No shampoo in sight.....and an $11k Nasdaq?This posts presents an idea that has no precedence (that I can recall at least), so this is by definition a crazy idea BUT the chart is showing signs of extreme exhaustion and is possibly and quite frankly on the verge of a potentially destructive collapse.
If the recent severe volatility hasn't peaked your attention... this chart should.
It's quite simple...we have a MONSTER Head and Shoulders pattern on the Weekly TF...and we're finishing off the Right Shoulder! From a chart pattern perspective, this is ultra-ultra bearish.
The confluence we have is the Elliot Wave showing the we could be about to enter Wave 5. Elliot Waves are of course subjective BUT in this case its syncs with the Head and Shoulders.
If this was a 15min chart, most would probably agree hands down, but this is a Weekly Chart and represents Trillions on Trillions so its hard to believe that this could even be a possibility.....but I believe it could happen!
The horizontal blue lines provide 2024's High and Low Price. For this disaster scenario to be avoided, the Bulls and anyone who cares must defend 2024's low around 16100. This must not be breached, to keep the 12M bullish structure in place.
The green shaded areas highlight all of the Buy Side fair value gaps on the WEEKLY TF going back to early January 2023!
Could the market dive for these in devastating fashion? Only time will tell.
In the interim, we should trade safe and manage risk as best as we can.
USTEC trade ideas
US100 Technical Analysis by TradingDONHere’s the CAPITALCOM:US100 lowdown: That “bullish reversal??” tag’s throwing up a question mark because nothing’s set in stone yet—if the market holds above the 18,400 sweep low and starts pushing past recent swing highs around 18,650–18,700, especially knocking off that short label near 18,700, it could kickstart a short-term bullish turn; but if it rallies into that 18,700 zone and then stalls or flips, we’re still in bearish territory, with a likely retest of the 18,400 level or even a deeper dive to snag more liquidity.
NASDAQ Trump's 2 TRADE WARS are identical! What you need to knowNASDAQ (NDX) had a massive bullish reversal 1W candle last week as, despite a Lower Low opening, the intra-week rebound surpassed the opening of the previous week. The sell-off reached almost as low as the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) , which has been the Support level of the late 2022 Inflation Crisis bottom and has been untouched for more than 2 year.
This is not the first time we see this pattern. In an interesting twist of events, we saw the exact same formation during Trump's 1st Trade War, which bottomed on the week of December 24 2018, near the 1W MA200 as well and exactly on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the Top.
The similarities don't stop there as both Trade War periods were manifested within Megaphone patterns. Their sell-off/ Bearish Leg was -25% (now) and -23% (2018) respectively, while the set-up leading to those Megaphones was a +103.50% and +113.50% Bull Cycle respectively. Also both sell-offs got an oversold (30.00 or lower) 1W RSI bottom.
So, since NDX has currently completed a -25% correction near the 1W MA200 and the 0.382 Fib with the 1W RSI bouncing off the oversold barrier, it is very likely that we've formed the pattern's bottom, especially if the global fundamentals point towards trade deals.
If this Low remains intact, we expect a similar +35% short-term Top at 22500 within a 3-4 month period and then long-term rally near the -0.382 Fibonacci extension at 29000.
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NAS100 (15min) – Bullish Entry Activated1. Symmetrical Triangle Formation
Price was compressing inside a symmetrical triangle, with a series of lower highs and higher lows, indicating indecision and buildup of pressure.
2. Downside Fake-out (False Breakout)
Price briefly broke below the lower trendline, suggesting a potential bearish breakout.
However, there was no strong follow-through; instead, price quickly reclaimed the trendline and pushed back inside the structure.
This is a classic fake-out, often trapping late sellers and providing liquidity for buyers.
The rejection from the lows resulted in a long wick, signalling strong buying interest and failure to break down.
3. Aggressive Bullish Reaction
After reclaiming the triangle support, price moved rapidly back to the top of the triangle.
The next key move was a strong breakout above the upper trendline, confirming bullish intent.
4. Break and Retest
Price action followed through with a clean breakout above resistance, followed by a minor pullback and retest of the broken trendline, which held as support.
This retest offered a textbook entry point based on price action principles.
5. Bullish Structure Confirmation
Post breakout, price formed a higher low and continued to make a higher high, confirming a trend shift.
This structural change strengthens the bullish outlook.
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution.
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 19150 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 18600 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 19200
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 18820
Strong Rejection from 19300 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 17800 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 19100 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 18820 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 18500 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 17800 zone – Liquidity Engineered
☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory
——
💯 18 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900
💯 11 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900
💯 18 jan 2024 – Bullish Run After Break That level
NAS100 Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for NAS100.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 18,546.2.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 18,341.2 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution.
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 19150 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 18820 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 19200
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 18820
Strong Rejection from 19300 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 17800 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 19100 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 18820 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 18500 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 17800 zone – Liquidity Engineered
☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory
——
💯 18 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900
💯 11 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900
💯 18 jan 2024 – Bullish Run After Break That level
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Rising into a swing-high resistanceThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 19,237.66 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 19,950.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 18,144.20 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Oversold but Not Safe – NAS100 Bears Still in Control
Currently trading below the 20-day SMA (middle of Bollinger Bands), indicating bearish momentum.
Support zone: ~17,600 (recent lows and high volume area)
Resistance zone: ~18,800–19,200 (middle Bollinger Band & recent highs)
Failure to break above 18,800 and another test of 17,600 could lead to continuation downward, possibly toward 17,000–16,800.
monday long opportunity for nasdaq1. From the daily chart perspective, I believe a short-term bottom has already formed, but the stop-loss level is too far for a long position, so it’s better to seek a low-entry buy. Last Friday, it reached a support level, but I wasn’t firm enough so i didn't enter. BUtT, we can PATIENTLY wait for a lower point to buy here.
monday plan:
On the 1-hour timeframe, resistance is at 19100-19300 (which is also the 4-hour resistance), and support is at 18200-17800.
Look for buying opportunities on Monday, with real-time updates afterward, stop-loss at 17600.
TARGET IS 19100-19300.
If price goes up directly, i will wait 19100-19300 for a short opportunity instead.
Does the Nasdaq keep dropping after approaching the nearby high?I have 2 zone that are coded as a "no close above" that should have held no issue
The reason why I am short mainly is because we haven't visit 50% of the New Week Opening Gap and we have rejected from 50% of the bearish gap above the range. As well as volumetric divergence after the rally.
I want to see this gap at least partially filled before anything else this week can happen.
USTEC,NAS100USTEC is still in a downtrend. The price has a chance to test the resistance zone 19588-19875. If the price cannot break through the 19876 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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NQ: Upcoming Weekly Analysis!Happy week!
ST/Mt/Lt Outlook: SELL
FA Analysis:
1- US is in or about to be in RECESSION.
2- US is isolating itself from the world economy; from the driver seat.
3- 90-days tariff pause: Market relief, recovery period; it's absolutely not a "buying the dip" strategy!
4- Inflation (CPI and PPI) are softening surprisingly!!! The explanation might be from a lower demand (considering the recession/economy slowing down); So this is not necessary the right softening inflation that the FED is looking for.
5- The FED will use the inflation softening to cut rates.
6- On the other hand, Tariffs will increase inflation.
7- Also, Consumer sentiment is at lowest level.
8- Bonds are skyrocketing (Follow U10y and U30y). Trump wants them down but market is pushing them up to make pressure on him to withdraw the tariffs. Hence, Trump will intervene with carrots and candies every time Y10y, e.g., breaks 4.5%.
9- Dollar is loosing foot whereas Gold is seeking the sky. Money is flying outside USA.
Next week is soft in terms of economic data beside ECB meeting and Trump's tweets.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF:
a- As the outlook is Sell, here is a chart based on Waves theory.
b- I consider Wave 1 completed and price is in retrace to complete Wave 2 (between 50-61.8 fib) (Yellow box)
c- The current wave 2 might take few other days/weeks (at least 2). This wave 2 is supported by the 90-days pause, the Inflation softening and the FED cutting rate next meeting.
(Note: I invite you to keep this chart close to your eyes:))
Daily TF:
FY awareness, each wave has at least 3 moves: Initial swing; Retrace' and Impulsive swing.
Wave 2 has already made both Initial and retrace swings. We should expect to see the last impulsive swing.
From TA, the daily close was irrelevant; it was inside inside previous daily candles!
Happy green week to Everyone!
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
———————
☄️ Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18700
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
☄️ Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18400
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
Analysis
👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 18400 – Major support
➗ 19000 – Proven resistance
———
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 18700 – 🔥 Bearish breakout level
• 19130 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times)
• 18400 – Equal lows
• 3245 – Equal highs
———
🩸No rush. Only precision.
Hanzo moves in silence—then strikes with force.
🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe.
Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
Trade the Structure: NAS100 Possible Retrace & Buy OpportunityThe NAS 100 recently broke its market structure after a twist in trade policy—with Donald Trump delaying tariffs by 90 days—which sparked a robust rally. On the 4‑hour chart, we're looking for a bullish setup where the initial surge might be followed by a pullback into a sideways accumulation zone. This consolidation is expected to form a "spring" pattern—a brief retest that could trap sellers—followed by a clear break of market structure that signals a renewed upward move. The entry is ideally on the breakout, backed by supportive volume, while risk management is maintained with a stop-loss positioned just below the range if/when price retraces into support. 🚀📈💰
NSDQ100 INTRADAY resistance retest Tech stocks tumbled after the U.S. announced new restrictions on Nvidia chip exports to China and ASML posted weaker-than-expected results, sparking renewed trade war fears. The selloff wiped out $155 billion in market value between the two companies.
Meanwhile, China is holding off on trade talks, wanting the U.S. to take certain steps first—like toning down harsh rhetoric from officials—according to a source familiar with Beijing’s stance.
U.S. stock futures trimmed losses after that China news but still point to a lower open due to the tech slump. The dollar slid to a six-month low, while investors moved into safe havens, gold hit a record high and the Swiss franc gained.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 19200
Resistance Level 2: 19550
Resistance Level 3: 19870
Support Level 1: 17250
Support Level 2: 16773
Support Level 3: 16300
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Exclusive Analysis: Key Reversal Zones & Time Targets for NAS100Dear Trader,
I’m excited to share my latest analysis of $Subject with you! This report uses advanced mathematical strategies to pinpoint potential market reversals—both in price and timing—to help you trade smarter.
What’s Inside?
✅ Price Targets: Clear horizontal lines mark key support/resistance levels (north/south targets).
✅ Timing Tools: Vertical lines highlight potential reversal times (UTC+4 time zone) with +/- 1-2 candle accuracy.
✅ Actionable Tips: Monitor the 5M/15M charts for high-probability reversal signals like:
Doji
Double Top/Bottom
Bullish/Bearish Engulfing
Hammer/Inverted Hammer
Morning/Evening Star
Shooting Star
Triple Top/Bottom
Want to Level Up?
Join Shunya Trade’s Mentoring Program to master these strategies and sharpen your technical analysis skills.
Your Feedback Matters!
Let me know how this analysis works for you—your insights will shape future reports!
Let’s navigate the markets together—wisely and proactively.
Best regards,
Shunya Trade
Stay Connected for More:
👉 Follow me on TradingView “shoonya0000” for daily charts, tips, and live market updates.
On the chart numbers are printed those are for Reversal of Time
328, 391, 400, 463, 424, 472, 535, 295, 520, 319, 544
And these are Key price levels
Bear. Bull
18694.55 18733.46
18679.82 18748.22
18645.66 18782.46
18577.45 18851.05
18509.36 18919.76
18441.40 18988.60
18373.56 19057.56
18305.85 19126.65
18238.27 19195.86
18170.80 19265.20
17902.21 19543.79
17635.61 19824.39
17371.01 20106.99
17108.41 20391.59
16847.81 20678.19
16589.21 20966.79
16332.62 21257.38
16078.02 21549.98
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
NASDAQ 16/04/2025 opening on this gap will drop more to the first target from yesterday
as u see the trade was respectfully just gave us confirmation from the orange line up and went down thankfully the target was the PDL ( previous daily low ) and well done open in target today
the next move probably will be lower in the target line and u must to wait confirmation over there no entry pls i gave u the zone where the market should react and u have to be patience and wait confirmation to buy and then good luck
any questions feel free to ask
<3
The Nasdaq 100 is exhibiting a strong short-term bearish trend. 📉 Technical Analysis (Short-Term):
The Nasdaq 100 is exhibiting a strong short-term bearish trend.
CentralCharts
The index is trading below its 200-day moving average, indicating potential market weakness and possibly the start of a downtrend.
Business Insider
Key resistance levels are around $20,275–$20,382; a breakout above this range could signal a bullish reversal.
TradingView
Support is observed near $18,872; a break below this level may lead to further declines.
TradingView
🧠 Fundamental Analysis:
The Nasdaq 100 concluded Q1 2025 with a loss of 8.6%, reflecting a challenging start to the year.
Seeking Alpha
Upcoming Q1 earnings reports from major tech companies, including Netflix and TSMC, are anticipated to influence market direction.
FX Leaders
Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve's target and signs of a weakening job market are contributing to economic uncertainty.
Business Insider
💬 Sentiment Analysis:
Investor sentiment is currently bearish, with the Nasdaq 100 having fallen over 8% in March, marking the worst monthly performance since late 2022.
MarketWatch
Concerns over trade tensions, inflation, and potential stagflation are weighing on market confidence.
Business Insider
Despite the downturn, April's historical performance as a strong month for U.S. stocks may offer buying opportunities amidst volatility.
NAS100 Rebound Setup – Bulls Gaining Strength Again?The NAS100 has bounced strongly from the high-volume demand zone (16,700 – 17,800) highlighted by LuxAlgo's Supply and Demand indicator. The current price is consolidating near 18,700, building momentum for a potential breakout.
Key Technical Zones:
Demand Zone: 16,700 – 17,800 (high buy interest)
Support Level: 17,828.9
Resistance 1: 20,350.6 (first upside target)
Major Supply Zone: 21,775.4 (big decision point for bulls)
Bullish Outlook:
Price has reclaimed the 17,828.9 support and is forming higher lows.
A strong break above 19,000 could send price to test 20,350, then possibly 21,775.
Green arrows show the bullish potential if price holds above support.
Bearish Risk:
A breakdown below 17,828.9 could signal a return to the demand zone.
Watch for rejection candlesticks or divergence signals near resistance.
Volume Profile Insight:
LuxAlgo's visible range shows strong buyer interest below 18,000, indicating institutions may be accumulating positions.
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Trade Idea: Look for a confirmed breakout above recent highs near 18,800 for long entries. Conservative traders may wait for a pullback to 17,800 for better risk-reward.
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What’s your take on NAS100? Will buyers push it to 20K+ or is this just a trap rally? Share your thoughts below!
#NASDAQ #US100 #NAS100 #IndexTrading #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #ForexAnalysis #StockMarket #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup