Is This the Final Chapter in Buffett's Tech Journey?Warren Buffett’s once unshakeable partnership with Apple seems to be reaching a critical juncture, leaving market watchers with more questions than answers. For years, Buffett and his Berkshire Hathaway embraced Apple, with Buffett even calling it “the greatest trade of all time.” Yet, with Berkshire’s recent decision to reduce its stake by a staggering 67%, the dynamic is shifting. While initial statements attributed the sales to tax planning, the sheer scale hints at a deeper strategy. This raises the question: is this a calculated portfolio rebalancing or the beginning of a more profound shift in Buffett’s investment philosophy?
The timing of these sales isn’t random. Apple now faces several hurdles, from slower growth projections in a competitive smartphone market to increasing regulatory scrutiny in the U.S. and Europe. The conglomerate’s move coincides with Apple's potential weaknesses, suggesting Berkshire is not immune to the broader industry concerns, such as competition in China and challenges in artificial intelligence—a field where Apple appears to be lagging.
Interestingly, some experts speculate that the recent passing of Charlie Munger may have influenced Buffett’s decision. Munger, who historically favored Apple, played a pivotal role in Berkshire’s tech investments, balancing Buffett’s more cautious stance on technology. Now, Berkshire’s shift could signal a strategic return to its foundational values, preferring stability over tech’s unpredictable currents.
As Berkshire Hathaway maneuvers through these adjustments, Apple remains its largest equity holding, hinting that Buffett hasn’t fully turned his back on the tech giant. But with record cash reserves and a keen eye on emerging opportunities, the next steps Berkshire takes could redefine not just its portfolio but perhaps even broader investment trends in the years to come.
APC trade ideas
Apple Inc (AAPL)Calls above 223.39
Puts below 221.78
A wedge pattern can signal either bullish or bearish price reversals.
The trend lines drawn above and below the price chart pattern can converge to help a trader or analyst anticipate a breakout reversal from either side. This strategy is based on price action and the volume of a candle upon breakout.
APPLE Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for APPLE is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 222.92
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 229.43
My Stop Loss - 219.19
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AAPL Buffet Trims at potential ToppingAs AAPL gets sold by Buffet we can consider the next potential paths as we know trimming to balance a portfolio, one should trim the highest possibility of reversals and keep those with more growth potential.
HP as a higher probability space, considers that we will sideways chop for a while as price discovery recovers from this selloff.
LP as a lower probability path in which a larger market gamma reversing event occurs.
APPLE: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
APPLE
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy APPLE
Entry Level - 222.92
Sl - 219.02
Tp - 229.74
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Apple(AAPL): Down 7% – Is This the Opportunity We’ve Waited For?Apple’s stock has experienced a 7% decline over the past 10 days. What’s behind this drop? The fall came despite Apple slightly beating analysts’ expectations for the September quarter, driven mainly by a rebound in iPhone sales. During the fourth-quarter earnings call, CEO Tim Cook discussed positive developments in China but declined to speculate on economic stimulus impacts, noting stable year-over-year performance, partially aided by favorable foreign exchange rates.
From a technical analysis perspective, everything is lining up perfectly. Our limit order remains unchanged. The formation of an exact double top points to the possibility of a flat pattern, which typically leads to a double bottom. This anticipated double bottom would align with the volume profile’s range high, offering additional support to key Fibonacci levels.
Our stop-loss placement is secure, positioned below the support zone and the Point of Control (POC). We’ve set a time horizon for the wave ((ii)) to complete, and we believe this setup could result in a promising swing long position heading into Q1 or Q2 of 2025. If the chart develops as we hope, there may even be an opportunity to open a short position to hedge our long exposure. Until then, we’re prepared for another potential 12% drop, waiting patiently to execute our plan.
AAPL Technical Analysis for Nov. 1, 2024Technical Overview:
Current Price Level: AAPL is trading around $221.71 after a significant bearish move, putting it near key support zones.
Support and Resistance:
Support: The nearest support is around $220.00, a key psychological level that may attract buyers.
Resistance: Immediate resistance is found around $227.31, followed by a more substantial level at $231.50, which AAPL previously rejected.
Trend Analysis:
A strong downtrend is evident with a steep decline, indicated by both the price action and the EMA slopes.
AAPL is far below the recent trendline, suggesting strong bearish momentum unless buying interest returns near support.
MACD:
The MACD is deeply negative, with no immediate signs of a bullish crossover. However, a shift in momentum near the support zone may provide some relief.
Volume:
The increased volume on the recent bearish candles indicates that selling pressure dominated, but watch for a volume decline or reversal near the support level to signal a potential bounce.
Trading Strategy for Tomorrow:
Bullish Scenario: If AAPL can hold above $220.00 and shows bullish momentum on the hourly chart, it may attempt a recovery toward $227.31. Watch for an increase in buying volume to confirm this move.
Bearish Scenario: If AAPL breaks below $220.00, it may continue to decline, with a potential downside target at $215.00. Monitor the $227.31 level as a potential area to re-enter short positions if a reversal occurs near this resistance.
Entry and Exit Points:
Long Entry: Consider a long position if AAPL holds above $220.00 with strong buying support, aiming for $227.31. Set a stop loss around $218.
Short Entry: Consider shorting below $220.00 if bearish momentum continues, with a target of $215.00, and set a stop loss above $223.
Short Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
Be careful with Apple !!!In my opinion, the shares of this company should be 13.4% lower than the current price, which means at $199 .
So, any correction in the shares of tech giants is an opportunity for investment entry....
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard .💚
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Mag 7 Supply Break & RetestBig move up for the mag 7 this morning, but has fallen off. However it is just now retesting a critical supply area and previous ATH. It's interesting to see this break and retest right before the rest of the mag 7 reports earnings.
Could go either way, but for now I expect a bounce and new ATH after.
Updated Paths for AAPLAAPL is sitting on trendline support right now. It has held on every test so far so looking for it to hold again and potentially make a new ATH after. If it's a bearish break, we have some other levels below we can short on a retest. My bias would be long for now, seems like a good area to get long exposure in anticipation of a move to ATH. Pretty tight stop too.
Elliott Wave View: Apple (AAPL) Looking to End Wave 5Short Term Elliott Wave View in Apple (AAPL) shows a 5 swing diagonal from 9.16.2024 low. Up from 9.16.2024 low, wave 1 ended at 233.09 and dips in wave 2 ended at 221.15. The stock resumed higher in wave 3. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 225.97 and dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 224.22. Stock resumed higher in wave ((iii)) towards 229.75 and pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 227.12. Final leg wave ((v)) ended at 237.49 which completed wave 3 in higher degree.
Wave 4 pullback unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 3, wave (a) ended at 232.81 and wave (b) ended at 234.44. Wave (c) lower ended at 229.84 which completed wave ((w)). Up from there, wave (a) ended at 234.19 and wave (b) ended at 230.52. Wave (c) higher ended at 237.23 which completed wave ((x)) in higher degree. The stock turned lower in wave ((y)) with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Down from wave ((x)), wave (a) ended at 233.3 and wave (b) ended at 236.85. Wave (c) lower ended at 227.3 which completed wave ((y)) of 4 in higher degree. The stock has turned higher in wave 5. Near term, as far as pivot at 221.1 low stays intact, expect the stock to extend higher.
Buybacks vs. Dark Pool RotationThis lesson is about understanding the dynamics behind corporate buybacks. Sell-Side Institutions, aka the Banks of Record, have their floor traders do the actual buying of shares on behalf of the corporation. However, the Dark Pools, meaning the Buy-Side Institutions, start selling as the buybacks are going on.
This training will help you enter a buyback sooner and exit with higher profits for swing trading. We'll study the NASDAQ:AAPL chart to identify buyback candlestick patterns and how to see when the Dark Pools are selling to lower inventory, which is called "rotation." You will also see how the TTAccum/Dist indicator works, and how I use this excellent, leading Hybrid Indicator to aid in my analysis.
APPLAPPL price is between 4h rising channel (blue), above lower 4h trendline (green) and above lower D trendline (red). With the earning report, I expect volatility, which could potentially bring the price down to the levels of the strong support.
First one is at the lower 4h trendline, at or around 229.38, second is at the lower daily trendline at or around 223.50, the last, third is at the bottom of the 4h channel at or around 218.71.
The play: I plan to get in with 1/5 at 229.40, then buy 2/5 at 223.50 and 2/5 at 218.80. If 218.71 is broken, meaning, next day close beneath this level, that would be the sign of weakness, closing longs and, potentially, entering shorts down to 190ish level.
Hard stop for all entries is at 215.
TP could be at the top of rising 4h channel trendline which currently coincides with the psychological 240 level.
Downward channel formed!The maximum target price is around $300 for the coming 12 months. We have enough time to reach that price if everything goes well with AI and iPhone 16.
Average price target is $244.12 - again this is over next 12 months, which means it is currently too close to the average for next 12 months, indicating a price correction.
Apple seems to have formed a downward channel, plus seems to be forming Head and shoulder pattern on 30 mins chart. I expect it to fall to 228 at least before the earnings.