MDO trade ideas
McDonalds is a beast, but short term price dropI love MCD and will always love to eat and trade.
For me MCD is like water ETF. Automation will increase the profits in the future...
BUT price of the stock won't increase more in short term...It will drop.
It is not an investment nor trading advice do your own analysis. I am not responsible for your losses.
McDonald’s Builds Momentum After Quarterly ResultsMcDonald’s share price has been stuck in the slow lane for months, but its latest earnings report has given the stock a much-needed boost. A stronger-than-expected sales performance saw shares jump nearly 5% during yesterday’s session, signalling that investors are starting to take notice again.
Quarterly Results: Signs of a Turnaround
McDonald’s reported a 0.4% rise in global comparable sales for the fourth quarter, a sharp contrast to the 0.4% decline analysts had been expecting. The recovery was driven in part by a stronger performance in international markets, particularly in the Middle East, where sales have improved following last year’s boycott-related weakness. While total revenue remained flat at $6.4 billion, the market’s reaction suggests confidence in the company’s ability to navigate recent challenges.
The US market was a notable weak spot, with comparable sales falling 1.4% as customers reined in spending. An E. coli outbreak in late 2023 also took a toll, temporarily forcing restaurant closures in some states. However, McDonald’s expects US sales to stabilise by Q2, helped by continued promotions and a steady recovery in footfall. Despite these near-term pressures, the latest figures suggest that the worst may be behind the company.
Technical Analysis: Momentum Building Again
McDonald’s share price has been struggling since the October E. coli outbreak triggered a sharp drop, leaving the stock stuck in a choppy range while the wider market pushed higher. Buyers finally stepped in at the 200-day moving average in mid-January, providing the foundation for a recovery. Since then, the stock has broken back above the 50-day moving average, signalling improving momentum.
Yesterday’s earnings reaction saw the shares gap higher and push further into positive territory on strong volume, closing near the highs of the session. The next key test lies ahead, with resistance at the top of the October gap and trend highs just above. A break through these levels could open the door for a more sustained move higher, shifting the focus firmly back towards the long-term uptrend.
McDonald’s (NYSE: MCD) Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
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Big Mac update Every time when you open a trade,you should expect negativity it's gonna help you to find your risks,risking management is the one that determines how long you gonna last in the trade,as a swing trader and long term trader,risking management is your friend besides good entries but the spirit of holding the trades even if it move a little lower from your entry zones,expect those things and manage to make money don't buy or sell like you control the market you don't not at all expect everything once you press the trigger,soo be smart gang whose going to win no matter how long it takes but its all win win,I hope someone get the point all the best and still valid to buy Mac Donald thank you.
$MCD with a bullish outlook following its earnings #StocksThe PEAD projected a bullish outlook for NYSE:MCD after a positive under reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift A with an expected accuracy of 66.67%.
MCD, Short, 4h✅MCD is overbought and is pulling back to retest the key support at 304.00 before determining its next move.
SHORT 🔥
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McDonald's Stock Crosses $300McDonald's stock has surged over 4.5% , reinforcing its bullish momentum, which had been paused after a prolonged neutral phase. Today’s earnings report has been a key driver, as the company posted earnings per share of $2.83 , in line with forecasts, along with a questionable sales figure of $6.39 billion , slightly below the $6.44 billion expected.
However, what has fueled the temporary bullish momentum is the board of directors’ decision to eliminate certain discounts that had been in place during previous quarters. These promotions are no longer considered essential for boosting sales growth, as they may have negatively impacted the company’s revenue figures. Now, the market sees this shift as a potential catalyst for sustained sales growth, which could in turn support long-term stock price appreciation.
Breaking the Sideways Trend
Until a few sessions ago, McDonald's stock had been trading within a tight range, fluctuating between $300 resistance and $286 support. However, the rising bullish momentum has pushed this sideways phase into the background. Now, analysts are evaluating whether this new upward gap could mark the beginning of a stronger trend movement. This scenario could materialize if the stock manages to reach its previous highs at $317.
Technical Indicators
RSI: The RSI line has spiked rapidly and is now reaching overbought levels, as indicated by the 70-mark threshold. If the stock remains above this level, it could signal a potential downward correction in the coming trading sessions.
MACD: The histogram has started to diverge from the neutral 0 level , indicating that the latest moving average trends continue to support the bullish movement. As long as this bias remains in the MACD, buying pressure could become even more significant.
Key Levels to Watch
$317 – Current key resistance, aligning with the October 2024 high. Consistent movements above this level could signal the beginning of a new and fresh uptrend in the stock.
$300 – New support level, corresponding to the top of the previous lateral channel. If the price dips back below this level, it could increase neutral bias and lead to extended sideways movement. This also serves as a potential retracement area in the short term.
$293 – Support zone, marked by the 50- and 100-period moving averages. If the price falls below this level, it would signal an end to the current bullish momentum, potentially confirming the start of a larger downtrend.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Amidst Q4 Revenue Estimate, $MCD is Up 2.86% Premarket TradingMcDonald’s (NYSE: MCD), the global fast-food giant, delivered a mixed bag of results in its Q4 CY2024 earnings report. While the company missed both revenue and earnings estimates, the stock surged nearly 2.86% in premarket trading, defying expectations. This paradoxical reaction highlights the interplay between technical and fundamental factors driving investor sentiment.
Revenue and Earnings Miss
McDonald’s reported Q4 revenue of $6.39 billion, falling short of Wall Street’s $6.46 billion estimate. This represents flat year-over-year growth and a 1.1% miss. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.83 also came in 1% below the consensus estimate of $2.86. While the company maintained strong profitability, with an operating margin of 44.9% (up from 43.7% in the prior year), the revenue and EPS misses raised concerns about its growth trajectory.
Comparable Sales
Global comparable sales grew by 0.4%, beating expectations of a 0.41% decline. However, U.S. comparable sales dropped 1.4%, worse than anticipated. This decline was partly attributed to an E. coli outbreak in October, which impacted traffic in several states. Additionally, McDonald’s has faced criticism for raising prices too aggressively, alienating budget-conscious consumers. In response, the company has rolled out value-centric deals and promotions to win back customers.
Long-Term Growth Strategy
Despite the short-term challenges, McDonald’s remains committed to its "Accelerating the Arches" strategy, which focuses on expanding market share and driving operational efficiency. Chairman and CEO Chris Kempczinski emphasized that this strategy is delivering results, even as the company navigates macroeconomic headwinds and shifting consumer preferences.
Strong Full-Year Performance
For the full year 2023, McDonald’s posted revenue of $25.49 billion, a 9.97% increase from the previous year. Earnings surged 37.09% to $8.47 billion, underscoring the company’s ability to maintain profitability despite inflationary pressures and competitive challenges.
Technical Analysis
Despite the negative revenue and earnings reports, MCD’s stock price is trading within a bullish reversal pattern. Here’s what the technicals suggest:
Immediate Support: The stock is finding support at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, a critical technical indicator that often acts as a floor during pullbacks.
- Resistance Point: The resistance lies just ahead of the 1-month high. A breakout above this level could sustain the bullish rally, potentially pushing the stock toward target of $319.58 (an 8.59% upside from current levels).
Momentum Indicators
The stock’s 2.48% gain at the time of writing indicates strong buying interest, despite the weak fundamentals. This suggests that traders are focusing on the company’s long-term growth potential and its ability to navigate short-term challenges.
#Market Sentiment
Analysts remain bullish on MCD, with an average rating of "Buy" and a 12-month price target implying significant upside. The stock’s resilience in the face of disappointing earnings reflects confidence in McDonald’s ability to execute its strategy and deliver value to shareholders.
Conclusion
McDonald’s Q4 results may have fallen short of expectations, but the stock’s rally reflects a broader narrative of resilience and long-term growth potential. While the U.S. market remains a challenge, the company’s global footprint, improving margins, and strategic initiatives position it well for future success.
