NDQM trade ideas
NASDAQ Long-term looks brighter than ever!Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a massive Channel Up since the bottom of the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis and during the April 07 2025 bottom, a very distinct bullish signal emerged.
The index hit its 3W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since May 2023. As you can see, since the 2008 Crisis, every time the market rebounded after hitting the 3W MA50, it posted a rise of at least +62.06% before the next time it touched it (and that was on the highly irregular COVID crash).
As a result, we expect to see NDX hit at least 26500 (+62.06%) before a new 3W MA50 test. Chances are we see the market move much higher though.
Note also the incredible bounce it made on the 3W RSI 14-year Support Zone.
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Market Structure Breakdown on NASDAQ: What Traders Should Watch📉 NASDAQ (NAS100, US100) Analysis 🧠💼
I’m currently keeping a close eye on the NASDAQ (NAS100) — price action is telling a story worth watching.
📆 Last week, the index came under clear pressure, and now on the 4H timeframe, we’re seeing a defined bearish structure with consistent lower highs and lower lows 📉🔻. This recent expansion to the downside has led to a break in market structure (BOS), and price is now pulling back into equilibrium 🔄.
⏳ For now, it’s a waiting game. I’m watching to see if this pullback finds resistance at a premium level and rotates back to the downside, which would present a potential short setup 🎯📊.
🕒 On the 30-minute chart, I’m monitoring for a clear structural shift — a change in momentum that confirms bearish intent. Should the NASDAQ resume its downward move, it could trigger risk-off sentiment, bringing strength into the JPY pairs 💴🚨 as capital flows out of risk assets.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📚💼
Nasdaq100 OANDA:NAS100USD has reached the previous highest level.
We see that the trendline has made a high possibility of the nasdaq 100 to reach a new high level because the price has gone above the previous high level, and came back to test it.
Now the price is going back up. It is fascinating as to what nasdaq100 will do next and how
other indices will be affected, including Gold and forex...
My opinion on nasdaq100:
1. It has made a different move compared to the previous high levels when they reached this level. Previously when the price reached the horizontal line (the resistance level) price began to push down and create very long spikes.
2. Nasdaq100 will go way too high and spike on that highest trendline. Spike from that level thereby create a new resistance level.
3. And then price will begin to push down strong. This will happen only if there will be a very strong spike meaning an incredible amount of sells pushing the price down.
NAS100 SHORTElite Live Analysis
Market Structure: Bullish across the Weekly, Daily, and 4H timeframes.
Key Level: Price has reached a significant zone where a potential reversal is expected.
Confirmation: Transitional switch confirmed on the 1-Min, 3-Min, and 5-Min timeframes.
Execution: Entry based on the 5-Min confirmation.
Targets:
Structured liquidity levels
Lower liquidity pools resting beneath current price
Can Geopolitics Power Tech's Ascent?The Nasdaq index recently experienced a significant surge, driven largely by an unexpected de-escalation of tensions between Israel and Iran. Following a weekend where U.S. forces reportedly attacked Iranian nuclear sites, investors braced for a volatile Monday. However, Iran's measured response - a missile strike on a U.S. base in Qatar, notably without casualties or significant damage - signaled a clear intent to avoid wider conflict. This pivotal moment culminated in President Trump's announcement of a "Complete and Total CEASEFIRE" on Truth Social, which immediately sent U.S. stock futures, including the Nasdaq, soaring. This rapid shift from geopolitical brinkmanship to a declared truce fundamentally altered risk perceptions, alleviating immediate concerns that had weighed on global markets.
This geopolitical calm proved particularly beneficial for the Nasdaq, an index heavily weighted towards technology and growth stocks. These companies, often characterized by global supply chains and reliance on stable international markets, thrive in environments of reduced uncertainty. Unlike sectors tied to commodity prices, tech firms derive their value from innovation, data, and software assets, which are less susceptible to direct geopolitical disruptions when tensions ease. The perceived de-escalation of conflict not only boosted investor confidence in these growth-oriented companies but also potentially reduced pressure on the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policy, a factor that profoundly impacts the borrowing costs and valuations of high-growth technology firms.
Beyond the immediate geopolitical relief, other crucial factors are shaping the market's trajectory. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming testimony before the House Financial Services Committee, where he will discuss monetary policy, remains a key focus. Investors are closely scrutinizing his remarks for any indications regarding future interest rate adjustments, particularly given current expectations for potential rate cuts in 2025. Additionally, significant corporate earnings reports from major companies like Carnival Corporation (CCL), FedEx (FDX), and BlackBerry (BB) are due. These reports will offer vital insights into various sectors' health, providing a more granular understanding of consumer spending, global logistics, and software security, thereby influencing overall market sentiment and the Nasdaq's continued performance.
Nas100/US100 Short Setup based on Fundamentals
Hello everyone. We have seen the Nasdaq form a new local top at the 22k area and is now heading back down.
There are many reasons why price is falling but remember this only a temporary sell off as the master trend on the highest time frame is up not down.
Today (Friday 20th June) is OPEX. $6.6 Trillion of options are set to expire today and the Max Pain level is 21,500. Price could drive there to render most options worthless.
Institutions and hedge funds have increasingly added short positions or are sitting on the side lines. Indicating lack of buying from the larger players for the time being.
Buying volume is lower than the selling volume at the top of this rally.
We have 2 weeks roughly until trump tarrifs are implemented and not many trade deals have been made.
Iran-Israel conflict with a possible US involvement.
FED is leaning towards a more hawkish approach due to tarrifs but says the US economy is still growing.
How I am looking at this for the near future. In the chart I have marked my entry, My SL, My Max TP and where I would take partials on the way down. I may also even scale in more if I see the opportunity.
Thanks for reading.
USTECH H4 AnalysisUSTECH Showing a bullish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly up to 22,106.35 and higher TO 23,200. If no, Can rally between 20,800, 20,400 or even lower. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
NAS100 | 15min | Breakout or Breakdown SetupPrice is currently testing the descending trendline and a key demand zone after a short-term selloff. Entry taken at a possible liquidity grab with bullish intent, targeting a breakout above the trendline. If rejection continues, a drop towards the lower liquidity area near 22,060 is likely. Watching for confirmation on the next 1–2 candles.
NAS100 | LTF viewpointWe are currently caught between 2 LQC candles that have both swept LQ and we are waiting for the break of the trend to the upside as we have tapped into to 68 & 72% fib levels
So the is a high chance we continue to the upside with NASDAQ BUT if market decides to disregard that setup o9f UPSIDE momentum the is a chance of sellers stepping into the market only if of LQC(liquidity swept candle) decides to not hold then we can begin looking for SELLING OPPORTUNITIES
FEEL FREE TO DROP A FEW ADVICES IN THE COMMENT SECTION IF YOU HAVE SOMETHING SIMILAR THAT SUPPORTS MY ANALYSIS OR IF YOU ARE SEEING SOMETHING DIFFERENT
"NASDAQ 100: THE TECH ROBBERY! – Quick Profits Before Reversal?"🔥 "The NDX NASDAQ 100 INDEX Heist: Bullish Loot & Escape Before the Trap!" 🔥
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Thief-style SL at nearest swing low (4H timeframe) → 21,770.00 (adjust based on risk/lot size).
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NASDAQ Analysis Stalking shorts on the Daily - nearby.
My weekly sentiment is bearish cause of technical factors.
Among the catalysts is bullish performance on the US Dollar index and price action compared to the US30 & US500.
Look to sell near 4H swing high, entry using the 15M bearish ChoCh only after three legs of bullish correction on the 1H frame into the highlighted levels of the swing high.
Anticipation is for the third leg to react bearish and the fourth leg to deliver impulse to the sell side.
USNAS100- Geopolitical Pressure Builds,NAS at Key Decision PointUSNAS100 – Technical Overview
🔻 Bearish Outlook:
The price is currently testing 21780. A 4H candle close below this level would confirm downside continuation toward 21635.
A break below 21635 would further strengthen the bearish trend, targeting 21470 and 21375.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
Bullish momentum may return if the price breaks and holds above 21780 on the 4H timeframe, with upside targets at 21930, and potentially 22090.
• Support: 21635/ 21475 / 21375
• Resistance: 21780 / 21930 / 22090
Nasdaq continuation sellsH4: STILL BULLISH INTERNALLY WITH OUR LAST SIGNIFICANT HL AT 21000
-Possible major chOch on H4 is very possible due to the HTF major zone we at
-Wait for proper H1 & lower tineframe confirmations before jumping in any trades
H1: BEARISH MARKET STRUCTURE STARTING TO PLAY WITH LAST LH AT 21925
-Potential continuation of sells all the way down to take out H4 hl a 21000
-We recently broke below a buying range on H1 & created a selling range
-Possible pullback buys before sells within that range are imminent
M15: We have a nice supply+fvg for sells at 21835
-Wait for price to pullback in there then M1 chOch then attack
NASS1001. Nasdaq 100 (NASS100) Performance
As of mid-June 2025, the Nasdaq 100 index is around 21,600 to 21,700 points, showing moderate volatility with recent declines amid geopolitical tensions and trade concerns.
Technology stocks, including semiconductor giants like NVIDIA and Broadcom, remain influential on Nasdaq movements.
Market sentiment is cautious due to escalating Middle East conflicts and US-China trade uncertainties.
2. US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y)
The US 10-year Treasury yield is hovering around 4.3% to 4.4% in June 2025.
Yields have edged up recently, reflecting inflation expectations and Federal Reserve monetary policy stance.
Rising yields often pressure growth stocks, including tech-heavy Nasdaq components, due to higher discount rates on future earnings.
3. US Dollar Index (DXY) Dynamics
The DXY has been relatively stable but showed some weakening in 2025 despite rising Treasury yields, reflecting complex market dynamics including geopolitical risks and shifts in capital flows.
A weaker dollar can support Nasdaq by boosting earnings of multinational tech firms through favorable currency translation, while a stronger dollar can weigh on exports and earnings.
4. Interplay Between NASS100, US10Y, and DXY
Rising US10Y yields tend to put downward pressure on Nasdaq 100 due to increased discount rates and borrowing costs for growth companies.
DXY movements influence Nasdaq via currency effects on multinational revenues and investor risk appetite.
Recent geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties have increased market volatility, occasionally decoupling typical correlations.
Softer inflation and weak labor data have temporarily boosted investor sentiment, supporting modest Nasdaq gains despite yield pressures.
Conclusion
the Nasdaq 100 faces pressure from rising US 10-year Treasury yields, which increase discount rates on tech stocks, while geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties add volatility. The US Dollar Index’s relative weakness provides some support to Nasdaq earnings, partially offsetting yield headwinds. Market participants remain cautious, balancing inflation data, Fed policy, and global risks in their outlook.
#NASS100