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Entering a Deep Seek for the Next Directional MoveTrading View Link: US Tech 100 – Entering a Deep Seek for the Next Directional Move for PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 by tv1lsqiw — TradingView Main Chart Link: Title: Entering a Deep Seek for the Next Directional Move Just as US Tech 100 traders were starting to think about the potential for a renewed attempt at all time highs again after President Trump’s first week in office saw him apply a more measured approach to imposing tariffs on key trading partners, they were jolted back into reality yesterday with a sharp and immediate 3% drop from the open. Buzz had been building around Chinese AI start up DeepSeek’s latest AI model, released last week, in that it was a credible alternative to the US offerings from OpenAI, for example. Over the weekend this buzz shifted to outright investor panic that DeepSeek was able to produce such a competitive AI model, given that they offer a much lower cost business proposition based on using less advanced chips. This realisation, that DeepSeek could be a major low cost disruptor in the AI space initiated a recalibration of valuations which saw semiconductor stocks fall, led by a massive 17% drop in Nvidia stock which wiped around $600 billion from its overall value. All of which, pulled the wider US Tech 100 lower due to the large weighting held by Nvidia. Now, looking forward, this week’s packed calendar of events could lead to increased volatility for the US Tech 100. On Wednesday evening the Federal Reserve interest rate decision is released at 1900 GMT. No changed is expected so the emphasis is likely to shift towards the comments from Chairman Powell in the press conference which starts at 1930 GMT. Traders will want to know whether his thoughts towards rate cuts in the first half of 2025 may have changed after the recent slowing in underlying inflation. They will also want to know how many rate cuts Fed policymakers now see across the whole of 2025. If that wasn’t enough, later Wednesday night, Tesla, Microsoft and Meta release their earnings, with Apple’s results released after the close on Thursday. While expectations are high, traders will be keen to see whether there is any slowdown in growth relative to previous quarters. They will also want to know the details of AI related spending and revenue, with any disappointment leading to an increase in US Tech 100 volatility into the weekend. Technical Update: After Monday’s sharp decline, Wednesday’s FOMC meeting and Big Tech stock earnings are set to be important sentiment drivers for the US Tech 100 Index. The question is, will these events lead to fresh buying, supporting the index after its recent falls, or will they be viewed by traders as another reason to reduce risk further, extending the downside moves? Let’s have a look at the potential technical levels that may be worth watching over coming days. Potential Support Levels: Weakness such as that seen on Monday does not in itself mark the potential of a sentiment shift, as key support levels must give way to increase the possibilities of further declines. With that in mind, Monday’s price weakness held above support at 20477, with is the low from January 13th. Having prompted the type of rebound it did yesterday, closing breaks below this level may be required if a more extended phase of weakness is to materialise. Closes below 20477 may be an indication that the current weakness can extend to lower levels. If that were the case the next possible support may be between 20270/20309, which contains the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of August 2024 to December 2024 strength and the November 19th session low. If this area gives way, the next support could then be 19904, which is the November 4th 2024 low. Potential Resistance Levels: By running Fibonacci retracements using last week’s high at 21909 (January 22nd high) alongside Monday’s low at 20477, the 61.8% retracement stands at 21424. This may mark the first resistance that needs to be broken on a closing basis. If there were a break above this Fibonacci level, then last week’s 21909 high may be the next important resistance level to monitor. This resistance level now marks an area where having found sellers before, it could so again, especially as it was strong enough to turn the recent advance lower in the way it did on Monday. While breaks of previous highs may have resulted in fresh price strength previously, there is no guarantee they will do so again, and much will depend on future price trends. However, possible closes above 21909 can potentially open up a more prolonged phase of price strength to challenge, possibly even breach 22142, the December 16th all-time high. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted. [/b
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
NASDAQ, Will it shock everyone? GBEBROKERS:USTEC / 1D Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown. NASDAQ is showing strong bullish momentum, after failing to break bellow support levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, I recommend waiting for a pull-back to the previous daily range instead of jumping in at current levels. If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target: First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation. Last swing high Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence! Trade safely, Trader Leo
GBEBROKERS:USTECLong
by BTM-LEO
7
Nas100 - 15 min ( Best Buy And Sell Scalping After Break Out ) The NAS100 index, as observed through FXCM, demonstrates significant market dynamics characterized by pivotal key levels on the 15-minute time frame. A bullish sentiment is anticipated following a breakout at the 21625 area, especially corroborated by high trading volume. Conversely, a bearish outlook is suggested upon a breakout at the 21395 zone, also supported by elevated volume levels. It is imperative to note that our analysis is grounded in precision and accuracy rather than sheer numerical values, ensuring the most reliable trading opportunities for our clientele. ⚡️nas100 / FXCM Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf 🚨Bullish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 21625 Area 🚨Bearish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 21395 Area ⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis 💲 Not by Number ..+
FX:NAS100
by GentleGoldenEngine
3
NAS100USD: Analyzing Bullish Institutional Order FlowGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe the continuation of bullish institutional order flow, presenting potential opportunities to align with this trend. The focus is on identifying evidence that supports taking bullish setups with proper confirmations. Key Observations: 1. Institutional Support Zone: Price is currently resting at a bullish order block, a strong institutional support zone. This order block is reinforced by an FVG (Fair Value Gap) positioned above it, further solidifying its significance. 2. Liquidity Dynamics: Sell stops resting below a recent low have been taken out, aligning with the order block. This suggests institutional activity, as liquidity has been created for order pairing (buying against sell-side liquidity). 3. Price Positioning: Despite being at a premium price relative to the intermediate high and low, there is no strong evidence to suggest a continuation into a discount zone. The liquidity sweep below the low strengthens the case for a bullish reversal from the current level. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Await confirmation at the current institutional support zone before taking buy setups. Target Levels: Focus on liquidity pools resting at the highs, as these are likely institutional profit-taking zones. By aligning with institutional order flow and leveraging evidence of liquidity sweeps and strong support zones, we aim to capitalize on bullish momentum. Always remain vigilant and ensure confirmation before entering positions. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument Part 15This week as usual, I am continuing with my bullish bias due to the fact that all the larger timeframes are still maintaining their HL structure. A quick glance at the H1/H2 will show that a new Low has been formed...(one direct and one segmented). However, this does not affect the bias of the overall structure as when you zoom out and examine the larger timeframes, you will see that the structure is still being maintained on the largest timeframes the daily and above. Last week price traded above the current H1/H2 trendline before the break on Friday. This to me does not indicate a break in structure, however a temporary retracement to set up another HL for the larger timeframes. If you have been tracking the Highs, you would have noticed that while they have been LH's since the last ATH back in December, they are still tracking higher, which confirms that the market is still in a consolidatory state and it will only be a matter of time before the ATH is broken again. What does this mean for this week? 1. I still enter on my largest HL and exit on my HH's a. In the event that I only get a LH...I take my profit and wait for another HL 2. My TP levels for 2025 still remain the same and I patiently trade the trend. 3. Continue being patient as I wait for the ATH to be broken again. Remember this a marathon and not a sprint and as such consistency is going to be of utmost importance. Have a great week and remember to always journal your trades, do not rush your entries and most of all trust your analysis as long as you are trading the trend. #oneauberstrategy #aubersystem #auberstrategy #whywewait #patience #zigzagtheory
OANDA:NAS100USD
by Auberstrategy
Outlook for the next weeks after really significant drop.Nasdaq fell because of the new concerns about the dominance of US´s AI. Spotlight was on Chinese startup DeepSeks latest AI model, which is cost-efficient and able to run on less advanced chips. This startup is challenging companies like Nvidia and ChatGPT. I was predicting some kind of drop after the weekend because the price reacted to the big supply zone, but the drop was more drastical and faster than i thought and i didnt catch it. I still feel like markets are going to heal from this drop, but it will take some time. I am looking for markets to fill the nearest imbalance and then going slowly up. Or the second scenario is going far more down and taking liquidity and acumulate/consolidate. Let me know your prediction :)
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Filip_Kozak
Bearish Shift in NAS100: What’s Next for the US100 Trend?👀 👉 In this video, we take an in-depth look at the NAS100, analyzing its trend, market structure, price action, key support and resistance zones, and how liquidity is influencing the market. Currently, the US100 is approaching an important support level following a bearish market structure shift. We discuss possible strategies if the trend continues. All the details are covered here. Please note, this is not financial advice.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
1
NAS100 15MIN SELLS The Bearish Reversal Entry Model is one of the most effective setups in 2025. Here's how it typically plays out: - Sweep the High of the Asian Range: Price often manipulates above the Asian session's highs, taking out liquidity. - Change of Character (CHOCH): After the sweep, price reverses, showing a shift in market structure. - Retrace: The price pulls back, creating an opportunity to enter a trade(sells). - Target Daily Lows/Asian Lows (SSL) : Set your take-profit level at the Daily Low.
ICMARKETS:USTECShort
by SMC-DM
Why DeepSeek Has Blown Up Nasdaq?By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst DeepSeek the privately held company owned by co-founder Liang Wenfeng's quant investment fund High-Flyer has emerged as one of the most influential companies in the field of artificial intelligence (AI), revolutionizing financial and technology markets. Today we take a look at how its innovation has impacted key sectors and the promising future it envisions. Transforming Markets DeepSeek has consolidated its position in the technology industry thanks to advances in natural language processing, computer vision and machine learning. These technologies have found applications in sectors such as finance, healthcare, retail and automotive. In finance, its AI tools have optimized decision making, trend prediction and risk management. Banking institutions and investment funds have managed to reduce costs and improve their operational efficiency, which has strengthened investor confidence. It is interesting to see how a project in which only $10 million has been invested has surpassed projects such as OpenAI (ChatGPT) in which large companies such as Microsoft are involved and have invested more than $10 billion in them, not to mention large market makers such as NVIDIA that dedicate a lot of resources to this purpose. This may be highlighting a potential financial speculation bubble brewing among the Magnificent 7. According to my DeepSeek estimates it could be valued as high as $345 per share, a higher price than OpenAI, currently mostly sponsored by Microsoft, and one of the companies most affected by yesterday's drop, could be worth in the market. The Magnificent 7 fell sharply. NVIDIA down -16%, Microsoft , Alphaben and Tesla down -2% respectively,and Broadcom down -17%. During yesterday's session, DeepSeek shares drove a drop in Nasdaq and S&P500 that only seems to reflect that the only reasons the market seems to be bullish on the AI bubble. The market closed with corrections of -612.47 points for the former and -88.96 points for the latter. 2 Billion dollars have been lost in a single day in the market, the largest loss of market capitalization in the history of the stock market led by NVDIA in absolute terms. All this has generated that hackers have tried to burst the DeepSeek service and for hours the registration of thousands of accounts that requested to have an account through Googleplay has been blocked. This impact has caused the index to partially recover its price. What does it have to do with the fact that a small company has affected all the suppliers of all these outputs, even affecting companies from different sectors? Well, a company that has cost less to generate the same outputs with fewer inputs, i.e., with fewer hens, has obtained more eggs. Therefore, this has backfired on the U.S. government with the sanctions. If DeepSeek has just demonstrated that it is possible to reach the same result, consuming less capital, then the suppliers of these services will see their future sales negatively impacted (see GPU suppliers, energy, etc.), in order to continue developing and operating AI. This is a sledgehammer for very inefficient US AI companies, which can be replicated at fraction of the cost of what was currently considered. Impact on Technology Companies DeepSeek has redefined the dynamics in the technology sector by collaborating with giants such as software developers and hardware manufacturers. These partnerships have driven the integration of AI into products and services, from algorithmic trading platforms to smart devices. For example, big data and cybersecurity companies have adopted its advanced algorithms to improve data protection and optimize resource management. This has generated a domino effect, where smaller technology firms have also leveraged DeepSeek's innovation to develop customized solutions. The semiconductor sector has been another beneficiary, with increased demand for advanced chips designed to support DeepSeek's deep learning capabilities. This has increased sales and technology development in this segment. Futuristic Advances DeepSeek's future is promising. The company is focused on: 1. general AI development (AGI): they seek to create systems capable of performing human intellectual tasks, with potential impact in education, medicine and more. 2. Sustainability: Their algorithms help optimize energy use in smart cities and predict weather patterns. 3. Ethics and Transparency: Promote the responsible use of AI, gaining trust among regulators and consumers. NASDAQ Technical Analysis (Ticker AT: USATEC) Looking at the WACD in its three forms, on the overbought signal on the 24th and 27th there were already SELL signals indicating that the market was overbought. This was confirmed by the subsequent volume deltas shown in red candles and high trading volume in that direction. Later in the day yesterday, there were some glimpses of recovery and BUY signals were given again and the price partially recovered the decline to around 21,235 points. If we look at the 3 smoothed averages of the WACD we see that there has been a bearish confirmation and the direction has evolved strongly downwards and the direction seems to be softening slightly upwards. If conditions are right it could be that the Checkpoint (POC) at 21850 could be regained if the market decides that Deepseek is not as dangerous to its NASDAQ rivals. Technical indicators, yesterday put the RSI at 7% oversold, on the index, which has supported the index's recovery. Conclusion Three clarifications are in order, although we have been told that DeepSeek has received only 6 to 10 million, it is very likely that the Chinese state has funded the previous research cost, and this is not being imputed to the value of DeepSeek's R1, we also do not know if China has managed to circumvent the US chip and semiconductor sanctions, and they have underestimated the value on purpose, unofficially it could have employed more semiconductors than it has declared to avoid problems with the US government, and thus falsely demonstrate that the model in its training has employed less resources than they actually did. One can also take note that R1 has employed the chatgpt model O1, with shortcuts in its reasoning structure. If this were true, DeepSeek's R1 model has been developed thanks to ChatGPT and this could have been given thanks to OpenAI and would reduce the value of obtaining such success. The cost of using AI is one of the main arguments as to whether the demand for power and data targets is what will really determine the value of these companies. This has to be taken into account because if AI becomes a low-consumption standard, we will have AI in our soup and the aggregate demand for these elements will expand, and since we will be using it continuously, the high consumption of AI will increase. This is what is known as the Jevons Paradox (the Jevons paradox implies that the introduction of more energy efficient technologies may ultimately increase total energy consumption and simultaneously lead to an increase in emissions) . Also to be taken into account is the AI recursive improvement paradox, of improving the mechanism of the AI reasoning process and efficiency. The positive implication is that small models would be able to distill the large AI models even if their model was closed and opaque, and this tool would not be monopolized by large companies but from the hand on a cell phone could apply improvements in these small models. The downside would be the opportunities and risks of AI, this recursive self-improvement brings us steps closer to artificial superintelligence, this has its risks. The wisdom of Warren Buffet, often warns that no matter how clear we are that a certain industry is the future, it is very complicated to determine which will be the winning horses in that sector. A week ago NVIDIA AND CHATGPT were going to eat the world and overnight DeepSeek could end up sweeping the world in that specific sector. And any other startup could replace all of them. This already happened back in the day in the internet browsers era making what is Google Chrome today the main player or safari, when in other times there were other browsers like internet explorer, etc. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:USATEC
by ActivTrades
3
Nasdaq Drops 5% as China's Low-Cost AI Disrupts U.S. Tech SectorNasdaq Futures Decline as China's AI Development Challenges Big Tech Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq index fell significantly on Monday following the launch of a highly popular, low-cost Chinese artificial intelligence model, which triggered a selloff in AI-related stocks. Megacap companies, including Nvidia, experienced sharp declines as a result. The downturn was driven by Chinese startup DeepSeek's introduction of a free AI assistant, which utilizes more affordable chips and less data. This development challenges the prevailing market expectation that AI demand will continue to boost a supply chain ranging from chip manufacturers to data centers. USNAS100 Technical Analysis The Nasdaq index has dropped by over 5.00%, primarily due to the release of a cost-efficient AI system in China. This development has disrupted market sentiment and negatively impacted U.S.-based AI companies, reinforcing bearish trends within the sector. The market for indices is expected to remain highly volatile, but technical indicators suggest that the price is likely to oscillate between 20,660 and 20,990 until a breakout occurs. Currently, the price is attempting to reverse at 20,990. If the upcoming 4-hour candle closes below this level, it will likely decline to 20,660. Conversely, a 1-hour or 4-hour candle closing above 21,215 could signal a bullish trend, potentially driving the price upward toward 21,380 and 21,630, particularly if earnings reports reflect strong revenue performance. Key Levels Pivot Point: 20880 Resistance Levels: 20990, 21215, 21380 Support Levels: 20660, 20550, 20330 Trend Outlook Consolidation Zone: 20990 to 20660 Bearish: Below 20660 and 20550 Bullish: Above 21215 Previous idea:
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi