NAS100 Bull BiasCurrent Market Structure:
1. Trend Analysis:
• The price is still within a well-defined ascending channel.
• The recent price action shows a pullback toward the channel’s midline after hitting resistance near the upper channel boundary.
2. Key Levels:
• Resistance:
• 21,400–21,500: Price is near this key zone, which aligns with previous swing highs. A break above this could confirm further bullish momentum.
• 21,800: The next significant resistance, where a potential rejection could occur.
• Support:
• 21,200–21,300: Immediate support zone near the current price. A break below may lead to a retest of the channel’s lower boundary.
• 20,766 (blue line): Major support that aligns with previous lows and the base of the channel.
Possible Scenarios:
1. Bullish Case:
• If price holds above 21,300 and breaks through the 21,500 resistance zone, there’s a strong likelihood of a move toward the next resistance at 21,800 or even the upper boundary of the channel at 22,200.
• Buy confirmation: Look for bullish momentum candles or a retest of 21,400–21,500 as new support.
2. Bearish Case:
• If the price fails to break 21,500 and falls below 21,300, we may see further downside toward 20,766 (blue line).
• A break below 20,766 would invalidate the bullish structure and potentially lead to a deeper pullback toward 20,400–20,321.
Indicators to Watch:
• Trendline Interaction: The price is near the channel midline. A bounce or rejection here will determine the direction.
• Volume: A breakout above resistance zones requires strong volume for confirmation.
• Momentum Indicators (e.g., MACD/RSI): Watch for divergences or crossovers that might indicate a shift in momentum.
Trading Plan:
1. Long Setup:
• Entry: Above 21,500, after a breakout and retest.
• Target: 21,800, then 22,200.
• Stop Loss: Below 21,300 (midline).
2. Short Setup:
• Entry: Below 21,300, after rejection.
• Target: 20,766, then 20,400.
• Stop Loss: Above 21,500.
Conclusion:
The market remains in an ascending channel, favoring bullish bias unless 20,766 is broken. Monitor price action at 21,300–21,500 for confirmation of direction.
