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MSF trade ideas

MSFT setup for June 241H Chart + GEX (Options Sentiment) Overview * Current Price: $485.99 * Strong Resistance Zone: * 490 → 492.5 = Highest positive GEX zone / CALL Wall resistance * Multiple GEX levels stacked: * GEX7: 45.76% * GEX8: 43.68% * GEX9: 34.16% * Support Zone: * 477.5 → 482.5 = Key gamma support + previous demand cluster * HVL (Highest Volume Level): $472.5 = major downside magnet if pullback strengthens 💡 GEX Bias: * Very strong CALL side pressure. * Implied volatility rank (IVR): 8.7 (very low) — ideal for debit spreads or long calls. * GEX bars taper off past 492.5, showing limited bullish gamma fuel after that level — expect a fade or chop above 492.5. 💼 Options Trade Recommendation: 🔹 Strategy: Call Debit Spread * Buy: 485C * Sell: 490C * Target: $489–$492 (highest GEX zone) * Stop: Close below $482.5 * Rationale: IV is low, bullish trend, but heavy GEX wall at 490 could stall the rally. Safer to limit upside with spreads. 🕒 15-Min Chart Breakdown (Intraday SMC Price Action) * Structure: * BOS (Break of Structure) confirmed on upward move * CHoCH (Change of Character) just below 486, minor pullback zone forming * Current range forming inside a small red zone (15M supply) → watch for reaction here * Support Areas: * 483.88 = previous resistance → flipped support * 482.50 = key EMA + demand zone base * 477.40 = strong confluence with previous BOS and volume base * Trendline Support: Still intact from earlier LTF rally — buyers still in control unless 482 breaks. 🛠️ Intraday Trade Plan 🔹 Bullish Scenario (preferred) * Entry: 484.50–485.00 on pullback and confirmation * Target: 487.50 → 490.00 * Stop: Below 483.50 🔹 Bearish Rejection Play (if rejection at red supply box holds) * Entry: 486.50–487.00 (only on clear rejection + CHoCH) * Target: 483.80 → 482.00 * Stop: Above 487.50 📌 Final Thoughts: * Call Buyers clearly in control, but 490–492.5 is where the option market starts resisting price. * IV is low → long premium trades make sense. * Watch CHoCH zones intraday for any early weakness if market shifts risk tone. 📉 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk and use proper sizing in trades.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by BullBearInsights
MICROSOFT: 1D Golden Cross to slingshot it to $590MSFT turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 73.199, MACD = 13.580, ADX = 52.584), extending the rise to a new ATH today, having formed a 1D Golden Cross on June 9th. That was the first 1D Golden Cross since March 20th 2023, which validated a bullish extenstion to +71.50% from the bottom. Since the long term Channel Up has already started its new bullish wave, we are expecting the uptrend to continue up to +71.50% at least. Go long, TP = $590. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by InvestingScope
Trading at the Market OpenTrading at the Market Open The market open marks a critical juncture in the financial world, presenting a unique blend of opportunities and challenges for traders. This article explores the essence of trading at the open across stocks, forex, and commodities. It delves into the heightened volatility and liquidity characteristic of this period, offering insights and strategies to navigate these early market hours effectively, setting the stage for trading opportunities. What Does the Open Mean in Stocks, Forex, and Commodities? The open signifies the start of the trading day for various financial markets. It's a time when trading activity surges, marked by a rush of orders that have accumulated since the previous close. In stock markets, this includes shares, indices, and Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). The influx of orders often leads to significant price movements as the market absorbs overnight news and global economic developments. For forex and commodity markets, the open can vary by region, reflecting their 24-hour nature. This period is crucial for setting the tone of the trading day, offering insights into sentiment and potential trends. Traders closely watch the market open to gauge the strength of these movements, which can indicate broader market trends or sector-specific shifts. Volatility and Liquidity at Market Open Trading at the open is often marked by enhanced volatility and liquidity. Heightened volatility is primarily due to the influx of orders accumulated overnight, reacting to various global events and news. As traders and investors assimilate this information, rapid price movements are common, especially in the first few minutes of the session. These price fluctuations can present both opportunities and risks for traders. Increased liquidity, which refers to the ease with which assets can be bought or sold without causing significant price movements, is also a characteristic of the open. A higher number of market participants during this period may result in better order execution and tighter bid-ask spreads, particularly in highly liquid markets like forex and major stock indices. What to Know Before the Market Opens In terms of things to know before the stock market opens, it's essential to review the overnight and early morning news that can affect stocks. This includes company earnings reports, economic data releases, and geopolitical events. Traders also check pre-market trading activity to gauge sentiment and potential opening price movements. For forex and commodities, understanding global events is crucial. Developments in different time zones, like policy changes by central banks or shifts in political scenarios, can significantly impact these markets. Additionally, reviewing the performance of international markets can provide insights, as they often influence the US open. It's also vital to analyse futures markets, as they can indicate how stock indices might open. Lastly, around the forex, commodity, and stock market openings, indicators and other technical analysis tools applied to the previous day can also offer valuable context for the day ahead. Market Open in Different Time Zones Market open times vary globally due to different time zones, significantly impacting trading strategies. For instance, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) opens at 9:30 AM Eastern Time, which corresponds to different times in other parts of the world. For traders in London, this translates to an afternoon session, while for those in Asian markets like Tokyo, it's late evening. Forex, operating 24 hours a day during weekdays, see overlapping sessions across different regions. For example, when the Asian trading session is concluding, the European session begins and later overlaps with the North American session. Such global interconnectivity ensures that forex markets are active round the clock, offering continuous trading opportunities but also requiring traders to be mindful of time zone differences and their impact on liquidity and volatility. Strategies for Trading at Market Open Trading at market open requires strategies that can handle rapid price movements across all markets. Here are some effective approaches: - Pay Attention to Pre-Market Trends: This helps traders assess how a stock might behave at the market open. If a stock is fading from post-market highs, it might be wise to wait for a trend change before entering​​. - Gap and Go Strategy: This involves focusing on stocks that gap up on positive news at market open, an indicator of potential further bullishness. Traders look for high relative volume in pre-market and enter trades on a break of pre-market highs. This strategy is fast-paced and requires quick decision-making​​. - Opening Range Breakout (ORB): The ORB strategy uses the early trading range (high and low) to set entry points for breakout trades across all types of assets. The breakout from this range, typically the first 30 to 60 minutes of the session, often indicates the price direction for the rest of the session. Time frames like 5-minute, 15-minute, and 30-minute are commonly used for ORB​​. - Gap Reversal: The gap reversal method is used when the price creates a gap, but then the range breaks in the opposite direction. If the gap is bullish and the price breaks the lower level of the opening range, it signals a gap reversal. The same concept applies to bearish gaps but in reverse. The Bottom Line In essence, understanding unique features of market open trading is vital for those participating in stock, forex, and commodity markets. The opening moments are characterised by heightened volatility and liquidity, driven by global events and sentiment. However, savvy traders may capitalise on these early market dynamics with effective strategies. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by FXOpen
1
MSFT GEX Levels Say “Still Room to Run!”—Here’s the Trade Setup Alright, traders, MSFT is showing some juice left in the tank based on today’s GEX profile. 💥 GEX & Options Sentiment * GEX is positive with 9.95% call support, IVR at 1.7 (still low), and IVX dropping slightly. This gives the greenlight for calls if the breakout holds. * Big GEX magnets sit near 492.5 → 497.5 → 500. That 500 level aligns with the 3rd call wall and is the key magnet if bulls take charge. * As long as we stay above 485, we’re in a favorable zone supported by 39–50% GEX brackets. 📈 Best Option Trade Idea (Short-Term): Consider 495C or 500C (0DTE or 2DTE) on any breakout above 492.5 with volume confirmation. SL = below 485
TP = trail into 497.5 and partials before 500. 🔎 Chart View + Price Action Notes (1H) From the second image: * MSFT broke structure cleanly with multiple BOS and CHoCH confirmation. It’s consolidating in a bullish flag under 492.5. * Volume stayed decent even during the flag, suggesting accumulation. * Purple zone = liquidity pocket or SMC supply → break of that zone will unlock the 495/497 levels fast. 🚨 Trade Plan: * If MSFT breaks above 492.5, enter with momentum. Use 485 as your invalidation zone. * If it dips to 486–485, look for a bounce/retest entry for a better risk-reward. Bias: Bullish
Trigger: Break of 492.5 or retest of 486 support
Target: 497.5 → 500 GEX wall Stay sharp — follow the GEX, not the noise. 📊 This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always DYOR and manage your risk.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by BullBearInsights
Microsoft Wave Analysis – 24 June 2025- Microsoft broke the resistance area - Likely to rise to the resistance level 500.00 Microsoft recently broke through the resistance area between the resistance levels 468.15 (a former multi-month high from the middle of 2024) and 455.85 (which reversed wave B in December). The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active minor impulse wave 5 – which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (3) from April. Given the clear daily uptrend, Microsoft can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 500.00 (target for the completion of the active impulse wave 5).
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by FxProGlobal
MSFT Rejected the Top — Here's What to Watch This Week Jun 23 MSFT saw rejection at the upper bounds of its rising channel and is now sitting at a key decision point as both GEX sentiment and price structure signal caution ahead of the week. Let's break it down. 🔍 GEX (Gamma Exposure) & Options Sentiment * Call Walls: * 490 (2nd Call Wall) * 495 (Top Call Wall) * Put Walls: * 472.5 → Major pivot zone * 460 → Strong PUT support * Key Net Gamma Zone: * Highest Positive GEX at 477.5 — acting like a magnetic pivot * Below 472 → Opens up risk to 460 flush 📊 IVX avg: 24.6 | PUTS: 21.3%
🟢 GEX bias: Neutral to mildly bullish — but sentiment flipped from bullish last week. 🕹 Daily Chart Breakdown (1D) * Trend: Still in macro uptrend, but short-term candle shows rejection off highs. * Volume: Spike in sell volume Friday — potential for downside continuation. * Fib Zones: Current price sitting just above key 0.382 Fib support near $475. * Reversal Risk: If it fails to hold above $472–$475, strong support only comes near $460. 🧠 Note: Price failed to break 485–490 resistance. Option sellers may defend hard there. ⏱ 1H Intraday Structure & Smart Money Concepts (SMC) * Trendline Support: MSFT is barely clinging to the lower edge of an ascending channel. * CHoCH: Multiple Change of Character signals near $480 and $477 indicate instability. * Liquidity Pool: Purple demand zone around $471–$473 is last stand for bulls. * Upside Target if Bounce: $483.88–$485 first, then $487–$490 stretch goal. * Downside Target if Breakdown: $473.5 → $471.5 → $468.7 📉 If price closes below the $475.1–$473.3 zone with volume, look for fast move to $470 → $460. 🎯 Trade Scenarios 🔼 Bullish Case * Entry: 475.50 with confirmation bounce * Target: 483.80 → 488 * Stop: 472.40 🔽 Bearish Case * Entry: Break + retest of 473.30 * Target: 470 → 468 → 460 * Stop: 476.20 🧠 Final Thoughts MSFT is at a key inflection point. The GEX levels show option sellers are ready to defend $490 hard while support sits around $472. Unless bulls step in with volume early week, this could roll over toward 470–460. Watch for a rejection at $480.25 if tested again. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by BullBearInsights
MSFT Weekly Chart Signals a $100 Move — Don’t Miss This BreakoutMicrosoft continues to show strong bullish behavior on the weekly chart. Historically, the stock has respected a well-defined upward channel, and the recent price action has further reinforced this trend. Notably, MSFT has broken through a key resistance level that had previously capped its upside for months. This breakout is significant as it suggests a shift in market structure, from consolidation to a potential new leg up. The breakout area around $474–$479 has now turned into a short-term support zone. This region will play a critical role in maintaining bullish sentiment; any successful retest that holds above this zone confirms strength and invites further accumulation. The chart highlights a projected move toward $580, which lies near the upper red trendline—this aligns well with the historical resistance trajectory. A bullish trade setup can be considered from the current levels around $478, with a stop-loss just below the $447–$435 zone. This range marks a previous congestion area and aligns with the lower side of the risk-reward box illustrated on the chart. The potential upside move is about 20.99%, offering a solid risk-reward ratio of approximately 2.27, assuming the price continues to hold above the breakout level. While the trend remains firmly bullish, a weekly close below $447.50 would warrant caution. It could indicate a deeper retracement, potentially back into the broader green trend channel extending toward $400 or below. However, current momentum favors continuation to the upside, especially after clearing such a pivotal resistance. In conclusion, Microsoft’s long-term chart structure, combined with the recent breakout and favorable price action, supports a bullish outlook. If price action remains above $474–$479, the stock is well-positioned to challenge the $580 resistance level in the coming weeks.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by SupertradeOfficial
Understanding Time-Based vs. Volume-Based Stock Price Levels. P1Understanding Time-Based vs. Volume-Based Stock Price Levels Key Concepts: Time-Based Price Level Definition: The duration a stock spends at a specific price. Example: A stock trades at $50 for 2 hours but with only 100 volume . Significance: The market accepts $50 as fair value because it spends more time there. Moves away are slower. Volume-Based Price Level Definition: The amount of shares traded at a specific price. Example: A stock trades at $40 for 5 minutes but with 200 volume . Significance: $40 may be a discounted price or manipulation , depending on history. Interpreting the Levels: 1. Fair Value (Time-Based) Prolonged time at a price (e.g., $50) = Market consensus on fair value. Low volume + high time = Stability; reversals are gradual. 2. Discounted Price (Volume-Based) High volume + short time = Potential discount if the price was a previous fair value . ✅ Confirmed Discount: Example: Milk historically fair at $1 → Drops to $1 (high volume) → Rebounds to $2. Traders recognize the discount, leading to rapid buying. ❌ Manipulation/Fakeout: Example: Price drops to $0.15 (no history) → High volume but weak rebound. 3. Manipulation/Fake-Out High volume at new/unfamiliar levels (e.g., $0.15) lacks conviction. Practical Takeaways: Prioritize Historical Context: High volume + past fair value = Strong signal (e.g., $1 → $2). Speed of Moves: Discounted prices ($1) → Fast, high-volume rallies. Combine Time & Volume: Fair value = Time > Volume. Discounts = Volume > Time.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by emad_arshad_alam
MSFT Surges to Record High, Sustaining Bullish MomentumMicrosoft (MSFT) has demonstrated remarkable resilience, fully recovering from losses incurred during the tariff war sell-off. The stock has even achieved a new all-time high. This performance underscores the stock’s persistent bullish trend. The low recorded on April 7, 2025 likely serves as a robust support level during future pullbacks. The rally from this low is unfolding as a classic five-wave impulse pattern, indicative of strong upward momentum, with wave (3) nearing completion. From the April 7 low, wave (1) concluded at 394.65, followed by a pullback in wave (2) that bottomed at 355.67. Wave (3) has since extended higher, exhibiting its own internal impulse structure. Within wave (3), wave 1 peaked at 380.39, with wave 2 dipping to 375.19. The stock then surged in wave 3 to 459.58, followed by a wave 4 retracement ending at 448.91. A detailed 45-minute chart below highlights the final leg wave 5, which further subdivides into a lesser-degree impulse. From wave 4, wave ((i)) reached 463 and wave ((ii)) corrected to 454. Wave ((iii)) climbed to 473.43, and wave ((iv)) dipped to 466.96. MSFT may experience a slight further upside to complete wave ((v)) of 5 of (3). However, a larger-degree pullback in wave (4) is anticipated soon, setting the stage for one final upward push to conclude the five-wave rally from the April 7 low. This structured advance reinforces Microsoft’s bullish outlook, with key support levels likely to hold firm.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Microsoft - This might be the ultimate breakout!Microsoft - NASDAQ:MSFT - will break the all time high: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) If you wonder why Microsoft has been rallying +15% this month, market structure will give you an answer. In fact, the recent bullish break and retest was totally expected, and if we take into account the recent quite strong bullish behaviour, an all time high breakout will follow soon. Levels to watch: $450 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by basictradingtv
4
MSFT Weekly Options Play – 2025-06-09🧾 MSFT Weekly Options Play – 2025-06-09 Bias: Moderately Bearish Timeframe: 5–6 days Catalysts: Overbought RSI, weakening momentum, technical divergences Trade Type: Single-leg put option 🧠 Model Summary Table Model Direction Strike Entry Price Target Stop Loss Confidence Grok Bearish 457.50P $0.76 $1.14 $0.19 65% Claude Bearish 460.00P $1.03 $1.55 $0.72 70% Gemini Bearish 457.50P $0.75 $1.20 $0.38 65% DeepSeek Bearish 470.00P $3.65 $5.48 $2.56 70% Llama Slightly Bullish 472.50C $3.15 $3.78 $2.83 68% ✅ Consensus: Short-term bearish trade setup 📉 Core Setup: Reversal from overbought with MACD divergence ⚠️ Outlier: Llama prefers bullish call due to longer-term trend strength 🔍 Technical & Sentiment Recap Trend: Overextended rally, RSI (78.2) = overbought Momentum: MACD shows bearish divergence on daily; 5-min weak Sentiment: VIX ~16.7 = stable but cautious; mixed AI news & max pain at $460 Max Pain: $460 implies gravitational pull; current price may pull back Volatility: Option premiums reflect narrow range, but directional edge favors downside ✅ Final Trade Recommendation Parameter Value Instrument MSFT Strategy Single-leg PUT (weekly) Strike $457.50 Entry Price $0.76 (ask) Profit Target $1.22 (~60% gain) Stop-Loss $0.38 (50% premium loss) Size 1 contract Entry Timing At market open Confidence 65% 🎯 Rationale: Near-term exhaustion of upside, short-term technical reversal, and profit-taking setup with favorable risk/reward. ⚠️ Risk Checklist Strong trend continuation could invalidate pullback thesis Low VIX may reduce option gamma/velocity Sector-wide positive catalyst (AI or rate cuts) can cause rapid rebound Watch for closes above 10-EMA (~$461) to exit early if invalidated 📊 TRADE DETAILS SNAPSHOT 🎯 Instrument: MSFT 🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT) 🎯 Strike: 457.50 💵 Entry Price: 0.76 🎯 Profit Target: 1.22 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.38 📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13 📏 Size: 1 contract 📈 Confidence: 65% ⏰ Entry Timing: open 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-06-09 01:44:06 EDT
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by quantsignals
1
MICROSOFT - Simple Analysis WIN ! Its Bearish Ahead ! MAGIC Microsoft - Lets explore the magic of Technical Analysis / Price action. Microsoft is currently testing the daily resistance level and it will be more matured once the bearish candle / rejection candle is formed. We see a bearish divergence at this level which is a strong confluence for the bearish trend a head. forgot to mention, a perfect bookish - Bearish Crab pattern is forming, which is a forming a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). we expect our entry after confirmation on the break of HL - 447 level and then we can plan our TPs accordingly. Please like and comment!
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by ProTradeProfessor
MSFT Pushes Into New Highs With Quiet StrengthMicrosoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is breaking into all-time highs with tight, steady movement up the right side of the base. What stands out is how well it’s held up — even with recent market chop, there’s been no giveback, just clean progression. This kind of action tends to reflect confident buying behind the scenes — no big spikes, just quiet control. The stock is firmly above all major moving averages and has been coiling near the highs without breaking structure. From a fundamental angle, MSFT continues to impress: AI dominance via Azure + OpenAI Strong cloud growth and margin expansion Reliable EPS growth, quarter after quarter One of the few mega caps leading, not lagging, right now Whether you’re tracking leadership, strength under pressure, or clean chart structure, it’s all lining up here. Trade Setup: 📈 Entry: 464.80 – 478.68 🛑 Stop: 441.30 – 432.17 🎯 Target: 529.76 – 557.68 Will be watching for continuation through highs — or possibly a tight flag that gives a second entry window. In a market with fewer names standing tall, MSFT is acting like a leader.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by StratusGrowthTrading
MSFT Holding Highs. Gamma & Structure Say Rejection Risk is Real🔍 MSFT GEX Daily Overview (Options Sentiment Breakdown) Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) closed at $460.36, right inside a tight zone between heavy call resistance at 462.5–465 and a weakening support floor at 450. The stock has been on a strong run, but we’re now entering a dealer-dense gamma zone — which often creates price suppression or whipsaws. GEX Sentiment Insights: * 🟩 Call Walls stacked at 462.5 → 465 → 470, with major gamma hedging expected. * 🟥 Moderate Put Wall @ 450 (–18.48%), with further protection near 447.5 HVL. * ❄️ IVR at 7.1 → dirt cheap premiums = great for debit spreads or directional plays. 💡 Options Play (GEX Bias): * Bullish Scenario: Break above 465, consider Jul 19 470c or 465c/475c spread — targeting 470–475 before next gamma wall. * Bearish Scenario: If price loses 458, ride short to 450 with Jul 19 455p/445p vertical spread or naked 455p if volume confirms. Gamma flip zone is tight. Bulls need momentum + volume to break through. Otherwise, dealer hedging could pin MSFT here all week. 📉 MSFT 1-Hour Price Structure (Swing/Intraday Gameplan) On the hourly, MSFT is in a rising wedge structure, testing overhead supply around 463–468, while forming lower highs and building distribution signals. Key Observations: * 🔻 Price failed to hold above BOS zone near 463. * 📦 Sitting inside CHoCH supply (red box), multiple rejection candles printing. * ⚠️ Overbought readings across BBP & DPR (98%+), MACD softening — potential for pullback. 📈 Swing Trade Setup: * Bullish: Only get long if MSFT reclaims and bases above 465. Target: 470–475. Stop: below 460. * Bearish: Break below 458 = clean swing short toward 450–447.5. Stop: above 461. 📊 Intraday Plan: * Scalp rejection at 462–463 for short → first target 458, extended 455. * Long scalp off 455.3–456 demand zone if market supports tech bounce. Volume and index context (SPY/QQQ) are critical — MSFT follows market rotation, so use confluence. 💭 Final Take MSFT is now dancing at the top of a major gamma ceiling. Without fresh momentum or market-wide tech strength, this area favors fade setups. GEX data supports cautious upside while rewarding early downside setups with clean risk-reward. ⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and manage risk properly before trading.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by BullBearInsights