Long MCD: Earnings Could Boost Momentum in the Coming Week
- Key Insights: McDonald's upcoming earnings report is set to significantly
impact its stock price. Analysts anticipate positive consumer sentiment
driven by the brand's value proposition amid inflation concerns, with
particular attention on same-store sales growth. Digital initiatives and
menu innovations could bolster revenue and improve market positioning.
- Price Targets: Next week targets: T1=305, T2=320. Stop levels: S1=290, S2=280.
- Recent Performance: MCD has shown stability in its recent trading activity,
with fluctuations reflecting broader market trends and consumer behavior in
the fast-food sector. The stock is currently positioned around $294.3,
navigating within market expectations leading up to earnings announcements.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts retain a bullish outlook on MCD, especially if the
upcoming earnings reports reveal strong customer traffic and operating
margins. Market sentiment leans towards positive, emphasizing the brand's
resilience and potential for growth in a competitive landscape.
- News Impact: Anticipated earnings reports alongside company initiatives in
sustainability and product innovation are expected to influence not just MCD
but also the fast-food sector's outlook as a reflection of consumer
discretionary health.
Does McDonald’s Chart Look Tasty Ahead of Monday’s Earnings?Legendary American fast-food chain McDonald's NYSE:MCD will release its fourth-quarter results Monday (Feb. 10). What does technical and fundamental analysis say about whether MCD stockholders will deserve a break that day?
Let’s see:
McDonald’s Fundamental Analysis
As I write this, analysts expect the "Golden Arches" to post $2.86 in adjusted earnings per share for the quarter on roughly $6.5 billion of revenue.
Those numbers, if realized, would compare to $2.95 in adjusted EPS on $6.4 billion in revenue for the year-ago period. That would represent sales growth of only 1%, so analysts aren’t really expecting much.
In fact, 17 of the 31 sell-side analysts that I found that cover the stock have cut their earnings estimates since the current quarter began, while none have revised their forecasts higher.
Still, Wall Street might watch more closely this time around at McDonald’s comparable-store sales, which have sagged of late.
Total comparable sales fell 1.5% year over year during the third quarter, and that came after a 1% y/y decline in the second quarter.
Hmm ... two successive quarters of negative comp-sales growth after going years without seeing any kind of quarterly contraction.
The blame? International markets have turned on McDonald's. Performance outside of the United States has been far worse than domestic performance has been.
That hasn’t helped MCD’s stock price, which has surrendered about 9% of its value since peaking in mid-October just ahead of the third-quarter earnings release.
McDonald’s Technical Analysis
But what if Mickey D's posts positive fourth-quarter comp-sales growth next week?
I mean, I don't have a tip on this, but the stock’s chart as of Wednesday afternoon (Feb. 5) was showing a technical set-up for a positive surprise:
Readers will see that MCD is trying to break out of a so-called “falling wedge” pattern, which is historically a pattern of bullish reversal.
What we see above is that the shares have found help close to $280.40, marked by the middle gray horizontal line above. (MCD closed at $294.36 Thursday.)
That’s the 50% retracement level of McDonald’s late-June through mid-October rally, which was running along what was at the time the stock's 200-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” marked with a red line above).
Meanwhile, McDonald’s 50-day SMA (the blue line above) has acted as resistance for the stock, with a $291 pivot point.
But look to the left of the recent action and what do we see? An unfilled gap that would require a tick at $313 or above in order to completely fill it in.
You know what they say about unfilled gaps, right? “They don't always fill -- but they usually do.”
Looking elsewhere on the above chart, there’s nothing to be discerned from the Relative Strength Index (above the chart), which is neutral.
However, look at the daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (MACD) at the bottom of the above chart. No, it's not postured bullishly -- at least not yet.
But the histogram of the 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked with blue bars) is above zero, while the 12-day EMA (the black line) is above the 26-day EMA (the gold line). Those two lines just have to get themselves above zero for this set-up to look truly bullish.
The Bottom Line
While nothing is certain, the chart above does suggest that McDonald’s could be ready to make a move -- potentially upward.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in MCD at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC.
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McDonald’s: Trendline Breakout Before EarningsMcDonald’s has slid for about three months, but it may be attempting a breakout as earnings loom.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since October. MCD pushed above that falling trendline in late January and has stayed above it since. That may suggest an intermediate-term decline has ended.
Second is the August 16 weekly close of $278.49. The hamburger giant tested and held that level a few weeks ago. The bounce coincidentally occurred near the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).
Speaking of moving averages, the 50-day SMA had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in September. Is the longer-term trend getting more bullish?
Next, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day (EMA). MACD is also rising. Both of those signals may be consistent with a short-term uptrend.
Quarterly results are due Monday morning.
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McDonald's Long OpportunityIntroduction
This stock report analyzes the current market trends based on trend lines, chart formations, and potential breakouts. Using the provided chart, we identify key levels and possible trading opportunities.
Technical Analysis: Trend Lines and Formations
The chart analysis illustrates several trend lines, indicating a consolidation phase and a potential reversal pattern. Key aspects of the analysis:
Downtrend Channel: The upper resistance line shows a clear series of lower highs, indicating a downward trend structure.
Uptrend Support: The lower orange line represents a crucial support level, highlighting buying interest at lower price levels.
Breakout Signals: Multiple attempts to break above the upper resistance line suggest a potential trend reversal. If the price breaks above this resistance, an upward movement could follow.
Flag and Falling Wedge in Uptrend: The flag and falling wedge chart patterns signal a possible continuation of the existing uptrend. While the flag suggests a short-term consolidation within the trend, the falling wedge indicates a narrowing price range, often leading to a bullish breakout.
Key Zones for Trading
Resistance and Support Zones: The red and green zones mark significant selling and buying areas. A breakout above or below these levels could trigger a strong price movement.
Conclusion and Trading Strategy
The current market structure shows a tight trading range, indicating a possible breakout soon. Traders should watch for a confirmed break of the trend lines. A bullish breakout above the resistance level could present new buying opportunities, whereas failure to surpass this area might signal a continuation of the downtrend.
McDonald’s (MCD): 50% Retracement Attracts New BuyersMcDonald's Corporation (MCD) is a global fast-food leader, serving millions daily with its iconic menu of burgers, fries, and shakes. Known for its brand strength and convenience, McDonald’s drives growth through international expansion, digital innovation, and menu updates like its growing focus on delivery and loyalty programs.
On the stock chart, MCD recently showed a confirmation bar with rising volume, moving higher after finding new demand at the 50% Fibonacci retracement. For traders, this new demand signals a potential area of support, where buyers stepped in to drive the price higher. Trailing stops can be set using Fibonacci levels with the snap tool, helping manage risk while staying in the trade.
MCD LONG Traget $300Earning run up. I would wait for the falling wedge retest for a better R/R.
(not Finacial Advice)
Major Price Movement Incoming for MCDSignalist has detected a precise pattern in NYSE:MCD trading activity, signaling that a substantial price movement is imminent. This isn’t a random fluctuation—it’s a carefully analyzed precursor to a significant market event.
📅 What to Expect:
⌛ Timeline: Anticipate a major move within the next 1 to 4 upcoming 3-hour candles.
📈 Monitor the Charts: Keep an eye on MCD’s price action over the next few candles.
Prepare Your Strategy: Whether you’re bullish or bearish, have your trading plan ready to capitalize on the move.
Bullish for Mickey D's. MCDUpgoing XABC harmonic (or Elliott A Wave of X Wave - not shown). MIDAS crossed, Ehlers Ultimate Smoother upgoing and supporting price action. Volatility also moving up. If we assume channeling, Kennedy's approach gives primary and secondary goals. A prudent point to address is that probabilistic approaches used in market analysis are ever changing. This idea is thus only relevant at the exact moment it is published. Further price action will most likely deviate from this current standpoint.
