NAS100 trade ideas
NSDQ100 INTRADAY trend change supported at 18950 Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 19590
Resistance Level 2: 20070
Resistance Level 3: 20344
Support Level 1: 18460
Support Level 2: 17820
Support Level 3: 17330
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How important is the time frame when you investWe’ve been discussing the possibility of a recession in the US for some time now, along with tariffs and the impact of Trump’s policies. This has led to declines of up to 25% in the US NASDAQ index, sparking panic among many investors. When investing for the long term, it’s important to be aware of where we are within the same time frame as our investment horizon—a 25% drop in the short term doesn’t necessarily have to be a concern for long-term investors.
In this case, we can see that the NASDAQ has established a massive uptrend over the years. As long as the main trend levels remain intact, we can’t even say the market is moving sideways. The market has provided one of the best opportunities to enter the NASDAQ, bouncing right off previous highs and demonstrating the strength of the trend.
By buying in the previous highs or near the long term trendline, means a very low risk with returns up to 30%.
Technical Breakdown on US100 Cash CFD | 1H Timeframe1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 18,758.52
Value Area Low (VAL): Approx. 18,259.03
Point of Control (POC):
Recent Session POC: 18,758.52
Previous Session POC: 18,259.03
High-volume nodes: Clustered around 18,600–18,750 – area of high interest and possible re-accumulation.
Low-volume gaps: Below 18,300 – could act as fast-move zones on breakdown.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Clusters:
Above 18,800 (recent swing high).
Below 18,250 (previous swing low).
Absorption Zones (Delta Volume Focus):
Strong absorption around 18,580–18,600; price has consolidated here indicating order filling.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
High-volume swing low: 18,259.03 (POC) – strong buying response seen post drop.
High-volume swing high: 18,758.52 – rejection seen here on low follow-through.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Currently Range-bound (CVD not showing clear accumulation/distribution trend).
ADX Strength:
ADX ≈ 18–20: Suggests weakening trend; possible sideways movement.
DI+ ≈ DI-: Confirms indecision.
CVD Confirmation:
CVD flattening at resistance suggests equal pressure from buyers and sellers.
No strong rising or falling trend in CVD; supports ranging bias.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 18,259.03
Previous swing low/absorption: 18,300
Resistance:
VAH: 18,758.52
Rejection level: 18,800
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Gann Lows: 18,259
Key Retracement Levels:
1/3 retrace from recent high: ~18,430
1/2 retrace: ~18,500
2/3 retrace: ~18,580
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Range-bound (confirmed by ADX near 20 and mixed CVD).
b) Notable Patterns:
Bearish rejection at VAH zone.
Potential descending channel forming from highs.
Fake-out above 18,750 followed by rejection – possible liquidity grab.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: Near 18,300–18,350 (absorption + VAL zone)
Targets:
T1: 18,580
T2: 18,750
Stop-Loss: Below 18,250
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: Near 18,750–18,800 (rejection area)
Target:
T1: 18,300
Stop-Loss: Above 18,850
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk 1–2% of total capital per trade for optimal drawdown management.
Downtrend looks to be continuing with a new lower highAre we targeting a new lower low? Time will tell, but with every passing day the true nature of a sitting president full of hot air comes to light. The words that are spewed will have less and less gravity on the markets until his words are put out onto deaf ears and the markets can get back to a functioning state. When you hear a liar speak the first time you don't know the words are lies, but eventually you just stop listening to the nonsense because it all seems like lies after. Either way the words hold little punch. Shock and Shock is the ploy, I guess? I'm not shocked any longer and maybe the markets will get it too eventually.
Quick technical piece on Nasdaq100From the technical side, we are near the short-term downside resistance line, which if broken, may open the door towards higher areas. But will it be enough?
Let's take a look.
MARKETSCOM:US100
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
Choose your Side- i often compare TheKing with Nasdaq right now.
- Have a main reason :
- NAS100 (Nasdaq) have mostly "Top Tech Companies" acting as Thermometers in this index.
- SPX (SP500) have Tech Companies + traditional ones. Nasdaq Companies are also included in SPX, but 500 Companies start to be a lot.
- DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is a Mastodons, i don't use it much because this top 30 is too mixed ( coca cola, boeing, techs, big banks, nike.. etc).
- i mostly use very high TFs, i prefer look from far, less noise, more easy and less headaches.
- i use sometimes to trade with 1D, H12, H4 TFs but when we are bullish. In bearmarket, it's hard to find entries points in bearish mode.
- i don't short markets and accumulate more coins/tokens, so i just DCA, Dollar Cost Averaging is investing a fixed amount of money into a particular investment at regular intervals.
- so this chart is basically only about MACD :
- it's really interesting to see Nasdaq making another red columns in 3W TF, while the markets should recover slowly.
- if you take a look at BTC, columns stayed in Light Red Color and reducing size.
What could it means ?
- Keep in mind that BTC is not a STOCK.
- One of the most pivotal events on Bitcoin's blockchain is the halving, when the supply of new bitcoins is cut in half (2024).
- BTC have 21M Supplies and that's all. no more will be created.
- At any time BTC could stop to follow Nasdaq and do his way, TheKing used to do that before already.
- A small bounce in Nasdaq could be also a huge move for BTC.
- " Choose your side " and DCA the money you don't need for living.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Mastering Volatile Markets: Why the Trend is Your Best Friend█ Mastering Volatile Markets Part 4: Why the Trend is Your Best Friend
In Part 1 , we covered reducing position size.
In Part 2 , we explored liquidity and execution strategies.
In Part 3 , we discussed the power of patience over FOMO.
Now,we're diving into one of the most important principles of all — especially in volatile, fast-moving markets: Follow the Trend. Trust the Trend. Trade With the Trend.
In wild markets like these, everything changes quickly. Indicators print overbought or oversold conditions well before the market even thinks about reversing.
Divergences can keep stacking up while the price continues trending for another 300, 500, or even 1000 points. Why? Volatility + Liquidity conditions = Extended trending behavior.
When liquidity is thin, and volatility is high, strong trends tend to last longer than usual:
Breakouts run further.
Breakdowns fall deeper.
And counter-trend trades? They're often a fast ticket to losses.
█ What Pro Traders Know Better Than Anyone:
In volatile markets, trend-following isn't optional — it's survival.
But wait, it is obvious that trends aren't perfect straight lines. So how can one even realistically “follow” a trend, especially in volatile markets.
Well, the key is to expect the unexpected. Experienced traders trade logically, we expect pullbacks, fakeouts, stop hunts, snapbacks and/or channel breaks. In fact, we prepare for them.
It is detrimental to assume the trend is over just because of these moves. Most of these are liquidity traps, not real reversals.
█ Here's What Pro Traders Do Differently:
⚪ They Identify the Core Trend Direction
Pro traders use price structure, trendlines, moving averages, VWAP , or higher timeframe levels to identify the trend direction. Once identified, every trade respects the trend.
Let me explain with an example.
→ Uptrend Identification:
Say you notice that the price of Gold (XAUUSD) has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows. What should you do?
You use the 100-period moving average (MA) and see that price is staying above it, indicating an uptrend. You wait for price to pull back to the MA, giving you a low-risk entry to join the uptrend rather than chasing the trend.
→ Downtrend Identification:
In a downtrend, USD/JPY keeps making lower highs and lower lows. You observe the 100-period moving average pointing down. This is your cue to look for short entries , avoiding countertrend buys that could trap you.
⚪ They ONLY Look for Entries at Key Trend Channel Levels
Professional traders don’t chase the price or try to catch every move. Instead, they patiently wait for price to return to key areas within a well-defined trend channel , either the upper boundary (in a downtrend) or the lower boundary (in an uptrend).
→ In an uptrend:
Pro traders draw a trend channel based on the price move. When price pulls back to the lower boundary of the channel (often aligning with demand zones), they start looking for long entries, aiming to trade with the trend and target a new high.
→ In a downtrend:
The same logic applies, but in reverse. Price pulls back to the upper boundary of the channel (supply area), offering a clean short opportunity to continue with the trend and target a new low.
But here’s what separates pros from amateurs:
→ They expect fakeouts, spikes , and temporary breaks beyond the trend channel — especially in volatile conditions.
→ They don’t panic when the price briefly moves outside the channel. Instead, they wait for confirmation signals (like a rejection candle, break of structure, or momentum shift) before entering.
→ This gives them both a logical entry point and a favorable risk-reward setup — aligning with the larger trend direction while staying protected if the trend fails.
⚪ They Treat Countertrend Moves as Opportunities to Enter WITH the Trend
When a countertrend move happens, pro traders see it as an opportunity to enter with the prevailing trend, rather than trying to catch a reversal.
→ Counter-Trend Move in an Uptrend:
Let's say S&P 500 is in a strong uptrend, and it experiences a sharp pullback of 5%.
While many retail traders panic and try to short the market, pro traders see this as a buying opportunity at a lower price, anticipating the trend will continue after the correction.
→ Counter-Trend Move in a Downtrend:
For Gold (XAU/USD) , if the price falls sharply from $1,900 to $1,850 and then retraces back to $1,875 (a previous support-turned-resistance level), pros see this as an opportunity to sell into the trend rather than buying into what could be a false recovery.
⚪ They Accept That Trends Can Look "Overbought" or "Oversold" for a Long Time
In volatile, trending conditions, RSI can stay above 70 for hours or even days, and divergences can build for a long time without price reacting.
→ RSI Above 70 in an Uptrend:
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) rallies from $40,000 to $60,000. Despite RSI being above 70 for a few days, pro traders don't fight the trend because momentum is strong. Instead, they look for a pullback to the 100-period MA for a safer entry.
→ Divergence in Downtrend:
The EUR/USD shows a bearish trend , but the RSI starts to build a divergence as the price keeps making lower lows. Pro traders ignore the divergence because the trend is still strong. They wait for a clear break of the trendline or confirmation that price has reversed before considering a long trade.
█ Summary of Part 4 — Trend is Your Best Friend
You can't control how far a trend will run…but you can control whether you're with or fighting against it.
And trust me, fighting a strong trend in a volatile market is a battle retail traders rarely win.
Here’s what you should take away from this article:
Volatile markets = Extended trends
Indicators can lie — trend structure tells the truth
Fakeouts & pullbacks are normal
Don't fight the trend — trade with it
Use counter-moves to enter the trend
Patience & trend-following = Survival + Profit
█ What We Covered:
Part 1: Reduce Position Size
Part 2: Liquidity Makes or Breaks Your Trades
Part 3: Patience Over FOMO
Part 4: Trend is Your Best Friend
That's it! You've now completed the Mastering Volatile Markets series.
Stay calm, adapt quickly, and trade smarter — that's how you survive (and thrive) in volatile markets.
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Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
NASDAQ Heading to 14K – WXY Correction UnderwayUS100 (NASDAQ) Technical Analysis
📆 Daily Chart (1D)
🧭 Updated: April 15, 2025
🟠 General Context and Structure
The price reached a high of 22,236.5, completing an ascending wedge (orange lines), which was broken down with strong volume and bearish momentum, signaling a change in the larger structure.
After the collapse from that high, the index formed what appears to be a W wave within a complex corrective structure (WXY), completing in the 16,176.3–16,992.2 range.
🌀 Elliott Wave Structure (Projection)
We are currently seeing the development of the upward corrective wave X, which appears to be structuring as a 5-wave impulse:
(1) and (2) already completed
Projection of (3), (4), and (5) with a target in the 21,025.9 area
After this upward movement, the start of a downward correction (a)-(b)-(c) is expected, which would complete the bearish wave Y of the broader WXY pattern.
🔍 Key Support and Resistance Zones
🔴 Major resistance: 22,239 – 22,236.5 (Highs and strong rejection zone)
⚪ Intermediate resistance: 20,356.6 and 21,025.9 (Potential targets for wave X)
⚪ Intermediate support: 18,523 (Zone where wave (4) could form)
🟢 Strong support:
16,992.2 and 16,176.3 (base of wave W)
14,054.4 (potential target for wave Y, critical point)
12,719.4 (extreme extension if the decline intensifies)
📉 Movement Projection
Current bullish reaction remains impulsive → wave (3) is underway.
Possible extension to 21,025.9 before a reversal.
Drop in 3 waves (a)-(b)-(c) towards:
🎯 First bearish target: 16,176
🎯 Second (final) target: approximately 14,580 (area marked as the end of wave Y)
⚠️ Conclusion / Trading Idea
We are seeing a complex WXY-type correction developing. The most likely scenario suggests a bullish continuation towards 21,025 to complete wave X, followed by a sharp drop towards the 14,580 area.
📌 Possible trading plan:
Swing long to 21,025 if the momentum is confirmed.
Strong short from that area, looking for targets towards 16,000 – 14,580 in the coming months.
🧭 Risk Management
Stop loss above the all-time high of 22,236.5 for short positions.
Bearish confirmation after reversal structure at 21k.
No shampoo in sight.....and an $11k Nasdaq?This posts presents an idea that has no precedence (that I can recall at least), so this is by definition a crazy idea BUT the chart is showing signs of extreme exhaustion and is possibly and quite frankly on the verge of a potentially destructive collapse.
If the recent severe volatility hasn't peaked your attention... this chart should.
It's quite simple...we have a MONSTER Head and Shoulders pattern on the Weekly TF...and we're finishing off the Right Shoulder! From a chart pattern perspective, this is ultra-ultra bearish.
The confluence we have is the Elliot Wave showing the we could be about to enter Wave 5. Elliot Waves are of course subjective BUT in this case its syncs with the Head and Shoulders.
If this was a 15min chart, most would probably agree hands down, but this is a Weekly Chart and represents Trillions on Trillions so its hard to believe that this could even be a possibility.....but I believe it could happen!
The horizontal blue lines provide 2024's High and Low Price. For this disaster scenario to be avoided, the Bulls and anyone who cares must defend 2024's low around 16100. This must not be breached, to keep the 12M bullish structure in place.
The green shaded areas highlight all of the Buy Side fair value gaps on the WEEKLY TF going back to early January 2023!
Could the market dive for these in devastating fashion? Only time will tell.
In the interim, we should trade safe and manage risk as best as we can.
US 100 - Ranges overview Let's see what the charts are telling us on US 100.
Just like US 30 US 100 retraced and is currently in a redistribution phase.
From a HTF, as long as we hold 16771.6 expect us aggressively trade towards 19000 and 20500.
IF we fail to hold 16771.6 expect us to retrace towards the 16771.6 and 15201 range. Any clean close below 16771.6 and the market will aggressively seek the sellside liquidity around 15201.
As always WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO SHOW YOU ITS HAND.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
———————
☄️ Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18600
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
☄️ Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18400
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
———
Analysis
👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 18400 – Major support
➗ 19000 – Proven resistance
———
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 18700 – 🔥 Bearish breakout level
• 19130 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times)
• 18400 – Equal lows
• 3245 – Equal highs
———
🩸No rush. Only precision.
Hanzo moves in silence—then strikes with force.
🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe.
Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
QQQ FORECAST Q2 FY25: 13% RECOVERY APRIL FOOLSlike comment follow all the signals here are lit
comment your instrument below ill analyse it bonds crypto etf reits all dat paperwork
The recovery was swift exactly at our $16811 price level (great bargain) if you watched last call
now im calling bluff on this 90 day hype stop loss above entry targets set
there might be a bullish continuation by the mid point narrated by the path line
$17709 if confluence presents itself and necessary events present themselves im hopping out and longing these tariff games can go anyway in a heartbeat
Likely Bullish Gap at Open Followed by a Sharp Drop📈 US100 – Likely Bullish Gap at Open Followed by a Sharp Drop 📉
On the 15-minute chart of the US100, we can see a corrective structure forming within an ascending channel, likely representing wave (B) of a larger correction. The price is currently near the top boundary of the channel, around 18,872.1.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Clear prior bearish impulse.
Ongoing corrective move within a rising channel.
ABC correction forming inside the channel.
Potential rising wedge, suggesting bullish exhaustion.
📌 Main Hypothesis: I expect the market to open with a bullish gap, potentially reaching or briefly exceeding the 18,872.1 level, before starting a stronger downward move toward 17,411.8, which aligns with a key support zone and broader trendline confluence.
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance: 18,872.1 (ideal reversal area)
Target Support: 17,411.8
⚠️ Alternative Scenario: A strong breakout and consolidation above the channel could invalidate the bearish setup and suggest a continuation to the upside.
💡 Conclusion: This move would fit well within a broader corrective pattern, offering a technical pullback before any potential continuation. I’ll be watching the open closely for confirmation.
💼 Trade Idea:
🔹 Strategy: Short from resistance
🔹 Suggested Entry: 18,850 – 18,880 (potential gap zone and upper channel resistance)
🔹 Stop Loss: Above 18,920 (outside channel and above recent highs)
🔹 Take Profit: 17,500 – 17,450 (key support zone / technical target)
🔹 Risk/Reward Approximation: 1:4
🧠 Wait for price action confirmation (rejection, bearish engulfing candle, or intraday structure break before entering).
Mastering Volatile Markets: Why Reducing Position Size is Key █ Mastering Volatile Markets Part 1: Why Reducing Position Size is Key
Trading is always challenging, but how do you navigate today's markets? That's a whole different level. Today, we'll move away from the usual "Trump's tariffs are horrendous" discussions. We'll instead focus on how experienced traders profit in the current volatile market.
Right now, we're seeing extreme volatility across many assets. It's not uncommon for markets to move 3% to 10% in a single day , and for indices like NAS100 (Nasdaq), intraday swings of 300 to 500 points can happen in just 5 to 30 minutes.
This can seem like bad news, but as Warren Buffet said in 2008, "In short, bad news is an investor's best friend."
Volatile markets can shake even experienced traders — but they don’t have to. With 16 years of trading experience , we’ll show you exactly how to approach conditions like these with confidence and clarity.
█ Reducing position size is the key to surviving volatility:
The most critical adjustment in a volatile market is reducing position size.
Why? Because when the market moves faster and with bigger swings, your potential risk per trade automatically increases. The key is to keep your d ollar risk the same — even when volatility is exploding.
⚪ Let's take a look at how position size changes when markets change:
2 Weeks Ago — Stable Market:
NAS100 average move per trade = 50 to 100 points
Risk per trade = 100 points = $500 risk (for example)
Position Size = 5 contracts
Today — Volatile Market:
NAS100 average move per trade = 300 to 500 points
To maintain the same $500 risk per trade → Position Size = 1 contract
⚪ The Benefit:
With a smaller position, you can still earn the same profit because the price is moving much more. At the same time, your risk stays controlled , even in these wild markets.
This is exactly how professional traders survive and thrive in volatile conditions — by adjusting to what the market is giving them.
⚪ What Happens If You Don't Reduce Size?
Let's say you keep the same position size as in stable markets, but now the market moves 300-500 points against you instead of 50-100. Here's how it plays out (example):
In Stable Markets (NAS100 average move: 50-100 points):
Position Size: 5 contracts
Risk per contract: $10 per point
Risk per trade: 100 points x $10 x 5 contracts = $5,000 risk per trade
In Volatile Markets (NAS100 average move: 300-500 points):
Position Size: 5 contracts (unchanged)
Risk per contract: $10 per point
Risk per trade: 500 points x $10 x 5 contracts = $25,000 risk per trade
Without reducing position size, your risk increases dramatically as the market moves wildly. As a result, your losses will skyrocket when the market moves against you.
█ Summary:
Huge volatility = Smaller position size
Same risk = Same profit potential
Trade smarter, not bigger
This is rule number one when navigating wild markets like the ones we have today.
█ What's Coming Next in the Series:
Part 2: Liquidity Is the Silent Killer
Part 3: Patience Over FOMO
Part 4: Trend Is Your Best Friend
Stay tuned for the next part — and remember, adapting to volatility isn't just about managing risk, it's about mastering the market!
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Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
NAS100 Update - Potential TargetsDear Fellow Traders,
How I see it:
NASDAQ Stocks will remain in a sell off phase this quarter.
My "BEARISH" targets in case "DAILY TREND RESISTANCE" holds -
* TP1 & TP2 as indicated.
My "BULLISH" targets in case "DAILY TREND RESISTANCE" is breached -
* TP1 & TP2 as indicated.
KEYNOTE:
Bullish TP 2 = 78.60% FIB retracement from ATH
Feel free to ask if anything is unclear.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
Incoming fall and riseNasdaq is struggling to move past the 19200 and 19000 barriers, and this may lead to a bearish correction aiming for 17,886 and 17,333 support. If price action does fall, the 17k region will be the likely barrier, which may spearhead the bullish continuation targeting 19,700 and 20,200.
Currently, price action is rising from 18,500, trying to reach 19,200 and 19,000. As long as price action is under the 19k zone, the bearish correction may likely occur. Failure to fall and finding strength above the 19k barriers, the indice may continue its upward trajectory!
NASDAQ Uprun ExpectedThe NASDAQ remains volatile, but has not yet undercut its lows from the beginning of the month. The correction since the explosive rise from the yearly lows remains within limits, and the market was able to recover quickly and significantly from today's lows.
We are therefore optimistic, at least in the short term, and are taking the long position shown up to the open gap.