ESP35 trade ideas
(J) Trade 7: Speculating on Trend Resumption #IBEXUpdate: Target Reached without entry Trade Cancelled.
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Trade 7: Pending Long IBEX35 @ 10,800
S.L @ 10590
T1 11,160
T2 11,585
For $29,798.94 Balance, Position size = 0.4 lot (0.2+0.2) .
Risk= 4(position size) x0.8(point value per 0.1 lot)x210(stop loss)=$672 ~ 2.2% of Balance.
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Reasoning
Long term trend is up
200 Days SMA forming support
Multiple hammer candles at 200-days Average
1.271 extension of recent bullish wave
Fundamental factor: Any minor progress on Greece will probably lead to a major rally, as economic conditions improved recently in the euro area and ECB continues to pump money through QE.
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Long Spain after broken important resistance and bullish pin barUPDATE 5/5: Stopped out on both positions. Result: -2R
Two entries:
1. Buy limit half of 26/03 pin bar, s/l under horizontal support, t/p around highs on monthly chart, R:R 3,5:1
2. Buy stop top of 26/03 pin bar, s/l under horizontal support, t/p around highs on monthly chart, R:R 2:1
Let the euro QE roll...
España Challenging Sideways ResistanceWatch-out España traders, the IBEX is challenging the major key long term sideways resistance or ceiling. Typically, in sideways markets, we expect price to reverse to the downside. However, this time might be different, as the price test the level for sixth time. The latest test(March 2) was followed by a minor pullback and a bullish pin bar.
I would think twice before going short at that resistance for now. why? For the first time , the ECB is pumping money for free with its new asset purchase program. History and the FED have taught us what happens to equities when central banks go full throttle.
We might see a reactive correction but i advise waiting for a candlestick confirmation for such scenario and look only for limited downside potential.
A breakout above 11235 resistance with at least a weekly closing would confirm the bullish breakout. I wont suggest targets for this scenario as this idea is just a general opinion...
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IBEX - Spain - On cliff for a dive
The European QE is pending - It is largely in the media for a long while now.
I doubt equities would be trading where they are if they expected something great to come (this is speculative, i acknowledge).
IBEX is on a cliff that rejected up twice in weekly close...
The third attempt down may break the elastic this time and there is 25% free fall zone.
In any case: very pivotal supported zone that shall launch something rather soon.
My view: down.
Short 10% stop 11000... TP 8000.
Spain index doesn't look promisingAfter a few channels are drawn, i though i see a potential right shoulder forming.
And the potential neckline is the channel support. Whatever it is, since Nov 2007 market top, the price has been in the current downtrend channel. The channel resistance at Aug 2014 makes the channel very very well.