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DJ30 trade ideas

US30 Bearish to Bullish Play for the Week So US30 hit a nice bullish Rally from the divergent bottom but we were not able to break through 35.400 even though we broke the 4hr daily yellow trendline to the upside. We broke back into bearish territory Friday before close. So now I am looking at a weekly consolidation candle from last week giving me a projection for another possible consolidation week starting with a drop to the 42.450 area then I expect bulls to come In ultimately pushing price higher breaking through our 1st major resistance 34.400 into our 2nd major resistance 35.550, if we manage to break through both expect a bullish Rally into our next Major Resistance at 44.450. This week could close as another doji consolidation week if so I’m holding bottom buy entry to swing exits. I’m looking for a higher low this week giving us a wick on this weekly candle, I have a sell limit placed (shown on chart) and will possibly put a buy limit at the target price. FULL BEARISH SCENARIO: If we manage to break through 42.440 in a major way expect 42.250 next and a full break through that level would go to next major support zones at 41.900 & 41.650 May the pips be in our favor.
THINKMARKETS:US30
by jcatchinpips
1
Dow to drop into bear market but first bounce at 36k H&S patternBearish case Dow to drop 20% from ATH to be into a bear market 20% from ATH = weekly 200 EMA so banks will try and hold the price at 36k I think it bounces here and then eventually fails and we get a big equity bear market We have two H&S patterns that together take us below 36k if their targets are met be a nice trade if it bounces at 36k off the 200 EMA to get in and out and add to short again without being slapped in the face. At which max bounce point off the (36k) look for the rest of the equities to go short on of stocks that have broken their key levels of support. Or look for dow stocks that are leading the way down because they already broke their weekly 200 EMA and are the weaker members of the pack.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by William_Playfair
US30 Bullish Trade of the Week So US30 hit our buy zone yesterday even though it didn’t trigger our sell limit beforehand we did have a buy limit set up at 42.440 and we are currently riding that but will look to take profits shortly because I do see another push back into the 42.440-42.250 area before pushing back up. I will get some nice entries in that price action by following the 5-15 min candles once in our kill zone and placing a buy stop above the last 2nd closed candle (either 5-15) and trailing. If it continues below 42.250 buy stop will be eliminated.. as sellers take over. BUT until then we see bulls coming in heavy in that area.
THINKMARKETS:US30Long
by jcatchinpips
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PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by Thief_Trader
BEarish drop?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support. Pivot: 43,358.90 1st Support: 41,883.16 1st Resistance: 44,074.83 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US30Short
by ICmarkets
DOW JONES: Ignore the pullback, this is a new bullish wave.Dow Jones turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.280, MACD = -138.420, ADX = 33.278) as it failed to hold the 4H MA50 as support today and crossed under it. The 1D MA100 is coming in as the next level of support, which formed the Dec 18th-19th low. According to the 4H MACD, the index formed during those 2 days a bottom similar to of August 5th. As long as the 1D MA100 holds, it is more likely to see a bounce above the 4H MA50 again like August 13th. Our goal is a wave, so we're targeting the R1 level (TP = 45,000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope
1
Is another big crash coming ?This chart displays the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) monthly candlestick data alongside its 200-month simple moving average (SMA), highlighting significant historical declines and their characteristics. Here's the analysis: Key Observations: 1. Bearish Phases (Highlighted in Blue Boxes): Major drawdowns over the years are shown, with the percentage drop, the number of bars (months), and the trading volume involved. These events align with historical financial crises or economic downturns: 2000-2003 (-36.94%): Reflects the Dot-Com bubble burst. 2007-2009 (-52.12%): Represents the Global Financial Crisis. 2020 (-37.58%): Associated with the COVID-19 pandemic shock. 2. Recovery Time: The recovery periods vary significantly: Dot-Com Bubble: Took 37 bars (1,127 days). Financial Crisis: Longer with 18 bars (548 days) of drawdown and prolonged recovery beyond the charted downturn. COVID-19 Crash: Shortest at 2 bars (58 days) due to rapid monetary intervention. 3. Trends and Momentum: The 200 SMA provides a clear indicator of long-term trend stability: Downturns saw temporary breakdowns below the SMA, followed by robust recoveries. Overall, the index reflects an upward trend over the decades. RSI (14) Indicator: RSI peaks correlate to market highs; lows often match oversold conditions in major bear markets. 4. Market Volatility and Volume: A noticeable spike in volumes coincides with large bearish moves (e.g., 2007-2009 and 2020 crises), signifying panic-driven trading activity. Recent periods (2020 onwards) show high volatility, accompanied by strong rebounds. --- Conclusions: Historically, even severe bear markets have seen the DJIA recover and continue its long-term uptrend, which aligns with the principle of compounding returns and economic growth. The market tends to break its long-term SMA during extreme crises but eventually recovers. Current RSI values suggest the market may not yet be overheated, but caution is advisable given previous patterns. Would you like a deeper technical analysis or possible forecasting based on this data?
DJ:DJI
by AnkurDasTrader
Is another big crash coming ?This chart displays the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) monthly candlestick data alongside its 200-month simple moving average (SMA), highlighting significant historical declines and their characteristics. Here's the analysis: Key Observations: 1. Bearish Phases (Highlighted in Blue Boxes): Major drawdowns over the years are shown, with the percentage drop, the number of bars (months), and the trading volume involved. These events align with historical financial crises or economic downturns: 2000-2003 (-36.94%): Reflects the Dot-Com bubble burst. 2007-2009 (-52.12%): Represents the Global Financial Crisis. 2020 (-37.58%): Associated with the COVID-19 pandemic shock. 2. Recovery Time: The recovery periods vary significantly: Dot-Com Bubble: Took 37 bars (1,127 days). Financial Crisis: Longer with 18 bars (548 days) of drawdown and prolonged recovery beyond the charted downturn. COVID-19 Crash: Shortest at 2 bars (58 days) due to rapid monetary intervention. 3. Trends and Momentum: The 200 SMA provides a clear indicator of long-term trend stability: Downturns saw temporary breakdowns below the SMA, followed by robust recoveries. Overall, the index reflects an upward trend over the decades. RSI (14) Indicator: RSI peaks correlate to market highs; lows often match oversold conditions in major bear markets. 4. Market Volatility and Volume: A noticeable spike in volumes coincides with large bearish moves (e.g., 2007-2009 and 2020 crises), signifying panic-driven trading activity. Recent periods (2020 onwards) show high volatility, accompanied by strong rebounds. --- Conclusions: Historically, even severe bear markets have seen the DJIA recover and continue its long-term uptrend, which aligns with the principle of compounding returns and economic growth. The market tends to break its long-term SMA during extreme crises but eventually recovers. Current RSI values suggest the market may not yet be overheated, but caution is advisable given previous patterns. Would you like a deeper technical analysis or possible forecasting based on this data?
DJ:DJIEducation
by AnkurDasTrader
Analyzing Symmetrical Triangle Breakouts: A Bearish Setup for USUS30, representing the Dow Jones Industrial Average index, is currently trading at 42,500 with a target price of 41,500, indicating a bearish outlook. The price action is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, a technical setup that reflects market indecision as it consolidates within converging trendlines. This pattern typically precedes a breakout, which could occur in either direction, though in this case, traders are anticipating a bearish breakout. A decisive move below the triangle's lower trendline would confirm the breakout, signaling a continuation of the downward trend. Once the breakout is validated, the price is expected to head toward the target of 41,500, offering a potential opportunity for short positions. Confirmation of the breakout is essential to avoid false signals, and traders should watch for strong momentum and volume supporting the move. This setup highlights the importance of monitoring key technical levels to capitalize on market movements.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Dow Jones Reactivates: What Will the Employment Data Bring?The Dow Jones index is back in the spotlight on Friday, marking the return of Wall Street after Thursday's pause for the Day of Mourning in honor of former President Jimmy Carter. The day is loaded with key data, with the U.S. jobs report being the main catalyst for the market. Positive Opening: Moderate Recovery The Dow Jones is up 0.25% in early trading, driven by cautious investor optimism. This advance reflects an initial favorable response to the market reopening, although the ultimate direction will depend on economic data released during the day. Employment Report: A Decisive Factor The main focus of the day is on the December employment report, which is expected to show the creation of 154,000 nonfarm payrolls and a steady unemployment rate at 4.2%. • Impact on the Dow Jones: o Better-than-expected data: If the numbers beat expectations, they could stoke fears of further rate hikes, pressuring the index lower. They could boost cyclical sectors such as financials and industrials, strengthening the index. o Worse-than-expected data: A lower-than-expected result could reinforce the idea of a less aggressive Fed, benefiting rate-sensitive sectors such as technology and consumer discretionary. o Disappointing data: Could generate downward pressure, especially in stocks sensitive to economic growth. Dow Jones Technical Outlook - Key resistance: 42,605.55 points, a level that could be reached if the data surprises to the upside. - Immediate Support: 42,361.31 points being the second support zone at lows of 42,290.51 points, which would act as a floor in case of a weak employment report. - Check Point (POC) / RSI: Currently around 42,506 points and the RSI at 54.16% indicating balance around the check point. - Average crossover: Currently the long term average crossover made a bearish turn crossing the 50 average below the 100 average consolidating the fall to the low of 42,290.51 (the current strong support zone). - Range: 42,605.55 and 42,290.51 Conclusion The Dow Jones faces a crucial day, with the jobs report as the main driver of movement. Investors will be watching closely how the jobs data influences the economic outlook and monetary policy, which will determine the direction of the index in the near term. Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:USAINDLong
by ActivTrades