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US Dollar USDX Index (DXY)UU

US Dollar USDX Index (DXY)

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Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 100.22 1st Support: 97.47 1st Resistance: 101.83 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
USD Price Action Correlation with Bitcoin PriceIn the later stages of the liquidity cycle you have a devaluation of USD leading to bitcoin breaking out of its bullish trend into a parabolic trend. -Last 2 cycles this predictive correlation leaded bitcoins breakout by 4 to 6 months. -Current cycle DXY/Bitcoin charts look very similar to 2018 Taking this correlation into account, we could likely see the bullish trend on Bitcoin transform into a parabolic trend sometime between May and June. Meaning, we are in the final stages of a bottoming in Bitcoin at the time of this post, likely about to continue bullish momentum as we just went through significate market strain. Removing the possibilities of another Black Swan event, like a major geopolitical event but it is my belief that this was already priced in from the markets reaction just this month. This being said, there are no certainties. Things could always get worse. Time will tell, but given my aforementioned annalists, the buying opportunity at this current point is to great to ignore. Reward greatly outweighing the risk.
TLong
by merchtank19
DXY:It will still be under pressure.Daily trading strategy.Today, the U.S. Dollar Index has shown some signs of recovery. (👉signals👉) However, given the strong bearish sentiment towards the U.S. dollar in the current market, U.S. President Donald Trump's threat to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has triggered concerns about the political and economic stability of the United States. This has led to the selling off of U.S. dollar assets, putting pressure on the U.S. dollar. Technically, the U.S. Dollar Index is in a downward trend. Before effectively breaking through the key resistance level of 100, one can still consider going short on rallies. Trading Strategy: Sell@99.2-99 TP:98-97 The latest signals resulted in continuous profits 🤑, and accurate signals were shared daily. 👇 signals👇
TShort
by AngelaYeates
DXY Long to 100 off bullish news from Trump 1. Current Data and research Macro Regime Business cycle - moving into recession territory. S&P is down from 6125 to 4842 at its lowest. That's a 21% drop - this crosses the 20% drop threshold. Inflation - Headline 2.4%. Slightly above 2% target. Core PCE is at 0.4%. This is higher than expected. Monetary Policy - Still at high interest rate levels of 4.5%. There's more room for cuts than hike in general. However, Tariffs is a spanner in this logic as it introduces inflation that needs to be controlled, and limits the cuts. Growth - Consumer sentiments - 50.8. This is a drop from 57. Not a good sign for confidence in the US markets Central Bank Outlook - Forward Guidance & Policy Path - "Wait and see" approach to see the full effects of the tariffs and will tackle. Unlikely to cut rates quickly due to inflation risks from tariffs. Flow & Positioning Factors - LDN and NY opens List of upcoming data German PMI - today US PMI - today Expectations German PMI - 47.5/50.3 - Unsure, but doubt there will be a huge surprise to the upside US PMI - 49.3/52.9 - Expect a downtrend here and close to the 49.3. It will invalidate longer-term trades if there's a huge surprise to the downside US Unemployment claims -NA -Expecting higher Bullish arguments - More pumping by Trump to prop the market up while the fundamentals are still likely to bad as tariffs are still there Bear arguments - The tariff is still the biggest elephant in the room and nothing has changed there. If anything, China has taken steps to prepare for a worse response in the future if US does not reach a negotiation. 2. Trade Thesis Directional Thesis I am expecting DXY to go back up to 100 due to a temporary strength in the USD from the good news for Fed Powell and Trump backing down in tariffs. Supporting Logic - Structural -- The DXY was holding 100 level before the Powell news. -- If the current news stays status quo, I expect prices to rise back up to that fundamental level after a brief pullback from 99.4 to 99.2 -Tactical A significant lower-high pivot point set on H1 chart. I need prices to remain above that 99 level. If it drops below, then the tactical levels do not work. - Flows Look for entry at either LDN or NY session open Expected Path - Pull back to 99.0 and now slow ascend back to 100 - There's a resistance level at 99.6. That would be TP1, and 100 would be TP2 Invalidation Logic - Fundamental Invalidation -- Trump tweets another fire Fed -- China escalates the trade war -- US PMI has a huge downside surprise (unlikely) - Price-Based Invalidation -- Price breaking below 99 Asymmetric Setup If I enter at 99.1X, this is a potential 1:4R trade with high confidence Trade Setup Entry level - 99.1 to 99.2 Scale-in plan (if any) - I can enter full size here Position sizing - 1% of account TP zones - TP1 - 99.6 - TP2 - 100 - TP3 - 101 (significant psychological level) Time stop Kill trade if a) Prices drop below 99 b) Prices do not bounce to the upside within 2 hours of LDN and NY open
TLong
by yuhaocooper
DXY / Dollar Index Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY / Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (104.550) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (103.800) Day trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 105.400 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. DXY / Dollar Index Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
FXOPEN:DXYLong
by Thief_Trader
A Zoom of the Weekly DXY into a Daily viewI kept the colored rectangels from my weekly analysis, to keep the focus and knowledge where we are on the chart. DXY is doing a long A-B-C before it's is going into the last impulse og the C of Y of x of the larger degree. It's quite a lot of corrections to manage, but if you swipe from the daily to the weekly timeframe, it makes good sense. For me at least :D. The purple B wave took some time to figure out, but this was what made most sense to me. I was trying to look at it as a triangle, but that wouldn't have a good shape, so I ended out with this white ((w))-((x))-((y)) correction. DXY is right now performing, what I see as, a extended 5th wave in the white ((iii) wave, before it goes into the white ((iv)) correction. The white ((iv) wave correction could be become a long shallow drawn out correction for two reasons. We had a steep and swift white (ii) followed by an extended white ((iii) wave. This usually means we are going to spend some time correcting that white (iii) wave and the rule of alternation tells us, if we have a quick 2nd wave, we are usually going to see a slow fourth wave. I don't believe we have completed the white (iii) yet, so we have a long time to go still until that white (iv) wave is done. When the white (iv) wave is done, the white (v) wave is probaly going to take us down to that green box. So relax for the next 6 months and grab yourself a cup of coffee.
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by TheDane
2
DXY Squeeze Incoming? Watch 99.00 ReactionFundamental Analysis: The TVC:DXY has weakened as recent data shows GDP growth slowing to 2.4%, inflation cooling to 2.4%, and unemployment rising to 4.2%, increasing expectations of potential Fed rate cuts despite rates holding at 4.5%. Investor confidence has also dropped, with consumer sentiment at 50.8, and the trade deficit still wide at $123B, signaling softer economic momentum. 📉 Projection: Continued soft data could keep the dollar under pressure unless the Fed reinforces a hawkish stance. ⚠️ Risk Level: A strong upside surprise in inflation or employment data could reverse sentiment and push DXY higher abruptly. Technical Analysis: DXY is currently hovering around 99.65, just above a key support zone near 99.00 (PWL), where a potential liquidity grab may occur. The RSI is near 30, signaling oversold conditions, which often precede a short-term bounce. 📈 Projection: If price holds above 99.00, a rebound toward the 100.91 gap and possibly 103.19 (PWH) is likely. ⚠️ Risk Level: A clean break below 99.00 would invalidate the bullish setup and open the way to 97.50–98.00.
TLong
by rTrader_official
Dxy monthly analysis The dollar will fall to unprecedented levels due to several stupid policies, in addition to the US debt disaster. This is a medium- and long-term analysis using Elliott Waves, in addition to expected liquidity zones. Finally, I would like to ask: Is this the end of the dollar with China's increasing rise, or is this the beginning of preparations and selling by the major players in preparation for World War III, which will occur in 2027 or perhaps sooner?
TShort
by davinci2020
NEW WORLD ORDER BLUEPRINT : THE GRAND DESIGN I have said everything in prior posts but this analysis dates to ray dalios hegemony video looks like this is the time so dxy will rebound in value good news will spur the economic tank willthen crash trump vs powell you cant rig the economy couple this with the bad after taste of tariffs negative sentiment from the world no one coming to sretch their hand out then boom ni hao wo jiao Lao Ban Muji, wo ai bin qili ai, shuo, follow zaijian
TLong
by Bekiumuzi_Dube
Altseason and a Weak Dollar — Will History Repeat in 2025?The altseason of 2017 started at the same time as the U.S. dollar index (DXY) began to fall. This likely helped bring more money into the crypto market. In 2020–2021, a similar thing happened: the falling dollar was followed by a strong rise in altcoins. But that time, altseason started closer to the end of the dollar’s decline. A weaker dollar makes risky assets like crypto more attractive. In April 2020, the total crypto market cap was around $218 billion. Today, it’s about $2.63 trillion — around 12 times bigger. However, to start a new altseason now, the market may need a lot more cheap money than in 2020. I’m not sure if the 2025 altseason can be as strong as in the past. Now it seems that the only way to repeat that success is if a big part of the capital moves from Bitcoin into altcoins. This would need a sharp drop in Bitcoin dominance. But this brings new questions. After the launch of Bitcoin ETFs, the ownership structure has changed. Many people now own Bitcoin through investment funds, not directly. These funds may not be very excited to invest in altcoins. What do you think about it? Share your opinion in the comments.
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by CapitalHustle
DXY Bearish Pennant Breakdown | More Downside Ahead?The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has broken down from a well-defined bearish pennant pattern on the 4H chart, signaling continuation of the prevailing downtrend. 🔹 Technical Setup: Pattern: Bearish Pennant Breakdown Level: Below 99.00 Target: ~94.50 based on pennant pole projection Confirmation: Clear follow-through after breakdown, low volume consolidation 🔹 Fundamentals: Weak U.S. economic data and dovish Fed expectations continue to weigh on the dollar. Rising gold and commodity prices further support DXY downside. 📌 Outlook: As long as DXY trades below 99.00 resistance, bearish momentum is likely to extend toward the 94.50 target zone. NOTE: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Always do your own research.
TShort
by Gold_Traders_Team
DXY TO RETRACE, BUYMy yearly target for DXY has been smashed in April, not even 6 months in, lol. The move was fast and brutal, many were left out. Now I think we will see some cool off, a retracement or a range, dont hold trades as the market may range after such big move and I don't like holding a ranging market. Learn to let your profit run, stop chasing few pips. Dxy fell thousands pips and you caught only 100 pips due to day trading, it doesn't make sense. Learn to see the bigger picture My TP 1 is 99 TP 2 = 101.3 Enjoy Follow me as my trades are market order, so you'll see it on time and enter at premium
TLong
by UGBOR