Nasdaq analysis: 21-Jan-2025Good morning, traders! Today's Nasdaq analysis will help you achieve your trading goals. Let's work together towards success.
NAS100 trade ideas
Weekly Market Outlook and trade ideas for 20Jan to 24 janThis week’s market outlook focuses on potential trades for Gold, EUR/USD, DXY, GBP/USD, BTC/USD, and EUR/GBP, emphasizing bullish trends in Gold and mixed signals for other pairs.
Highlights
📈 Gold shows bullish momentum, breaking December highs.
📉 DXY faced a bearish candle but remains bullish long-term.
💹 EUR/USD is positioned for upward movement before a potential sell.
📊 BTC/USD looks for buying opportunities below the 50% range.
📉 GBP/USD may rise before a downside move.
📈 EUR/GBP trades in premium range, planning shorts at higher levels.
📈 NASDAQ shows bullish potential with targets set for highs.
Key Insights
📊 Gold’s Bullish Trend: Gold has broken past December’s highs, indicating strong bullish sentiment. This momentum is supported by market optimism, suggesting continued upside potential.
📉 DXY’s Short-term Volatility: Although recent news led to a bearish candle, the long-term outlook remains positive for DXY, with potential for recovery and upward movement in the near future.
💱 EUR/USD Trading Strategy: A bullish move is anticipated before a potential sell-off, providing opportunities for traders to capitalize on short-term gains before positioning for a downward trend.
📈 BTC/USD Entry Zone: A focus on buying BTC/USD below the 50% range of the recent move indicates a strategic approach to capitalize on potential reversals from established support levels.
🔄 GBP/USD Range Dynamics: GBP/USD shows potential for a short-term upward movement before a correction, highlighting the importance of timing in trading strategies.
📉 EUR/GBP Short Positioning: Targeting short entries in the premium range reflects a disciplined trading strategy based on market dynamics and price action in EUR/GBP.
📊 NASDAQ’s Bullish Outlook: With significant targets set for recent highs, NASDAQ demonstrates strong bullish potential, suggesting opportunities for traders to engage in upward momentum.
POST INAUGURATION..The market has tried to rally but has been very limited, keeps getting pulled back into the pendant area. However, the 1day chart has broken the moving resistance, but again it also is being pulled back under, after today the picture will become clearer.
At the moment this stand off between bull and bear can go either way.
Just my opinion, not a financial advice.
Nasdaq100 4H Timeframe AnalysisNasdaq100 4H Timeframe Analysis
Trend Analysis
On the 4-hour timeframe, Nasdaq100 was initially in a downtrend, characterized by lower highs and lows until reaching a major support level at 20,500. After testing and retesting this major support, the price reversed and moved upward, breaking through the minor key levels between 21,000 and 21,300. This breakout marked a change in trend direction, shifting from a downtrend to an uptrend. The price is now creating higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), signaling further bullish momentum. Liquidity was formed below the minor key resistance at 21,300, which sets up a potential continuation pattern for the uptrend.
Price Action Expectation:
Wait for the price to retrace back to the minor key resistance zone around 21,350 and confirm that the trend is continuing upward. The breakout above 21,300 should provide confirmation that the bullish trend is intact, with the next move targeting the next resistance level at 21,680.
Trade Setup:
Trade Type: Buy Limit
Entry: 21,350.0 (upon price retracing back to minor key resistance and confirming trend continuation)
Stop Loss: 21,190.0 (below liquidity zone to avoid false breakouts)
Take Profit: 21,680.0 (targeting the next minor key resistance level)
This setup capitalizes on the liquidity formation and breakout above the minor key resistance, aiming for a continuation of the uptrend.
Fundamental Outlook:
Overall, Trump’s policies on trade will influence investor sentiment globally. If Trump’s trade overhaul creates a favorable business environment and fairer trade deals, the Nasdaq-100 could experience growth, especially in the tech sector. However, if trade relations deteriorate or tariffs increase, the index might face increased volatility. The Nasdaq-100, as a key barometer for U.S. economic growth, will reflect the market’s confidence in Trump’s ability to navigate these challenges.
