SMCI: Buy ideaBuy idea on SMCI as you can see on the chart because we have the breakout with force the resistance line and the vwap by the buyers.
MS51 trade ideas
Buy SMCIBad news usually translates to great buying opportunities and that's what happened for SMCI. Simplified this impulse wave to an ABC to show longterm trend. Feeling like a safe long (buy and hold) for those trying to get in on a fairly priced stock in a great sector.
SMCI: Buy ideaBuy idea on SMCI as you can see on the chart because we have the breakout with force the resistance line by a big green candle follow by a large green volume...
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Shares Surge 13%Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Shares Surge 13%
The Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) stock chart shows:
→ Friday’s closing price rose over 13% from Thursday’s close;
→ The stock has surged more than 80% from its February low;
→ Friday’s close marked the highest level since late October 2024.
SMCI’s rally comes despite an 11 February quarterly report that missed expectations:
→ EPS: $0.59 vs. expected $0.60;
→ Revenue: $5.65bn vs. expected $5.72bn.
Bullish sentiment is driven by (according to media reports):
→ A forecasted $40bn revenue for FY2026, 70% higher than projected FY2025 revenue;
→ Reports indicate that SMCI shares are unlikely to be delisted from NASDAQ due to financial reporting issues (which we previously discussed when analysing the SMCI stock chart on 3 December);
→ Investor enthusiasm for AI and rapid data centre construction to support it.
Technical Analysis of SMCI Stock
The price has reached the key psychological level of $50 per share:
→ Historical price action at this level has often triggered significant reversals;
→ A bullish cup-and-handle pattern is forming.
A higher second low suggests growing demand strength, potentially leading to a bullish breakout above $50.
SMCI Stock Price Forecast
Analysts remain cautious. According to Yahoo Finance:
→ Only 2 of 6 analysts recommend buying SMCI shares;
→ The 12-month average price target is $47.91.
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SMCI - Climbing out of the GRAVE! 100% UpsideNASDAQ:SMCI
🎯$64 🎯$85 Incoming
WOW, from dead company to short attacks into oblivion this company has clawed back from the grave!
- Inverse H&S
- Fake Out on the S/R Zone
- Green H5 with Bullish Cross
- Volume shelf with GAP
- Up Trending Wr%
- RSI/ STOCH breaking out of downtrend
If I was to enter this trade I would look for an entry at the retest of the Inverse H&S breakout (Blue Circle) while we also create a WCB!
Not financial advice
Put your seatbelts on for $SMCI to $55-65 range- NASDAQ:SMCI traders be ready to pounce and ride the momentum for this name.
- Buyers are getting aggressive and price can easily be pushed to 55 ( 200 sma ) to 65 range.
- $55 seems to be a resistance, if price moves above that then we could be seeing some parabolic moves in this name.
- Please Notes that, NASDAQ:SMCI has to submit SEC filing before Feb 25, 2025 and CEO re-assured that they would be filing the documents to SEC in time.
- So, next 2 weeks, buckle up your seatbelts for volatility!
SMCI LongOur strategy is a confidential mix of TA and FA. It is to be noted that this trade is a bullish setup from both TA & FA setups independently.
Refer to the social links in our bio for further trading ideas
$SMCI strong technical position with a bullish trendAs of February 6, 2025, MSCI Inc. (MSCI) is trading at $581.47, experiencing a slight decrease of 0.11% from the previous close.
Technical Analysis:
Over the past year, MSCI's stock has demonstrated a bullish trend, with a 52-week range between $439.95 and $642.45. The stock is currently trading approximately 9.5% below its 52-week high, indicating potential room for upward movement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, maintaining a neutral stance. Moving averages, including the 50-day and 200-day, show a positive alignment, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Fundamental Analysis:
MSCI has reported consistent revenue growth, with a 7.7% increase in operating revenue to $743.5 million in the recent quarter. However, operating expenses also rose by 5.9% to $338.3 million, primarily due to higher compensation and a 5.8% increase in employee headcount. This led to a 24.3% decline in fourth-quarter profit, totaling $305.5 million, or $3.90 per share, down from $403.4 million, or $5.07 per share, the previous year.
Despite the recent decline in profit, MSCI's expansion into ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) and climate-related products has been a significant growth driver. The ESG and Climate segment accounted for 11.2% of total revenue in the second quarter of 2024, up from 7.9% three years prior. This growth is attributed to increased demand from investors seeking to assess physical risks associated with climate change.
Potential Partnership with NVIDIA:
While there is no official announcement of a partnership between MSCI and NVIDIA, MSCI has expanded its collaboration with Google Cloud to accelerate the development of generative AI solutions for the investment industry. This partnership aims to leverage AI to help investors identify and manage risks and opportunities more effectively.
Given NVIDIA's leadership in AI technology, a potential future partnership between MSCI and NVIDIA could further enhance MSCI's AI capabilities, leading to increased efficiency and potentially significant revenue growth.
Conclusion:
MSCI Inc. exhibits a strong technical position with a bullish trend supported by favorable moving averages. Fundamentally, the company is expanding its offerings in high-demand areas such as ESG and AI-driven investment tools. The potential for a partnership with a leading AI company like NVIDIA could further bolster MSCI's growth prospects, making it an attractive consideration for investors.
SMCI seems nice SMCI seems to have nicely retested the OTE level from the Daily MMBM, so my current target levels are the -2/-2.5 standard deviation levels. The image shows my entry levels and potential target prices.
Let’s also analyze the stock fundamentally— why could it go higher ?
Fidelity, the third-largest asset manager in the world, initiated a new position in Q4 with 9.6 million shares valued at $460 million USD.
Long Trade Setup Breakdown for (SMCI) 30Mins
🔹 Asset: Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI)
🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
🔹 Setup Type: Ascending Wedge Breakout
🚀 Trade Plan (Long Position):
✅ Entry Zone: $47.96 (Breakout Confirmation)
✅ Stop-Loss (SL): $45.35 (Below Support)
🎯 Take Profit Targets (Long Trade):
📌 TP1: $51.05 (First Resistance)
📌 TP2: $54.64 (Extended Bullish Target)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation:
📈 Risk (Stop-Loss Distance):
$47.96 - $45.35 = $2.61
📈 Reward to TP1:
$51.05 - $47.96 = $3.09
💰 Risk-Reward Ratio to TP1: 1:1.18
📈 Reward to TP2:
$54.64 - $47.96 = $6.68
💰 Risk-Reward Ratio to TP2: 1:2.56
🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy:
📌 Breakout Confirmation: Strong buying momentum above $47.96 signals continuation.
📌 Pattern Formation: Ascending wedge breakout, indicating bullish movement.
📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels:
🟢 $45.35 (Strong Support / SL Level)
🟡 $47.96 (Breakout Zone / Entry)
🔴 $51.05 (First Profit Target / Resistance)
🟢 $54.64 (Final Target for Momentum Extension)
🚀 Momentum Shift Expected:
If price sustains above $47.96, it could push towards $51.05 and $54.64.
A high-volume breakout would confirm the strength in trend continuation.
🔥 Trade Execution & Risk Management:
📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure buying volume remains strong after breakout.
📈 Trailing Stop Strategy: If price reaches TP1 ($51.05), move SL to entry ($47.96) to lock in profits.
💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy:
✔ Take 50% profits at $51.05, let the rest run to $54.64.
✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($47.96) after TP1 is hit.
⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk:
If price drops below $47.96, be cautious and watch for a retest before re-entering.
🚀 Final Thoughts:
✔ Bullish Setup – If price holds above $47.96, higher targets are expected.
✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation.
✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:1.18 to TP1, 1:2.56 to TP2.
💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀🏆
🔗 #StockTrading #SMCI #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketTrends #ProfittoPat
SMCI Super Micro Computer: SHORTI am not looking at Technical analysis etc.
I am looking at spike up and spike down.
I have been looking at those for 8 years at least 8 hours a day.
This beast is a sell short term.
My publications are not trading or investment advices.. Do your own analysis. I am not responsible for your trades.
Breakout NeededGood day Team:
If we can get a bullish MACD crossover with a strong upward break out, we might have a nice short term bullish momentum. Be safe!
SMCI: Sell ideaOn SMCI we would have a high probability of having a bearish trend given the configuration of the candles on the chart.
SMCI Bullish Parabolic Move Ahead.Super Micro Computer (SMCI) and spotting a bullish setup with wave patterns marked on the charts. Volatility can definitely make things exciting but also tricky—those waves might signal a big move.
Consider risk before investing. Kindly share and boost this idea if you like it :)
THEORETICALS ALL MET OR VERY CLOSE. next $88 of $98SMCI HAS MET ALL ITS THEORETICAL PIVOT POINTS. IN MY OPINION HUMBLE OPINION I THINK SUPERMICRO IS READY TO GO BACK UP. THE NEW THEORETICAL IS ABOVE $67. GOOD LUCK ENJOY THIS. STOCK HAS A VERY LOW PE. IT'S NOW CLEARED FROM ALL ACCUSATIONS THAT WERE MADE UP BY THE INFAMOUS HINDENBURG REPORT with the help of the woman from Ernst & Young who is a well-known "Obama-NOID", Obama supporter. I know I'm not supposed to say this things. Anyhow in my opinion Ernst & Young was complicit with the Hindenburg report in an orchestrated effort to short the segment that included Nvidia and everybody else the problem with the SMCI is that it has a low liquidity, and therefore it behaves like a penny stock once the stock is bumped down, It's very difficult to move it up again unless everything is cleared, like now for example, everything has been cleared about SMCI, which is a great company and it's definitely the top dog in the segment if you think about it, SMCI, the one that carries all the chips without SMCI. They wouldn't be in the video or an AMD or an Intel in the AI segment.
I just bought the whole thing and I will continue buying on the way up. You can do the same if you like it's sort of a safe way to do it. You don't get as big of a returns, but it's safe and I like safety more than anything good luck, boys and girls enjoy the ride.
I think we're going to 88 now maybe even 90 on a straight line very likely and then we should be reaching $187 for the stock.
These are my opinions, of course sometimes they don't print out. Sometimes they do most likely they will, but the responsibility is yours, so please make sure that you do all your calculations, correctly. Just to help you our - SMCI is projecting $40 Billion in revenue in 2026, that means the stock will likely print above $260 ... do the numbers ... I did mine.
Which Pull back if any?Is SMCI going to consolidate now or tap into 64.33 key level and then go touch the FVG? Even though we had bullish momentum candle that broke the 50.51 resistance recently, and a bullish MACD(Chris Moody); the Stoch RSI and the RSI and CCI are overbought. Should we wait for a retest of the 50.51 resistance or a pull back to the FVG? What do you all think?
SMCI WILL FORM WELL ABOVE $500 The concept of "Sovereign AI" and SMCI building supercomputers in every country worldwide is an ambitious and speculative idea.
Infrastructure Investment
Building supercomputers in every country would require a massive global investment. Supercomputers are extremely expensive to design, build, and install, with costs ranging from $100 million to $300 million per system1. This doesn't include ongoing operational expenses.
Energy Requirements
Supercomputers consume enormous amounts of energy. On average, these systems use 6-7 megawatts of power, with peak consumption reaching 9.5 megawatts1. The annual energy cost for a single supercomputer can be approximately $6-$7 million1. Implementing such systems globally would require significant upgrades to power grids and energy infrastructure.
Total Cost of Ownership
The total cost of ownership for supercomputers goes beyond the initial investment. When factoring in electricity, labor, and facilities, the cost per core-hour can reach $0.12 to $0.15, assuming 100% utilization.
For a global initiative, these costs would be multiplied across numerous countries.
Economic Impact
The global supercomputer market is expected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting it will reach $27.17 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 11.2%. A worldwide "Sovereign AI" initiative could potentially accelerate this growth.
Challenges
Implementing supercomputers globally faces several challenges:
High operating costs: The substantial energy consumption and maintenance requirements pose significant ongoing expenses.
Technical expertise: Managing and optimizing supercomputers requires specialized skills, which may be scarce in some countries.
Environmental concerns: The massive energy requirements raise environmental issues that would need to be addressed.
Potential Benefits
Despite the challenges, a global supercomputer network could offer benefits such as:
Advanced research capabilities:
Countries could enhance their scientific research in fields like climate science, genetics, and materials science.
Economic development:
Access to supercomputing power could drive innovation and economic growth across various sectors.
Data sovereignty: Countries could maintain control over their data and AI development, aligning with the concept of "Sovereign AI".
While the idea of SMCI building supercomputers in every country is speculative, sure, but as Elon said, AI will be just like a utility comany and will required AI centers globally. The global investment in AI infrastructure is indeed substantial. Goldman Sachs estimates that around $1 trillion will be spent over the next few years on data centers, semiconductors, and grid upgrades related to AI development. This gives an indication of the scale of investment required for a global supercomputing initiative. SMCI is at the forefront of the AI implementation. Learn about the new partnerships being formed with NVDA. Meanwhile you should be counting the sales SMCI has been making. Tripple capacity and demand for the next decaded.
After being bullish on SuperMicro for over a year, Milton Berg nHere are Milton's criteria for a Climax Top.
For the record, climax top in NASDAQ:SMCI is not a sell signal on the broad market, which Milton also has very strict rules for. But he discussed it in the context of typical action seen at the end of a bull market.
X dot com /JackFarley96/status/1763691194905670125
$SMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER): AI-DRIVEN GROWTH AMID GOVERNANCESMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER): AI-DRIVEN GROWTH AMID GOVERNANCE WOES
1/8
Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) just revealed prelim Q2 FY2025 sales of $5.6–5.7B (+54% YoY), riding AI’s wave. But delayed filings & margin pressure spark caution. Let’s dig in! 💻⚡️
2/8 – REVENUE & EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Q2 sales: $5.7B (vs. $5.9B est.), EPS: ~$0.59 (est. $0.64)
• Full-year outlook trimmed to $23.5–25B (was $26–30B)
• Non-GAAP gross margin: ~11.9%; operating margin: ~7.9%—still under pressure 🏭
3/8 – KEY FINANCIAL EVENTS
• $700M in 2.25% convertible senior notes → fueling AI server growth
• Filing delays (10-K, 10-Qs) → must meet Feb 25, 2025 to avoid Nasdaq delisting
• New auditor BDO checks the books—no fraud found, but concerns linger about governance 🧐
4/8 – GOVERNANCE & INVESTIGATIONS
• Ongoing SEC & DOJ probes after Hindenburg’s short-seller report
• CEO says they’ll meet filing deadline, but trust is still shaky
• Market watchers: “No fraud found” is good, but the uncertainty stings 🤔
5/8 – SECTOR CONTEXT
• Competes with Dell ( NYSE:DELL ), HPE ( NYSE:HPE )—both see AI demand, but SMCI more focused
• SMCI trades at ~11x 2025 earnings (vs. Dell at 15x, HPE at 12x)
• Could be undervalued—but only if governance issues don’t overshadow the AI growth story 🚀
6/8 – RISKS
• Margin Pressure: R&D + product mix + potential GPU shipment delays (Nvidia Blackwell)
• Debt Load: Total debt now ~$1.9B, plus $700M in convertible notes
• Regulatory Overhang: Missing that Feb 25 deadline = serious delisting risk ⚠️
7/8 Is SMCI worth the gamble?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI potential outweighs the risks
2️⃣ Neutral—Need clarity on filings & margins
3️⃣ Bearish—Governance red flags trump growth
Vote below! 🗳️👇
8/8 – STRATEGIC OUTLOOK
• 70%+ revenue from AI platforms → big edge if servers remain hot
• Partnerships w/ Nvidia & push into liquid-cooled data centers
• Delaying or messing up compliance could sabotage all that potential 🌐
Long Straddle Options Idea: Strike $39 or $39.50 or $40, Exp 2/2Long Straddle Options Idea: Strike $39 or $39.50 or $40, Exp 2/2
Disclaimer
2/10/25 - $smci - lol2/10/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:SMCI
lol
- you all know what happens when reputation goes to a diddy party and takes an azz chapz photo with "lady" "gaga".
- nobody is going to scale with these guys, guys
- it's hard enough to buy dell, hp... even the *covers left eye* oracle is an overvalued POS that tells a nice story
- bitcoin, nxt, uber, tsm... nvda... come on guys. it's hard enough to own legit stuff in this overbaked cake. don't make your life harder than it already is. welp. i'm sure i'll have the only honest but "bearish" post that tells the truth.
- truth sucks. but it's the scarcest asset. aren't we all in the business of consuming scarce assets? anyway... have a wonderful week my friends. bit of a digression post than usual.
V
SMCI Bull Flag completed and targeting $65.Three months ago (November 07 2024, see chart below), we issued a strong buy signal on Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI), after the stock had declined by more than -85% from its All Time High (ATH):
The signal was an instant success, as the price rebounded on the following week. Our perspective hasn't changed and today, with the stock up currently by more +13% intra day, is another reason why.
Last week the price made an excellent rebound on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), solidifying this level as the new Support and turning out to be a huge demand level that completed the Bull Flag pattern of December 09 2024 - January 27 2025. As you can see , the 1W MA200 was also on the symmetrical Support Zone that only broke on the 'fake-out' of November's accounting scandal peak.
The interesting take on this 1W chart is that every similar Bull Flag since the 2020 COVID crash, tested the 1.5 Fibonacci extension before the next technical pull-back. As a result, we expect a $65.00 test, which would exceed the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), before a new 2-month correction.
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SMCI: Bottom is being confirmedSMCI: Bottom is being confirmed
-Accumation on Inversed Head n Shoulder pattern.
-Less supply volume at the bottom.
-Key level and demand zone support.
.
Let's wait n see!