MCD to $284My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when price tags the top or bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at bottom of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
VBSM is spiked negative and below Bollinger Band
Entry at $278.24
Target is $284 or channel top
MCD_1W_BuyMcDonald's stock analysis McDonald's shares are in an ascending channel and can continue to rise by maintaining the price inside the channel. First support 283 Second support in case of vision 266 We are buying shares for investment towards the target numbers 366 and 383 Share growth percentage 40%
MCD “McDonald’s” is ready to go!As McDonald’s is attempting to recover from the gap down due to the outbreak, we see an inverse head and shoulders pattern forming……Bouncing from relatively low RSI……Following rate cuts by the Fed…….I believe we are primed and well position for a nice rally until 2025!
McDonald's McDonald's made some wrong choices in the past. Lets start with the size of the Big Tasty, before it was realy big, but these days its like the same size als the quater pounder. Also the replacement plastic straws for paper straws, so bad. The plant burgers are too bad and the prices are too high. I remember back in the days i could buy a Mckroket for only €1 and now its €2.75. Well i think the McDonald's is at the border of a cliff. Lets see what the price will do.
MACDONALD trading I deaHi traders mac d,according to my view will still have more room upside to secure some bags,it breakouts the strong support n strong retest,n takes some few weeks in consolidation,can this be a good time to buy until the first target,according to my view it's good to take smart risks than not doing g anything at all,am very positive about this movement start from today,not everything need explanation somethings you just need to see w8th your own 👀
MCD has a gap to fill - upside potentialhi traders
MCD looks pretty good here.
A higher low is confirmed but still below the key resistance.
Once the price breaks the resistance, the long position can be taken.
There's a gap to fill which may happen in the next few weeks.
Entry, target, stop loss are shown on the chart.
Risk-reward ratio: 3,37
Good luck
Options With McDonalds1. Current Price and Trend Analysis
Price: $293.34.
Trend:
MCD has been range-bound, with a recent bounce off $284 support.
The price is below the 50-day EMA ($299.22) but above the 200-day EMA ($270.36), indicating a mixed trend (neutral to slightly bearish in the short term, but long-term trend is intact).
The recent dip shows the stock testing support, with consolidation and a small upward move suggesting a potential recovery.
2. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support:
$284: Strong support (tested multiple times in the past, most recently in the highlighted zone).
$270: Next major support near the 200 EMA if the $284 level fails.
Resistance:
$299-$300: Immediate resistance (near the 50 EMA and psychological round number).
$317-$320: Major resistance from previous highs (if the recovery sustains).
3. Indicators
RSI:
At 68.44, nearing overbought territory, indicating upward momentum but caution against entering long positions without confirmation.
MACD:
MACD line is above the signal line, suggesting bullish momentum is building.
However, the histogram shows slowing momentum, meaning buyers may lose steam at resistance levels.
Volume:
Relatively low on recent upward candles, suggesting weak buying conviction. Watch for increased volume to confirm any breakout.
4. Option Trading Considerations
Bullish Case:
If MCD breaks above $299-$300 with volume, consider:
Call Options: Targeting a move toward $317-$320.
Expiry: At least 1-2 months out to allow time for movement.
Strike Price: $300 or $305 (near the breakout level).
Bearish Case:
If MCD fails to hold above $293 or rejects $299-$300, consider:
Put Options: Targeting a move back to $284 or lower.
Expiry: 2-4 weeks out for shorter-term plays.
Strike Price: $290 or $285.
Neutral Strategy (Range-Bound):
If MCD remains range-bound between $284 and $299, consider:
Iron Condor: Sell calls at $300 and puts at $284 while buying protection further out (e.g., $305 call and $280 put).
Credit Spread: Sell options near the expected levels of support/resistance.
5. Final Recommendations
Key Levels to Watch:
$299-$300: A breakout confirms bullish momentum.
$284: A breakdown suggests bearish continuation.
Risk Management:
Watch for upcoming earnings in 16 days, as implied volatility may increase, potentially inflating option premiums.
Monitor volume and price action at critical levels before entering any position.
THIS AINT FINANCIAL ADVICE DO YOU!!
