USNAS100 – Bearish Bias Below 21780 Ahead of CPI and Trade TalksUSNAS100 – Bearish Pressure Below 21780, CPI & Trade Talks in Focus
Overview:
USNAS100 remains under downward pressure ahead of a key macro week, including US-China trade talks and the upcoming US CPI data.
Technically, price remains bearish while below the pivot level at 21780.
A break below 21635 may lead to further downside toward 21470 and potentially 21360.
On the upside, a 1H close above 21780 could invalidate the bearish view and open the path toward 21920 and the ATH at 22200.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 21780
Support: 21635, 21470, 21360
Resistance: 21920, 22200
NAS100 trade ideas
SELL NAS100This is my analysis of NAS100. These are the sell confirmations:
1. Doble top
2. Double top aligned with Fair Value Gap
3. Currently retesting the neckline of the double top
4. The trendline has been touched 3 times and therefore it is a weak trendline. It will be broken.
5. Please do not follow my take profit positions - when your profits make you smile, close the trade.
Trade what you see and not what you feel!
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument Part 39I know I sound like a broken record, however the NAS100's behavior does not make it easier for me to be anything different.
This historically bullish instrument only makes HL to HH's and will continue to do so unless there is a total collapse of the United States economy and the Monthly timeframe would then have to start making LH's to LL's...There would be more than enough time for one to make adjustments to trade that move if that scenario were to happen..
So for all you conspiracy theorists out there who are waiting for a sudden collapse of the markets...NOT GOING TO HAPPEN...
As I have said time and time again, ever sell that the market makes is only a temporary retracement to form a HL on a larger timeframe and so if you are really trading the trend, you just wait for your largest HL to be completed and then you enter your buy back to your HH...that is all that is required...plain and simple.
The sooner you master this practice is the faster you will see phenomenal results in your trading profits and the ease with which the markets produce profits.
Now for the real analysis:
1. The Lowest point of 2025 was made on 4/6/2025 @7:10 pm
2. That signaled the HL on the monthly timeframe.
3. Since then the price has been steadily climbing back towards the previous ATH so that it will break it and produce another ATH
4. Once this ATH has been made, the market will then start creating opportunities for another retracement however, only after the buy has been completed and all the necessary retests have been done
Entry and Exit points
1. Remember once you take your largest HL...your TP will be your HH
2. Once you TP on your HH...you wait for another largest HL to take another buy...
Remember this strategy requires patience and observation of every single timeframe and understanding how every single timeframe talks to each corresponding timeframe.
It does not happen overnight and by reading a few posts...
It requires constant practice and adjustments on your part.
So have another great trading week.
#oneauberstrategy
#auberstrategy
#whywewait
#zigzagtheory
#patience
NASDAQ: Close to a strong bounce.Nasdaq is about to turn overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.736, MACD = 505.460, ADX = 18.046) as it is extending an uptrend since the 4H MA50 test/bounce. Such low paced price increase typically precedes strong breakouts. Since the long term pattern is a Channel Up, we are still on its 3rd bullish wave overall. The prior ones were +9.50% on avg, so we remain bullish on the short term, TP = 22,500.
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USNAS100 | CPI Data to Drive Next Move – Key Pivot at 21790USNAS100 | OVERVIEW
The index is showing sensitive price action, especially after stabilizing above the pivot level at 21790. The release of U.S. CPI data will likely dominate today's movements.
If CPI > 2.5%:
Stronger inflation could pressure the index lower. A drop toward 21790 is expected, and a break below this level may extend the bearish trend toward 21635, and possibly 21480. However, holding above 21790 may keep the bullish structure intact.
If CPI < 2.5%:
Weaker-than-expected inflation would support bullish momentum, with potential to push higher toward 22090 and test the all-time high at 22200.
Support Lines: 21790, 21635, 21480
Resistance Lines: 22090, 22200
USNAS100 | Breakout or Breakdown?USNAS100 | OVERVIEW
The price is currently stabilizing below the pivot level at 21790, suggesting continued bearish momentum.
📉 As long as the index remains below 21790, we expect a decline toward 21635. A confirmed 1H candle close below this level could extend the bearish trend toward 21470.
📈 A shift to bullish momentum will require a 1H candle close above 21820, which could open the way to 22090 and potentially a new all-time high at 22200.
Support Lines: 21635, 21470
Resistance Lines: 21930, 22090, 22200
USNAS100 | Bearish Below 21635 Amid Geopolitical UncertaintyUSNAS100 | OVERVIEW
The index is currently under bearish momentum driven by escalating geopolitical tensions.
As long as the situation remains unresolved, downward pressure is expected to continue.
Outlook:
As long as the price stays below the pivot at 21635, the index is likely to drop toward 21470.
A confirmed break below 21470 could accelerate the decline toward 21250, and eventually 21065.
Pivot Line: 21635
Support Levels: 21470, 21250, 21065
Resistance Levels: 21790, 21930, 22090
Nasdaq - This starts the next +50% rally!Nasdaq - TVC:NDQ - might break out soon:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Despite the quite harsh correction of about -25% which we saw in the beginning of 2025, the Nasdaq is clearly heading for new all time highs. It sounds almost incredible but if the Nasdaq breaks above the current confluence of resistance, a breakout rally of +50% will follow thereafter.
Levels to watch: $21.500, $33.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bullish continuation?USTEC is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 21,115.24
1st Support: 20,647.83
1st Resistance: 22,217.62
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
SELLING NAS100 TODAY!Sell confirmations on 1 HR TF
1. Fair Value Gap retracement
2. Double top aligned with Fair Value Gap
3. If TL broken, another confirmation of a sell.
Basic trading, no stress, no complications - trade what you see and not what you feel.
Take Profit level - I am holding until Friday, but you can take profit if the money makes you smile.
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Swing-low support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 21,479.25 which is a swing-low support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 21,320.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 21,721.90 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Nasdaq will reach 25'000 still no body see it?Current level: 21,876
Previous ATH: 22,222.61
Next stop? Well… if you ask the pivot levels they're whispering "23347.20, baby."
What we’re looking at is not just a strong recovery it’s a market that refuses to take a breather. With weekly candles forming higher lows and pivot zones behaving like polite suggestions rather than resistance, it’s hard not to think the index is gearing up for a proper breakout.
Sure, skeptics will say we’re overextended. Bears will point to the volume spikes and say “exhaustion.” But momentum? She's dancing in stilettos on top of R3 like it's a catwalk.
Now, here's the fun part:
If this rhythm keeps up and if inflation, rates, and the Fed behave like decent background characters then 25,000 by the end of the year isn’t just possible. It's that slightly overconfident friend at the party who's already halfway into a celebratory toast.
So… who dares to trust the trend?
Because let’s be honest: being early is painful, being late is expensive but being in the trend? That’s just good business.
📈 Trade safe, manage risk, and don’t fight the trend. Unless you're into that kind of thrill.
#tradehills #Pscarfo
Hedge funds are unusually bearish and here's why...We have a huge dealing range to short into and still remain bullish, it's basically free money on technical retracement/correction while not ruining the market.
The retailers have been buying since April but there is no institutional orderflow evidenced by no peak above average volume levels.
Technicals will reign supreme here. Trump is either trolling about the rate decrease or he has no idea about chart technicals 😮💨. I bet he's trolling, as he has cabinets on cabinets of market advisors who know fully how correction cycles work.
New High. Flat Divergence Bearish Divergence due to highs within price action with a double top on our RSI index. Ultimately we're in a large chopping block waiting to be released. If you assess SPX prior to downfall, you don't see unusual large rejections, it's progressive and it has been for a while. Safe bets... to 21,400
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?USTEC is rising toward the pivot, which serves as a pullback resistance. A reversal from this level could indicate a double top pattern, potentially leading to a price drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 22,270.83
1st Support: 21,142.23
1st Resistance: 23,070.85
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US100 Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US100 keeps growing but
The index will soon hit a
Horizontal resistance
Of 22,243 so after the
Retest we will be expecting
A local pullback and a
Local move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NSDQ100 uptrend consolidation supported at 21300Markets Rattled After Israel Strikes Iran
Israel launched major airstrikes on Iran, targeting nuclear and missile sites, as well as top military leaders. The move sharply escalates tensions in the Middle East and came despite warnings from former President Donald Trump, who was told of the attack only shortly beforehand. He later warned Iran that future strikes would be “even more brutal” if no deal is made.
Market Reaction:
Oil jumped up to 13% on fears of supply disruptions.
Gold climbed as investors rushed to safe-haven assets.
Stock futures and crypto fell on rising geopolitical risk.
The U.S. dollar dipped, then rebounded, as its role as a safe-haven asset came into focus.
Other Key Updates:
Trump wins court backing to keep troops in Los Angeles amid ongoing protests. A hearing is set for Tuesday.
Meta invests billions in Scale AI, bringing on its CEO to boost efforts in building artificial general intelligence. Meta is aggressively hiring top AI talent from firms like Google.
For Traders:
Watch oil and gold closely for continued volatility.
Safe-haven flows could drive further USD and gold moves.
Meta’s AI push may influence tech sector sentiment.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 22070
Resistance Level 2: 22370
Resistance Level 3: 22680
Support Level 1: 21300
Support Level 2: 21060
Support Level 3: 20820
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