DXY (LONG)
Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern
Which Serves as reversal pattern
Dollar strength coming
DXY trade ideas
DXYIf we look at nature's theory , we can define see that the impulsive phase is to the upside and the market corrects to the down side.
We have a clear uptrend with 2 confirmed touches and now anticipating a bullish impulse on the third touch
The third touch is also a third touch of a pattern with 2 confirmed touches waiting for the final touch to go
Multiple confirmations
US Dollar Bulls Return Ahead of NFPsThe US Dollar is testing resistance today at the 2023 / 2024 low day closes (LDC) at 99.95-100.42- looking for possible infection off this mark in the days ahead.
A closer look at USD price action shows the index trading into the resistance at the median-line in early U.S. trade. A topside breach above this threshold is needed to validate a breakout of the weekly opening-range with subsequent resistance see at the September high-day close (HDC) / September high at 101.77/92. Note that channel resistance converges on this threshold over the next few weeks and a breach / close above this slope would be needed to suggest a more significant low was registered last week / a larger reversal is underway. Subsequent resistance eyed at the 2016 high-close / 2020 high at 102.95/99 and the 2023 yearly open at 103.49.
Key support remains unchanged at the 2018 swing high / 61.8% retracement of the 2018 advance at 97.71-98.39- a close below this threshold would threaten another bout of accelerated USD losses with subsequent support seen at the 96-handle, the 2022 LDC at 95.17 and the March 2020 low at 94.65.
A rebound off key support takes the U.S. Dollar into initial resistance with major event risk on tap tomorrow. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to this week’s low IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a breach above 100.42 needed to fuel the next leg of the recovery.
-MB
DOLLAR DOLLAR ,the double bottom reversal of gold is showing demand to reclaim the 100 mark,if it stays above this zone we could see a strong bullish kick.
USDINDEX BUY LONGAll other pairss could follow this. But it's the end of the month, and many banks have holidays tomorrow. NFP on Friday...
Anything is possible.
Viper Sunday Weekly forecast call. NFP week!On Sunday's we review the markets and look at structure, trends and Candle charts to see what possibly could happen in the week ahead. With a Pullback last week, the markets look poised to have a stronger week leading into NFP.
We cover US30, NAS100, Gold, Oil and Forex pairs. As well as DXY.
Trade carefully, always use proper risk management and this video contains no trade calls or expected results. It is for education purposes only.
DXY Technical Analysis – Bearish BiasDXY Technical Analysis – Bearish Bias
Market Structure: The price attempted a recovery but failed to break above a strong supply/resistance zone around 99.30–99.40.
Price Action: A rounded bottom (U-shape) move formed, but instead of continuation, the price rejected the resistance and started to fall.
DOLLARThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently in a bearish phase, trading near 98.93 as of late April 2025, down from 99.71 earlier in the month. Key drivers include:
Political Uncertainty: Trump’s tariff policies (e.g., 25% levies on auto/semiconductor imports) and trade tensions have eroded the dollar’s safe-haven appeal, despite initial short-lived gains.
Fed Policy Expectations: Markets anticipate Fed rate cuts in 2025 if inflation cools, weakening the dollar. The Fed’s cautious stance in recent minutes has reinforced this outlook
Rising Treasury yields reflect inflation concerns and foreign selling, yet the DXY has weakened due to political risks and growth fears.
Basis trades (exploiting price gaps between Treasuries and derivatives) have amplified volatility, with an estimated $800B– MIL:1T at stake.
Divergence Signals:
The DXY-Treasury spread (usually correlated) has diverged, suggesting markets doubt the Fed’s ability to sustain higher rates despite sticky inflation. This divergence often precedes shifts in risk asset pricing.
Fed Policy Impact:
Fed minutes emphasize data dependency, delaying rate cuts until inflation eases convincingly. However, bond markets are pricing in 1–2 cuts by year-end, weakening the dollar.
Outlook and Critical Levels
Bond Yields: Likely to stabilize near 4.5% for 10-year Treasuries if inflation moderates, but geopolitical risks and tariff escalation could drive further volatility.
Conclusion
The DXY’s bearish bias persists amid political uncertainty and Fed dovishness, while bond markets face turbulence from inflation and foreign capital flows. Traders should monitor:
Fed rhetoric and U.S. inflation data (core PCE, CPI).
Geopolitical developments (U.S.-China trade talks, tariff adjustments).
This interplay suggests continued volatility, with the DXY likely to underperform unless Fed policy or risk sentiment shifts abruptly.
Heading into pullback resistance?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 100.27
1st Support: 98.32
1st Resistance: 101.77
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IMP update for all Forex Traders Expect the Dollar Index (DXY) to appreciate in the near future. However, a further decline into the green highlighted region is possible before this upward movement. The green zone represents a potential key reversal area. Monitor the following currency pairs for trading opportunities if the DXY begins to climb:
BUY - USDCAD, USDCHF, USDSGD;
SELL - EURUSD, GBPUSD
DXY 4H Chart AnalysisThe U.S. Dollar Index is currently consolidating near the 99.400 level, within a broader bearish trend. Price is sitting just above key H4 support (~99.000), making this a critical decision zone.
Bullish scenario: Rejection from 99.000 could lead to a retracement towards 100.000, and potentially 102.500 if momentum holds.
Bearish scenario: A break below 99.000 would confirm further downside, possibly targeting 97.500 and beyond.
Traders should wait for clear price action confirmation before committing to a direction.
$USD Breaks Down – “Mission Accomplished” or Just Getting📉 The US Dollar Index ( AMEX:USD / TVC:DXY / $USINDEX) has officially broken beneath the multi-year support zone from 2020, right as Trump prepares to declare "Mission Accomplished".
From Inauguration to Liberation Day, and now the final stage: Meltdown.
🧭 Key Events Marked:
🟥 Inauguration
🟥 Trade War
🟥 Liberation Day
🟩 Mission Accomplished
🔻 Meltdown incoming?
📊 The breakdown aligns with a sharp spike in Nasdaq down volume (see chart). This isn't just a currency move — it's a market-wide stress signal.
Watch closely:
TVC:DXY below 99 = structural weakness.
Risk-on assets may melt up temporarily, but volatility could snap back fast.
Global currency pairs ( FX:EURUSD , FX:USDJPY , FX:GBPUSD ) are all on alert.
DXY BREAKOUT IN PLAY — Smart Money is Moving!After a clean falling wedge formation, DXY is showing early signs of bullish momentum.
Price action respects the trendline support + bullish orderblock (green zone) beautifully!
Next targets: 101.000 — 103.000 zone.
Watch for pullback entries before continuation.
This is textbook falling wedge breakout behavior — stay sharp!
Levels Marked:
Support: 99.00 zone
Target Zones: 101.000 & 103.000
Breaker structure: Confirmed bullish
Save this setup & be prepared!
DXY Dxy has some more upside, let the market go above 100 and then we will see the reaction.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
DXY: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 98.933 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 99.097.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Dollar Index - Short Term Relief Rally Upcoming?From the beginning of 2025, it's been nothing but pain in the markets; bearish prices on bearish prices and it's not looking like it's the ends.
But wheat happens when the market is trading one way for a long time is you tend to have short squeezes. This is where traders place and trail their stop losses above recent highs with the expectation that the market will not reverse back into the highs before continuing lower.
I believe something like this can play out this week It all depends on Sundays opening....
DXY TVC:DXY is currently struggling to break the resistance and support tho the support is most likely to pull back on 98.000 level for support bofore it shoots to the upside.
Is the US Dollar Preparing for a Bullish Comeback?The DXY is currently maintaining a bullish setup amid trade negotiations, election developments, and anticipation of key leading U.S. economic indicators this week.
An inverted head-and-shoulders formation is visible on the 4-hour time frame. A decisive catalyst and a breakout above the 100.00 and 100.30 levels are needed to confirm a more sustained bullish bounce from multi-year lows, with targets at 102.00, 103.30, and 104.70 — reversing recent strength in major global currencies.
On the downside, a breach of the 97.00 level could trigger a decline toward the lower boundary of the long-term uptrend channel established since 2008, aligning with the 92.00 zone, and potentially lifting gold and major currencies globally.
Several key events this week could challenge or reinforce the current bullish setup amid ongoing Trump–China trade negotiations:
U.S. Advance GDP & Core PCE — Wednesday
BOJ Rate Decision & U.S. ISM PMI — Thursday
U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls — Friday
Mega Cap Earnings — Wednesday/Thursday
While long-term signals remain bearish, short-term charts suggest a potential bullish recovery, with trade negotiations likely to tip the balance.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
DXYU.S Dollar Index
- Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " AB " Corrective Waves
- Break of Structure
- Resistance Level
- Consolidation Phase
- Order Block
Bullish USIndexCurrently looking at inverted H NYSE:S and also inside channel trading which might also serve as bull flag pattern once broken to the upside. This would mean gold wil be bearish
DXY start monthly bearish trend monitoring 94.8DXY start monthly bearish trend monitoring 94.8
whoever hate Trump tarif could just dump the dollar
it's a monthly bearish trend, need 1 or 2 year to go back to above 100
make cheap dollar, lower interest rate
will see a lot of new debt and print money before dollar fly again
DXY ... Dollar Index looks not as clean Gann reviewNot too much to explain here...just see the highlighted areas and see that the Gann box Stacking strikes again with some interesting levels. The light angles are kinds nice, but the most recent one where the price is now seems to be the only thing holding it back from being a green face smash to 96...
Mor Tariff... Mor pain for the Dolla Dolla Bill y' all
This is the larger picture and see as to how I come to these Gann box alignments:
Again...You just find pivots and span them with the box- then stack or slide them with points all being contiguous and you have your price action analysis.
Above chart is the weekly. Just imagine if there was any significance to the 2001 high and then the 2008 lows when it comes to geopolitics or financial situations....one could say:
Its almost like a twin peak, one with a tower on it, just suddenly got hit out of nowhere and then crashed down to the Great Financial Center down below..hmmm VV
DXY - Still survive on it Bullish ChanelThe dollar index is currently still in a bullish channel. This shows that there is still a fairly large possibility of reversing and making an upward movement,
As history showed us that 120 is DXY current target.
