NAS100 trade ideas
NAS100 Potential Intraday Shorts (Technical Analysis)Technical Outlook:
The price action since late February has been decisively bearish, characterized by a significant decline throughout March, indicating a clear mid-term distribution phase. We observed a recent rejection from a 4H and 1H supply zone (which fell within a pronounced drop-base-drop pattern). Notably, the most recent downward push failed to establish new lows. This follows a period of rapid decline with minimal bullish resistance. This suggests two possibilities:
Bulls are strategically allowing sellers to exhaust themselves before a potential countermove.
The prevailing bearish momentum is overpowering any attempts at bullish recovery.
Trading Considerations:
The daily candle has formed a bearish engulfing pattern, confirming strong selling pressure. My trading strategy involves waiting for a price retracement back into the identified supply zone. This pullback would serve to fill existing price imbalances and trigger resting orders above, providing an opportunity to enter short positions with improved risk-to-reward ratios on lower timeframes (LTFs). Currently, there are no indications of significant bullish manipulation. Therefore, I anticipate continued downward momentum this week. It's plausible that we might witness a final bearish surge coinciding with the FOMC announcement before a potential bullish reversal - a hypothetical scenario based on technical analysis.
Final Notes:
The previous instance of the price trading this far below the 200 EMA occurred in December 2022, marking the culmination of a year-long bearish trend. While we are currently only one month into this downward movement, it's crucial to remember that past performance is not indicative of future results. Although a bullish rally is possible, I will maintain a bearish bias and focus on short opportunities until a clear bullish reversal pattern emerges on the 4H and 1H timeframes. When such a reversal occurs, we will be ready to capitalize on the subsequent upward trend! ;)
Emergence of Bear Flag in Nasdaq The price action seems to be suggesting the formation of Bear Flag Pattern.
The price fell steeply and then gave a pullback, which is getting sold into.
As the channel of flag breaks downwards, the fall may gain momentum.
Further price action will confirm or negate the pattern, it may move cleanly or will have whipsaws.
If the price starts consolidating for long here, rather than breaking downwards, the pattern may fail.
Trade Safe
NSDQ100 INTRADAY Oversold bounce back capped at 19972Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 19972
Resistance Level 2: 20127
Resistance Level 3: 20658
Support Level 1: 19124
Support Level 2: 18732
Support Level 3: 18100
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Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks Structure – Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – The Way of the Silent Blade
⭐️ We do not predict—we calculate.
We do not react—we execute.
Patience is our shield. Precision is our sword.
🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward.
🩸 Bullish Structure Shatters -
Key Break Confirms the Path – 19830
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🩸 Bearish Structure Shatters
Key Break Confirms the Path – 19700 Zone
our reversal always at key level
even a reversal area is well studded
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set.
Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
US100 - Uptrend in Motion with Key Support LevelsOverview:
The US100 is currently trading within a well-defined upward channel, forming higher lows and maintaining a strong bullish structure. The price action suggests that as long as it stays within this channel, the bullish momentum is intact. However, there are key levels to watch if the structure is broken. A break below the channel could lead to a retracement toward an imbalance zone, which may act as a strong support area. If this level fails to hold, a deeper correction could follow.
Uptrend and Higher Lows Indicate Strength
The market is making consistent higher lows, confirming the presence of an uptrend.
The price remains within the ascending channel, suggesting that buyers are in control.
As long as the channel holds, we can expect a continuation of the bullish move with higher highs
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation Within the Channel
If the price continues to respect the channel structure, we could see further upside movement.
A bounce from the lower trendline of the channel would confirm strength and could lead to new highs.
Retracement to the Imbalance Zone
If the price breaks below the channel, it may find support at the imbalance zone.
This area has previously acted as a reaction point, and buyers could step in again.
A strong bullish reaction from this zone would provide confirmation for a potential move back up.
Bearish Breakdown Below the Imbalance Zone
If the imbalance zone fails to hold, selling pressure could increase.
This could trigger a deeper pullback, leading to a test of lower support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
Channel Support – If price remains inside, expect continued bullish momentum.
Imbalance Zone – A critical area where price could find support if the channel breaks.
Lower Support Levels – If both the channel and imbalance zone fail, a larger correction could follow.
Conclusion:
US100 remains bullish as long as it trades inside the channel, with higher lows supporting the uptrend. However, traders should monitor the channel breakout, as a move below could lead to a retest of the imbalance zone. If buyers hold this level, the uptrend may resume, but failure to hold could open the door for a further drop.
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NAS100 possibility of price rising/Divergence with US30On the higher timeframe, NAS100 maintains a bullish momentum. In recent days, the index has experienced a decline from the 22,226 high to 19,113. Notably, it has been trading within a rising channel and is currently positioned near the channel's support area. On lower timeframes, a divergence with the Dow Jones Index (US30) has been observed, suggesting a potential reversal. If a reversal occurs, an upward move toward 20,625 is anticipated, with a potential extension to 21,360.
A high-probability prediction of where the markets might go From what I see, I think the markets could reverse direction and make a new BoS on the 4 timeframe. We filled the FVG, took liquidity in the 4h structure and now we have not been able to make a new swing point, which resulted in ChoCh. Also the volume is high, this means a lot of liquidity was taken and reversal is happening (accumulation).
Macro data tells us that inflation has fallen, which could result in a rate cut. Uneployment also rose, which is another good indicator that supports my idea. PPI is negative this means producers are not raising prices. Overall everything is pretty pozitive, and I don't think Trump will affect this either.
People are getting used to it and the economy is adapting.
Whats you opinion on my analysis and todays market conditions?
Tell me your idea, i am opened to everything as always :)
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Important Breakout I spotted a great example of a bullish reversal on 📈US100.
The index formed a double bottom pattern on a 4-hour chart and broke and closed above a resistance line of a descending channel.
There is a positive response on retesting the key support level based on a broken neckline.
It is expected that the index will continue to rise towards the 20,000 / 20180 levels.
US100 Technical Analysis by TradingDONIf the NQ CAPITALCOM:US100 closes a 1-hour candle below the Fibonacci trend line and shows strong bearish momentum, I will set my target at 19,580. Conversely, if the NQ closes a 1-hour candle above the trend line with a strong bullish candle, I will identify 19,930 as the resistance level.
RISK ON or RISK OFF?? Correlations between JPY and the IndicesAs a trader it is imperative that you understand the correlation between the indices and 'flight to safety' currencies and how this determines whether you are in a risk on or risk off environment and how quickly that can change. You can use this information to help you make informed trading decisions in the market
NASDAQ and Elliott Wave.A 5 Wave move to the upside started around mid October 2022. Wave 2 was a Zigzag and 4 should be a Flat as per the rules. Indeed Wave 4 is a Flat and we are currently on Wave B of the Flat marked in Black. As we know, Wave B of a Flat MUST have 3 Waves(Two impulse and one corrective) marked as A,B,C(all in Green) and we are on the last Wave(C) of Wave B. A retest on the Fib level 161.8% would trigger a Wave C(Black) which would be Wave 4. All analysis is backed by Math and Logic.
Bullish bounce?USTEC has reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 19,631.95
1st Support: 19,126.61
1st Resistance: 20,332.42
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