Bull Scenario: 99.050 aligns with 61.8% retracement of the rally from 98.715โ107.661. Bear Scenario: 100.779 matches 127% extension of the recent consolidation phase.
2. Momentum Indicators
RSI: Hidden bullish divergence on 4H chart (higher lows vs. price retracement). MACD: Bullish crossover at 99.305 signals potential upward momentum.
๐ก Intraday Trade Setups
Long Opportunity ๐ข (Intraday Buy)
Entry: 99.050 ๐ Stop Loss: 97.982 ๐ Take Profit 1: 99.752 ๐ฏ Take Profit 2: 100.779 ๐
Rationale:
Institutional bid cluster at 99.050 (78.6% Fib zone). Morning star candlestick pattern confirmed on 1H chart.
Short Opportunity ๐ด (Intraday Sell)
Entry: 100.779 ๐ Stop Loss: 105.305 ๐ Take Profit 1: 99.752 ๐ฏ Take Profit 2: 99.050 ๐
Rationale:
Resistance confluence at 100.779โ105.305 aligns with options-led hedging pressure. Bearish divergence between price and volume oscillator.
๐ Risk Management Protocol
Use 70% position sizing for long trades below 99.050. Monitor USD liquidity conditions during NY session open (08:30 EST).
๐ Market Perspective
DXY consolidates between 99.050โ100.779. Focus on reversal patterns at these boundaries with 1:3 risk-reward ratios. A sustained break above 105.305 or below 97.982 would confirm directional bias.
USDCNHDXY Dollar looks poised to rise significantly against the Yuan in what appears to be a cup and handle continuation pattern. 7.29 entry target. This could also indicate that China's economy will be dealt a serious blow in the trade war. tradingview.com/x/eBToOcpC/
DXY I told many years ago this chart is manipulated and clearly dead. they just needed an excuse to crash it called tariffs. I hope you invest in real assets good luck and short.