 (closing the last gap) to indicate a local low is in place. If that happens, we could be in a B-wave, which would likely target the $183 to $196 zone before the next major decision point.
$GOOGL $GOOG - I would wait.NASDAQ:GOOGL and NASDAQ:GOOG had a promising cup-and-handle setup, but the earnings report (ER) disrupted it. The stock is currently below the uptrend line.
I would wait for the $143 to $140 area to position for a potential bounce.
For the first time in its history, Google’s search business faces serious threats, putting its technological leadership in question.
Google Nice buy, Super Oversold into Longer term TrendGoogle has experienced a large recent drawdown of over 30% from the peak in Q1 2024. The drop has failed to produce any real relief rallies, being a move straight down. The context then suggests that perhaps Google is due for some relief to the upside as it hits a major support trendline spanning from the start of the bull market.
I would like to see this stock start consolidating and building steam for what may be a potentially voilent rally once the smoke clears.
Google back to ATHStructure is there, one of the best P/E ratios in highest market cap stocks, looking good.
Google Wave Analysis – 21 March 2025
- Google reversed from key support level 160.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 167.00
Google recently reversed up from the key support level 160.00 (which has been reversing the price from October) intersecting with the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from the support level 160.00 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Hammer – which stopped the previous impulse wave C.
Given the strength of the support level 160.00 and the bullish divergence on the daily Stochastic, Google can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 167.00.
Goog make or break trendlineDid you know this market geometry/symmetry:
When a (strong) trendline is broken, the market will fall equal distance or more from the trendline as from the peak to the breakpoint.
If google breaks (or has it?) it could fall another 20% and meet the long term trendline, if doesnt then the recent breakpoint would
become resistance
GOOGL - Melt up & Crash series [2]I believe, like SPX, the parallel channel has been revealed.
Let's see if this holds.
Not financial advice.
Sabah Research Goes Long on Google: EW 2.0 Signals 45% Upside !Sabah Equity Research is taking a bullish stance on Alphabet (GOOGL) as Elliott Wave 2.0 suggests a 45% upside from current levels. With the stock trading at an attractive valuation, this presents a strong opportunity for long-term investors.
Elliott Wave 2.0 Predicts the Next Leg Up
After completing a healthy ABC correction, Alphabet is now primed for a Wave 3 expansion, historically the most powerful phase in the Elliott cycle. The technicals suggest that GOOGL’s recent consolidation is a launchpad for the next move higher.
Catalysts for Growth
Massive Cybersecurity Acquisition
Google’s parent company, Alphabet, is set to acquire Wiz, a leading cloud security firm, for over $30 billion—its largest deal ever. This strengthens Google’s cloud security dominance and accelerates revenue growth.
Undervalued Growth Potential
Despite its leading position in AI, cloud computing, and search, Alphabet trades at a discount compared to peers. This disconnect presents a compelling buying opportunity before sentiment catches up.
AI and Cloud Expansion
Google’s aggressive push into AI and cloud services positions it for massive future gains. With rising demand for AI-driven search, advertising, and enterprise solutions, Alphabet’s growth runway remains robust.
The Trade Setup: Positioning for the Upside
With Elliott Wave 2.0 pointing to a 45% rally, Sabah Equity Research sees Alphabet as a strong long-term play. The combination of cheap valuation, a game-changing acquisition, and a favorable technical setup makes this an ideal entry point.
Smart money is accumulating—will you? 🚀
Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) has declined by 21% since peaking at 207With its long-term bullish structure compromised, Alphabet could repeat its previous 45% correction. Although closing at 163.99, slightly above the critical 156-160 support zone, any rebound might be capped at 167.35, 174.00, 185.58, and 192.70. A break below support could see shares fall toward 144-137 or even 126-119, marking a 42% correction
GOOGL Approaching Key Breakout Level – Will Bulls Gain Control?Technical Analysis & Options Outlook
📌 Current Price: $167.24
📌 Trend: Bullish Momentum Facing Resistance
📌 Timeframe: 1-Hour
Price Action & Market Structure
Strong Recovery from Support – GOOGL bounced off the $158–$160 demand zone, signaling aggressive buying interest.
Breakout Watch – Price is now testing the descending trendline resistance near $167.50–$170. A breakout above this range could lead to a sharp upside move.
Possible Pullback Before Breakout – If rejected at $167.50–$170, expect a retest of $164–$160 before another breakout attempt.
MACD & Stoch RSI – Both indicate bullish strength, but Stoch RSI suggests an overbought condition, signaling potential short-term consolidation.
Key Levels to Watch
📍 Immediate Resistance:
🔹 $167.50 – Trendline Resistance
🔹 $170 – Major CALL Resistance & Gamma Wall (45.86%)
🔹 $172.50 – Strong Breakout Confirmation Zone
📍 Immediate Support:
🔻 $164 – Breakout Retest Zone
🔻 $160 – Strongest PUT Support (-48.34%)
🔻 $158 – Secondary PUT Wall (-23.69%)
Options Flow & GEX Sentiment
IVR: 40.1 (Moderate Volatility)
IVx: 34.2 (-1.41%) (Volatility Cooling, Favoring Breakouts)
GEX (Gamma Exposure): Bullish Bias Strengthening ✅ ✅ ✅
CALL Walls: $170 & $172.50 (Upside breakout zones)
PUT Walls: $160 & $158 (Key demand liquidity areas)
📌 Options Insight:
Above $170, expect a gamma-driven move toward $172.50–$175.
Below $164, risk increases for a pullback to $160–$158, where major liquidity resides.
My Thoughts & Trade Recommendation
🚀 Bullish Case: If GOOGL breaks and holds above $167.50, expect a continuation to $170–$172.50.
⚠️ Bearish Case: If GOOGL fails at $167.50, a pullback to $164–$160 is likely before another breakout attempt.
Trade Idea (For Educational Purposes)
📌 Bullish Play:
🔹 Entry: Breakout above $167.50
🔹 Target: $170–$172.50
🔹 Stop Loss: Below $164
📌 Bearish Play (Hedge Idea):
🔻 Entry: Rejection at $167.50
🔻 Target: $164–$160 PUT Wall
🔻 Stop Loss: Above $170
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Final Thoughts
GOOGL is testing a critical resistance zone near $167.50–$170. A breakout could push the stock toward $172.50, while failure could trigger a pullback toward $164–$160 before another attempt. Wait for confirmation before taking a trade.
GOOG’s Hot Setup: Fib, 100-Day, and Reversal Alright, I know the week ain’t over yet, but I’m seeing something pretty hype on Google’s chart (GOOG) that’s got me pumped! The stock’s pulling back to that 0.786 Fibonacci level, and guess what—it’s chilling right at the 100-day moving average.
What a wild coincidence, right?
On top of that, the weekly candle so far is looking like a reversal—unless something crazy flips it last minute. If GOOG can hold strong by the end of this week and close higher next week, it’s setting up for a solid shot at a new wave up, potentially hitting $225 by September. Oh, and I forgot to mention—it’s been riding this sweet ascending price channel like a pro, which makes that timeline more of an educated guess than a wild stab. Let’s see if this tech giant can flex its muscles and make that climb!
I’m not saying make any investment moves based on this—I’m just sharing my analysis,
Is GOOGL Setting Up for a Rebound?The corrective move continues, offering potential opportunities for strategic entries. If the dip extends, these key levels could present buying opportunities:
📉 Entry Points:
🔹 165
🔹 158
🔹 150
🔹 135-130 ⚠️ Possible deeper entry point???
📈 Profit Targets:
🔹 175
🔹 181
🔹 190
Will GOOGL find support at these levels and bounce back, or is there more downside ahead? Stay prepared and manage your risk wisely.
Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves significant risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own analysis and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
$GOOG Growth PotentialGrowth Potential
Given the current price of $166.11, reaching the target of $190.12 implies a potential upside of approximately 14.5%. Considering Alphabet's strong financial performance, positive analyst projections, and ongoing innovations in areas like quantum computing and autonomous vehicles, the stock appears well-positioned for future growth.
GOOGL upside potentialTechnicals
GOOGL has yet to close below a major trendline, indicating potential continuation of the uptrend.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) Target: There is an inefficiency in price that could act as a magnet for an upward move. If buyers step in at support, the next target will be filling this gap.
Fundamentals
Revenue Growth: Q4 2024 revenue came in at $96.5 billion (+12% YoY), driven by strength in Search, YouTube Ads, and Google Cloud.
AI Investments: Alphabet plans to invest $75 billion in AI infrastructure this year, boosting its competitive edge.
Profitability: Operating income rose 33% YoY, with improving margins (32%).
Market Rotation: Strong institutional interest in mega-cap tech stocks supports potential upside.
SP500 Weekly Action Areas & Price Targets 10/03/25In this update, we review the recent price action in the emini S&P 500 futures contract and identify high-probability action areas and price targets for the trading week ahead. To review today's video, click here!
CSX - Short the Weak!CSX enters the 2nd quarter in a 3 month downtrend on the Daily chart.
Index - Sector - Stock Alignment is strong with the Dow, Transports and CSX being in downtrends.
I am looking to wait for a pullback and buy puts to benefit from continue downward pressure.
1. Buy May 16 30 Puts
Entry 1 - 30.50
- Volume resistance and between 13/21 Propulsion dots.
- Near area of previous resistance.
Entry 2 - 31.80
- Volume resistance and Vscore resistance.
- Near Darvas resistance.
2. First Profit target/Breakeven - 30.05
3. Second Profit Target - $29.60 - Volume support
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GOOGL – Potential Reset Structure Similar to March 2024 | Price This chart outlines a potential reaccumulation and continuation setup on GOOGL, mirroring the March 2024 price reset structure that preceded a strong rally into late 2024.
After a healthy correction from recent highs, price has now retraced into a key equilibrium zone, sitting just above the 200-day moving average and reclaiming the long-term ascending trendline.
We could be witnessing the formation of a higher low, potentially setting the stage for another strong leg up — projecting a ~35% move from the current structure lows, aligning with previous historical expansions over similar time frames (notably 119 days from low to high).
🔍 Smart Money Insights:
•Discount zone tapped, showing buyer interest and possible accumulation.
•Price is recovering above trendline + EMA confluence.
•Premium zone around $215 may act as the next major target/liquidity area.
🧠 Thesis:
If this monthly candle closes strong and confirms support around the $160–165 range, we may see a March-like reset that kicks off a Q2-Q3 continuation, targeting the $215 level.
Google in a distributive phase?Could be printing a distribution here. Early signs, so very early on this idea. Would need to see PA evolve like showed in the graph. Alternatively if it makes a HH, it could be printing a UTAD. Either way, I'll be looking for signs whether Wyckoff Distribution does indeed play out.
