NVDA by DXY parallel channel... interesting gaps and levelsBrief thing here...but taking a NVDA price point and dividing it by the DXY to achieve a lower graph. Then taking two lows and a pinnacle high to form a parallel channel with a 50% marker.
Can see how there is little usefulness in the below chart...yet the top one is quite interesting. The circles are places of interest and some levels were gapped up without retracing and whatnot.
But what does it mean..who knows, but compare your analysis to these levels and see what may be hiding in plain sight that you could miss.
PS....here is the top to recent bottom Fib Retrace on the same points from the below graph superimposed on the NVDA chart....interesting no?
The daily chart has some interesting levels that the parallels share...so if its a little top heavy, a drop can be on any of these lower levels.
Here is the Fib Retrace but with those same circles to see correlation with parallel:
closer view of just NVDA with all goodies attached...
NVD trade ideas
Historical Volatility Bottoming on NVDANASDAQ:NVDA HV10 (bi-weekly) printed a coiled low for me on Friday May 9th, where today we saw the spring on great macro news release. I expect volatility to continue its regression journey to quarterly means throughout the company earnings report into the end of the month.
Should be a wild ride before consolidating with the broader markets.
IV on the local monthly closed 50.48% -- this leaves a divergence still from HV10 to IV of 13.05% and is leaving a premium move capture to HV63 of 31%!
This is why I love capturing a volatility sweeping move, because the premium per move is advantageous towards capital. I expect bi-weekly HV to trend up over the following week increasing our volatility range.
CHEERS!
NVDA New 2025 All-Time High Explained, 153 Next Followed by 194The NVDA stock just hit its highest price since March. Today it moved above resistance while producing a perfect ascending triangle pattern.
This is a major development because the resistance level that was broken today, 114, rejected growth a total of 4 times. NVDA moving above this level confirms the continuation of the bullish move coming from a technical analysis perspective.
Just to be unbiased, I have to mention that there is still one final level to conquer before the chart truly points to a new All-Time High.
The resistance is not a single price but a range, the resistance zone. This range sits between 114 and 123. Once NVDA closes decisively above 123, say a full daily or weekly candle with really high volume, we have a test of the All-Time High as resistance confirmed.
Depending on how the market reacts once the ATH is challenged we can determine what will happen next.
For example, if the ATH produces a very strong rejection with really high bearish volume, we know that a major correction will follow and even a lower low becomes possible. But, on the other hand, if challenging the ATH results in a mild market reaction, a normal drop/retrace then immediately we know that additional growth will happen after a higher low.
The truth is, Nvidia will move up, fight a little bit at the ATH and then continue growing. Just as we predicted the bottom we can predict what will happen next based on the chart. The chart is saying up long-term and this means a new All-Time High in 2025. Rest easy.
Thank you for reading.
Your support is appreciated.
Namaste.
NVDA Wave Analysis – 13 May 2025
- Nvidia broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 135.00
Nvidia recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 122.65 (which reversed waves 4 and ii in March) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from February.
The breakout of this resistance area continues the active short-term impulse wave 1 of the intermediate impulse wave (1) from the start of April.
Nvidia can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 135.00, target price for the completion of the active impulse wave i.
NVIDIA supporting the bullish outlook.chart shows NVIDIA's stock price on a 4-hour timeframe. The price surged from around $80 to a peak near $150, then corrected to around $130. An ascending triangle pattern, with the price breaking below the support trendline, indicating a potential bearish move. The horizontal resistance at $31-$128 suggests a key level to watch. If the price fails to reclaim this zone, it might continue downward, possibly testing the trend line around $120. Volume spikes during the breakout and correction align with the price action, supporting the bullish outlook.
NVDA rebound after PANIC SELLING
This idea is a perfect example of how the market gives you different signs at the reversal points.
Let's recap from the beginning:
1. First, there was the CRACK pattern of the support, which warns of a bearish move.
2. There was an attempt to go higher which did not work out.
3. There was a GAP DOWN, that needed to materialize the CRACK pattern to the downside, but it did not act right, and did not spill right away and there was a bounce above the broken pink support line.
4. After #3, you would expect a Bullish move, the BLUE trajectory, since #3 acted as a real-time lookalike of a SPRING by Wyckoff methodology. But the BLUE did not materialize, so it did not "act right" according to Jesse Livermore.
5. When we started going down again on wider and wider bearish candles, this confirms again the CRACK PATTERN.
What is the CRACK PATTERN?
The crack pattern is when there is a CLEAR support/resistance line, that has been "cracked", but then there is a "retest" a false move, to the other side, as if the CRACK is the false move, but the CRACK signifies the upcoming strong move. Once the CRACK is being CRACKED again, the big explosive move should come.
6. The CRACK pattern materialized, and we got the spilldown = STRONG SHORT MOVE.
7. See my educational idea about this CRACK PATTERN, as "found" before the fact, this time it was more tricky than usual since it did not follow "the right way" as right away as usually happens on a weaker stock since NVDA has a bullish outlook. So it "put out a fight. Or in the puppet master view... if the public want to buy higher before the fall... there is no reason to sell him lower... so the price rebound and the fall did not materialized right away.
8. The moral lesson from this, is that in realtime, you need to change your hypothesis as you go. Once a signs for strong movement happen, then you want it to "ACT RIGHT". If it does not act the way you know, you need to quickly change your direction.
$NVDA: Full on Bull mode. 170 $ before end of Summer Happy Monday. A new week, new trade for you guys. How does the largest AI stock looks like today with US-China Tariff pause for 90 days behave? Today the stock NASDAQ:NVDA broke the 1.0 Upward sloping Fib retracement channel with which we have been working for months now. The stock opened @ 122 % which is the 1.0 Fib retracement level. If we extend the channel and extrapolate then we see the next levels and the resistance levels.
In our Fib Chart here the next level is 1.6 Level which is @ 137 $. In my opinion with RSI at 50 and NASDAQ:NVDA having some high level of short interest. 1.12 % of the float is short which is high going back to 2021 bear market. So, this helps have violent short covering rally in the short term. Bullish before we turn bearish. RSI may top out at 85 in this bull rally phase. This cycle bull r un can take it to 170$ before end of Summer 2025.
Verdict : NASDAQ:NVDA next levels : 135 $ ; cycle top @ 170 $.
NVDA: Buy ideaOn NVDA, we are in a rising channel with a series of rebounds on the support line. This chart configuration signals a high probability of seeing the market move higher. But this will only be possible if the resistance line is forcefully broken by a large green candlestick followed by significant green volume. This indicates the entry of major buyers into the market.
OptionsMastery: A potential trend change on NVDA? 🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
"God of AI" How does Nvidia make money?"God of AI" How does Nvidia make money?
NVIDIA is really at the center of the AI and data center boom right now. With these industries growing so quickly, it looks like NVIDIA’s sales and profits will keep going up for quite some time. Some experts even predict that by 2029, the company could be making over $300 billion just from its data center business.
What’s also impressive is how NVIDIA keeps rolling out new and better AI chips, staying ahead of the competition when it comes to technology. And they’re not just sticking to AI-they’re also moving into exciting areas like self-driving cars, the cloud, robotics, and even the metaverse. This kind of diversification gives them even mo NASDAQ:NVDA re ways to grow.
As for the stock price, most analysts seem to agree that there’s still a lot of potential for it to climb higher, even though there are some risks to watch out for-like increased competition, supply chain hiccups, or short-term market swings.
NASDAQ:NVDA
"Order Block Resistance vs. Bullish Momentum: Who Wins?"
🧠 Reading Higher Timeframe Trends at Order Blocks – When Bullish Momentum Meets Resistance
When we analyze the trend in a higher timeframe and notice that price action is approaching or reacting to an order block, this should be treated as a potential resistance zone—even if the indicators still show bullish strength.
✅ What Confirms a “Strong Bull” Zone?
AO and RSI are both holding above the zero line, showing no reversal waves or strong sell signals.
The market is still in a bullish trend, even at resistance—but caution is required near order blocks due to potential reversals or liquidity grabs.
🔁 How to React When Price Hits an Order Block: Reconfirm Using 15-Minute Chart
Drop down to the 15-minute timeframe and recheck the trend using the same tools:
Look at the Confirmation Trigger (ChoCH).
If price remains above the confirmation level, then the bullish trend from the higher timeframe remains intact.
If price falls below the confirmation line, that’s your early signal that:
✅ A bearish reversal is forming on the 15m.
⚠️ The higher timeframe structure may be ending or entering distribution.
Even if the Quantum zones are shifting or adapting dynamically, the confirmation level remains your anchor.
📌 Summary:
Bullish AO/RSI above the zero line = still a strong trend.
Order block = natural resistance → stay cautious.
Always return to 15-minute timeframe to verify trend alignment.
Confirmation Trigger (ChoCH) is your decision point:
🔼 Above = trend continues.
🔽 Below = potential trend reversal.
NVIDIA: Breakout above ascending triangle, retest confirmationNVDA has been forming an ascending triangle over the past few weeks, with declining volume. Finally, it broke out yesterday, and today, we had a retest of the resistance line. NVDA was down about 1% earlier today however after a successful retest of the resistance line, it is now up 0.8% at the time of writing.
In terms of support, it seems the price has successfully bounced off the 50-Day SMA line. While an ascending triangle is bullish, the 200-Day SMA is likely going to be a point of resistance (around $125).
This is amid the renewed overall market strength and the news related to the reduced limitations of exporting AI chips - which is contributing to the momentum.
Please note: Not financial advice.
NVDA Trade Setup Eyeing the Bounce After the PullbackNVIDIA (NVDA) is currently trading around $117.06, pulling back from its recent highs of $153.13. With volatility kicking in and macro pressure (including renewed tariff talk from the Trump camp), NVDA is setting up for what could be a powerful rebound opportunity.
Here’s how I’m looking at it:
📥 Buy Zones (Scaling In):
$104 – Technical support zone where buyers may start stepping in.
$95 – Key psychological and chart-based support.
$90–$80 – Deep correction zone for high-conviction entries.
🎯 Profit Targets:
TP1: $125 – Strong short-term resistance.
TP2: $145 – Reclaiming mid-term momentum.
TP3: $153+ – All-time high retest if sentiment recovers.
💡 Why It Matters:
NVIDIA’s fundamentals are on fire: strong revenue, record margins, and leadership in AI and data center growth. Add in $25B+ in cash and minimal debt, and you've got a long-term juggernaut. Yes, it's volatile. Yes, it's overvalued on paper. But growth like this doesn’t come cheap.
📊 Risk Management:
Always use stops—especially in this kind of market. I’m keeping an eye on $90 as a make-or-break level and adjusting sizing to weather volatility.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. All trading involves risk. Do your own research or speak to a licensed financial advisor before making any financial decisions.
NVIDIA (NVDA) – Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout in PlayNASDAQ:NVDA NVIDIA (NVDA) – Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout in Play
NVDA has broken above a key neckline at $108, confirming a classic inverse head & shoulders pattern. With the head at $85, the breakout projects a target around $138.
Trade Plan:
Entry: $117 (current level)
Stop Loss: $107 (below neckline)
Target: $138
Risk–Reward: ~1:2.1
Strong volume on the breakout adds conviction. Watching for continuation toward the projected target in the coming weeks.
#NVDA #Breakout #InverseHeadAndShoulders #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis
NVDA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-07NVDA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-07)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report
Technicals: Price $117.06 above all key EMAs; bullish MACD on 5-min and daily; RSI overbought short-term (75) but neutral daily (59); trading near upper Bollinger Bands. Sentiment: VIX elevated at 24.76; mixed news (AI rally vs. supply delays); max pain at $111 suggests some bearish undertone. Direction: Moderately bullish with caution for pullback. Trade: Buy naked $113 put (premium $0.59) anticipating pullback, stop if $119 breach, target 25–50% gain, 65% confidence.
Claude/Anthropic Report
Technicals: Strong intraday uptrend; bullish MACD and RSI neutral daily; immediate resistance at $117.68. Sentiment: Sector tailwinds, positive news, but VIX elevated and max pain at $111. Direction: Moderately bullish. Trade: Buy $121 call at $0.75, profit target 100% ($1.50), stop-loss 40% ($0.45), 65% confidence.
Llama/Meta Report
Technicals: Bullish MACD, overbought short-term RSI, mixed reversal risk. Sentiment: Mixed news; VIX rising; max pain theory. Direction: Moderately bullish but immediate entry risky—overbought, mixed signals. Trade: No trade recommended at open (confidence <60%).
DeepSeek Report
Technicals: Bullish breakout, expanding bands, RSI overbought M5 but room on daily. Sentiment: Positive AI policy news; VIX manageable; max pain unlikely to derail strong technicals. Direction: Strongly bullish (70% confidence). Trade: Buy $122 call at $0.56, target $1.12, stop if $115.86 break, size 3–5% of capital.
Gemini/Google Report
Technicals: Strong uptrend but very overbought short-term. Sentiment: Mixed news with supply concerns; VIX rising; max pain $111 adds caution. Direction: Neutral/unclear for immediate trade (confidence <60%). Trade: No trade recommended at market open. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement
Agreements
All models see a strong intraday and daily uptrend with price above key EMAs and bullish MACD. Short-term RSI is overbought, suggesting potential for pullback or consolidation. VIX is elevated (~24.8), signaling caution. Max pain at $111 introduces a bearish tether toward expiration.
Disagreements
Trade selection: Grok favors a bearish put; Claude, DeepSeek favor bullish calls; Llama and Gemini hold off. Confidence: DeepSeek is most bullish (70%), Grok and Claude are moderately bullish (65%), Llama and Gemini see too many conflicting signals for immediate action. Strike selection varies widely: $113 put, $121 call, $122 call, or no trade. Conclusion
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Moderately bullish for the week, with elevated short-term risk of pullback.
Recommended Trade
Strategy: Single-leg naked call Instrument: NVDA weekly options (expiry 2025-05-09) Strike: $122.00 Call Premium: ~ $0.56 Entry Timing: At market open Profit Target: $1.12 (100% gain) Stop-Loss: $0.34 (40% loss) Confidence: 70%
Key Risks and Considerations
M5 RSI overbought (75) risks a short-term pullback. Elevated/rising VIX may induce whipsaws. Max pain suggests potential downward drift into expiration. Monitor any fresh supply-chain or sector news at open.
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": "NVDA", "direction": "call", "strike": 122.0, "expiry": "2025-05-09", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 1.12, "stop_loss": 0.34, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.56, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-07 20:16:47 UTC-04:00" }
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NVDA, CONFIRMED BAT, SWING TRADEWait for PA to pullback to VWAP after recent advance (100). VWAP may provide a good entry for a swing to TP2. Good risk to reward, stop just below lower band (light blue) loss = 1% of acct. 30% profit taking at TP1, exit at TP2 or if PA closes under TP1 after hitting TP1.
NVIDIA Corporation: Bullish ConsolidationThe NVDA stock is facing resistance at the 0.5 Fib. extension level. This resistance was met after a higher low and above 0.618 Fib. While this is a confirmed resistance zone, market conditions are bullish.
The RSI is now above 50. It is at its highest on a rise since late January earlier this year.
Local resistance on the RSI has been broken and this oscillator is trading straight up. This is a positive and strong signal. Here is the chart:
The yellow horizontal line is the local resistance which has been broken. On a drop, this same line would now work as support. A "magic" line I should say. :D
It is magical because it helps us predict the future with a high level of accuracy and certainty; so far so good.
These dynamics: The higher low, the small stop at resistance, the bullish RSI and overall bullish market conditions are all part of a bullish consolidation period.
Let me break it down for you; the market will continue to consolidate for a while, for as long as it needs, before moving higher to hit a new high. The conditions revealed by this chart setup is that the low that was hit 7-April remains the bottom. The market can shake, NVDA can go down, it can go up but this low will never be challenged, you can set your stop-loss below it. Any short-term movements against you is just noise. Wait patiently and eventually it will grow.
If you have any questions leave a comment it will be my pleasure to answer.
Thank you for reading again.
See you tomorrow, or the next day, or yesterday-more again.
Make sure to follow. My main focus is Cryptocurrency but I also do the SPX, NVDA and TSLA. (And sometimes Gold which is bearish now.)
Namaste.
Nvidia Shows Signs of Recovery -but the Bearish Channel Remains Over the last five trading sessions, Nvidia’s stock has gained more than 9%, and short-term bullish momentum remains intact as the tech giant appears to benefit from expectations of a potential easing in trade war tariffs. Notably, the company’s CEO, Jensen Huang, recently stated that the Chinese market for artificial intelligence chips could reach $50 billion within the next two years — highlighting the importance of maintaining access to this market. This reinforces the view that a diplomatic resolution to the trade conflict is crucial for Nvidia to sustain a steady recovery.
It’s also important to note that Nvidia is scheduled to release its next earnings report on May 28, with market expectations pointing to earnings of approximately $0.88 per share. Should results meet or exceed projections, this could reignite a bullish sentiment that has been largely absent from the stock over the past several months.
Bearish channel still in play:
Since early January of this year, Nvidia’s stock has formed a steady downward channel, pushing the price even below the $100 mark at times. While a consistent upward correction is underway, it remains insufficient to confirm a definitive breakout, meaning this bearish channel is still the dominant technical structure in the short term.
ADX:
The ADX indicator has been fluctuating below the neutral 20 level, signaling a decline in volatility over the average of the last 14 sessions. As long as this continues, the current phase of price neutrality may persist.
RSI:
The RSI is showing a similar picture, hovering near the 50 level — indicating a balance between buying and selling momentum in recent sessions, and reinforcing the lack of a clear short-term trend.
Key levels to watch:
$113: Current resistance level, aligned with the upper bound of the bearish channel and the 50-period simple moving average. Continued price action in this area may extend the current phase of consolidation.
$125: A critical resistance point tied to the 200-period simple moving average. A breakout toward this level could signal the end of the bearish channel.
$100: A key psychological support level in the short term. A move below this threshold could reinforce the bearish bias and trigger a deeper downtrend within the current price structure.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst