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DJ30 trade ideas

US30 painting a beautiful downtrendUS30 Technical Analysis Report December 16, 2024 Current Market Overview The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is currently displaying a significant bearish bias, with multiple timeframe analysis supporting a continuation of the downward momentum. Current price: 43,886 Technical Analysis by Timeframe Daily Timeframe (HTF) Confirmed bearish market structure break at 44,392 (December 10, 2024) Overall Higher Timeframe trend remains bearish This break serves as a key reference point for the current bearish momentum 4-Hour Timeframe (H4) Clear downtrend pattern formation Current price action showing retracement to sweep buy/sell liquidity zones Price action respecting the downward trendline range Suggested entry level identified at 43,809 1-Hour Timeframe (H1) Key resistance level identified at 44,058 Potential for temporary trend interruption if this level is breached Currently operating within Asian session range boundaries Key Trading Levels Entry Target: 43,809 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 43,345 Extended Target (TP2): 42,890 (conditional on market alignment) Key Resistance: 44,058 Previous Structure Break: 44,392 Volume Analysis Current phase: Asian session (characterized by lower volume) Critical observation period: New York session open Anticipating increased volume and potential trend confirmation during NY hours Risk Management Considerations Primary trend remains bearish Watch for potential temporary reversals at 44,058 Monitor NY session volume for trade confirmation Consider partial position closure at TP1 (43,345) Trading Session Context Currently in Asian trading hours Key decision point expected at NY session open Volume expected to increase significantly during NY hours, providing better trade execution opportunities Trade Strategy Summary The overall strategy aligns with the bearish bias across multiple timeframes. Entry opportunities are being monitored at 43,809, with a structured approach to take profit levels. The New York session will be crucial for volume confirmation of the anticipated moves. Note: This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All traders should conduct their own research and risk assessment before entering any positions.
ICMARKETS:US30Short
by FXCapitalClub
9 Straight Down Days...and CountingHave you been paying attention to the Dow Jones Industrial Average ? Today marks the 9th Consecutive day it is down a record daily losing streak since get this,.. 1978. Lead lower by the collapse of United Healthcare, down 20 % (which I wrote to you about in my last TradingView post) traders at the mighty New York Stock Exchange are starting to get very concerned. With record investor and trader bullishness on stocks, paper asset class and the Fed now willing to grease the skids with another factored in rate cut tomorrow, the Dow is sending a clear warning that someone knows something you don't THE_UNWIND 12/17/24 Woods of Connecticut
TVC:DJIShort
by The_Unwind
US30 Intra-Week Analysis DEC 17th 2024US30 continued to make its way down to the 43400 Key Level after retracing from the new All-Time-High and supporting the FUD from an increase in interested rates. From this price point we can expect a decrease in volume resulting in consolidation as we approach Christmas and the new year. If we see a break above 43800 that will help support potential buys back to ATHs otherwise look out for a break below 43250 meaning selling momentum is still there.
CAPITALCOM:US30
by Itskaleel
Dow Jones Long & ShortDow Jones MTF Analysis Dow JonesYearly Demand 37779 Dow Jones 6 Month Demand 40077 Dow JonesQtrly Demand BUFL 40077 Dow JonesMonthly Demand 43325 Dow JonesWeekly Demand 42491 Dow JonesDaily Demand DMIP 43381 ENTRY -1 Long 43381 SL 42938 RISK 443 Target as per Entry 44800 Target Points 1,419 If Price Reverse from current level then 44800 Is the First Target Expecting Correction at 44800 ENTRY -2 Short 44800 SL 45073 RISK 273 Target as per Entry 42500 Target Points 2,300
TVC:DJILong
by pradyammm
Dow Jones (US 30) Pullback to Channel SupportChart Analysis: The Dow Jones Industrial Average remains firmly within an ascending channel (green zone), with the current price nearing key channel support after a pullback. 1️⃣ Ascending Channel: The price continues to respect the upward-sloping channel, which has been intact since mid-August. The lower boundary, near 43,450, is a critical support level to monitor. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): The price is testing this level at 43,514, which aligns with the channel support, acting as confluence. 200-day SMA (red): Positioned at 40,705, reinforcing the broader bullish trend and serving as a long-term support zone. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: Currently at 39.77, approaching oversold territory. A bounce from this level could signal renewed buying interest. MACD: Bearish momentum persists, with the MACD line trending downward. However, traders may watch for signs of a crossover near support. What to Watch: A successful defense of the ascending channel support and 50-day SMA could provide a foundation for a rebound toward the channel's upper boundary. If the support fails, the next significant area of interest would be the 42,000 level or the 200-day SMA near 40,705. RSI movement and MACD signals will be key for confirming shifts in momentum. The Dow remains within its bullish channel, but traders will be closely watching how price reacts to this critical support zone. -MW
FOREXCOM:US30
by FOREXcom
Santa abandons the Dow 30Buyers in the Dow Jones are likely frustrated given the recent gains in other stock indices, and as sellers are aggressively challenging the bullish uptrend, with the index nearly erasing all gains of its 5% rally off the November 19 low. As the price approaches a prior consolidation zone between 43,319 and 43,557, a reaction is likely, potentially forming a bottom and pushing higher as the December Santa rally begins. We maintain a bullish bias above 43,111, the November 20 low. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:US30Long
by ThinkMarkets
US30 Possible Bullish ideaUS30 has been on a straight sell for the past 9days and finally is approaching a strong area of Resistance turned support and an ascending trendline on the higher TF. Seeing it has two ascending trendlines we will objectively look at it. If market respects the ascending trendline and the area of support turned resistance, we will execute a buy but if it breaks that level, we will continue a sell to the second trendline and area of resistance turned support. Remember, objectivity is the rule of the game. The market lads, we follow.
EIGHTCAP:US30
by KAYCEEFX1
US30 Completed a Stop Loss Hunt twice overnight to fall againUS30 completed two market sweeps to gain liquidity which is a good indication that price is most likely closer to its reversal point. Market makers swept stop losses and buy stop orders at 43700 and 43800 last night only to push price lower. As I mentioned over the last week. Price is likely to go all the way to 43300 at which it will likely begin to reverse. Before it reverses, expect there to be a time of consolidation. Wait for the breakout and retest before deciding to take along trade. While in consolidation look for the range low and range high to set your intraday trades for smaller profits.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by leslyjeanbaptiste
1
The Mystery Of The Dow Index..Here is an interesting trend trade swing opportunity. I already have my index quota filled although as US index long is not the worst of ideas. The trend trade in question is the Dow Jones (US30) which is technically setting up and awaiting a daily buy signal/bar. Here is the interesting aspect. Why on earth is the DJI dropping for over a week back to averages while the SPY/SPX remains near ATHs? This divergence is creating the DJI trend trade but the fundamentals behind it need to be understood. Both indices should be behaving similarly as they have for quite a while now but the recent divergence has to be due to a combination of risk factors which are just now aligning that way. Sector composition is different, right? S&P is heavy tech and growth while DJI is traditional large caps. But they should react the same way to the sentiment environment and FED cut expectations so what gives? Maybe it is just tech. Tech is booming again with AI so it stands to reason that the S&P would hold an edge. Still, the environment is the same for traditional stocks and even if there should be a difference in gains, there surely shouldn't be a 100% divergence? Maybe it is investor sentiment? Markets are all in on AI while traditional stocks are seeing pre holiday profit taking? Could be. Is the December H2 Santa rally around the corner and the DJI dip buy is in play? That's a lot of speculation for such a divergence. Then we come to macro and this is where I think things begin to look different. Inflation has been coming in hot. But so has some other macro, macro that favours growth - and the FED cuts do to - so the S&P strength is probably warranted. The DJI is not so much about growth and probably more sensitive to inflationary pressures. I think that the inflation prints coming in hot may have been brushed off by the S&P and broader market, including the FED... but not by interest rate sensitive sectors of the DJI.
BLACKBULL:US30
by WillSebastian
US30 /Bearish Momentum and Key Levels Ahead of FED Rate DecisionTechnical Analysis The price has dropped about 700 points, as we mentioned previously, and remains under bearish momentum after breaking the bearish correction and trading below 43760. As long as the price trades below 43760 and 43900, it is likely to drop further to touch 43350. However, it is also possible for the price to retest 43760 before continuing to drop. On the other hand, the FED Rate Decision tomorrow will impact the indices. A rate decrease of 25 bps is expected, which could influence the bullish momentum depending on the market's reaction to the rate change. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 43580 Resistance Levels: 43765, 43900, 44070 Support Levels: 43350, 43210, 42900 Trend Outlook: Bearish Momentum Previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
4-hr US30: Can We See a 2000 points Christmas Rally Following the US elections, the Dow Jones surged by an impressive 3300 points in a massive bull rally, generating significant returns. However, a correction is underway as early buyers begin to take profits. We anticipate the US30 could dip another 250 points to retest the critical 50% Fibonacci level. This expectation is supported by the emergence of a Death Cross, a classic bearish signal, indicating strong downward momentum. If the 43,300 zone holds as support, there’s potential for a 2000-point Christmas rally. Buyers looking to capitalize on the broader uptrend might need to exercise patience, waiting for lower entry points to achieve a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio. This pullback could present an opportunity for strategic positioning in anticipation of the next rally.
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by Trendsharks
Bullish momentum to extend?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 43,318.65 1st Support: 42,643.34 1st Resistance: 44,526.39 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by ICmarkets
Bullish Potential for DJIA Towards 45,700 Amid Support BreakdownKey Observations Fibonacci Extension: • Fibonacci Extension is used to calculate potential price targets after a pullback. • Fibonacci Extension Levels: o 0%: 43,507.08 (beginning of the rise). o 100%: 45,762.55 (full price target). o The 45,762.55 level, as the 100% Fibonacci Extension target, serves as a potential take profit area if the price successfully rebounds from support and breaks through previous resistance. Support and Resistance: Main Support: • 43,507.08: Key support near the trendline. • 43,329.65: First horizontal support level. • 42,738.60: Second support if breakdown occurs. • 41,697.23: Last support that maintains the long-term bullish trend. Main Resistance: • 44,040.00: Initial resistance area. • 44,369.69: Second resistance level. • 44,902.61: Strong resistance (Fibonacci Extension 61.8%). • 45,762.55: Fibonacci Extension 100% as the main target. ________________________________________ Potential Scenarios Bullish Scenario: • If the price rebounds from the support area between 43,507.08 and 43,329.65, there is potential for a move towards 44,369.69 and 44,902.61. • A breakout above 44,902.61 will push the price towards 45,762.55 (100% Fibonacci Extension target). Bearish Scenario: • If the price falls below 43,329.65, the next critical support areas will be 42,738.60 and 41,697.23. SMA 50: • The 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 43,509.70 still serves as dynamic support near the current price. ________________________________________ Conclusion • The 100% Fibonacci Extension at 45,762.55 is the main bullish target if the price can rebound from support at 43,507.08 and break through the resistance at 44,902.61. • The support area between 43,507.08 and 43,329.65 remains a crucial level to maintain the bullish momentum. ________________________________________ Bullish Strategy Entry: • Buy in the support area between 43,507.08 and 43,329.65. Target: • Target 1: 44,369.69 • Target 2: 44,902.61 • Target 3: 45,700 (Fibonacci 100%). Stop Loss: • Below 42,738.60 to limit risk. ________________________________________ Bearish Strategy (If Breakdown Support) Trigger Entry: • If the price drops below 43,329.65 (horizontal support) and fails to rebound. Target Profit: • Target 1: 42,738.60 (next support). • Target 2: 41,697.23 (strong last support). Stop Loss: • Place the stop loss above 43,507.08, the former support now turned resistance after the breakdown. • This ensures that risk is controlled if the breakdown fails and the price reverses. ________________________________________ Important Notes • Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure a minimum risk-reward ratio of 1:2 to maintain a profitable long-term strategy. • Confirmation: Look for a bearish candlestick pattern or high volume during the breakdown to validate the signal.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by KepoinTrading
US30 Still Bearish and will likely fall to 43300US30 failed to stay above the 43800 support Line causing price to be stalled between 43800 resistance area and 43500 support area. This is a very week support area and price will likely gravitate to the 43500 line by tomorrow so an intraday short is an idea to consider. Price is nicely falling within the trend channel and shows no immediate or on coming sign of recovering. Short- Look to take a short to 43500 TP1 or 43300 TP2 Good Trading.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by leslyjeanbaptiste
US30 in consolidation patter but will likely fall someUS30 is showing resilliance at support level 43700 with the entire day hovering on or around that support line. Price is currently within the trend line channel and and therefore would have to consolidate above that support area in order to maintain its levels. If price within the next 8 hours does not recover above the current support line it will likely fall some more. The next support level is at 43500. Look to short the US30 from a retest of the current support line to at least 43500. Make sure to set your TPs properly because it will be a fast fall to a rebound when it does. Follow me for more insights. Comment below for questions.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by leslyjeanbaptiste