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GER30 trade ideas

DAX: CORRECTION OR NEW TREND?Analyzing the 60-minute chart, I believe there is still room for further downside in order to complete what I interpret as a five-wave structure within a larger corrective wave C, which itself forms part of a broader wave 4 of higher degree. This corrective phase appears to be unfolding within a clearly bullish long-term trend, as confirmed by the weekly chart, which remains well-aligned to the upside. 📉 Potential downside targets: 22,024 21,741 Once this corrective move is complete, I expect the uptrend to resume, potentially offering renewed long opportunities aligned with the prevailing weekly bullish structure.
CAPITALCOM:DE40
by COLOMBINI-TRADING
"GERMANY40" GER40/DAX Indices Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "GERMANY40" GER40/DAX Indices market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Book Profits, Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!" Buy entry above 23000 Sell Entry below 22100 However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: -Thief SL placed at 22600 for Bullish Trade -Thief SL placed at 22600 for Bearish Trade Using the 30min period, the recent / swing low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: -Bullish Robbers TP 24100 (or) Escape Before the Target -Bearish Robbers TP 21200 (or) Escape Before the Target 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT data, Sentimental Outlook: "GERMANY40" GER40/DAX Indices market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bearishness)., driven by several key factors. 🔰Fundamental Analysis The GER40 index has experienced a moderate decline of 2.5% in February, with the index currently standing at 22,500 points. Company earnings have been mixed, with some companies exceeding expectations while others have disappointed. The dividend yield for the GER40 is around 2.5%, which is relatively attractive compared to other major European indices. 🔰Macro Economics The European Central Bank (ECB) has maintained its hawkish stance, keeping interest rates at 4.25% to combat inflation. Germany's GDP growth rate is expected to slow down to 1.5% in 2025, due to the ongoing economic uncertainty. Global trade tensions, particularly between the US and China, continue to impact the German market. 🔰Global Market Analysis The GER40 is experiencing a bearish trend, with a 0.5% decline in the last 24 hours. The index is currently trading at 22,500, with a high of 22,600 and a low of 22,400. 🔰COT Data Speculators (Non-Commercials): 45,011 long positions and 30,015 short positions. Hedgers (Commercials): 25,019 long positions and 40,011 short positions. Asset Managers: 30,015 long positions and 20,019 short positions. 🔰Market Sentiment Analysis The overall sentiment for the GER40 is bearish, with a mix of negative and neutral predictions. 55% of client accounts are short on this market, indicating a bearish sentiment. 🔰Positioning Analysis The long/short ratio for the GER40 is currently unknown. The open interest for the GER40 is approximately €10 billion. 🔰Quantitative Analysis The GER40 has a relatively high volatility, with an average true range (ATR) of 150 points. The index is currently trading below its 50-day moving average, indicating a bearish trend. 🔰Intermarket Analysis The GER40 is highly correlated with the Euro Stoxx 50 index, with a correlation coefficient of 0.85. The index is also highly correlated with the DAX index, with a correlation coefficient of 0.90. 🔰News and Events Analysis The GER40 has been impacted by the ongoing economic uncertainty in Europe. The index has also been affected by the decline in German industrial production. 🔰Next Trend Move Bearish Prediction: Some analysts predict a potential bearish move, targeting 22,000 and 21,800, due to the ongoing economic uncertainty and decline in German industrial production. Bullish Prediction: Others predict a potential bullish move, targeting 23,000 and 23,200, due to the attractive valuations and potential economic recovery. 🔰Overall Summary Outlook The overall outlook for the GER40 is bearish, with a mix of negative and neutral predictions. The market is expected to experience a moderate decline, with some analysts predicting a potential bearish move targeting 22,000 and 21,800. 🔰Real-Time Market Feed As of the current time, the GER40 is trading at 22,500, with a 0.5% decline in the last 24 hours. 🔰Future Prediction Short-Term: Bearish: 22,200-22,000, Bullish: 22,800-23,000 Medium-Term: Bearish: 21,800-21,600, Bullish: 23,200-23,400 Long-Term: Bearish: 21,400-21,200, Bullish: 24,000-24,200 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
FOREXCOM:GER40
by Thief_Trader
1
German $DAX ($EWG) Topping Out?Originally posted on 3/12, but blocked b/c I referenced my X account. Looks like a bearish move could be materializing alongside broader risk asset weakness: Is the XETR:DAX topping out? Monthly RSI @ 80+ w/ weekly nosing over and daily bearish divergences observable. Index high from 3/6 coincided with the 261.8% Fibonacci extension of the 11/2021-10/2022 uptrend correction. Confirmation short setup could materialize $FDAX closes below pivot low of the 1D uptrend (22226), bounces off of short-term demand (ex: 22142-21691, and trades into supply ≥ 22226. This scenario is speculative - the market needs to show its hand. Presently, DAX is up > 1.5% alongside US stocks, which dipped into intermediate-term demand and benefited from softer-than-expected CPI prints. However, DAX (and domestic) bulls haven't proven anything yet. Unless buyers manage to push the DAX higher - initially above 22900 and secondarily through 23000-23200 - on accelerating momentum, risk remains to the downside (IMO). German stocks have been global relative strength leaders as of late, so if they do correct, other equity indexes may retreat in tandem. Long-term charts for US indices ( SP:SPX , NASDAQ:NDX , TVC:RUT ) look more bearish vs. bullish (I still have some shorts on), though a near-term recovery is plausible. If domestic equities do trade lower, selling could materialize in Asian and European markets. Use LTF charts to monitor price action/manage risk and splice into shorts if German stocks AMEX:EWG start to crack. My $0.02. Feedback welcome. Jon
XETR:DAXShort
by JHartCharts
2
DAX Bull Run Bubble Is Bursting.In 2025, the DAX is projected to experience a significant reversal following a bullish surge that peaked at 23,500 points. This anticipated downturn is expected to unfold in three distinct steps, marking a bearish correction. The first step in this decline would see the index retreat to 21,000 points, signaling the initial phase of selling pressure. The second step is forecasted to bring the index further down to 19,500 points, reflecting mounting concerns and potential profit-taking by investors. Finally, the third step is projected to culminate in a drop to 17,500 points, completing the retracement and potentially resetting the market for future movements. This three-step decline underscores the cyclical nature of financial markets and highlights the importance of strategic risk management during periods of heightened volatility. Investors should closely monitor macroeconomic factors and market sentiment and Candlestick patterns as these levels are approached.
FXOPEN:GDAXIM
by SEYED98
3
DAX Index: Further Upside Ahead? On the DAX chart, we’re tracking a very large diagonal pattern to the upside, which is likely not yet complete. We are probably in the late stages of circle wave C, within a larger third wave in the yellow scenario. Upside Targets Next resistance levels: 24,205 and 25,715 EUR Support Zone for Wave 4 Support area: 22,512 to 21,610 EUR This zone would become more relevant if the current rally completes and Wave 4 begins. On the very small time frame, it’s possible that the internal fourth-wave pullback within circle wave C has already started. Micro support remains between 22,512 and 21,610 EUR A break below 22,260 EUR would help confirm that wave 4 is underway However, one more high is still possible before that pullback begins—this would align with the white scenario, where the current move finishes wave 3 before wave 4 kicks in.
XETR:DAX
by MCOGlobal
1
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?DAX40 (DE40) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 22,884.11 1st Support: 22,267.92 1st Resistance: 23,476.03 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:DE40Long
by ICmarkets
1
GER40 (DAX 40) AnalysisThe German DAX 40 index (GER40) recently tested key support around 22,063.63 and exhibited a bullish reaction.​ 📈 Bullish Scenario: If GER40 sustains above 22,063.63, it may push towards the 22,775.84 resistance zone.​ A break above 22,775.84 could open the way for a break and retest, potentially leading to a continuation towards the 23,395.75 resistance level.​ 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold above 22,063.63, further downside towards 21,231.97 may be observed.​ ⚠ Risk Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a trading signal. Market conditions can change rapidly, especially in light of recent geopolitical developments. Always confirm market conditions using your own strategy before making any trading decisions.
THINKMARKETS:GER40
by juniormoseki1
4-hr Germany 40: Price Meets Important Resistance in Down TrendOver the past week, the DAX has experienced a sharp decline, plunging by an astonishing 3,400 points. This downward movement is not isolated, as its international counterparts, such as the UK100 and US100, are also facing significant losses. This widespread market downturn suggests a prevailing risk-off sentiment among investors. Given the current conditions, we anticipate a further decline of approximately 700 points. Our outlook is reinforced by the appearance of the "death cross," a well-known technical pattern signaling a bearish trend. Historically, this formation has been a reliable indicator of continued selling pressure. To capitalize on this movement, we executed a sell trade at 22,490, a key level coinciding with the 38% Fibonacci retracement. This level has repeatedly acted as strong resistance in previous market cycles, making it a strategic entry point for our trade. Considering the heightened market volatility, we have implemented a stop-loss (SL) with a 2% buffer from our entry price. This allows for some flexibility while mitigating excessive risk. By combining technical analysis with prudent risk management, we aim to navigate the ongoing bearish momentum effectively.
CAPITALCOM:DE40Short
by Trendsharks
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends. The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Analysis Germany 40 has shifted into a corrective phase within what is still just a bullish trend overall, currently trading around 22,042, below its 20-day VWAP of 22,850. The RSI at 37.2 reflects weakening momentum, aligning with the recent downside break. Immediate support lies at 22,043. A reversal above resistance at 23,551 would be needed to revive bullish sentiment. UK 100 remains in a neutral, consolidative phase after stalling from earlier gains. It’s quoted at 8,553, just under its 20-day VWAP of 8,644. The RSI of 39.2 shows a loss of momentum, leaning slightly bearish. Key support is marked at 8,500, and only a break above 8,763 would signal fresh upward traction. Wall Street continues in a bearish trend with a corrective bounce already having rolled over as of Friday, currently at 41,299—just below the VWAP of 41,814. An RSI of 36 (having failed to overcome the 50 level) suggests a lack of bullish conviction. The key downside level is 40,840, while 42,787 stands as initial resistance on any recovery. Brent Crude holds a bearish trajectory but the corrective move is gathering steam, trading at 7,289, above the 20-day VWAP of 7,131. The RSI at 55.2 is neutral, offering little directional clarity. Immediate support sits at 6,856, while 7,405 will test further upside. Gold continues to sprint into record highs, quoted at 3,117 and well above the 20-day VWAP of 3,004. The RSI at 76.8 is firmly in overbought territory, highlighting stretched momentum but also strength. While some pullback could occur, support is seen way back at 2,883, with the recent highs acting as near-term resistance before 3200. EUR/USD sustains its bullish setup as it undergoes a dip trading at 1.0814, marginally below the VWAP of 1.0848. The RSI at 55.7 leans constructive though lacks strong momentum. Near-term support is at 1.07476, while 1.09489 is the next resistance zone to watch for continuation. GBP/USD is still bullish as it sits in a tight correction, priced at 1.29306, holding above its 20-day VWAP of 1.29302. The RSI at 57.1 supports the ongoing trend but shows moderation from previous highs. A break below 1.28721 may trigger caution, while further upside needs a break of 1.30069. USD/JPY holds a bearish trend but it has flattened out and is currently in a corrective bounce, quoted at 149.30 and near its VWAP of 149.30. RSI at 47.2 remains neutral. If sellers regain control, support is at 147.00. On the upside, clearing 151.12 could shift sentiment back toward bullish territory.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex
ger 30 review GER shows a mild bearish undertone with potential for a larger drawdown if global risk isn't contained (I'll cover global risk in another post). Doing a top-down approach, the weekly chart is the most concerning—it signals a quarterly sell-off aiming to clear a long-range liquidity pocket. I'm eyeing 21480 as the profit-booking event, likely occurring around the 5.12-28.25 area. Another eyesore is the pseudo swing at the 2.10.-3.10.25 range. Easy pickings here, as the semi-quarter liquidity pocket built during this span is just price establishing its first-half data entries. For a more immediate weekly play, sells to sweep 22,250 are easy calls—I wouldn't be surprised by an early-week sell-off, mid-week wick formation dipping into a WVol discount, and then continuation, or something similar within that cycle. Important note: CC entries are nearly off the table completely, so what retail traders call "consolidation" will just be an easy shakeout. Eager sellers get chopped first, followed by breakout traders getting eaten alive. The golden signals to watch here are Cerberus calling weekly sells and a 3D Cerberus sell as well. Moving to the daily intraweek forecast, we have a Friday jefe formation, but I'm not eager to play it as the simpler position is the DVol sell. There are still plenty of errors from the 2.21-3.4.25 span that haven't been cleaned up. Additionally, the 3.13.25 error CC just got cleared, helping form the jefe. Early week, I'm anticipating a fake-out followed by a sell-off. By mid-week, we're aiming to clear the 2.21 error and set up the early month open trap. Note that the WVol entry will be the third leg on the 1M timeframe—easy sells for the larger sell-side target at the 1M CC entry. With this perspective, expect the fake-out potentially lasting until around 4.12.25, after which the real move unfolds. Heading into April, don't be the fool trying to buy the "market structure shift, pullback" setups.
FX:GER30Short
by BIGPOPPA999