DAX H4 | Heading into Fibonacci confluence resistance zoneDAX (GER30) is rising towards a resistance barrier and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 21,073.71 which is a resistance zone that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 78.6% projection and the 161.8% extension.
Stop loss is at 21,400.00 which is a level that sits above the 100.0% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit is at 20,510.80 which is a pullback support.
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GER30 trade ideas
#202503 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Neutral. Last week I noted that my bearish bias was probably not good since us markets were bullish enough and dax could not move below 20100. The big gap up on Tuesday was the first clue to refrain from shorts and on Wednesday bears gave up and we melted higher until Friday’s close. The upside is now probably very limited but it’s too early for most bears. My max target above is around 21200 and until bears print either a very huge down day or we had 2-4 days sideways to down movement with a retest of 20900/21000, I would not look for swing shorts.
current market cycle: Bull trend (wedge or channel, difference does not matter) until we get below 20300 again.
key levels: 20500 - 21200
bull case: Bulls are in full control since Wednesday and they will likely get 21000 and maybe a bit above it. Their problem is that they are buying high with multiple upper trend lines which could still be resistance. That argument is somewhat weak in the face of a strong trend and that is what we had last week. You never know how far they go but it’s climactic behavior and structuring longs above 20900 is tough. Longs only on strong momentum.
Invalidation is below 20500.
bear case: Bears gave up on Wednesday and they will probably wait for 21k and a reaction there. Never try to be the first bear. Let the big institutions show you where there is no more bid and then let the profit taking begin. V-reversals are so rare that you should almost never worry about them. Bears first target is the gap close 20675 and then the second body gap to 20574.
Invalidation is above 21200.
short term: Neutral. We have a clean channel/bull wedge up and we are very close to the upper trend line. Could go a bit higher before potentially reversing. 21200 is my max target.
medium-long term from 2024-01-18: Market will likely hit 21000 and then it’s about patience to time the shorts right.
current swing trade: Last swing short was not good but part of the game. I am waiting for bears to come around again.
chart update: Marked potential targets for both sides.
Ger30 trading planHi traders expect a pull back on ger30,you can see a clear breakout without a proper retest,according to my opinion we need a retest to atleast 20600 to 20400 in order to find proper entries to those who didn't manage to take it from the start,you might get a chance to position yourselfs,am just trying to spot quickly trend for coming weeks for both indices,trade responsible.
This is 30 y parallel up channel...the widh of channel is 8900Do you think there is room for further growth?i think that pumping is done ( was resault of biden's administration to help friendly partner germany in its bad economic times and against ukraina war) and its matter of time to crash about 20 %....this pump was fake without economic reason but reality has changed
DAX - Slight correction - short term trade, before we move up?Hi guys, not much to be said, the DAX has been perfoming amazingly the past few weeks, looking to catch a short term selling trade.
Entry: 20,883
Target 20,550
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Thu 2025 01 16 ShortRisky short in H3 at 12pm based on negative morning momentum. It's a trade based on one candle, no confirmations down and no 2nd momentum seen yet, against the trend and at an ath.
Hence $ risk is suggested minimal, sl on ath. R 1:1 as target, unless a 2nd down momentum appears and sets new targets down.
DAX // prepare for both sidesThere are times when it's better to stay out of the market.
But we always have to prepare for the next trade.
The primary scenario is long, since this is the primary trend, and the daily and the H4 is waving north. The recent H4 breakdown is in line with both countertrend lines (daily and H4) , so upon a significant break above the long trigger (green), the H4 target fibo 138.2 is my target.
But if the market turns south, and waves down below the daily breakout (short trigger - red), the countertrend may continue to visit the next H4 and daily breakout that is in line with the H4 target fibo 138.2.
Be patient, and wait for a clear breakout of this neutral zone, then go down to the lower timeframes, and trade the countertrend breaks there.
———
Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated.
Level colors:
Daily - blue
Weekly - purple
Monthly - magenta
H4 - aqua
Long trigger - green
Short trigger - red
———
Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
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GER30 - Long from trendline !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GER30.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is rejection from trendline + LZ.
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DAX: Healthy Channel Up aiming at 21,350DAX is on excellent bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.832, MACD = 222.700, ADX = 20.758) as it just crossed the previous Resistance of the 5 month Channel Up. This is technically the new bullish wave of the pattern which got further confirmed after Monday's bounce on the 4H MA200. Both 1D MACD wise and relative price structure, it looks much like the previous two bullish waves. The recent HH was on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, thus we're aiming for the top of the pattern (TP = 21,350) yet again.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Slight declineThe Dax managed to push up from 20k reaching 20700 region. The points may alternate between the recent 20700 and 20 000 upon breaking.
However, if the German benchmark stabilises bove 20700 may see the indice to continue upward. However, a bearish outlook is still favourable if it fails to continue up from the recent high.
2025-01-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
dax xetra - Neutral and waiting for bears. New ath 20629 and market stayed above 20600, which is very bullish. Bears would need a miracle to reverse this over the next 1-2 days. We are once again at multiple upper bullish trend lines that should be resistance but market could just continue higher. I don’t have any interest in buying this but would need very strong signals to short this right now. I still think the bull wedge is the pattern to trade here and I wait for bears to come around.
comment: What are the odds of 20629 being the high and we go down from here? Low at best. Since the overall markets have been choppy as hell, it’s not entirely out of the question that this could reverse strongly but I highly doubt it.
current market cycle: bull wedge
key levels: 20100 - 20700
bull case: Bulls got a new ath and now what? I have two trend lines that have room to be hit and one would even get us to 21000. Bulls want the obvious follow through and preferably stay above the 15m or 60m 20ema and just continue higher. Buying above 20600 is hard though. Stop would have to be at least 20420 and betting on this getting to 20800 is a stretch but so was making a new ath again. I got two measured move targets 20800 and 21000.
Invalidation is below 20420.
bear case: Bears pretty much did nothing since EU open and we can’t expect them to come around all of a sudden tomorrow. Best bears can hope for here is to stop the advance and go sideways until we get a new impulse. Trading consecutive bear bars below the 15m 20ema is their first target for tomorrow and if a miracle happens, retesting 20420 would be the next target.
Invalidation is above 20650.
short term: Neutral. Bullish if momentum continues and we stay above 15m or 60m 20ema. Bears can only get me below 20420 again.
medium-long term from 2024-12-22: Any short near 20000 is reasonable if you can hold for another 1000 points higher. 17000 is much more likely than 21000 though. My first target for the next months is 19000, followed by 17700ish and ultimately down to 16000-16300 in 2025.
current swing trade: None - cut my losses on last position. Need to see bigger bear bars first before thinking about it again.
trade of the day: Could have bought anywhere and made money. Most happened due to news, so that’s always tough and I never gamble on it.
DAX - time to get back to business!Hi guys, after a previous very successful trade on the DAX , we are looking into it agian. Even though there is a lot of pressure of the Eurozone I would deffinetely say that the DAX can come out ahead and continue on it's strong growth pannel.We can see that the RSI has formulated an Ascending channel which gives us more confirmations of our trade direction.
Entry: 19,985
Target: 20,500
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
DAX H4 | Rising into multi-swing-high resistanceDAX (GER30) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 20,510.80 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 20,800.00 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 19,831.69 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DAX – Classic Double Top Formation (Daily & 4H)!!!The DAX index has formed a classic double top on the daily and 4-hour charts, signaling a potential reversal.
Setup Details:
Entry: Short position opened now.
Stop Loss: Slightly above the standard resistance zone to avoid stop hunting.
Risk-to-Reward: Great 1:4+ ratio, making this setup attractive.
Why This Setup?
The pattern is clear and aligns across multiple timeframes.
Strong resistance zone held twice, confirming the double top.
Stop and target are strategically placed for a disciplined approach.
Good luck to everyone!
Small pullback and potential bearish confirmation Dax managed to touch 20500, but pushed down as it is around 20000 or 19800 region. The price may push to retest the 20300, 20400, and 20500 marks and if it rejects with stability under any of the highs, it may fall down as a potential bearish confirmation.
If the price action declines from the top, a possible range and target can be between the highs and possibly 19620. However, establishing above 20500 may see a continued upside outcome. Failure to find a small pullback from 20000 and 19800 may also lead to the downward trajectory.
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends.
The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex.
*KEY
Trend is set by the slope of the VWAP over 50 periods
Phase is determined by the current price relative to the VWAP (20) level (above or below)
Support & Resistance are set by the StdDev #2 Lower and Upper respectively.
Momentum is determined by the RSI level (70 as overbought and under 30 as oversold).
Analysis
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Germany 40 continues its bullish correction phase, currently trading at 20,061, just below the VWAP (20) level of 20,100. Key support lies at 19,751, while resistance is identified at 20,427. The RSI at 50 suggests neutral momentum, matching the pause in market direction.
UK 100 remains neutral within its consolidation phase, trading at 8,214, slightly above the VWAP (20) of 8,190. With support at 8,083 and resistance at 8,322, the RSI at 50 reflects balanced momentum, maintaining a range-bound outlook.
Wall Street is on the cusp of a bearish reversal but for now we are assuming it is just a correction within the broader bull market. The index is priced at 41,817, below the VWAP (20) of 42,658. Support is positioned at 41,810, and resistance is at 43,496. The RSI at 28 indicates oversold conditions, which could mark the end of the correction.
Brent Crude has made a swift transition into a bullish impulsive phase, trading strongly at 8049, well above the VWAP (20) of 7533. Support is set at 7031, and resistance is at 8040. The RSI at 76 points to overbought momentum, adding confirmation to the bullish trend.
Gold is looking more bullish but holds a neutral stance for now, trading at 2,686, pushing above the VWAP (20) of 2,640 and into the upper band. Support and resistance are at 2,586 and 2,690, respectively. An RSI of 60 highlights the slightly bullish momentum, in line with the price action.
EUR/USD persists in its bearish impulsive trend, trading at 1.0218, below the VWAP (20) of 1.0352 - a fresh multi year low. Support is around current levels, and resistance is identified at 1.0489. The RSI at 31 suggests near oversold conditions, signaling little evidence of any bullish turnaround.
GBP/USD is falling like a rock - continuing its bearish impulsive move, trading at 1.2130, significantly below the VWAP (20) of 1.2453. Support stands at 1.2180, while resistance is found at 1.2726. The RSI at 30 reflects oversold momentum, aligning with continued bearish sentiment.
USD/JPY is trading in a tight correction within its bullish trend, trading at 157.36, aligned with the VWAP (20) of 157.40. Support is noted at 156.58, and resistance is at 158.27. The RSI at 56 indicates flat momentum.