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NAS100 trade ideas

NSDQ100 INTRADAY uptrend continuationUS-China Trade Talks: The Trump administration is considering cutting tariffs on Chinese goods to below 60% during upcoming talks. China may reciprocate. Chinese exports to the US have already dropped sharply following earlier steep tariffs. Global Market Reaction: Germany's DAX index hit a new high, recovering losses from the trade war. European stocks are rising on hopes of lower tariffs and potential rate cuts from the European Central Bank. US Tax Policy: Trump is urging Congress to raise taxes on the wealthy, proposing a 39.6% rate for individuals earning $2.5 million or more (or $5 million for couples). Panasonic Job Cuts: Panasonic plans to cut 10,000 jobs to improve profitability by focusing on growth areas and reducing operations in weaker sectors like TVs and industrial devices. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 20530 Resistance Level 2: 20730 Resistance Level 3: 20950 Support Level 1: 19640 Support Level 2: 19325 Support Level 3: 19030 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
NAS100 - Stock Market, Waiting for FOMC?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect corrective moves from the specified range, but if the index continues to move upwards towards 21,000 points, we can look for the next Nasdaq short positions with a risk-reward ratio. Last week, U.S. equity markets experienced $8.9 billion in capital outflows, while equity markets in Japan and the European Union saw net inflows. Additionally, U.S. Treasury bonds recorded an outflow of $4.5 billion—the largest since December 2023. Meanwhile, the gold market witnessed its first weekly investment decline since January. Looking ahead, financial markets are focused on the upcoming earnings reports from major companies across sectors such as technology, healthcare, automotive, energy, and financial services. These reports are expected to significantly influence equity trends, investment strategies, and corporate outlooks. Below is a daily breakdown of key companies set to release earnings this week: Monday, May 5, 2025 The week starts with a focus on the healthcare and biotech sectors: • Before market open: Companies such as Palantir, Ford, Onsemi, and Tyson Foods will report earnings. Palantir and Ford are particularly noteworthy for investors in the tech and auto sectors. • After market close: Healthcare firms like Hims & Hers Health, Axsome Therapeutics, and financial company CNA Financial will report. Tuesday, May 6, 2025 Tuesday highlights several key tech earnings: • Before market open: Celsius, Datadog, Rivian, and Tempus will publish their results. Rivian’s report is especially anticipated due to the intense competition in the electric vehicle space. • After market close: Tech giants like AMD and Arista Networks will release earnings, along with Marriott from the hospitality sector. Wednesday, May 7, 2025 A packed day for earnings reports: • Before market open: Reports from Uber and Teva are expected, along with ARM Holdings, a key player in semiconductors. • After market close: AppLovin, Unity, and Robinhood will release their reports—representing digital gaming, software, and fintech respectively. Thursday, May 8, 2025 This day centers on digital health, cryptocurrency, and e-commerce: • Before market open: Peloton and Shopify will report. Shopify’s performance is particularly critical in the online retail sector. • After market close: Crypto firm Coinbase and online sports betting platform DraftKings are in focus. Friday, May 9, 2025 Fewer companies will report, but some are of strategic interest: • Firms like 1stdibs, Ani Pharmaceuticals, and Embecta are scheduled, as well as Telos and Algonquin—key names in energy and cybersecurity investing. This week, markets are closely monitoring Wednesday’s FOMC meeting. At the March session, the Fed left rates unchanged and signaled only two potential cuts totaling 50 basis points for the year, based on its dot plot—suggesting a cautious approach to monetary easing. Simultaneously, April’s U.S. Services PMI is set to be released today, providing clearer insights into post-tariff business activity. Amazon’s CEO stated that, so far, there is no indication of reduced demand due to tariff concerns. Some inventory spikes were noted in specific categories, likely driven by stockpiling ahead of tariff implementation. Retail prices, on average, have not significantly increased, and most sellers have yet to raise prices—though that could change depending on how tariff policies evolve. Notably, essential goods have grown at twice the rate of other categories and now account for a third of all unit sales in the U.S. Following April’s jobs report, the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in June dropped from 75% to 42%. With only one more employment report due before the June 18 meeting, hopes for an early policy shift have faded. Some analysts argue that without the tariff conflict, the Fed might already be cutting rates, given the downward trend in inflation, steady growth, and Congressional focus on fiscal measures. The April jobs data showed that the U.S. labor market remains resilient—neither too strong to spark inflation fears nor too weak to trigger panic. After the release, with market confidence rebounding, Goldman Sachs forecasted the Fed’s first rate cut to come at the July 30 meeting. The consensus expectation is for the Fed funds rate to remain in the current 4.25%-4.5% range, unchanged since January. The CME FedWatch tool currently assigns just a 1.8% chance of a rate cut at the upcoming meeting. Economists warn that Trump’s newly imposed tariffs—active since April—could drive up prices and hurt employment, challenging the Fed’s dual mandate of controlling both inflation and joblessness. However, recent data shows inflation remained mild in March and the labor market held steady in April. Nancy Vanden Houten, Chief U.S. Economist at Oxford Economics, wrote: “The data is strong enough for the Fed to stay on the sidelines and monitor how tariffs influence inflation and expectations.” While hard data remains stable, forecasts and sentiment surveys signal looming challenges. Business leaders and individuals express concern that rising costs may burden consumers and businesses in the coming months or years, possibly even tipping the economy into recession.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
Hanzo : NAS100 15m: Bullish Confirmed After Liquidity Trap Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) —————— 💯 Main Focus: Bullish After Break at 19950 We are watching this zone closely. 👌 Market Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19930 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19650 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 19750 – Major support / Key level ➗ 20100 – Proven resistance Hanzo : NAS100 15m: Breakout Zone Confirmed After Liquidity Trap
FX:NAS100Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
1
When Stocks & Bond Move Opposite Direction - Its implicationWhen Stocks & Bond Move Opposite Direction what does it mean? We have observed a divergence between the stock and bond markets since 2020. While U.S. Treasury bonds entered a bear zone, the stock markets continued their upward climb. What are the implications of this decoupling? Will the stock market resume its uptrend and hit new highs? Or is this merely a retracement before further downward pressure? Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures and Options Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
NASDAQ:NDX
by konhow
NASDAQ's Inverse H&S that targets $25000Nasdaq (NDX) is forming the Right Shoulder of a potential Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern. The price action is 'stuck' within the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which got tested on Friday for the first time since March, and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Since the 1D MA200 was the level that initiated the March 26 rejection, it is possible to see a short-term pull-back now, all in the process of forming the Right Shoulder and after the market digests the new Fed Rate Decision, starts the next Leg Up. Note that the 1D RSI is already on its February highs. As a result, our long-term Target is at 25000, just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level, which is a standard technical target for IH&S patterns. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradingShot
3
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?USTEC is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 20,418.65 1st Support: 19,265.30 1st Resistance: 21,137.24 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:USTECShort
by ICmarkets
2
NASDAQ Weekly Outlook - Potential ShortsPrice pushed up on Friday 25 May into an area of imbalance at 20170 and closed. Then we have Monday which pushed up through out the day and failed to break and close above Friday 25th Hi, ending the day inside of Fridays candle followed by Tuesday being bear and failing to break and close above Monday hi candle but managed to break and close below Mondays candle close. By this creating the high of the week, on a weekly time frame, reason for the short is to fill the daily volume imbalance highlighted in yellow. As price always needs to fill gaps in the market left behind by inefficient price action. Only then I assume one could start looking for longs, as all sell side liquidity has been cleared.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by UNDR8TD_FX
The Nasdaq 100’s rally may be coming to an endThe Nasdaq 100 has staged an impressive rally over the past two weeks, climbing more than 12% since Monday 21 April to close at roughly 19,970 on Monday 5 May. However, if there were a point at which the advance might pause, it could be near current levels. The index has risen to a key area of technical resistance in the 19,900 to 20,200 range, which could prove challenging to break through, especially given the uncertain outlook. One driver behind the Nasdaq 100’s rise has been the fall in implied volatility, as indicated by the VXN. While the better-known Vix measures expected volatility in the S&P 500 over the next month of trading, the VXN measures volatility on the Nasdaq 100. It has recently dropped to a reading of 25.7, down from more than 50 in April, as shown on the chart below. This decline in implied volatility probably triggered significant unwinding of put positions in the options market, allowing market-maker hedging flows to provide a tailwind for stocks. But with the VXN now back at levels last seen on 2 April, this tailwind may no longer be available to support the market. Additionally, the Nasdaq 100 has returned to the 61.8% retracement level, a significant Fibonacci level that frequently acts as strong resistance and could help determine whether the recent rebound is genuine or merely a short-term blip. Just above this 61.8% retracement lies the 200-day moving average, another level that typically provides strong resistance. Furthermore, the 19,950 region has consistently acted as both support and resistance, dating back to June 2024. With these three resistance areas converging, it may be challenging for the tech-heavy index to sustain its upward momentum. Should stocks begin to reverse lower, initial support may be around 19,300, followed by a gap at 18,240. That said, if the Nasdaq 100 somehow manages to overcome all these hurdles, it could rise to 21,100 – though such a move appears unlikely at this stage. Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
CMCMARKETS:NDAQ100
by cmcmarkets
The same repeat as 4 April 2022The market seems to be recovering and more and more positive ideas are emerging. However, on a weekly timeframe, the NDX appears to be forming a pattern very similar to what we saw at the end of 2021. Even the RSI shows remarkably similar levels. Personally, I’m staying cautious. I haven’t taken a position yet, but I’m ready to buy in on the next significant dip. I’ve set my alert around 14,500 – let’s hope we reach that level again. 😉 What are your thoughts on this? Feel free to share your opinion!
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Stockbuzzr
US100 – Bullish Continuation Setting Up Inside the ChannelUS100 remains firmly bullish, showing consistent strength after breaking out from the prior consolidation range in mid-April. Price action has been moving cleanly within a well-defined ascending channel, supported by strong impulsive moves followed by shallow retracements. Each pullback so far has been relatively controlled, and buyers have been stepping in aggressively from clearly defined zones, which aligns with the current risk-on sentiment across tech-heavy indices. Consolidation Structure We’ve now had two solid retests of prior fair value gaps (FVGs), both of which acted as demand zones and helped fuel continuation. The first pullback dropped into a previously formed imbalance, consolidated briefly, and then launched a strong bullish leg. The second did the same, creating a layered structure of bullish continuation through efficient retracements. Each of these reactions confirms that price is respecting areas where institutional orders may have been left behind, which adds confluence to the trend’s strength. Currently, price is working on forming a third FVG within the upper half of the channel. This is developing just below recent highs and has not yet been retested, which makes it a key area of interest. If the market pulls back into that imbalance with proper structure, it could offer the next high-probability opportunity to join the trend. Bullish Scenario If price retraces into this newly forming FVG and holds, especially with a wick or lower timeframe rejection candle inside the zone, it could mark the start of the next impulse. The overall trend remains intact as long as we stay within the channel and each FVG continues to serve as valid support. Given the strength of the previous bounces and the orderly nature of this structure, any retest into this new FVG would likely lead to another push into fresh highs and a move toward the upper boundary of the channel. Bearish Scenario On the flip side, if price fails to respect this new FVG and breaks below with momentum, especially if the channel support fails at the same time, it would be a sign that buyers are losing control. In that case, we’d want to see how price interacts with the last confirmed FVG below before making any bearish assumptions. A deeper pullback into that area could still provide another long opportunity if structure holds, but any sharp momentum break through both imbalances would put the bullish trend on pause and shift focus to downside levels. Price Target and Expectations Assuming the bullish structure continues to play out, the next projected move would be a clean rally toward the top of the channel. There’s enough space left between current levels and the upper trendline to justify an entry on the next pullback, provided it lands inside the newly created FVG. The setup is fairly straightforward, let price come back into the imbalance, confirm with lower timeframe strength, and ride the continuation leg. Current Stance There’s no need to chase price here. The best scenario is waiting for a patient retest of the fresh FVG forming now. If it pulls back cleanly, holds the zone, and gives confirmation, that would be the entry. Momentum, structure, and market context are all aligned for continuation, but the trade needs to be built off a level that shows actual commitment from buyers. Conclusion US100 is holding its bullish structure well, forming clean legs within an ascending channel, and repeatedly respecting fair value gaps as demand zones. With a new imbalance forming beneath the most recent high, the setup is shaping up for another continuation play if price rotates back and holds. It’s a wait-and-see moment for now, but if the FVG gets tagged and buyers show up, this could be the next leg higher in an already strong trend. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TehThomas
47
NASDAQ YEARLY CHART Chart done on 03.05.2025 Nasdaq market conditions are very similar to the 2020 market conditions as we can see for both years we had a drop in market price for the first few month, then the recovery happened as markets started to stabilize. this looks to be the same with 2025 as trumps appointment into the white house has caused a similar effect for the next year nasdaq looks to be bullish so that the US economy can adapt to the new changes. this is a very basic analysis. if a more in depth analysis is needed. Please feel free to comment
FX:NAS100Long
by vbaichand10
US100 - Perfect Long Opportunities Unfolding?This chart illustrates a high-probability bullish setup based on a combination of market structure shifts, fair value gaps (FVGs), Fibonacci retracement confluence, and order block interaction. We are analyzing the US Tech 100 on the 1-hour timeframe, focusing on recent price action development and a potential reversal scenario forming after a corrective move. Context and Market Structure: Price action has been in a corrective downtrend after printing a local high near the 19,950–20,000 range. This move led to a break in short-term bullish structure as sell-side liquidity was swept. A series of bearish candles followed, confirming a shift in momentum to the downside. However, the retracement stalled upon entering a prior area of imbalance—highlighted here as a larger fair value gap (FVG) zone. This FVG zone acted as a significant demand area, with price reacting strongly upon entry. The zone is marked with a light blue shaded rectangle and aligns with a 1-hour bullish order block. Price created a swing low in this FVG area before forming higher lows, suggesting the possibility of a short-term reversal. Golden Pocket & Liquidity Sweep: A key zone of interest is the "Golden Pocket downtrend" area, which is derived from the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels of the last impulse down. Price previously respected this zone, leading to a rejection and continuation lower. This makes it a notable supply area. Price may revisit this zone as a target or potential reaction point on the next bullish leg. Note how the initial reaction from the FVG brought the market back into a smaller 1H FVG, situated just beneath the 0.5 retracement level. The internal structure within this zone supports a bullish outlook due to the formation of a higher low followed by a bullish engulfing candle. Fibonacci Confluence & Execution Levels: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the recent move aligns closely with the midpoint of the bullish FVG, providing confluence for a potential re-entry or continuation point. This level is annotated on the chart and highlighted with a horizontal line labeled "0.618 - Entry." This suggests it may act as a magnet for price before further continuation to the upside. The 0.786 retracement level, also plotted on the chart, indicates the deeper end of the retracement spectrum and lies just above a major structural low. This region, though aggressive, would represent a final line of defense for bullish continuation. Projection and Price Path: Based on the current structure and bullish reaction from the FVG zone, a potential price path is drawn on the chart. It suggests one more liquidity grab into the FVG area followed by an impulsive move to the upside. The blue projection line outlines a potential retracement to fill the nearby FVG (which remains partially unmitigated), followed by a resumption of bullish momentum that targets a revisit to the previous high area around 19,875. Additional Notes: * Multiple FVGs are actively interacting in this region, giving layered confluence for demand zones. * The reaction from the FVG zone is coupled with a bullish engulfing pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, signaling aggressive buying. * Price remains above the internal bullish structure despite the earlier rejection from the Golden Pocket area. Conclusion: The chart setup represents a textbook example of FVG demand zone reaction, supported by Fibonacci confluence and market structure shifts. As price consolidates above this key FVG, a continuation to the upside becomes a strong probability if the internal structure remains intact. Traders should monitor price behavior on lower timeframes as it interacts with the 0.618 and FVG zones for confirmation of bullish continuation.
FPMARKETS:US100Long
by Louigi_24
25
Nasdaq - Printing The Obvious Bottom!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) already finished the correction: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After we witnessed a minor "crash" of about -25% over the past couple of weeks, the bottom might be in on the Nasdaq. We simply saw another very bullish all time high break and retest and depite the possibility of a second retest, I am (still) extremely bullish at these levels. Levels to watch: $17.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:NDQLong
by basictradingtv
11
5 May Weekly NAS100 Forecast USTECH: Trade Talks and Fed Decision in Focus Analysis: Markets are at a pivotal juncture as investors monitor two critical developments: the potential resumption of U.S.-China trade negotiations and the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision. Trade Negotiations: Renewed dialogue between the U.S. and China could alleviate tariff pressures, stabilize global supply chains, and bolster investor confidence, thereby reducing recession risks. Federal Reserve Decision: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to meet on May 6–7, 2025. While the Fed is widely expected to maintain the current interest rate range of 4.25%–4.50%, market participants are keenly awaiting Chair Jerome Powell's commentary for insights into future monetary policy directions. Market Bias: Cautiously Bullish The confluence of potential trade resolutions and a steady monetary policy stance supports a cautiously optimistic outlook. However, market volatility may persist pending concrete developments. Key Levels to Watch: USTECH (NASDAQ 100): Resistance: 20 531 Support: 19 481 Conclusion: Investors should remain vigilant, monitoring both geopolitical developments and central bank communications, as these factors will significantly influence market trajectories in the near term. --- Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions. ---
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by tshiiamom_sa
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) —————— 💯 Main Focus: Bullish Break Out at 19980 We are watching this zone closely. 💯 Main Focus: Bearish Break at 19890 We are watching this zone closely. ——— Analysis 👌 Market Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 20030 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19750 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 19890 – Major support / Key level ➗ 20050 – Proven resistance 🩸 Key Zones to Watch: • 19950 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest • 19980 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times) • 19900 – Equal lows • 19980 – Equal highs
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
Hanzo : NAS100 15m: Breakout Zone Confirmed After Liquidity Trap🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) —————— 💯 Main Focus: Bullish After Break at 19950 We are watching this zone closely. 💯 Main Focus: Bearish After Break at 19715 We are watching this zone closely. ——— 👌 Market Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19930 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19650 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 19750 – Major support / Key level ➗ 20100 – Proven resistance
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo