NVD trade ideas
simple chart of what I seeAnyone who knows me know I like to make simple charts that get to the point. Nothing fancy. Just lots of lines. Anyway, I did a ghost feed so you can get an idea of where I think we go from here. I seriously doubt we see any big changes until earnings. Unless China gets their heads out of the you know what, we will trade like this for a little while. I do feel there is hoppe. If NVIDIA has strong earnings , it could be enough push it to new highs. I would use caution. You will see by my chart we started off with an ascending wedge, moved right into a descending wedge and now I feel we will rinse and repeat. All the while ultimately creating new highs and new lows. Anywhere you see horizontal lines is where I see resistance. And yes, I do still think we could drop below 100 again, so get your buy fingers ready :) Not financial advice! Just an old trader's ideas. If we break above 130 before now and earnings, consider it could be a nice ride up!!
Nvidia next predictionForecast (Based on Chart Drawing & Price Structure):
Late 2025:
Expected Price Range: $140–$160
Reasoning:
The projected path on the chart shows a short-term dip followed by a strong bullish recovery.
RSI rebounding from oversold may confirm strength returning.
Likely to test the $152.76 resistance level.
Late 2026:
Expected Price Range: $180–$200+
Reasoning:
If bullish momentum continues and no macroeconomic crises occur, NVDA could break past previous highs.
Strong fundamentals in AI, data centers, and GPU tech could fuel growth.
Late 2027:
Expected Price Range: $220–$260+
Reasoning:
Assuming continuation of tech sector growth and Nvidia’s dominance, price could move into new ATH (All-Time High) territory.
Institutional buying could increase around $200 levels if technical and fundamental conditions align.
Support Zone: 106.19
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(NVDA Chart)
The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart was formed at 106.19.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 106.19.
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(30m chart)
If it falls below 106.19,
1st: M-Signal indicator on 1M chart
2nd: HA-Low indicator on 30m chart
You need to check if it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above.
In order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
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(1D chart)
Since the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart has been newly created, the key is whether it can be supported near this area and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
If so, it is expected to turn into a short-term uptrend.
If not, there is a possibility of a stepwise downtrend, so the current position is an important section.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope your transaction will be successful.
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NVDA Technical Analysis – April 9, 2025NVIDIA (NVDA) just got rejected at the top of a falling wedge channel on the 1H chart and is showing clear signs of continued bearish pressure. After testing a key resistance around the $102–$103 zone, price has sharply reversed and is now threatening to revisit lower trendline levels.
Market Structure & SMC Insight:
* NVDA remains in a strong downtrend with price confined in a descending wedge.
* There was no confirmed CHoCH (Change of Character) or BOS (Break of Structure) indicating strength—only a lower high rejection.
* A red resistance zone remains around $103.70, while major support lies around $86.74.
* MACD is curling down after a bearish cross.
* Stoch RSI is pointing lower from the mid-zone, signaling more downside may be ahead.
* Volume has increased on this rejection, giving the move more credibility.
TrendInfo Sentiment Summary:
* MA: Bearish (-2.21%)
* DMI: Bearish (38.33)
* RSI, MACD, Stoch: All showing bearish confirmation.
* DPR (Directional Pressure Ratio): Bearish (43.5%)
* Fear & Greed: Fear (-15.78), overall Sell rating of 75%.
This suggests that short-term traders are risk-off and sentiment is skewed toward more downside.
Options GEX Analysis (Gamma Exposure & Sentiment):
* Current GEX shows strong PUT dominance at 28%, aligning with a bearish directional expectation.
* IV Rank (IVR) at 107.2 with IVx avg at 108.7 indicates high volatility; premiums are rich, great for credit spreads or directional put plays.
* Key Put Support at $90 with heavy GEX clustering below. This is your downside magnet.
* Call resistance sits near $102–$105 range, aligning with the recent rejection. Gamma walls at $108–$111 cap the upside.
Trade Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario:
* Rejection confirmed. If NVDA breaks $94 again, a fast drop to $90 and even $86 support is on the table.
* Put Options with strikes at $90 or debit spreads can work well.
* Watch for continuation volume confirmation.
Bullish Reversal Setup (Low Probability for Now):
* Needs a reclaim of $103.70 with volume.
* A CHoCH + strong bullish candle would trigger potential upside targets of $108 and $111.
* Call debit spreads or long shares only if reversal is confirmed.
My Thoughts: NVDA continues to reflect sector-wide weakness in semis. Without strong market support, the path of least resistance remains down. Given the macro volatility and sentiment tilt toward fear, it's wise to position conservatively and trade with tight risk.
Final Suggestion:
* Put Bias Active
* Avoid heavy call exposure unless reclaim of $103 occurs
* Sell premium if IV stays elevated (e.g. credit spreads)
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
NVDA Stock – Bullish Outlook Based on Technical & FundamentalI'm bullish on Nvidia (NVDA) and currently see a strong opportunity to enter the stock at $114.32, targeting a take profit at $137.22, with a conservative stop loss set at $105.00.
Technical Analysis
At present, NVDA is trading within a consolidation range between $75.61 and $152.78. Historically, this zone has shown consistent buying pressure on dips, while selling pressure has remained weak, indicating that bulls are firmly in control during this accumulation phase.
Most notably, the last weekly candle closed with a strong bullish signal, reinforcing our confidence in a potential breakout or upward continuation within the current range. With buyers showing dominance in this zone and no significant bearish momentum on the horizon, the technical setup supports a favorable risk-to-reward long trade.
Trade Setup
Entry: $114.32
Stop Loss: $105.00
Take Profit: $137.22
This setup offers a clear structure for both risk management and profit-taking as we anticipate further upside momentum.
Fundamental Analysis
Nvidia continues to be the undisputed leader in the AI revolution. As the maker of the world’s highest-performance GPUs, NVDA is powering cutting-edge technologies from AI to gaming, data centers, and autonomous driving. Its recently launched Blackwell architecture already generated $11 billion in its first quarter — demand is so intense that customers are willing to wait for access.
What sets Nvidia apart is its aggressive innovation cycle. The company has committed to annual GPU updates and maintains a clear roadmap through the next two years. This rapid pace ensures it stays ahead of competitors and keeps customer interest high.
Beyond GPUs, Nvidia offers a complete suite of AI products and services, positioning itself as a holistic AI ecosystem provider. Even more exciting is its entry into quantum computing, with a research center under construction in Boston — a long-term bet that could pay off massively in the next tech era.
While short-term tariff-related volatility could cause minor pullbacks, Nvidia’s fundamentals remain incredibly strong. Trading at just 23x forward earnings, this stock still looks like a bargain considering its future growth potential.
FREE Day Trade Setup 15April: $NVDA🚨 FREE Day Trade Setup: NASDAQ:NVDA 🚨
🚀 Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Break above $111.88 (S/R Area)
🎯 Targets: 10% / $112.70, $114.05, PDH
📈 Instruments:
Options: April 18th $112 Calls
🚪 Exit: Close below H5 on chosen timeframe (2m / 5m / 15m)
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Entry: Break below PDL at $109.07
🎯 Targets: 10% / $108.01, $106.92, $105.77
📉 Instruments:
Options: April 18th $109 Puts
🚪 Exit: Close below H5 on chosen timeframe (2m / 5m / 15m)
Not Financial Advice
Quantum's NVDA Trading Guide 4/13/25Sentiment: Neutral. AI chip dominance drives optimism, but tariff risks and valuation concerns temper enthusiasm. Chatter posts split—bulls see growth, bears eye correction.
Outlook: Neutral, slightly bearish. Options pin $110, with $105 puts active. ICT/SMT eyes $108-$110 buys to $115 if $108 holds. Bearish below $108 risks $105.
Influential News:
Federal Reserve: Two 2025 cuts support growth stocks, positive for $NVDA.
Earnings: Q1 due May; no update today.
Chatter: Debates AI growth vs. tariff/supply chain risks.
Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A): No confirmed NASDAQ:NVDA M&A; AI chip partnerships rumored.
Other: Tariff volatility hit NASDAQ:NVDA ; stock swung (April 3-9).
Indicators:
Weekly:
RSI: ~50 (neutral).
Stochastic: ~45 (neutral).
MFI: ~40 (neutral).
SMAs: 10-day ~$112 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$115 (below, bearish).
Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs signal weakness.
Daily:
RSI: ~48 (neutral).
Stochastic: ~50 (neutral).
MFI: ~45 (neutral).
SMAs: 10-day ~$112 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$115 (below, bearish).
Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs suggest pullback.
Hourly:
RSI: ~45 (neutral).
Stochastic: ~55 (neutral).
MFI: ~50 (neutral).
SMAs: 10-day ~$112 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$115 (below, bearish).
Interpretation: Neutral, stabilizing.
Price Context: $110.93 (April 11), 1M: -9%, 1Y: +28%. Range $105-$120, testing $110 support.
Options Positioning (May 2025):
Volume:
Calls: $115 (12,000, 60% ask), $120 (10,000, 55% ask). Mild bullish bets.
Puts: $105 (8,000, 70% bid), $108 (6,000, 65% bid). Put selling supports $108.
Open Interest:
Calls: $115 (35,000, +6,000), $120 (25,000, +5,000). Bullish interest.
Puts: $105 (20,000, flat), $108 (22,000, +3,000). Hedging. Put-call ~1.0.
IV Skew:
Calls: $115 (40%), $120 (42%, up 3%). $120 IV rise shows upside hope.
Puts: $105 (35%, down 2%), $108 (36%). Falling $105 IV supports floor.
Probability: 60% $105-$120, 20% <$105.
Karsan’s Interpretation:
Vanna: Neutral (~300k shares/1% IV). IV drop could pressure $110.
Charm: Neutral (~150k shares/day). Pins $110.
GEX: +60,000. Stabilizes range.
DEX: +8M shares, neutral.
Karsan view: GEX holds $105-$120; tariff news key.
ICT/SMT Analysis:
Weekly: Neutral, $105 support, $120 resistance. No $NVDA/ NASDAQ:AMD divergence.
Daily: Bullish at $110 FVG, targets $115. Bearish < $108.
1-Hour: Bullish >$110, $115 target. MSS at $108.
10-Minute: OTE ($109-$111, $110) for buys, NY AM.
Trade Idea:
Bullish: 50%. ICT/SMT buys $108-$110 to $115. Options show $115 calls. Fed cuts aid.
Neutral: 35%. RSI (~50), SMAs (bearish), $105-$120 range.
Bearish: 15%. Below $105 possible with tariffs. $105 put volume grows
NVDA rebound after PANIC SELLING
This idea is a perfect example of how the market gives you different signs at the reversal points.
Let's recap from the beginning:
1. First, there was the CRACK pattern of the support, which warns of a bearish move.
2. There was an attempt to go higher which did not work out.
3. There was a GAP DOWN, that needed to materialize the CRACK pattern to the downside, but it did not act right, and did not spill right away and there was a bounce above the broken pink support line.
4. After #3, you would expect a Bullish move, the BLUE trajectory, since #3 acted as a real-time lookalike of a SPRING by Wyckoff methodology. But the BLUE did not materialize, so it did not "act right" according to Jesse Livermore.
5. When we started going down again on wider and wider bearish candles, this confirms again the CRACK PATTERN.
What is the CRACK PATTERN?
The crack pattern is when there is a CLEAR support/resistance line, that has been "cracked", but then there is a "retest" a false move, to the other side, as if the CRACK is the false move, but the CRACK signifies the upcoming strong move. Once the CRACK is being CRACKED again, the big explosive move should come.
6. The CRACK pattern materialized, and we got the spilldown = STRONG SHORT MOVE.
7. See my educational idea about this CRACK PATTERN, as "found" before the fact, this time it was more tricky than usual since it did not follow "the right way" as right away as usually happens on a weaker stock since NVDA has a bullish outlook. So it "put out a fight. Or in the puppet master view... if the public want to buy higher before the fall... there is no reason to sell him lower... so the price rebound and the fall did not materialized right away.
