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USTEC trade ideas

Several indicators suggest that the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) may faceSeveral indicators suggest that the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) may face a downturn in the near future: Technical Indicators: • Rising Wedge Pattern: The NAS100 has formed a rising wedge pattern, typically considered a bearish signal indicating a potential price decline. • Overbought Conditions: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows overbought levels, suggesting that the index may be due for a correction. Economic Data: • Manufacturing Sector Contraction: The ISM Manufacturing PMI rose to 48.4 in November but remains below the 50 threshold, indicating ongoing contraction in the manufacturing sector. • Slowing GDP Growth: The U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 2.8% in the third quarter, down from previous quarters, reflecting a slowdown that could impact corporate earnings. Federal Reserve Policies: • Interest Rate Outlook: Federal Reserve officials have signaled caution regarding future interest rate cuts, which may affect investor sentiment and equity valuations. Market Sentiment: • Tech Stock Volatility: Recent declines in major tech stocks, including Nvidia and Microsoft, have led to broader market pullbacks, indicating potential vulnerability in the NASDAQ 100. • Strengthening U.S. Dollar: A stronger dollar can negatively impact multinational companies’ earnings, many of which are components of the NASDAQ 100. Considering these factors, there is a potential for the NASDAQ 100 to experience a decline in the near term. However, market conditions can change rapidly, and it’s advisable to monitor real-time data and news updates for the most accurate information.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by US30EMPIRE
Historic High Achieved: Further Gains Amid Bullish Momentum Technical Analysis The price has successfully reached a historic all-time high (ATH) at 21,370 and continues to gain momentum, targeting the next resistance at 21,590. As long as the price remains above 21,290, the bullish trend is expected to persist, with upward targets set at 21,590. However, a bearish correction toward the 21,290 or 21,220 levels is also possible. The bearish zone will only be confirmed with sustained price action below 21,150. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 21400 Resistance Levels: 21590, 21670, 21800 Support Levels: 21290, 21150, 20990 Trend Outlook The trend remains firmly bullish as long as the price holds above 21,290.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
Be patient till 20211As it looks now we need a big correction on indices. The most important level - "point of control" is actually around 20211-20250. This is the ideal entry point to re-buy Nas. BUT, DO NOT ENTER BLINDLY on the entry line. Wait for a retest. Today is Friday, so TP phase can send price very deep. When-if entry conditions are met, I will update this trade. Wish you good luck. P.S.: I´m not a signal service, do not selling anything to anybody. If you want to push sell-buy button without any responsibility for your trade, please contact one of the signalists who will comment this idea later on. If you want to learn, discuss, you know what to do.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Rendon1
NAS100USD / TRADING UNDER SUPPLYZONE / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Downward Pressure: Prices are currently trading under a bearish (downward) trend. Supply Zones , Between 20,860 & 20,920 and 21,037 & 21,112: These zones are acting as resistance levels where selling pressure is high, preventing prices from rising further. Demand Zone , Between 20,559 & 20,354: This is identified as a support level where buying interest might increase, potentially halting further price decline. Possible Scenarios: If prices remain below the supply zones, further decline toward the demand zone is expected , If prices break above the supply zones, it suggests an increase toward ,The all-time high (ATH) around 21,260 , A strong supply zone between 21,175 & 21,260. Overall Outlook , The text emphasizes the bearish trend unless resistance levels are broken.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
7
USNAS100 / Key Breakout Levels and Trend ProjectionsTechnical Analysis The price surged approximately 320 pip, as anticipated in our previous analysis. Today, maintaining stability above the All-Time High (ATH) is crucial to achieving further gains, with the next target at 21,360. A confirmed 1-hour or 4-hour candle close above 21,215 would likely drive the price toward 21,360 and further to 21,500. Conversely, if the price stabilizes below 21,160 with a confirmed 1-hour or 4-hour candle close, a decline toward 21,075 and 20,990 is expected. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 21160 Resistance Levels: 21220, 21360, 21500 Support Levels: 21075, 20990, 20860 Trend Outlook Bullish: Upon breaking and closing above 21,215. Bearish: Upon breaking and stabilizing below 21,160. PREVIOUS IDEA:
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
Potential bullish rise?USTEC has broken out of the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 21,205.31 1st Support: 21,026.41 1st Resistance: 21,508.79 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by ICmarkets
Nasdaq Weekly Outlook Dec 2 (NFP week)The price is consolidating in a higher timeframe inefficiency following the election expansion, which makes market conditions more difficult than usual. Last week, the price consolidated (time distortion), so this week I would expect an upward expansion towards the weekly target. Just above the short-term target, there is a bearish propulsion block on the higher time frame. Depending on the reaction in this area, we will see if the weekly target is reached. This week we have NFP, Powell, and unemployment claims, so I expect volatility.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by NarcotikT
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Tuesday 3 Dec 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST) Economic news - JOLTS job openings @ 15h00 News - None Directional bias - BUY Morning analysis: M TF - Very bullish W TF - Very bullish, but at a strong resistance now. Price will need to break the prior week's highest close. D TF - Very bullish, yesterday's candle closed right at the weekly resistance 4H TF - Doji candle formed exactly on the W resistance but subsequent candles closed above. This doji level would be a good place for a mental stop loss because if candles start closing below this point, market could retrace. 4H 0.382 fib level (fib drawn from swing low at A to swing high at B.) + pivot point is far down...nearly 1000 pips from price (at time of writing at 5:49am). That's a long way down! Don't want to get into a deep drawdown situation. 30min TF - Ascending triangle forming (marked in orange lines). The resistance caused by the previous highest 4H candle close is holding candles down. But ascending triangles usually break upwards, as pressure mounts from bulls against the resistance level (although these market patterns can break either way). 2 x interest zones / areas of confluence identified: 1. Highest green highlighted area = pivot point + 4H 0.382 buy fib level 2. Lowest highlighted green area = This zone moved throughout the day at the 4H EMA moved, but eventually I settled on where it is marked now i.e. 4H EMA (at some point during the day) + 4H 0.618 buy fib level As the day progressed: Ultimately the ascending triangle broke downwards and a temporary downtrend line started forming as marked by the pink line. This line held down many candles but eventually was broken on the 15min TF and I entered a buy at the top hand icon - Confirmations: 1. Market pattern - DB formed on the 15min TF, with neckline broken upwards + also breaking the temporary down trend line. The ascending wedge market pattern profit target had also just about been met (price usually travels the same distance as the height of the market pattern once the market pattern is broken - marked with the orange vertical line) 2. S&R - seemed as though the 1H EMA was providing dynamic support 3. Trend - temp down trend was broken (price had crossed the pink line) and my buy was in the same direction as the overall trend - The trend is your friend. 4. Fib - small 1H fibs were being adhered to, but didn't really consider this as part of my confirmation 5. Candlesticks - None really Mental SL was placed at the thick pink line at about half the height of the DB. Unfortunately, price could not remain above the pink down trend line on the higher TFs and price moved down. I closed as the 15min candle closed below my stop loss. Took a loss of 250 pips, which I consider to be small and of no real consequence. I don't regret this entry, it was worth a try and the SL was tight, so not a lot to risk. Second buy entry was at blue arrow icon - Confirmations: 1. Market pattern - price had touched my green area of confluence and so I moved to the 5min TF where a DB formed and I entered on the break of the neckline upwards 2. S&R - pivot point 3. Trend - buy is in the same direction as the overall trend 4. Fib - DB formed just above the 4H 0.382 fib level 5. Candlesticks - long wicks down to the pivot point indicate that buyers are rejecting this zone and stepping in at this price level. ​ Mental SL was placed below the green area of confluence. ​ Price moved up, more than 250 pips from my entry and I secured at entry. Unfortunately, price moved back down and took me out at entry. Although I was ultimately right with my entries and direction....price was just to spiky for me today. I stepped away from my screens for a few mins at 16h00 and missed a nice entry at C. where price broke the falling wedge pattern that ultimately formed on the 1H TF (between the pink and blue lines). Was a bit bummed that I missed that one. So ultimately for me, I closed the day with a small loss, today was just too spiky for my trading system. Not complaining though because my risk was managed and I live to trade another day - "No Risk, No Magic" Hope you had a better day! :) Abbreviations: TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance H&S = head & shoulders EMA = exponential moving average SL = stop loss
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
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OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Thief_Trader
1
NASDAQ – Solid Foundation Amid Positive Economic DataNASDAQ – Solid Foundation Amid Positive Economic Data The NASDAQ index is finding strong support from favorable U.S. economic data and a stable macroeconomic outlook, particularly benefiting from the resilience of technology and growth sectors. Amid signs of moderating inflation and potential easing by the Federal Reserve, **seasonal trends strongly favor the NASDAQ, as December is historically a strong month for equities, especially tech-heavy indices. --- Key Economic Drivers Supporting the NASDAQ 1. ISM Manufacturing PMI – Signs of Stabilization - The **ISM Manufacturing PMI** for November rose to **48.4**, exceeding expectations, though still signaling contraction. This reflects progress toward stabilization in the U.S. manufacturing sector. - Slower input cost inflation and renewed job creation are positive signs for the broader economy, indirectly supporting growth-oriented sectors such as technology. 2. Construction Spending Growth - Construction spending** increased by **0.4% in October, showcasing resilience in the housing and infrastructure sectors. This strength in spending highlights consumer and government investment, which can indirectly benefit tech companies involved in digital infrastructure and smart technologies. 3. ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid – Easing Inflationary Pressures - The ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid** index dropped to **50.3**, significantly below the forecast of **55.2**. This is a positive development for inflation control, signaling moderating cost pressures in the manufacturing sector. - Implications: - Positive for equities: Lower inflation reduces the likelihood of aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes, a scenario that benefits rate-sensitive growth stocks. - Stable monetary outlook: A gradual shift toward easing monetary policy supports technology stocks reliant on lower borrowing costs. 4. Fed Officials’ Support for Gradual Easing - Recent Fed commentary suggests a balanced approach to monetary policy: - **Christopher Waller** emphasized the possibility of a rate cut in December, citing a balanced labor market and controlled inflation progress. - **John Williams** forecasted GDP growth of **2.5% in 2024** while reiterating that inflation is expected to return to the 2% target. This fosters confidence in growth-oriented sectors like technology. - A potential rate cut would be particularly favorable for the NASDAQ, as tech companies are highly sensitive to changes in interest rates. 5. Consumer and Business Optimism - The **S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI** indicated improving confidence and renewed job creation despite lingering challenges such as reduced international demand. This optimism supports steady sentiment for growth sectors. --- Seasonality and Market Sentiment Seasonality is a critical tailwind for the NASDAQ at this time. December is traditionally a strong month for the tech-heavy index, supported by holiday-driven consumer spending, portfolio rebalancing, and end-of-year tax strategies. The current **Fear & Greed Index**, standing at **64**, indicates a **greed-driven sentiment**, which typically aligns with upward momentum, especially for high-growth sectors. --- NASDAQ Outlook The NASDAQ is well-positioned to capitalize on these favorable conditions: - Easing inflationary pressures reduce the likelihood of aggressive Federal Reserve tightening, which is particularly supportive for rate-sensitive growth stocks. - Strong GDP growth projections and a resilient labor market provide a stable foundation for tech earnings and innovation-driven sectors. - Seasonal trends, combined with improving macroeconomic sentiment, create additional momentum for the NASDAQ as the year-end approaches. While global uncertainties and international demand challenges remain, the NASDAQ's long-term prospects remain **bullish**. Seasonal strength, positive economic data, and the potential for a more accommodative Fed policy stance are all aligning to favor continued gains for the index.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestMate