US DOLLAR at Key Support: Will Price Rebound to 103.000TVC:DXY is currently approaching an important support zone, an area where the price has previously shown bullish reactions. This level aligns closely with the psychological $100 , which tends to have strong market attention.
The recent momentum suggests that buyers could step in and drive the price higher. A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would increase the probability of a bounce from this level. If I'm right and buyers regain control, the price could move toward the 103.00 level.
However, a breakout below this support would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially leading to more even more downside.
This is not financial advice!
DXY trade ideas
USD Breakdown โ Trump, Tariffs, and the End of King Dollar?๐ USD Breakdown โ Trump, Tariffs, and the End of King Dollar?
In my February post, I said:
2025 would be the Year of the Normalized Dollar โ where political pressure meets policy hesitation.
Now that scenario is unfolding.
The dollar is unwinding. The technicals are confirming it.
And the macro backdrop? Only intensifying the move.
๐ Chart Breakdown
100.95 โ the key mid-level โ is now broken
That level is resistance
Target remains 94.00 โ the zone I first called as a bottom back in 2020
From that zone, I called the bull run.
Now, weโre completing the circle.
The King Dollar move is done.
๐ Macro Pressure Mounts
CPI cooled to 2.4%
Trump wants a weaker dollar to push exports
Tariffs are back โ and escalating
The Fed is paused , but still under fire to cut rates
Meanwhile:
๐จ๐ณ China is accumulating gold aggressively
๐ช Gold is at all-time highs
๐ง Bitcoin is rising as the U.S.'s digital hard asset hedge
โ๏ธ This Isnโt Just a Chart โ Itโs a Shift
What weโre watching is more than a breakdown in DXY.
Itโs the realignment of monetary confidence:
โ Gold for protection
โ Bitcoin for evolution
โ Dollar for... survival?
The breakdown in USD may be normalizing on the surface...
But underneath itโs signaling a changing of the guard.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR ๐
Dollar I Daily CLS I Weekly CSL Potential plays for next weekHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If youโve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical โ designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
๐งฉ What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money โ the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
โ
Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations โ leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
๐ก๏ธ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
๐ Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
๐ Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
๐ Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
โ๏ธ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If youโre ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
โ David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter โ๏ธ
Dollar Daily CLS I Key Level - FVG I Model 1 it goes bellow 100.Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If youโve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical โ designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
๐งฉ What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money โ the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
โ
Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations โ leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
๐ก๏ธ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
๐ Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
๐ Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
๐ Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
โ๏ธ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If youโre ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
โ David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter โ๏ธ
DXY: Summer CRASH but here is why it will SKYROCKET after.The U.S. Dollar Index is oversold on both its 1D and 1W technical outlooks but on the 1M it just turned bearish (RSI = 42.641, MACD = 0.810, ADX = 21.680). This is because it crossed under its 1M MA50 for the first time since January 2022. For more than 3 years the 1M MA50 has kept it on the upper side of the 2008 Channel Up but now the time has come for it to aim at its bottom as every time it broke under it, the pattern dropped more and made a bottom a few months later.
We anticipate a bottom around July, ideally with the 1M RSI inside our Target Zone, which consists of the last two lows. Then the new bullish wave of the pattern should begin, reaching the January 2025 High by the end of 2026.
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DXY SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
โ
DXY is approaching a demand level of 100.138
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bullish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG๐
โ
Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!โ
โจโจ
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Dollar Index Testing Support - Possible TankI finally noticed today (haven't been doing my research) that the dollar has been dropping since January.
Bond yields rising at the same time as the market dropping and the currency dropping can only mean that the Euros are dumping ALL American assets. Trump has basically ruined confidence in the dollar, there was a 2% drop today. I only noticed because gold popped up 2%, because I'm looking at gold futures in dollars.
If the dollar breaks support, I'm buying gold (will post chart). Other alternatives are long on UDN, short on UUP, Euros, Yen or Swiss franc. You could even leverage with options if you want to make extra money.
A Zoom of the Weekly DXY into a Daily viewI kept the colored rectangels from my weekly analysis, to keep the focus and knowledge where we are on the chart.
DXY is doing a long A-B-C before it's is going into the last impulse og the C of Y of x of the larger degree.
It's quite a lot of corrections to manage, but if you swipe from the daily to the weekly timeframe, it makes good sense. For me at least :D.
The purple B wave took some time to figure out, but this was what made most sense to me. I was trying to look at it as a triangle, but that wouldn't have a good shape, so I ended out with this white ((w))-((x))-((y)) correction.
DXY is right now performing, what I see as, a extended 5th wave in the white ((iii) wave, before it goes into the white ((iv)) correction.
The white ((iv) wave correction could be become a long shallow drawn out correction for two reasons.
We had a steep and swift white (ii) followed by an extended white ((iii) wave. This usually means we are going to spend some time correcting that white (iii) wave and the rule of alternation tells us, if we have a quick 2nd wave, we are usually going to see a slow fourth wave.
I don't believe we have completed the white (iii) yet, so we have a long time to go still until that white (iv) wave is done.
When the white (iv) wave is done, the white (v) wave is probaly going to take us down to that green box.
So relax for the next 6 months and grab yourself a cup of coffee.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) โ Key Resistance & Bearish Target Analys๐ Key Observations:
๐ต Resistance Zone (๐~103.5 Level)
A strong resistance area (๐ต blue box) is marked, indicating potential selling pressure if the price reaches this level.
The price is moving upwards (๐) towards this resistance, so watch for rejection or breakout.
๐ต Support/Target Zone (๐~101.5 Level)
A lower support zone (๐ต blue box) is marked as the bearish target ๐ฏ.
If the price fails at resistance, it may head downwards (๐) to this level.
๐ Recent Price Action:
๐ Sharp drop followed by a rebound (๐).
The price is currently moving back up (๐ผ), possibly forming a lower high before another drop.
๐ Exponential Moving Average (DEMA 9 - 102.488)
The price is hovering above the 9-period DEMA (๐), showing short-term bullish momentum.
If the price rejects resistance and falls below the DEMA, a bearish continuation (๐) is likely.
๐ Potential Scenarios:
โ
Bullish Breakout: If price breaks above ๐ต resistance, it may continue rising (๐) to higher levels.
โ Bearish Rejection: If price fails at resistance, expect a drop (๐) towards 101.5 ๐ฏ.
Dollar Index Bullish to $111.350 (UPDATE)Since yesterday's Dollar update, price has moved according to our arrow. We saw a small dip down overnight & now buyers have once again pushed price back into the grey zone.
We are expecting price to remain within this grey zone, seeing it flip from a resistance zone into support. Once price closes above this zone, we'll have extra confirmation that Dollar buyers are ready to push price even higher๐
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) โ Weekly Outlook | Elliott Wave Analysis
This DXY weekly chart highlights a potential (A)-(B)-(C) corrective structure unfolding after a completed 5-wave impulsive rally. Wave A bottomed out around the 100 level, followed by a retracement in Wave B which tested the 111.893 supply zone. Currently, price is reacting strongly from that level, suggesting a possible move toward completing Wave C.
Current Market Structure:
Wave B faced strong rejection near the 111.893 resistance/supply zone.
Price is now hovering near a short-term support zone (light green) around 102โ100, which could serve as a decision point.
Two scenarios are in play:
1. Bullish Rejection from Support: If buyers defend the support, a new bullish leg may begin, retesting 111.893 or even pushing slightly higher.
2. Break Below Support: A decisive breakdown could initiate a deeper decline toward the major demand zone (highlighted in beige) near 90.00โ92.50, completing Wave C.
Key Technical Zones:
Resistance (Supply Zone): 111.893
Immediate Support: 100.00โ102.00
Major Demand Zone (Wave C Target): 90.00โ92.50
Current Price: 102.892
Elliott Wave View:
The ongoing move appears to be part of a Wave C correction, which will be confirmed only if price breaks below the current support. On the flip side, a higher low and bullish continuation could mean the correction ended early, transitioning into a fresh impulse.
Conclusion:
The DXY is at a critical juncture. Traders should monitor price action closely at the 100โ102 zone. A bounce could trigger a bullish setup back toward resistance, while a breakdown would likely bring Wave C to completion in the 90โ92.50 zone.
Stay tuned and trade with discipline.
DeGRAM | DXY dropped below 100 pointsDXY is in a descending channel between trend lines.
On the downside, the price has formed a gap and dropped below 100 pips and has already reached the lower trend line.
The chart maintains a descending structure but has already formed a harmonic pattern and a descending wedge.
On the major timeframes, the index relative strength is in the oversold zone and on the 30m Timeframe it is forming a bullish convergence.
We expect a reversal after a support retest.
-------------------
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DXY - ANALYSIS๐ Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. Iโd like to share my analysis of DXY (Dollar Index) with you.
Looking at the DXY chart, I expect a price increase towards 101.267. After reaching this level, I anticipate a decline to around 96.00.
๐ Expectation:
Bullish Scenario: Price increases towards 101.267.
Bearish Scenario: After reaching 101.267, a decline to 96.00.
๐ก Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 101.267
Support: 96.00
๐ฌ What are your thoughts on DXY this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
DXYDXY(DOLLAR) is overall bullish we are currently sitting on a demand zone once that level holds scale down to the daily timeframe for execution but once the first demand zone get invalidated we wait for the next demand zone to look for another bullish movement back into supply levels REMEMBER: TREND IS KING
What happens to markets when the dxy rallies?!Scanning through the markets during these turbulent times has me, wondering what would happen when the dollar index rallies to new highs? Will the real estate market be higher? Will Gold be higher? Will inflation be higher? With the great reset well underway and the sheep buying the left- right blame game, what will happen to our beloved investments?
The Dollar's Gone Crab-Walking!!The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has recently breached the 100 level, marking the first instance of such a decline since July 2023.
This development signifies a potential shift in the dollar's strength against a basket of major currencies.
Market observers are now closely monitoring the index, particularly around the 99.3 mark, as some anticipate a possible rebound and upward trajectory from this level.
The near-term performance of the DXY will likely be influenced by a variety of factors, including evolving macroeconomic data, shifts in monetary policy.
SEYED.
DXY In Difficult Circumstances Since the Start 80's I decided to give a go at the Dollar Index given the circumstances around the world. And to be honest, I tried to put on the positive glasses.
I believe the dollar has been in a complex correction since the mid 80's. Starting out with a large dump in '85 with the a-wave, the correction slowed down and only grew more and more complex.
Thought about current wave: What I believe we are going through now is, that we are finishing up the purple C-wave in a green (C)-wave. This wave can end at any time now, since it's now at the 61.8% fib level of the purple A-wave. But it might go down to the 95 level (The green box) to complete at the 100% fiblevel of the purple A-Wave.
But first we will have the fourth wave meaning the DXY is gonna struggle for some weeks. Because we had a swift two week wave 2, which means we are probably going have a slow fourth wave according to the rule of alternation. This mean the purple C-wave could drag out into the end of '25 into early '26.
This is also with that in mind that a C-wave most likely will take longer than an A-wave. These are the Purple boxes.
BUT, after this, DXY is gonna experience some happy years again, going back up to the yellow box somewhere between 110 and 120 to finish the WXY of x of the larger degree. This will take DXY into a couple of years bull-run as long as the green (C) wave runs and completes no earlier than late '27, depending when the purple C-wave prior to the green (C) wave ends. But I believe the green (C)-wave will take about two years to complete.
But after this, DXY could again go into some dark ages and considering the high degree purple w-wave took 23 years to complete (blue giant box), there is no reason to believe this high degree purple y-wave will be a swift matter and actually don't complete before the year 2050. And it will take the DXY all the down to start 60's or lower.
The reason I said I tried to put on the positive glasses, is that I tried seeing the white channel as a leading diagonal for a new bull run, but I just don't see it as such.
I also tried seeing it as a C-wave of a flat diagonal, but this would result in another C-wave afterwards, and also take us down to the 60's level. So that didn't do us any good.
For the sake of DXY, I hope I'm wrong, but this is how I see it.