NASDAQ Consolidation: Why Sitting Out Is Sometimes the Best PlayI'm currently monitoring the NASDAQ (US100) closely, and on the 4-hour chart, we can clearly see that the market is in a phase of consolidation 🔍
Yesterday, I was anticipating a bullish breakout, which could have signaled the start of a structure with higher highs and higher lows — something that would have presented a clean long opportunity 📈. However, during the U.S. session, the NAS100 momentum shifted and we instead saw a bearish breakdown, invalidating the previous setup 🚫
As things stand now, there's no clear directional bias on the 4H — just a sideways range with neither bulls nor bears in full control 🤝. This type of environment calls for patience and discipline.
It's worth noting that knowing when not to trade is just as important as knowing when to pull the trigger. Sitting on the sidelines and allowing the market to make the next move — whether that’s a break above or below this consolidation range — is a valid and often wise decision 🧘♂️📊
At the moment, my preference is to remain neutral and let price show its hand before committing to a position.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and apply proper risk management when trading.
USTEC trade ideas
Nasdaq Challenges Record HighsNasdaq continues to trade just below a one-month resistance line, which connects consecutive higher highs formed between May and June 2025. This line has capped the index just shy of the 22,000 mark, as price action navigates the push and pull between summer momentum, geopolitical tensions, and economic uncertainty.
To the upside, a decisive break and hold above 22,200 would be a bullish trigger, potentially opening the path toward the 23,700 resistance zone. This level notably aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension, projected from the 2023 low, 2025 high, and 2025 retracement low.
On the downside, risks remain for a deeper correction if the index retraces toward the 21,000–20,600 region. This zone represents the neckline of the December–January double top, and stands as a critical threshold separating a bullish continuation scenario from the possibility of a deeper bearish pullback.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
US100 – Bearish Shift (Positional Short Setup Active)US100 Trendline Breakout Suggests Bearish Setup
The US100 has broken below a key ascending trendline on the 4H chart, signaling a possible end to the recent uptrend. Price is now trading below the Ichimoku cloud, confirming a bearish bias and activating a positional short setup.
🔹 Pattern: Trendline Breakout (Bearish Signal)
🔹 Current Price: ~21,590
🔹 Target: 20,678
🔹 Resistance Zone: 21,743 – 22,088
🔹 Technical Outlook: Bearish momentum building below trendline and cloud
🔹 Fundamental View: Rising rate concerns and tech sector pressure could weigh on US100
Short trade in play—selling pressure expected to increase below resistance. Manage risk accordingly. 📉📊
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This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
NASDAQ Analysis Stalking shorts on the Daily - nearby.
My weekly sentiment is bearish cause of technical factors.
Among the catalysts is bullish performance on the US Dollar index and price action compared to the US30 & US500.
Look to sell near 4H swing high, entry using the 15M bearish ChoCh only after three legs of bullish correction on the 1H frame into the highlighted levels of the swing high.
Anticipation is for the third leg to react bearish and the fourth leg to deliver impulse to the sell side.
NAS100 – Major Rejection from Weekly Supply Zone!The NASDAQ 100 is showing clear signs of weakness after tagging the strong supply zone near 21,927, an area previously respected as resistance. The market printed a bearish daily close after failing to break above, forming a potential double top pattern just below key resistance.
🔵 Key Zones to Watch:
🔼 Supply Zone: 21,765 – 21,927 (Strong institutional selling pressure)
🔽 Next Target 1: 19,185 (mid-structure support)
🔽 Next Target 2: 16,948 (high-volume demand zone)
📉 Bearish Scenario: If price continues to reject the supply area, we expect momentum to shift bearish targeting the 19,185 zone and possibly 16,948 if major U.S. economic data disappoints.
⚡ Why This Setup Matters:
Market is overstretched, showing distribution signs
Risk-off sentiment growing ahead of major economic reports
Volume profile confirms resistance overhead
🎯 Trading Plan:
Monitor for confirmation (bearish engulfing, breakdown of recent lows)
Short bias below 21,765
Watch for reaction at 19,185 and strong buy interest at 16,948 zone
📊 Let’s hear your thoughts: Will NAS100 hold or is a deeper correction coming? Comment below! ⬇️
#NASDAQ #US100 #Indices #BearishReversal #SupplyDemand #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingSetup #TradingView #LuxAlgo
NASDAQ READY TO CONTINUE THE LONG-TERM WEEKLY BULLISH RUN
FX:NAS100
I just entered this buy trade on Nasdaq on the daily time frame.
The trade setup is a Swing trade following the monthly and weekly orderflow.
The Monthly is bullish, the weekly is also bullish, so I entered on the daily time frame retracement.
My overall take profit is a risk reward of 1:4.
NASDAQ TRADING ROADMAP 16 - 20 JUNI 2025📉 NASDAQ TRADING ROADMAP – STRATEGY OUTLOOK 📉
The NASDAQ has rejected Magnet Area (SpH4) 21767.00 – 22067.00, signaling potential downside movement.
As long as price stays below Magnet Area (dmD) 21736.00 – 21863.00, the market is likely to continue its decline toward Magnet Area (dmH4) 21136.00 – 21020.00, especially if price breaks through Magnet Area (dmH4) 21524.00 – 21445.00.
📌 Roadmap Summary:
🔻 Rejection confirmed from (SpH4)
⬇️ Bearish bias valid while below (dmD)
🚨 Breakout trigger: (dmH4) 21524.00 – 21445.00
🎯 Target zone: (dmH4) 21136.00 – 21020.00
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk. Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management before making any trading decisions.
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Approaching a pullback resistanceThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 21,719.73 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 21,870.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 21,477.88 which is a multi-swing-low support.
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US100 is Currently trading in a clear bullish zoneUS100 Technical & Fundamental Outlook (4H Timeframe)
The US100 is currently trading in a clear bullish zone on the 4-hour chart. Despite underlying pressure due to cautious market sentiment, the index shows signs of resilience Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East persist but have yet to spark panic selling. Market uncertainty remains high ahead of this week's anticipated Federal Reserve outlook.
Technical View:
The index is showing strength, and a 4H candle close above the 22,000 level would be a significant bullish signal. A confirmed breakout above this level opens the door to the next potential target at 22,500
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Triple Top Trouble? NAS100 May Be Losing SteamThe NAS100 has formed a potential triple top, and key trendlines are starting to break to the downside. This could signal a short-term correction before bulls attempt another push for new highs. A temporary drop might offer a better long setup if momentum resets.
Nas100/US100 Short Setup based on Fundamentals
Hello everyone. We have seen the Nasdaq form a new local top at the 22k area and is now heading back down.
There are many reasons why price is falling but remember this only a temporary sell off as the master trend on the highest time frame is up not down.
Today (Friday 20th June) is OPEX. $6.6 Trillion of options are set to expire today and the Max Pain level is 21,500. Price could drive there to render most options worthless.
Institutions and hedge funds have increasingly added short positions or are sitting on the side lines. Indicating lack of buying from the larger players for the time being.
Buying volume is lower than the selling volume at the top of this rally.
We have 2 weeks roughly until trump tarrifs are implemented and not many trade deals have been made.
Iran-Israel conflict with a possible US involvement.
FED is leaning towards a more hawkish approach due to tarrifs but says the US economy is still growing.
How I am looking at this for the near future. In the chart I have marked my entry, My SL, My Max TP and where I would take partials on the way down. I may also even scale in more if I see the opportunity.
Thanks for reading.
US100Correlation Between US100 (Nasdaq 100), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Bond Prices
1. Relationship Between 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield and Bond Prices
Inverse Relationship:
Bond prices and yields move inversely. When the 10-year Treasury yield rises, bond prices fall, and vice versa. This is because the fixed coupon payments become less attractive when yields increase, causing existing bond prices to drop to offer comparable yields to new issues.
Current Data (June 13, 2025):
10-Year Treasury yield is around 4.40%, with the bond price near 98.81 (below par), reflecting recent yield increases.
Term Premium:
The term premium on the 10-year Treasury has risen sharply since early April 2025, reaching the highest level in over a decade. This premium compensates investors for risks that short-term yields may not evolve as expected, keeping long-term yields elevated and bond prices suppressed.
2. US100 (Nasdaq 100) and 10-Year Treasury Yield Correlation
Negative Correlation Generally Observed:
The Nasdaq 100 (US100), a tech-heavy equity index, often shows a negative correlation with 10-year Treasury yields. When yields rise, borrowing costs increase, discount rates for future earnings rise, and equities—especially growth stocks—tend to decline. Conversely, falling yields often boost equities.
Recent Trends:
In 2025, rising yields have put pressure on equities, including the Nasdaq 100, as investors demand higher returns from riskier assets. However, periods of yield stabilization or decline can support equity rallies.
Risk Sentiment:
The correlation can vary with market sentiment; during risk-off episodes, both equities and bond yields may fall as investors flock to safety.
3. US100 and Bond Prices
Indirect Relationship via Yields:
Since bond prices move inversely to yields, and yields often move inversely to equities, bond prices and equities like US100 often show a positive correlation in risk-off environments (both falling) and a negative correlation in risk-on environments (equities rising, bond prices falling).
Safe-Haven Demand:
In times of market stress, investors may sell equities and buy bonds, pushing bond prices up and yields down, while equities like US100 decline.
4. Yield Curve and Market Implications
The US yield curve has steepened recently, with the 10-year yield (~4.40%) above the 2-year yield (~3.95%), reflecting expectations of higher long-term inflation and growth risks.
A steepening curve can signal improving growth prospects but also higher financing costs, which can weigh on tech stocks in the US100.
Conclusion
The 10-year Treasury yield and bond prices move inversely, with recent yield increases pushing bond prices below par.
The Nasdaq 100 (US100) typically moves inversely to 10-year yields, as higher yields raise borrowing costs and discount rates, pressuring growth stocks.
The relationship between US100 and bond prices depends on market risk sentiment: in risk-off periods, bond prices rise while equities fall; in risk-on periods, the opposite occurs.
The current steepening yield curve and elevated term premium suggest ongoing volatility and cautious investor positioning affecting both bonds and equities.
#NAS100 #DOLLAR
NASDAQ - UniverseMetta - Signal#NASDAQ - UniverseMetta - Signal
D1 - Formation of a narrowing diagonal + price broke through the lower trend line through a 3-wave structure. It is better not to increase risks. Stop behind the maximum of the 1st wave.
Entry: 21509.0
TP: 20986.3 - 20372.2 - 19784.5 - 18396.7
Stop: 22160.6
NASDAQ Short-Term Outlook (Study Purpose Only)The NASDAQ index is showing signs of short-term weakness following a rejection near the 22,000–22,200 resistance zone. The recent breakdown from the consolidation range suggests bearish sentiment is building.
🔻 Key Observations:
Stop Loss Zone: 22,192
Price should ideally remain below this level for a bearish setup to remain valid. A move above this zone may invalidate the downside scenario.
Immediate Support Level: 21,010
If selling pressure continues, this is the first potential bounce zone. Watch price behavior closely here.
Deeper Support Target: 20,223
A break below 21,000 could open the door for a drop toward the 20,200 area — a previous accumulation/support level.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Traders may consider this type of setup if looking for short positions, but only with tight risk controls and clear confirmation of trend continuation.
📝 Disclaimer:
This analysis is strictly for study and educational purposes. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to take a trading position. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ - Shorts📉 Perfect Friday Reversal Call – NAS100 15min
Another clean short setup from our ELFIEDT – X-REVERSION system on Friday’s rally top.
🟥 Just look at the stacked “DOWN” signals — not one, not two, but multiple confirmations printed right at the exhaustion high.
These are standalone signals, meaning you don’t need anything else to act — just place your stop above the signal candle and let price do the rest.
💡 Bonus: Notice how the RSI printed divergence just before the top?
This is how our system combines statistical reversion + momentum analysis — no fluff, no guesswork.
💬 If you’re tired of chasing trades and getting dumped on the wrong side of a move…
👉 It’s time you trade with logic, timing, and precision.
📲 Message us if you’re ready to use this indicator and start making money from real market structure and turning points.
We’ve shown it time and again — let the results speak.
⸻
#NAS100 #ReversalTrading #ShortSetup #ELFIEDT #SmartMoney #NoLag #TradingViewIndicators #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #RSIDivergence #ReversionStrategy #FridayMoves #TradeTheTurn #EarnFromMarkets #ProToolsForTraders
NSDQ100 bullish continuation supported at 21300Markets & Geopolitics:
Investors are holding back as Trump may try diplomacy before acting against Iran. Oil prices dropped, European stocks rose, and the dollar slipped.
Tensions remain high: Israel hit Iranian missile and nuclear sites, and Iran’s president demanded Israel stop unconditionally. Iran’s foreign minister is in Geneva for talks, and the country is speeding up oil exports.
Technology:
SoftBank’s founder Masayoshi Son wants to partner with TSMC to build a huge AI and robotics hub in Arizona. It’s unclear if TSMC will join, as it’s already investing $165 billion in the US.
US Politics & Immigration:
A court backed Trump’s use of the National Guard during LA protests, despite pushback from California’s governor. A deeper report looks at how immigration raids affect workers.
Trade & Business:
Canada may raise tariffs on US steel and aluminum if trade talks stall. Meanwhile, Temu’s US sales are falling as it cuts back on ads. A Fidelity manager says markets have likely priced in Trump’s tariff threats and sees opportunity in mid-sized companies.
Key Trading Levels:
Resistance Level 1: 22070
Resistance Level 2: 22370
Resistance Level 3: 22780
Support Level 1: 21300
Support Level 2: 21060
Support Level 3: 20820
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NSDQ100 Geopolitics, Fed & Rates Outlook Geopolitics & Market Sentiment
Iran-Israel conflict enters its sixth day, raising fears of broader escalation.
Speculation is building that Donald Trump may authorize the use of the Massive Ordnance Penetrator (bunker-buster bomb) to target Iran’s nuclear facilities.
Trump is also meeting with Pakistan’s army chief today for talks on Iran, adding to geopolitical uncertainty.
So far, Iran’s oil infrastructure remains intact, and Hezbollah has stayed out of the conflict, limiting immediate economic fallout.
Fed & Rates Outlook
The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady today as it waits for clearer economic signals amid ongoing Trump policy shifts.
Trump is pressuring the Fed, now arguing for lower rates to cut US debt costs.
Traders are building record positions betting on a dovish Fed shift after Powell's term ends in May 2026.
Market Implications for NSDQ100
Nasdaq futures are mildly positive, supported by:
Stability in tech earnings outlook
Expectations of Fed staying on hold, with a possible dovish bias emerging
However, Middle East tensions remain a risk. Any strike on oil infrastructure or major military escalation could:
Trigger a risk-off move
Push oil prices higher, raising inflation concerns
Weigh on tech stocks sensitive to rate outlooks and sentiment
Key Focus for Nasdaq Traders Today:
Fed decision and Powell’s tone (especially on inflation and growth risks)
Headlines from the Middle East
Oil price action near the five-month high (WTI around $73.50–$74)
Resistance Level 1: 22070
Resistance Level 2: 22370
Resistance Level 3: 22780
Support Level 1: 21300
Support Level 2: 21060
Support Level 3: 20820
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?USTEC is rising toward the pivot, which serves as a pullback resistance. A reversal from this level could indicate a double top pattern, potentially leading to a price drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 22,270.83
1st Support: 21,142.23
1st Resistance: 23,070.85
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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