8. The moral lesson from this, is that in realtime, you need to change your hypothesis as you go. Once a signs for strong movement happen, then you want it to "ACT RIGHT". If it does not act the way you know, you need to quickly change your direction.
Most people are saying $50... I think $65 after a little bounceI am seeing put open interest and volume spike for PUTS expiring 04/25 for a strike price of $55 that were opened YESTERDAY...
There is over 60,000 contracts open and rarely do these not play out.
It has been my long term target to hit $65 - $60 even before NVDA split there shares.
Lets see tho, the tape for options expiring in late June look bullish at the moment
NVDA Flash Crashed! Will $90 Hold or More Blood Ahead?The market took a violent turn after Trump’s tariff bombshell, and high-flyers like NVDA are now in a fragile freefall. Is this a dead-cat bounce or a rare buying opportunity?
📉 Technical Breakdown (1H Smart Money Concepts)
* Bearish structure confirmed via BOS at $103 and $95.
* Trading inside a well-defined downward channel—respecting trendlines.
* Currently in a consolidation box near $92, inside potential demand.
🔑 Key Levels:
* Support: $90 (must hold) → below that, $87 and $85.
* Resistance: $95.60 (highest negative NETGEX), then $102–$104 (gap fill).
* MACD & Stoch RSI showing early signs of reversal—but no confirmation yet.
🧲 Options Sentiment via GEX (1H)
* Highest Negative NETGEX at $95.60 → massive short interest.
* PUT Wall: $90 (crucial support), next level at $85.
* CALL Wall: $108–$110 = strong rejection zone this week.
* Options Oscillator:
* IVR: 65.2 | IVx avg: 92.9 → volatility priced in.
* Calls%: Only 8.7% bullish participation → extremely bearish positioning.
* GEX color: 🔴🔴🔵 = bearish zone, but potential for volatility-based reversal.
🧠 Scenarios to Watch
🔻 Bearish Trade Setup:
* Short rejection from $95–$96
* Target: $90 → $87
* Stop: $98
🔼 Bullish Scalp Idea:
* Long on confirmed reclaim of $95.60
* Target: $102–$104 (gap-fill)
* Stop: $92.50
🧳 Investor Perspective
We’re entering accumulation zones. Start building long positions below $90 in steps. Major long-term support lies between $85 and $80. Use time-based entries, not emotion.
📌 NVDA Takeaway:
* Market sentiment is fear-driven, but AI fundamentals are still intact.
* $95 = battlefield. $90 = line in the sand.
* Stay nimble. Be patient. Watch volume and flow.
🔔 Follow for daily TA with SMC + GEX setups
💬 Drop a comment: Bullish or Bearish NVDA this week?
❗Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This post is for educational purposes only. Do your own research and manage your risk.
🧵 Hashtags:
#NVDA #NVIDIA #OptionsFlow #GammaExposure #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #GEX #TradingView #StockMarketCrash #TariffNews #InvestorMindset #BearMarketBounce
Head & Shoulders Pattern + 0.786 Fib + Gap WIndowThe measured move off the Head & Shoulders pattern presents a measured move target of $73 if price continues to fall on NVDA. The 0.786 Fib 0.786 retrace had a perfect touch on Friday. Expect a 11% bounce from the 0.786 to the gap fill above. Retrace target = 0.618 Fib. This would establish another Lower High. Trend still presents with downward momentum. Then, expect the next move down towards $75.04
Cryptocurrency and Stocks will DecoupleI still remember the AI saying that NVDA was going to 320 "in the near future." This was back in June 2024. No matter when you asked the AI, its only prediction would be up, it couldn't make an analysis based on the data coming from the chart. The program wasn't very intelligent, that's what I concluded.
I disagreed. NVDA is going down and this is now fully confirmed.
We are seeing a very long distribution phase and the crash is now taking place.
Ok, but what about Bitcoin?
Bitcoin will decouple from traditional markets, just look at the news.
While Cryptocurrency is due a generational bullish wave, the stock market is due a generational retrace.
I honestly don't know how the stock market will perform but I can look at individual charts. NVDA is bearish and going down strong.
NVDA, TSLA, the SPX, the NDX and Crypto are not the same. These are two completely different monsters.
The SPX and NDX is landline.
Crypto is free wireless internet for all.
The SPX and the NDX is centralization and control.
Bitcoin is decentralization, innovation, technology and freedom.
Times change.
The stock market will recover and it is sure to continue growing long-term.
Will the establishment let it crash or will they jump in and pump it up?
I don't know. But NVDA is bearish and going down. What one does, the rest follows.
But, what about Bitcoin? Bitcoin is going up.
It is very simple. They will decouple, they will not move together anymore. Many, many Altcoins are trading at bottom prices, many stocks are trading high up.
The giant stocks will crash, while the Cryptocurrency market goes up. This is one more of the reasons why we are about to experience the biggest bull-market in the history of Crypto.
People are evolving, the world is changing. We are changing from centralized monopoly money, to a free decentralized technology that is available for all.
Money is not the paper, the shiny stone or the codes; money is what we decide to use for the purpose of exchanging value.
At one time, salt used to be money as well as cows. Sea shells, glass and cacao are also on the list. People used to use these things as money.
The argument that Bitcoin has no value is obviously flawed. If you want to buy a Bitcoin you have to pay a price, that's value, nothing more.
If we decide to use something as money, it becomes money.
Bitcoin is money for the new generation.
The old generation dies out and a new one takes its place.
Life will continue to evolve and money will do the same.
Now it is Bitcoin, later down the road it will be something else. But Bitcoin has value, it is really expensive and it will continue to grow.
After the crash, NVDA will recover for sure.
Namaste.
Next term.In my opinion, the uptrend was already over before the trade wars started.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
NVIDIA Possible play's for next week So major stocks are finally coming down to levels where we could see several bounce back up & the market to rip to the upside. we need some more confirmation but as of right now, this is showing a bullish momentum. let's see if it can show a hold starting next week.
NVIDIA Update 3 Rangebound with new Low for longsIn this video I bring to your attention what we could possibly expect if we lose the current level and if we do then where is the next crucial zone to look for Longs.
If you have read this then pls do Boost my work and any questions then leave them below
NVIDIA About to TANK? Or Just Cooling Off?After one of the most explosive bull runs in tech history, NVIDIA is showing signs of exhaustion — and this chart’s screaming a massive correction incoming.
🧠 Chart Insights (2W Time Frame):
Current Price: ~$96.30
All-Time High: $152.89
Key Breakdown Levels:
🔵 Pullback Zone: $134.29 — Broken & Completed
🟠 Neckline Support: $90.69
🎯 Major Fibonacci Target: $66.25 (61.8% retracement)
💀 Extreme Support Zone: $10.81 (not likely unless disaster strikes, but chart says what it says...)
🔎 What’s Really Happening:
Bull run started October 2022 and went parabolic into late 2024
Price attempted to consolidate above $130–140 (pullback zone) but failed to hold
Bearish momentum confirmed as we’ve broken through key zones
We’re now headed straight toward the $90s neckline, with $66.25 as a Fibonacci target if trend continues
⚠️ Why This Matters:
This isn’t fear — it’s structure. Nvidia doesn’t have to collapse to zero, but even a healthy correction to $66 would be a 30%+ drawdown from current levels.
That would:
✅ Flush out weak hands
✅ Offer long-term buyers a better setup
✅ Rebalance the overextended rally from 2023–2024
👀 What to Watch:
Retest of $90.69 neckline
Reaction at the 61.8% retracement
Volume spikes on weekly red candles
If bulls don’t step in soon, this is just the beginning of the cooldown
📌 This is not financial advice — just chart surgery.
🔖 Hashtags:
#NVIDIA #NVDA #StockMarketCorrection #BearishStructure #TechStocks #TradingViewCharts #MarketMomentum #PriceAction #FibonacciAnalysis