E0P trade ideas
#ENPH Bull Flag ideaHello dear Traders,
Here is my idea for #ENPH
Price finds support at monthly pivot S1 line.
As long as the price is above support zone, we will wait for a close above the yellow trigger line in the 4h chart to enter the trade.
Please feel free to ask any question in comments. I will try to answer all! Thank you.
ENPH UpdateLooks to be breaking daily RSI support line dating back to January. Weekly coming down relatively hard as well, but still above the 50 on RSI. MACD extremely high on weekly, but already rolled over on daily extensively. Will most likely fill the bearish divergence and continue to roll over with the rest of the market in the coming weeks. Caution would be that the weekly is bullish at the moment and could put in future bearish divergence by going higher on price without taking out RSI previous high, but we will see how long that lasts.
ENPH swing trade ideaHey all, I'm not taking this trade, but this stock has serious downside potential. I'd be looking for a gap-fill entry if I were playing this, with a stop loss a little above ATH's. I know this stock/sector is incredibly overvalued and due for a huge correction. I'd look to where it is at right now for an entry short, or to exit longs.
dippy before more rippy 🚀🥶i expect a big rejection from this trend support zone, last time we dumped from it we saw 100-150 dollars of downside!
I do not have longs here but if I did I would sell and look for a dip entry! clearly in bullish trend but reaching the top of the trend. just my view though
please a drop a boost and follow if you enjoy my analysis 💛
ENPHDaily getting closer to closing under RSI line. Daily MACD already rolled over. Weekly RSI still relatively high for a short, but starting to come down. Weekly looks to be putting in bearish divergence divergence. Decent size bear flag on the weekly that could play out eventually if price breaks and closes under $180 ish. Possible short entry looking good if daily RSI gets under 50 and weekly pulls back more.
Enphase Energy – Is it Overpriced Enough to Start Shorting it?Fundamental Indicators:
Sector – Technology
US Business Cycle Stage – late cycle, when this sector is not favourable
Revenue – explosive growth for the past 5 years, 40% 5-year average
Profits – consistently growing since 2020
Net margin – decent 11% for tech company
P/E – extremely high at 195 compared to S&P500 with 21 and Technology sector 27
Liabilities - debt ratio is at 0.81 which is within normal limits, Net Debt/ EBITDA is at 0.13 – no problems with debt
Conclusion – great financial performance since it became profitable in 2019 but it is grossly overpriced considering the current global economic situation, so it is very likely to go into correction to let the steam out
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
Main scenario of this idea suggests that we are still observing development of the global growth cycle which is currently at the stage of completing wave 3 (see higher timeframe graph)
Since the correction of March 2020, the stock price went ballistic with nearly 1400% jump, which makes sense as solar energy technology is in great demand now considering the current geo-political situation
However, EW count suggests that the latest global correction in the form of Running Flat lasted between February 2021 and January 2022 and since then there was another move to the upside in a choppy manner which is likely to be an Ending Diagonal currently in final stages of completion
Once reversal started we can expect correction to a target area of $110-$150 representing 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels to the global wave 3
This is a higher timeframe to reflect the full history of Enphase Energy and to provide full wave count:
What do you think about Enphase Energy and its short term prospects?
Also let me know if you would like to see other stocks, indices, Forex or Crypto analysed using Elliott Waves.
Short ENPH - Overdone rally from earning catalystOverall market rally seems way overdone and overhyped, although congress continue to press for stimulus bills on energy sector; still upside risk to reward does not warrant a long position at this point in time.
Rather, market's current rally are living on pro-longed extension from recovering CPI data to positive earning outlook to stock split. These catalyst seems to have very much been priced.
ENPH - Dream pattern before earning Cup and Handle dream pattern with triangle handle. Earnings history very strong beating estimates consistently.
You don't need to know what's going to happen next to make money ~Mark Douglas
Lose like a pro and keep trading, or lose like a novice and quit ~Mark Ritchie
Is This Sustainable?Price is well over the bands set on 80. Chances are very high that price will eventually pull back to the interior of the bands.
ENPH broke up from a possible bullish bat a while back.
Earnings beat that was obviously well received.
Gap below price that may cause price to pause as it could serve as a level of support.
Possible W extension pattern formed and may have landed just above the 200% mark. Remarkable to say the least.
Short is approximately 3.43%.
Price is up in la la land after a new ATH and this could even pull back and make another run for it.
Time will tell.
No recommendation/be safe
Bearish Harami on daily at this moment/Doji on weekly and monthly charts representing indecision.
Possible short for the near term. I plan to revisit this one
ENPH Enphase Energy got electric charged!This came up on my screener... ENPH
Reading abotut it was intriguing as this was interesting as it develops, manufactures, and sells solar microinverters, energy monitoring software, and battery storage products. Given the expected surge of crude after the current retracement, and the sustainability trend, I find ENPH intriguingly positioned.
Technicals flagged it out, having taken some damage since Oct 2021. A triangle formation breakout, and retest appears to have been done and a second breakout (of a trendline) flagged it. The daily technical indicators are turning up to support the breakout.
On the news front, apparently solar stocks were given a boost with Biden's announcement where there would not be any new tariffs on solar imports for the next two years. In addition, There was authorization for Defense Production Act to help US manufacturers of solar panels, and it is expected that US solar manufacturing capacity can triple in the next two years. People would need energy management tools!
Looks delicious...
Potential upside target based on triangle breakout projections put it at 360 in Nov 2022. An interesting proposition seen in this chart.
ENPH M-pattern targets 328 if it BO of 283 D.top OR 222 retest?TAN solar etf together with its main component ENPHASE energy has been on a tear lately. ENPH made a W-pattern in 2021 & is again repeating it this 2022. It currently made a double top at 283 but shows no sign of rejection yet. If it retraces then the W=neck at 222 will be retested. But if it breaks above 328, then the Fib 1.272 at 328 will be the next target.
Not trading advice