In conclusion, while the Nasdaq-100 could benefit from Trump’s promises of deregulation and improved trade deals, the market must brace for the volatility that often accompanies his unpredictable policy shifts. Investors should remain vigilant to any changes in trade dynamics that could impact the performance of major tech stocks and the broader market.
Risk Management:
Maintain a 1:2+ risk-to-reward ratio for optimal returns.
Ensure that your position size is aligned with your account equity and risk tolerance.
Be cautious of false breakouts by monitoring liquidity zones and adjusting your stop-loss if necessary.
Trading involves substantial risks and may not be suitable for all investors. Always seek guidance from a financial professional if you’re unsure about trading decisions.
Nasdaq a complété ses 5-VaguesAreas labeled as "Liquidity" and "Lots of Liquidity" represent price zones where stop-loss orders or pending orders may cluster. These zones are likely points of interest for reversals or breakouts.
Support and Resistance:
A horizontal yellow line marks a potential key support level around 21,000.
The upper horizontal lines indicate resistance levels near 21,447 and 21,676, respectively.
A bearish move is predicted to complete Wave 6, targeting the support zone near 21,000 (specifically around 0.72 Fibonacci retracement level).
Following this, an upward movement is projected towards the liquidity zone near 21,802.
Potential Upside:
The target at 21,802 represents a significant upward liquidity grab after the predicted downward move.
NAS LOOKS BEAUTIFULClear Break Of Structure and Trend Reversal. Nas looks like it will continue bullish and possibly bounce off of previous levels marked off! LETS SEE!!
The key is whether it can be supported at 21673.4
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Important factors when analyzing charts are
- Support and resistance points
- StochRSI indicator
If you have the above two factors, I think you can analyze the charts quickly and briefly.
Support and resistance points should be drawn on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
You can analyze the chart by checking whether the line drawn in this way is supported or not while referring to the movement of the StochRSI indicator on the 1D chart.
The 21673.4-22013.5 section, which is indicated as a high point boundary section, is likely to act as resistance.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone, it is important to see if it can break through the high point boundary zone upward.
In other words, we can see that the high point boundary zone is more likely to act as resistance.
The volatility period is expected to occur around January 29.
Therefore, in order to maintain an upward trend, it must show support at the high point boundary zone after the volatility period.
If not, it will eventually fall.
At this time, what we should pay attention to is the movement of the StochRSI indicator.
The longer the StochRSI indicator remains in the overbought zone, the more likely it is that the StochRSI indicator will show a large decline if there is a slight price decline.
When the StochRSI indicator falls to or below the 50 point, if it shows support at around 21673.4, it is highly likely that it will show an upward trend by breaking through the high point boundary zone upward.
To maintain the current short-term uptrend, the price needs to stay above 21068.2-21321.9.
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The settings for the StochRSI indicator are 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D).
The source value is ohlc4.
With these settings, you can see the movement similar to the StochRSI indicator on my chart.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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US100 LongOf course no financial advice!!!!
It looks like that there is lots of liquidity in the market but the buying pressure is stronger than the selling pressure. We are in an uptrend so I guess the market wants to grab/sweep the Liquidity Levels and then continue flying up to the moon to the ATH and also grab there some liquidity.
NAS100 Trade ideaNAS100 is on an up trend and is breaking above key levels while continuing to respect structure. Price has just broken above a key level and gave a retest followed by a double bottom rejection to confirm a buy entry
35 years of NASDAQ in a simple view - you are HEREThis is a good thing to think about, periodically. On the big picture, we're riding the lower trendline and in a really tight range. some things I noticed: If we touch that lower trendline, buy. It isn't unlikely that we hit that top trendline, at some point. Based on these two observations, I'd say NASDAQ has room to run over the long-term.
20-1 Nass100:Despite the fact that today was a holiday in the US, the developments in the Middle East and the US itself do have an impact on the stocks including the tech stocks.
Our signal system gives a neutral / long signal with a Score of +7 consisting of Cot Data 0, Retail sentiment -2, Seasonality 2, Trend reading 1, GDP 1, Manufacturing PMI 1, Services PMI 1, Retail Sales -1, Inflation 1, Employment change 1, Unemployment Rate 1, Interest Rates
1. We expect the Nas to come back to where it has been in the past year. We have set up a buy range from 21500.
NAS100 ICC Long Trade SetupNas is showing strong buyers presence by breaking recent highs, I'd enter buys if Nas breaks above the next high giving us indication to push higher.
NAS100 Buy Opportunity: Technical and Market AnalysisNAS100 Buy Opportunity: Technical and Market Analysis
Technical Analysis
1. Breakout Above Trend Line:
• The NAS100 has successfully broken out of a long-term descending trend line, signaling a reversal from bearish momentum to bullish strength.
• This breakout is further supported by sustained bullish candles, confirming a shift in market sentiment.
2. Key Resistance Levels Breached:
• The price recently broke above a significant resistance level at 21,500, turning it into a support zone.
• With this key resistance cleared, the next target levels are 21,750 and 22,000 in the short term.
3. Support Levels:
• Strong support is visible around 21,400, which aligns with the trendline retest and consolidation area.
• The 21,150 level provides additional downside protection, serving as a critical pivot.
4. Momentum Indicators:
• Stochastic Divergence: Momentum remains bullish, with no signs of overbought conditions, suggesting room for further upward movement.
• Volume Surge: The breakout was accompanied by increased volume, validating the strength of the upward move.
Market Analysis
1. Trump’s Presidential Inauguration:
• Markets often react positively to pro-business policies, which are historically associated with Trump’s administration.
• Investor sentiment today is driven by expectations of renewed focus on technology growth, infrastructure spending, and potential tax cuts. These policies directly benefit tech-heavy indices like NAS100.
2. Tech Sector Performance:
• The NAS100 heavily relies on major tech companies, which are likely to see increased investment flows due to optimism about innovation and deregulation.
3. Speculative Sentiment:
• Political transitions fuel short-term speculative buying, further adding to the index’s upside momentum.
Buy Opportunity
1. Entry Zone:
• Current price levels around 21,500–21,550 present a strong buying opportunity, as this zone has become a solid support after the breakout.
2. Target Levels:
• Short-term target: 21,750.
• Medium-term target: 22,000, aligning with psychological resistance and historical price zones.
3. Stop Loss:
• Place a stop loss below the support level at 21,400, allowing room for minor pullbacks while limiting downside risk.
Conclusion
The NAS100 is positioned for further upside due to the trendline breakout, strong technical setup, and positive market sentiment fueled by Trump’s inauguration. Buyers should focus on buying dips near support zones to capitalize on the ongoing bullish momentum.
NASDAQ Reversal: Bullish Patterns AlignThe NASDAQ, after enduring bearish pressure, is beginning to exhibit signs of bullish momentum at a significant daily support level. A combination of technical signals, including a bullish divergence, the completion of an ABCD pattern, and the formation of a bullish inverted head-and-shoulders pattern, points toward a potential reversal. A confirmed breakout above the neckline could validate further bullish momentum, presenting an attractive buy opportunity at 21,056. A strategically placed stop loss at 20,521 allows for adequate room to account for market fluctuations.
NASDAQ // countertrend breakThe market is at the countertrend break.
There is a clean (not tested) H4 breakdown close to the highest daily peak that needs attention and position management, but above that, the target fibo levels are valid targets.
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Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated.
Level colors:
Daily - blue
Weekly - purple
Monthly - magenta
H4 - aqua
Long trigger - green
Short trigger - red
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Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
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US100 POSSIBLE BUYThe market is currently testing the current Weekly 0.786 Fib area. Based on Daily and 4HR TF, the market seems to be a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
Trump's inauguration sends the Tech sector's 'time to shine'The 2nd inauguration of Donald Trump (now to sworn as the 47th president of the United States) is here and expected to take place on Monday, January 20, 2025.
Crowds are gathering in Washington DC in freezing conditions ahead of this most anticipated over past several months event.
Tech sector stocks are about to have a welcome moment also.
The main technical graph for Nasdaq-100 indicates here's "time to shine" as positive fundamental and technical catalysts converge.
A rising potential for AI monetization via agentic AI as a technology can autonomously accomplish complex tasks on the user's behalf.
The fact is that widespread AI adoption has happened heavily more rapidly than PC and internet adoption in prior major technology cycles, which could mean that AI is closer than expected.
As a result, qualitative commentary on ramping up enterprise AI adoption during earnings calls will likely evolve into indications of incremental revenue boosts this year, before more meaningful monetization as early as 2026, they add.
Such a trajectory would likely be a welcome development for many AI investors who expressed worries last summer after pouring such huge amounts of money into the tech with little signs of a return on investment.
In technical terms, Tech heavy Nasdaq-100 futures has been supported a week ago by 100-Day SMA, and now an epic breakthrough of the Reversed Head-and-Shoulders technical figure is coming.
Descending Bearish channel seems is clearly broken in this time.
SELL NAS 100*I am in no way a financial advisor and you should always do your own due diligence before placing any trade. Do not trade what you are not comfortable with losing. No trade is guaranteed.
Sell Nas 100
Stop loss 21594
Take profit 20,661
PO3Market has created am inefficiency at the 15 minutes timeframe while Asian session was purged during London open were looking at taking the second imbalance at our premium zone targeting a 1,1,3 RRR our trade might be executed during 9:30 New York time.
we are using ICT power of three AMD
USNAS100: Breakout Confirmed with Correction & Bullish PotentialUSNAS100 Technical Analysis
The price has broken out of the channel and stabilized above it. A correction is expected to 21,380 before pushing upward toward 21,630. If a 4-hour candle closes above 21,630, the bullish trend is likely to extend toward 21,760.
For a bearish outlook, the price must break below 21,380 with a 4-hour candle close, targeting the 21,215 level and below.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 21385
Resistance Levels: 21520, 21630, 21760
Support Levels: 21215, 21090, 20980
Trend Outlook
Bullish: While above 21,385
Bearish: If 21,385 is broken
NASDAQ Major Lower Highs break-out just took place!Nasdaq (NDX) broke on Friday above the Lower Highs trend-line that started more than a month ago on the December 16 2024 High that initiated the recent correction. This has technically been a Bearish Leg within the +2 year Channel Up and every time such a structure broke above its Lower Highs trend-line, a strong rally followed.
At the same time, the 1D MACD just completed a Bullish Cross below the 0.0 neutral level and out of the 9 previous time this took place, it only failed to produce an immediate rally 2 times.
We technically see that the current Bullish Leg that started on the August 05 2024 Low, isn't over yet, so we still expect it to complete a +47% to +48% rise before a stronger correction. As a result, our Target is 25000.
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Liquidity Grab on the Upside of Nas100I will be focusing on the liquidity grab to the upside where as there is a Buyside imbalance on the daily that can be used to reprice for more upside propulsion
NASDAQ100 Long The anticipated red W-iii top came and went, and the red W-iv has most likely also been completed. Note that these levels align with what we already anticipated in late November, showing the forecasting power one can enjoy using the EW.
Thus, contingent on holding at least above $20800, the orange warning level for the Bulls, and especially above the January 13 low at $20538, we should expect the index to reach the red W-v’s ideal target zone at $22825-23400. The red arrow shows the standard W-v = W-i level at $23025. Meanwhile, we have penciled in a standard Fibonacci-based impulse pattern with the green W-1? through W-5? for this red W-v.
However, since we’re most likely dealing with an Ending Diagonal from the August 2024 low, which comprises a 3-3-3-3-3 pattern, we may see short-term deviations, i.e., an a-b-c advance from the January 13 low. Regardless, and since the short-term is always the most variable and, therefore, the least certain, we keep our eyes on the price: $22825-23400.
