nvidia downward wedge bullish trendA downward wedge bullish trend forms after a downtrend, signaling a potential reversal to the upside.
NVD trade ideas
NVDA: Will This Reversal Zone Hold or Collapse? Key Levels to Wa📊 Market Structure & Trend Analysis
* NVDA is trading within a descending channel, with lower highs and lower lows defining the structure.
* The price has entered a key reversal zone but remains below the resistance trendline.
* A potential breakout above $110 could signal a shift in momentum.
📍 Support & Resistance Levels
* Resistance Levels:
* $110 – Short-term resistance, within the rejection zone.
* $126-$130 – Major CALL resistance zone, confirmed by GEX data.
* $134.94 – Highest resistance from previous structure.
* Support Levels:
* $105 – Immediate support, aligning with high negative GEX (PUT Wall).
* $100 – Psychological support level.
* $95-$90 – Deep support zone, if NVDA fails to hold current levels.
🌀 GEX & Options Data Insights
* 📊 Call Resistance at $130-$135: Strong gamma resistance could limit upside.
* 🔻 Negative GEX at $105: This suggests a high concentration of PUTs, making it a potential support zone.
* 📈 Implied Volatility (IV):
* IV Rank: 51.6 (Moderate)
* IVx Avg: 72.3 (Currently low, meaning options are relatively cheaper)
* Call Activity: 14.7%, indicating weak bullish participation.
* 🔺 Bullish Breakout Target: If NVDA moves above $110, potential upside towards $126-$130.
* 🔻 Bearish Breakdown Target: If NVDA fails to hold $105, it may test $100 or lower.
🎯 Trade Setups
🔵 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above $110)
* Entry: Above $110 with volume confirmation.
* Targets: $126, $130.
* Stop-Loss: Below $105.
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Rejection at $110)
* Entry: Below $109 after confirmation.
* Targets: $105, $100.
* Stop-Loss: Above $112.
⚠️ Final Thoughts & Risk Management
* NVDA is at a critical juncture – a breakout could push it toward higher resistance zones, but failure here may lead to a retest of $100.
* Monitor volume and momentum indicators (MACD, RSI) for confirmation.
* Options flow suggests a weak bullish push, so careful position sizing is key.
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately. 🚀
NVDIANVIDIA Corporation (ticker: NVDA) is a leading technology company specializing in graphics processing units (GPUs) and artificial intelligence (AI) solutions. As of March 11, 2025, NVIDIA’s stock is trading at $110.74, reflecting a 3.76% increase from the previous close.
Recently, NVIDIA’s stock has experienced notable fluctuations. On March 10, 2025, the stock declined by 5.1% to $106.98, marking its lowest close since September 9, 2024. This downturn contributed to a 20% loss year-to-date, influenced by concerns over potential tariffs and their impact on AI chip demand. 
Despite these challenges, analysts remain optimistic about NVIDIA’s long-term prospects. Melius Research analyst Ben Reitzes maintained a ‘Buy’ rating on the stock, adjusting the two-year price target to $170 from $195, citing uncertainties such as potential tariffs and regulatory changes.  Additionally, Wedbush analysts anticipate that AI leaders like NVIDIA will reach record highs in the latter half of 2025, driven by the continued growth and adoption of AI technologies. 
Investors should monitor upcoming events, such as NVIDIA’s GPU Technology Conference, where the company is expected to unveil advancements in AI and GPU innovations. These developments could provide insights into NVIDIA’s strategic direction and potential market performance. 
Given the inherent volatility in the semiconductor industry, diversifying investments across multiple companies may help mitigate risks associated with single-stock holdings like NVIDIA. 
NVDA +$130 BY END OF MARCH! NVIDIA (NVDA) is currently trading at $112.69, and several recent developments suggest a potential surge beyond $130 by the end of March 2025.
NVIDIA's Blackwell architecture, introduced in March 2024, has seen unprecedented demand. Reports indicate that the entire 2025 production of Blackwell silicon is already sold out, underscoring NVIDIA's leadership in AI technology and positioning the company for substantial revenue growth.
NVIDIA's stock has experienced a significant selloff, dropping 8.7% recently and 15% since the beginning of the year, making it an appealing investment opportunity. The stock's valuation has decreased to a slight premium over the S&P 500 and is at its lowest premium since 2016. NVIDIA's stock is trading below parity versus the PHLX Semiconductor Index, a rare occurrence in the past decade, and 25 times forward earnings, a near decade low. Historically, investors have benefited from buying the stock at this multiple.
Considering these factors, NVIDIA's stock appears well-positioned to exceed $130 by the end of March 2025, offering investors a promising opportunity to capitalize on the company's innovative advancements and strategic market positioning.
Taking Advantage of NVDA’s Pullback: Strategic Entry PointsMarket corrections often create the best opportunities, and NVDA’s recent pullback is no exception. For those looking to step in at key levels, here are three well-placed entry points:
106.7 – A strong support zone where buying pressure may start to build, signaling a potential bounce.
96 – A deeper correction level, offering an even better risk-reward ratio as the stock finds stability.
81 – A significant support area, where the price could reach a bottom before a strong reversal.
For profit targets, consider:
123 – The first checkpoint, locking in gains as the price starts recovering.
138 – A critical level where momentum could face resistance but also confirm a strong uptrend.
150 – A high-probability target if the market fully recovers, offering a substantial upside from lower entries.
While corrections can seem risky, they also open doors for calculated entries and strategic positioning. Always manage risk wisely and adjust stops accordingly.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risks, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
From Boom to Bust? Nvidia Warns of a Potential 50% DropAfter an incredible rally, Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA has finally hit a wall at its all−time high of $140, failing to secure a strong monthly close above this critical resistance level. This stagnation at the peak is a red flag for the stock’s near-term momentum.
Since the rally began in 2016, the monthly chart has been overwhelmingly bullish, with only a few exceptions: 2018, 2022, and now 2024, where the monthly chart has printed a bearish engulfing candle. Historically, when this pattern has appeared, it has led to steep retraces. Based on the median pullback from the past two occurrences, we could see a 50% decline by mid 2025 from current levels, a potential bloodbath for unprepared investors.
Is this a guaranteed outcome? Of course not. But higher timeframes carry significant weight in macro price action, and this bearish signal is too significant to ignore. Stay alert—volatility ahead!
While a short-term pump toward the $140s is more than likely, it’s important to recognize that this move will feel more like a dead cat bounce than a sustainable recovery. For those considering a short position, this potential bounce could offer the perfect entry point.
However, unless NVDA can achieve a strong break above $150 and successfully flip this level into support, there’s no compelling reason to turn bullish here. The macro warning signs remain intact, and the risk of a deeper retrace increases.
NVIDIA POSSIBLE SELLThe market is currently testing the current Weekly area.
Based on Daily AND 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible SELLING OPPORTUNITY.
We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
NVIDIA - the recession has just began?Well it is my theory based in a few indicators that we are in a small recession which just has started and will continue for several weeks to months. And will the bring whole market even further down. And this time the American market will be punished while the European market will be a buy for me. So I corrected my Nvidia analysis its not anymore a small retracement for me but a large retracement which will bring some great buying opportunities but later.
NVIDIA 9-month Channel Up bottomed! Is it a buy??NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern for almost 9 months (since the June 20 2024 High). The correction since the start of January is technically the pattern's Bearish Leg and yesterday it hit the bottom (Higher Low trend-line).
Last time it did so was on August 05 2024 and an instant rebound followed. That was also the time the 1D RSI was on the 34.00 Support, just like today. In fact every time in the past 11 months that this RSI Support was tested, the price rebounded aggressively by at least +26.85%.
Since the previous Higher High rebound peaked on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, our Target on the medium-term will be $164.00.
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Nvidia Investing opportunity (short-term) 1I expect Nvidia share to hit $175+- in a year
I think people over-estimate the effect of China being cut off, its likely going to be less than a 10% revenue drop, and it seems with the Stargate project that the gap can maybe be filled.
There's other things to consider, if the USA was struggling with "job shortages" currently and the Trump Administration's goal is to increase internal production/reliance for goods and services and also potentially other new partners (like Russia/Ukraine) then won't the demand for AI actually just become even greater if China starts getting cut off more?
You have to also consider the strong stance against illegal immigrants here, so cheaper labor goes away, so what drones on farms, AI????
I think the target is China, I think the aggressive stance against EU and Canada might be limited in magnitude, the real target is China, this is all some grand plan to try and remove them from the stage or weaken their position.
let's say the deal flies with the mineral rights in Ukraine and/or Russia, it will reduce reliance on China.
I think Russia is desperate for a deal that can boost its economy, I think its very serious about partnering up with the USA, at least in a more indirect way.
I think both the USA and Russia knows, the age of oil has passed its peak. If you look at it long-term wise, a direct conflict of interest regarding oil supply etc. can at this point perhaps decline, maybe?
You need to consider the Northern Sea Trade route as well, won't that theoretically make trade between the USA and Russia easier and more "relevant" as the ice melts.
I think big changes are on the way, what really scares the market is uncertainty and short-term negative consequences of any big change.
I think AI is going to become more relevant, and the stage is being setup for increased demand in AI, I think the market does over-react, and it might continue to go down, but how much?
Nvidia share value has shred 33.33% now, a third, how much more, 50%, but then at 50% you think perhaps its now gone too far, but even then the upside looks way bigger.
I think a phased approach could be better, I think that phased approach starts now, Nvidia at $100 a share, and maybe then more later on if it drops further to $75 etc.
BUT this is all just an opinion, I am no professional, perhaps a serious hobbyist investor/long-term trading, my real money I have made from longer-term trading positions to short-term investing (1+ year hold shares, and bonds), the reason I am in net negative still (last 2 years it was net positive) is because of shorter-term trading, end of story, so I will never do short-term trading again.
that linear regression I took from when OpenAI released around 2022 July, according to the linear regression channel its likely to perhaps revert to the mean (go back up).
I know that the Microsoft Bubble happened somewhat similarly in the far past, there was the initial boom of 3-4 years then it struggled for months to a year, like Nvidia is doing now, and it went down somewhat, but then the boom continued and continued, if we get something like that with Nvidia, even 50% of that, I wouldn't worry about Nvidia shares hitting $175.
I think it can go lower than $75 potentially, and I will buy again when it gets there but I feel like I can hold this share regardless, maybe we don't see $175 in the next year, but $125 maybe, even that is good enough.
I am risking $5000+- dollars in a Long Position, I am holding indefinitely, I bought at $106
I will have the same amount of money ready if it drops let's say in a few months or so to $75+- then I buy again, but I start buying now.
I might be a bit too early, the SP500 is down 10%+- from 6150, I don't think you should all in now, but you can "start" to consider buying now.
NVIDIA: Megaphone bottomed. Rally to $195 starting.NVIDIA is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 34.183, MACD = -6.220, ADX = 39.717) as it reach the bottom (LL) trendline of the Megaphone pattern that it has been trading in since November 21st 2024. This is not the first time we see NVDA inside such Megaphone pattern. As a matter of fact, it was during July-October 2023 when it last did so. The 3rd LL was the buy signal and it coincided with a Triple Bottom on the 1D RSI. This is the exact position we are at right now. The stock has completed three lows below the 1D MA50 and looks ready to rebound with force. The smallest recent rally has been +86.41%. The trade is long, TP = 195.00.
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NVDA, Long, 2H✅ NVDA rejected the key support at 109.60 and formed a bullish RSI divergence, indicating a potential upward move. The price is expected to rise from this level.
LONG 🚀
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NVDA $90 PRISONAs last time we were stuck within the $90 range I can see a previous order block that was created and retested making it invalid. I am considering regardless this area of $91/94 as a good demand area. Not only the sentiment of the fanatics is that it is a discounted price at $90. But speculations are already running online that once they reach this area, they need to load up to head to $130.
This is a good sentiment to capitalize both on the movement down and the bounce.
The good traders do not become "fans" of a company. We just capitalize on fanatic sentiments to get their money as any good record label would with their artist.
Ladies and gentlemen, NVDA is our artist for this week concert.
Let us capitalize on the fans and hope they request an encore.
Massive inverted cup and handle 4hr shows massive inverted cup and handle looks complete and ready for the drop. Be cautious and again this based off my opinion and analysis.
Nvidia is in BIG TROUBLE! Find out WHY!Nvidia is in BIG TROUBLE! Find out WHY!
NASDAQ:NVDA has been a rocket ship to the upside for over 2 years now but all rocket ships eventually run out of fuel.
Check out what I'm seeing on the charts and where Nvidia is going next!
Not financial advice
Ohhh no Inverted cup handleIf look at the 1hr chart you will see a massive inverted cup and handle. I strongly believe the handle is complete or will be completed earlier this week. We could see 102-105 this week. Again this is my opinion based off the market and current trends.
NVIDIA Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysys 030825 Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 126/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
NVDA IDEAIf we reach the demand level around the 103 level I suspect this weak demand zone will be wiped out and NVDA will free fall to $47.
NVIDIA can reach $300 by the end of the year.Crazy as it may sound, NVIDIA / NVDA may recover from the current pull back and hit $300 by the end of the year.
The reason is that the consolidation it has been in for the past 9 months, has been spotted on both previous long term growth Channel Up patterns right before the Channel topped.
As a matter of fact, it was the last year of its bull rally. The previous consolidation phase's bottom was in March 2021 and before that in April 2017.
As we've entered March 2025 with the price sitting right at the bottom of the 2.5 year Channel Up, the probabilities of a final rally increase.
The previous two have been +206% and +217% respectively.
The $300 Target sits right under a potential +206% increase.
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Nvidia’s Sell-Off Deepens: How to Capitalize on the Decline?📉 Nvidia’s Technical Breakdown:
● Nvidia’s stock has been caught in a storm of selling pressure over the past month.
● The recent breach of critical trendline support levels suggests the downward trend could gain momentum in the days ahead, opening the door for savvy traders to capitalize on the bearish momentum.
🔄 NVDS: The Perfect Inverse Play for Nvidia’s Slide
● For those looking to navigate this decline, an inverse ETF like NVDS NASDAQ:NVDS offers a compelling opportunity.
● Designed to move in the opposite direction of Nvidia’s stock, NVDS has shown a chart pattern that almost perfectly inverse Nvidia’s price action.
● This makes it a strategic tool to potentially profit from the stock’s anticipated slide.
Nvidia - The +50% Rally Is Inevitable!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is about to create a false breakdown:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After the -12% drop on Nvidia last month, Nvidia actually broke the final support trendline towards the downside. However bulls are about to break it again towards the upside, which would confirm the false bearish breakdown, leading to a short squeeze rally of about +50%.
Levels to watch: $140, $200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
First support at 99Nvidia broke the long term uptrend it was on since the end of 2022. Mid-feb it tested this trend line successfully, thereby bouncing off. Then it crossed the 200dma last week and is now on track to form a lower low, thereby 'officially' entering a downward trend. First support is at the 38% fibonacci level at 99 USD. This also coincides with previous support/resistance levels seen in sep24 and mar24. Don't catch a falling knive (yet).
NVIDIA Stock Goes Diving-Dressed ahead of Dotcom Crash RepeatingNvidia’s stock recently experienced a significant decline, tanked to 6-month low reflecting a mix of investor sentiment shifts, market dynamics, and company-specific concerns.
Here’s our @PandorraResearch Team ̶M̶u̶m̶b̶o̶ ̶j̶u̶m̶b̶o̶ fundamental and technical breakdown of what is going on with Nvidia stock NASDAQ:NVDA and why:
1. Cooling AI Enthusiasm
Nvidia has been at the forefront of the AI boom, with its chips powering advanced AI platforms. However, investor optimism about AI-related stocks has begun to wane. While Nvidia reported impressive revenue growth (122% in recent earnings), its future guidance failed to meet sky-high expectations. Investors are increasingly concerned that the returns from AI investments may take longer to materialize than initially anticipated. This cooling enthusiasm has led to a reassessment of Nvidia’s valuation, contributing to the stock's decline.
2. High Valuation Concerns
Nvidia’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio had soared to levels significantly higher than industry averages, reflecting lofty expectations for its future growth. At its peak, Nvidia was trading at 45 times expected earnings, compared to the S&P 500’s average of 22 times. Such high valuations often make stocks vulnerable to corrections when market sentiment changes or growth slows. The recent sell-off suggests that some investors are beginning to view Nvidia’s stock as overvalued.
3. DOJ Antitrust Investigation
Another factor weighing on Nvidia’s stock is news of a U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) subpoena investigating potential antitrust violations. The probe reportedly focuses on whether Nvidia’s business practices limit customer options or stifle competition. While no formal charges have been filed, such investigations create uncertainty and make investors jittery about regulatory risks.
4. Broader Market Pressures
The decline in Nvidia’s stock also coincides with broader market challenges. Rising interest rates and concerns about the U.S. economy have led many investors to shift away from high-growth tech stocks like Nvidia toward more stable, rate-sensitive investments. Additionally, a general downturn in the Nasdaq Composite index has amplified the pressure on Nvidia shares.
5. Profit-Taking After a Massive Rally
Before its recent drop, Nvidia had seen meteoric gains—its stock surged over 120% in one year and briefly became the world’s most valuable company. Such rapid growth often attracts profit-taking as traders sell off shares to lock in gains. Analysts described this as a "routine selloff" after an extraordinary rally.
Technical challenge
The main technical 3-month log scaled graph for Nvidia's stock indicates on unattainable highs never seen before since Dotcom crash, reached through a massive long term path inside upside channel.
Conclusion
Nvidia’s stock decline is driven by a combination of factors: tempered AI optimism, valuation concerns, regulatory uncertainty, broader economic pressures, and profit-taking after an exceptional run-up. While some analysts remain bullish on Nvidia due to its dominance in AI hardware, others see the pullback as a natural correction in response to overextended valuations and shifting market conditions.
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Best schadenfreude wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
