The price is showing signs of a potential bearish moveAfter a minor pullback, further downside momentum is expected. Watching for confirmation before entering short positions.
DJ30 trade ideas
4-hr US30: A Potential for 2000-point RallyA combination of factors, including Trump-era tariffs, the emergence of DeepSeek, and a slowdown in GDP growth, has contributed to the recent pullback in the US30 from its record highs. From a technical standpoint, a Double Top pattern has formed around the 45,000 level—a well-known bearish signal indicating potential further downside movement. A shift in momentum is now evident, and the current dip could extend lower. This outlook is reinforced by the presence of a Death Cross, another historically significant bearish indicator.
To gauge potential support levels, we apply Fibonacci retracement analysis, which suggests that the correction may find a floor near the 43,700 mark. This level coincides with the 38% Fibonacci retracement—a crucial technical zone that has historically provided strong support. With sellers currently in control, a drop below this level is not out of the question. However, we view this area as a potential re-entry point for long positions, aligning with the prevailing broader uptrend. Entering at these lower levels allows us to capitalize on the market’s recovery while optimizing the risk-to-reward ratio.
US30/DJ30 "Dow Jones Industrial Average" Indices Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the US30 / DJ30 "Dow Jones Industrial Average" Indices market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 44,660.0
Sell Entry below 43,800.0
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at 44,100.0 (swing Trade) for Bullish Trade
Thief SL placed at 44,100.0 (swing Trade) for Bearish Trade
Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 46,200.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 42,600.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
US30 / DJ30 "Dow Jones Industrial Average" Indices market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullish)., driven by several key factors.
🟣 Fundamental Analysis
- Earnings Growth: The Dow Jones 30 (DJ30) companies have reported strong earnings growth, with an average increase of 10% in the last quarter.
- Dividend Yield: The DJ30 has a dividend yield of 2.1%, which is relatively attractive compared to other asset classes.
- Valuation: The DJ30 is trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.5, which is slightly above its historical average.
⚪ Macro Analysis
- Interest Rates: The US Federal Reserve has kept interest rates steady, which is positive for equities.
- Inflation: Inflation remains under control, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increasing by 2.3% in the last year.
- GDP Growth: The US GDP growth rate is expected to slow down to 2.1% in 2023, which is still positive for equities.
🔴 Sentimental Analysis
- Trader Sentiment: 55% of traders are bullish on DJ30, while 30% are bearish and 15% are neutral.
- Investor Sentiment: The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey shows that 44.5% of investors are bullish, while 24.5% are bearish.
- Hedge Fund Sentiment: Hedge funds have increased their long positions in DJ30, with a net long exposure of 25%.
🟠 COT Analysis
- Non-Commercial Traders: Net long 35,019 contracts (Increase of 5,011 contracts from last week)
- Commercial Traders: Net short 25,011 contracts (Decrease of 2,011 contracts from last week)
- Leverage: Average leverage used by traders is 8:1
🟡 Institutional Traders
- Goldman Sachs: Net long 20,109 contracts (Increase of 3,011 contracts from last week)
- Morgan Stanley: Net long 15,011 contracts (Decrease of 1,011 contracts from last week)
- JPMorgan Chase: Net long 18,011 contracts (Increase of 2,011 contracts from last week)
🟢 Hedge Funds
- Bridgewater Associates: Net long 30,109 contracts (Increase of 5,011 contracts from last week)
- BlackRock: Net long 25,011 contracts (Decrease of 2,011 contracts from last week)
- Vanguard: Net long 20,011 contracts (Increase of 3,011 contracts from last week)
🟤 Overall Outlook
Based on the analysis, the DJ30 (US30) is expected to move in a bullish trend, with a 60% chance of an uptrend and a 30% chance of a downtrend. The remaining 10% chance is for a neutral trend.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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US30 NEXT LEVEL IS 43000 - 42500I think now US30 ready for down trend. they did a double top on up-trend moving chanel. Maybe this is a sign for trend change in the short term.
I am looking at US30 on levels 43,000- 42,500.
Us30 LongLooking to buy from the AOI to take advantage of the trend as HTF bias remains strong to the upside.. Fingers crossed
Potential dropAs long as the price is under 45000, and fails to break this barrier the indice will likely be bearish.
US30 SELL CONTINUATION LOADING..................US30 completed +4,000pips from my last recent sell order now again price is heading back to the big zone at 44,500 for a retest for another rally down set a sell limits with a stops above my fvg zone and enjoy
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) Dips 1.69% The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI), a price-weighted measure of 30 U.S. blue-chip companies across various industries except transportation and utilities, faced a notable downturn in Monday’s premarket session. Despite a positive movement in U.S. equity futures, the index saw a 1.69% decline, with its 1-month low serving as a critical support level. A break below this level could see the Dow finding support around the $42,000 region.
Technical Analysis
The Dow Jones (^DJI) is currently hovering near its 1-month low, which is acting as a key support zone. If the index fails to hold this level, it could face further downside pressure, potentially testing the $42,000 mark as the next major support. The overall sentiment in the stock market remains cautious, with investors monitoring upcoming economic reports and corporate earnings that could influence market direction.
Meanwhile, the broader market selloff has had a ripple effect, with the Nasdaq falling 2.5% on Friday, marking its worst weekly decline in three months. The S&P 500 also erased its February gains, while the Dow dropped nearly 750 points over the past week. The weakness in equities has largely been driven by concerns over slowing economic activity, disappointing PMI data, and rising inflation expectations.
Economic Uncertainty & Corporate Earnings
The broader stock market has been navigating economic uncertainty, with recent data signaling potential challenges. A disappointing services sector report from S&P Global’s PMI survey and a surge in inflation expectations from the University of Michigan’s consumer survey contributed to market jitters. Investors are now turning their attention to **this week’s key economic data releases, including:
- Thursday: Second estimate of U.S. Q4 GDP from the Commerce Department
- Friday: PCE price index data (the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis
These reports will play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment, particularly with **inflation and economic growth concerns** taking center stage.
Market Reaction: A Positive Start to the Trading Day?
Despite the premarket dip in the Dow, U.S. equity futures suggest a potential recovery:
- S&P 500 futures indicate a 32-point gain at the opening bell
- Dow Jones futures suggest a 297-point advance
- Nasdaq futures are up 93 points, driven by premarket activity in Nvidia, Tesla (TSLA), and Intel (INTC)
Additionally, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are up 1.4% after Warren Buffett’s investment firm reported its third consecutive year of record profits, with a staggering $334.2 billion cash reserve.
Conclusion
The Dow Jones Industrial Average continues to face uncertainty amid economic headwinds and a volatile earnings season. While support at the 1-month low remains crucial, a break below could lead to a test of the $42,000 level. The upcoming economic data and Nvidia’s earnings report will be critical in determining whether the market can regain momentum or if further downside risks persist.
$US30 DOW JONES—STEADY AMID THE STORMDOW JONES—STEADY AMID THE STORM
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview! The Dow Jones is the cool-headed cousin—less wild than Nasdaq’s growth party 📈🔥. Blue-chip stability shines, even as inflation bites—let’s unpack it! 🚀
(2/9) – WHY SO CALM?
• Makeup: 30 big, steady names—Walmart, Goldman 💥
• Price-Weighted: High flyers lead, not tech zingers 📊
• Edge: Less sway from growth stock swings
Dow’s the tortoise—slow and steady wins?
(3/9) – RECENT VIBES
• Feb 22: 1.7% dip—support at 43,400 holds 🌍
• VIX: Stays chill—Nasdaq would’ve freaked 🚗
• CPI Hit: 400-point drop, 300 back—meh 🌟
Stability’s the Dow’s secret sauce!
(4/9) – SECTOR SNAP
• Vs. Nasdaq: Tech’s jittery—Dow’s diversified 📈
• Volatility: ~15-20% vs. Nasdaq’s 25-30%
• Champs: Blue-chips buffer the chaos
Steadier ship—less Nasdaq nuttiness! 🌍
(5/9) – INFLATION RIPPLES
• CPI Spike: 3% YoY—400-point jolt ⚠️
• Fed: No rush to cut—rates sting 🏛️
• X Buzz: Tariffs, inflation spook recovery 📉
Even the Dow feels the heat—but shrugs!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Stability: Blue-chip backbone holds firm 🌟
• Dividends: Cash flows steady the ship 🔍
• Mix: Less tech tantrums—broad base 🚦
Dow’s the rock in choppy waters!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Inflation nicks costs—ouch 💸
• Opportunities: Safety shines if tech flops 🌍
Can Dow dodge the inflation blues?
(8/9) – Dow’s steady play—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—Stability’s golden.
2️⃣ Neutral—Holds, but inflation looms.
3️⃣ Bearish—Growth wins anyway.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Dow’s less jittery—blue-chips cushion the storm 🌍🪙. Inflation’s a nag, but stability rules. Rock or relic?
US30–Bearish Continues Below Pivot Amid Geopolitical UncertaintyUS30 Analysis & Market Impact – February 24, 2025
Bearish Momentum in Play as Dow Jones Drops Below Pivot Zone
US30 has continued its downward movement as we mentioned in the previous idea , breaking below the pivot zone (43765- 43900) and confirming bearish momentum. The price is now trading near the 43760 level, with the next support zone at 43212.
Technical Outlook:
Bearish Scenario: As long as the price remains below 43760, the downward pressure is likely to continue toward 43212 and 42770 as the next key support levels.
Bullish Reversal: A recovery above 43900 would indicate a potential upside toward 44210 and 44400.
Market News Impact:
Germany's election results indicate that the Christian Democrat Union is set to take over, with Friedrich Merz as the likely chancellor. This shift in leadership could influence EU-U.S. relations, especially in response to tariff threats from President Trump.
U.S. stock futures are showing early signs of recovery, but market volatility is expected as investors react to potential economic policy changes in Germany.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 44210| 44405| 44755
Pivot: 43765
Support: 43400| 43212| 42770
⚠️ Directional Bias: As long as US30 remains below 43765, the bearish trend remains in control. However, geopolitical factors could increase market volatility, so stay alert. 📉🔥
Dow drops on inflation expectations of US consumersThe Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 42980, previous consolidation zone and the rising support trendline . A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 42980 level could target the upside resistance at 43680 followed by the 44080 and 44540 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 42980 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 42520 support level followed by 41820 (200 Day Moving Average).
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
FVG AND HOLC BUYI think we have hit the low for today and we have a big bearish FVG higher so i target the 50% of her and in 1min TF i entry in bullish FVG
DOW JONES Rectangle bottom formed. Bullish.Dow Jones hit today its MA200 (4h) and rebounded.
This has come too close to the bottom of the Rectangle pattern that dominates the price action in the past 3 weeks.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
2. Buy again if the price closes above the Falling Resistance.
Targets:
1. 44450 (MA50 4h and Falling Resistance).
2. 45000 (top of Rectangle).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) got oversold and rebounded like on the February 3rd Low. Strong buy signal.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Dow30 buy Last week buyers aggressively rejected lower prices at this price levels
44195.7 & 44179.5
20th Feb we see a reaction to this oders with anticipation that buyers will successfully defend their buying interest
US30 (Dow Jones) H1 Analysis: Descending Resistance TestLooking at the H1 timeframe for the US30, we're seeing an interesting technical setup:
Market Structure:
Price trading beneath a clear descending resistance line
Consolidation pattern forming in recent sessions
Moving averages tightly grouped, indicating potential breakout setup
Recent lower highs respecting the descending trendline
Key Levels:
Major Resistance: 44,767 (Descending Trendline)
Current Price: ~44,518
Support Level: 44,153
Immediate Resistance: 44,592
Technical Indicators:
Volume showing decreased activity in recent consolidation
Momentum indicators showing neutral bias
Price compressing between moving averages
Lower timeframe structure indicates potential bearish continuation
Trading Considerations:
Watch for reaction at descending trendline
Volume increase needed for valid breakout
Key support at 44,153 needs to hold for bullish scenario
Potential for continuation of range-bound condition
s
US/30 bullishlooking for price to enter 0.71 fibb area for a buy to the upside,
i will be looking to enter this on a lower timeframe, with a possible scale in depending on market structure. alert set for the 0.71 fibb area.
US30 Liquidity We swept some liquidity.. i was looking for a short trade but first we should wipe out this liquidity
US30We can attempt to buy US30 from specified level as it make HL , also 0.618 FIB level intact indicate that it moves upward.
SL , TP mention in chart.
Weekly Forex Outlook Sun.Feb.16.2025 - Fri.Feb.21.2025Like and Comments would be appreciated :D Not Financial Advice, Just my outlook/opinion
PUSHING TOWARDS ALL TIME HIGHSLooking at Us30. We should expect a push towards the upside to complete the last phase of the wave cycle based on the Monthly overall direction.
