NAS100 UPDATE - Potential Targets Dear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Key Support / Pivot @ 22665.00
If key support holds, bullish rally can potentially remain intact
A strong breach below 22605.00, can potentially force
price back to original demand.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
USTEC trade ideas
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?The Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 22,509.40 which is a swing-low support that aligns closely with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 22,150.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 23,264.68 which is a resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
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NAS100 4H – Bullish Breakout Continuation BUY SetupUS100 (NAS100) is showing clear bullish strength after reclaiming 22,500.0, now trading around 22,718.0. The structure remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming cleanly.
Buyers are still in control — looking for continuation to the upside.
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BUY Trade Plan:
🔵 Buy Limit: 22,650.0 – 22,680.0
🛑 Stop Loss: 22,600.0
🎯 Take Profit 1: 22,800.0
🎯 Take Profit 2: 22,950.0
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Why Buy?
✅ Strong bullish market structure.
✅ Recent pullback held above previous support levels.
✅ Momentum favoring upside continuation after minor retracement.
Smart Money likely to drive price higher after liquidity grab around 22,650 zone.
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Summary:
Bias: BUY ONLY 🔥
Setup: Wait for price to pull back into 22,650 – 22,680, enter long on confirmation.
Risk Management: Respect SL and TP levels — no emotions.
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💬 Are you buying NAS100 too? Drop your thoughts below!
#NAS100 #US100 #Indices #TradingView #SmartMoney #BuySetup #FrankFx14
NASDAQ: Almost overbought but with no stop on this uptrend.Nasdaq is about to turn overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.420, MACD = 402.410, ADX = 22.800) but the current bullish wave shows no signs of stopping yet. The Channel Up since the April bottom indicates that a +9.50% rise is very likely before the next technical pullback, especially as long as the 1D MA50 is holding. Stay long, TP = 23,400.
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US100 update market The chart you've shared is a 2-hour timeframe for the US 100 index (NASDAQ 100) with a clear bearish outlook marked by projected price levels and potential demand zones.
Key Observations:
1. Current Price:
22,478.5 (near-term consolidation with recent bearish pressure)
2. Highlighted Zones:
Resistance Zone: Around 22,750–22,800 — where price previously reversed.
First Demand Zone: Around 22,100–22,200 — potential support.
Second Demand Zone: Around 21,500–21,600 — deeper support level.
Third Major Demand Zone: Near 21,200 — long-term support.
3. Bearish Structure:
Price has broken below recent support levels.
Black dotted line shows a projected move toward lower demand zones.
Momentum appears to be weakening after a strong bullish rally from June 21–28.
4. Technical Bias:
This is a bearish correction or possible trend reversal setup.
The presence of strong demand zones suggests potential bounce zones if price reaches those levels.
---
Summary:
This chart implies a bearish move is underway on the US 100 with expected targets near 22,100, then 21,600, and potentially 21,200. Watch for bullish reaction or reversal signals at those zones. If price reclaims 22,800+, bearish outlook would be invalidated.
Let me know if you want a trade setup or confirmation strategy based on this analysis.
Tesla Drop Pressures Nasdaq – 22,470 Key to Hold RecoveryUSNAS100 | Overview
Tesla dropped approximately 5%, weighing heavily on the Nasdaq, amid public tensions between Elon Musk and Donald Trump.
Yesterday, the price declined below 22,610 due to the impact of Tesla’s fall but remained above 22,470. As long as it trades above this level, a recovery attempt is likely, with the price expected to break through the consolidation zone between 22,615 and 22,740.
However, if the 1h candle closes below 22,470, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 22,280 and potentially lower.
Pivot: 22,470
Resistance: 22,615 – 22,740 –23,000
Support: 22,280 – 22,200
NAS100 Potential ReversalHi there,
The NAS100 is slightly bullish and fairly stagnant. It is consolidating between two key levels (orange lines). A break below the price might fall into deeper demand zones.
Short Notes
- **Elliott Wave**: 5-wave structure appears complete at resistance (22,137.8), signalling a possible reversal.
- **Liquidity Zones**: Price is at/near a major liquidity zone, increasing reversal risk.
- **Break High**: There's a potential for a false breakout above wave 5 before dropping.
- **Support Levels**: The 21,800.6 (previous day high) and 21,146.2 (previous day low) for first support.
- **Demand Zones**: Strong demand below 21,146.2, with deeper support near 20,000 and 18,800.
- **Overview: A possible bearish move ahead from current highs, targeting lower demand zones.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice
Up Up Up... Nothing Can Stop NAS From RisingLet's take a look at the big picture in the NASDAQ: Do you see how nicely the spring crash landed on the 50% retracement of the upward movement since fall 2022?
Now that we've crossed the old ATH, the targets are clear, and they're way up in the NASDAQ.
The summer correction is therefore likely to fail and probably turn into a listless sideways slide. By September at the latest, however, the NAS should pick up speed again and head for targets between 25,000 and 26,000 - at the very least.
Clear skies!
NAS100 Forecast 24HAs of Tuesday, July 15, 2025, 2:03:11 AM UTC+4 the forecast for US100 (Nasdaq 100) in the next 24 hours presents a mixed outlook, with underlying bullish sentiment but caution due to ongoing market dynamics and potential for short-term pullbacks.
Factors Contributing to a Bullish Bias:
Underlying Strength and Breakout Behavior: Despite some short-term bearish technical signals, the Nasdaq is described as being in "breakout mode," decisively overriding key levels. This suggests underlying bullish momentum.
AI as a Growth Driver: Artificial intelligence (AI) remains a primary growth driver for the US economy and the technology sector, which heavily influences the Nasdaq 100. Confidence in secular tailwinds like cloud computing and semiconductor demand also persists .
Temporary US Dollar Weakness: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently in a retracement phase, pulling back after strength. A weaker dollar can provide a relief rally for risk assets like the Nasdaq, making US tech stocks more attractive to international investors.
Potential for Federal Reserve Rate Cuts: While no rate cuts are expected over the summer, a rate cut is considered likely in September. Historically, phases of moderate interest rate cuts in the absence of a recession have been positive for the US stock market.
"Buy on Dip" Mentality: Some analyses suggest that any short-term declines could be viewed as buying opportunities, indicating an underlying positive sentiment among investors.
Strong Earnings Expectations (for some tech): Despite general market concerns, some technology companies associated with AI innovation are expected to perform well, contributing positively to the index.
Factors Suggesting Caution and Potential for Bearish Movement/Volatility:
Escalating Trade Tensions (Trump's Tariffs): President Trump's continued aggressive protectionist stance and new tariff threats (e.g., against Canada) are a significant risk. These can create uncertainty, weigh on corporate profits, and lead to market volatility. This is frequently cited as the main risk for US indices.
Short-Term Technical Bearishness: Some technical analyses indicate a high chance of bearish candle closures across various timeframes (1H, 4H, Daily, Weekly, Monthly) , and some traders are eyeing selling opportunities from specific resistance zones (e.g., around 22,800-22,869).
Overvalued Growth Stocks: Following a recent rally, US stocks, particularly growth stocks, are trading at a premium to fair value. This can limit upside potential and make the market more susceptible to corrections if tariff negotiations falter or earnings guidance disappoints.
Market Seasonality: As we move into the latter half of July, market seasonality can shift from bullish to a more bearish stance.
Earnings Season and "Sell on the News" : While major financial institutions are kicking off Q2 earnings season, there's a potential for a "sell on the news" response, even if earnings aren't particularly bad, given the strong rally stocks have already staged.
Mixed Global Signals: European markets showing mixed performance and pressure from US futures suggest cautious global risk sentiment, which could cap upside for the Nasdaq.
Unfilled Stock Imbalances: Some technical analysis points to an unfilled stock imbalance around 22,300, which could act as a reaction point if the price pulls back.
Key Levels to Watch (Approximate):
Support: 22,600, 22,300 (unfilled imbalance), 21,611 (resistance-turned-support), 20,673 (Fibonacci extension and prior high).
Resistance: 22,800, 22,869, 23,000-23,100 (potential re-entry targets for rally continuation), 25,000-25,100 (approximate imbalance level to be filled).
In conclusion, for the next 24 hours, the US100 is likely to face a battle between underlying bullish momentum driven by AI and potential Fed policy, and the immediate headwinds of escalating trade tensions and some short-term technical bearishness. Traders should be prepared for volatility and quick shifts in sentiment based on news flow, particularly regarding trade and upcoming earnings reports.
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
NAS100 - Stock market awaits inflation!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Maintaining the ascending channel and confirming it after breaking the downtrend line will lead to the continuation of the Nasdaq's upward path to higher targets (23000), but in case of no increase and channel failure, one can look for selling positions up to the target of 22500.
Last week, the U.S.dollar demonstrated strong performance against major global currencies, despite having experienced some weakness since April 2, when President Donald Trump announced retaliatory tariffs against key U.S. trading partners. However, these tariffs were ultimately postponed, and only a baseline 10% tariff was maintained.
The 90-day deadline for implementing these tariffs, originally set to expire on Wednesday, has now been extended to August 1. Nevertheless, Trump surprised the markets this week by announcing a 25% tariff on imports from Japan and South Korea, threatening a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods, and implementing lower tariffs for other partners. These developments triggered a shift of capital toward the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset, boosting its strength.
This marks a notable shift in how the dollar is reacting to tariff tensions. In April, fears of an economic slowdown weighed on the greenback, but now it is gaining traction as a refuge in times of uncertainty, particularly as inflation risks mount—contributing to choppy moves in U.S. equity markets.
As is customary, the earnings season will kick off with reports from major banks and financial institutions. On Tuesday, JPMorgan is set to release its financial results, opening the floodgates for a wave of earnings reports. The image referenced lists several other companies, many of which are market heavyweights.
Following a relatively quiet week due to Independence Day holidays and a lack of major economic data, markets are now gearing up for a steady stream of reports in the coming days. Tuesday will bring the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June along with the Empire State manufacturing survey. On Wednesday, the spotlight will shift to the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the same month. Then, on Thursday, traders will focus on June’s retail sales report, the Philadelphia Fed’s manufacturing survey, and the weekly jobless claims figures.
The week will conclude with two additional reports on Friday: the June housing starts data and the preliminary reading of the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index.
June’s CPI report is expected to reflect an uptick in inflation, potentially driven by Trump’s tariff policies. Some analysts believe the tariffs will have an “undeniable” impact on prices, though others remain uncertain.
Despite concerns from both experts and consumers that businesses might pass tariff costs on to buyers, inflation has so far remained relatively moderate this year. The effects of Trump’s aggressive tariff campaign on hard economic data have not yet been clearly reflected—but that may be about to change.
According to Bloomberg’s consensus forecasts, as cited by Wells Fargo Securities, the CPI is expected to show a 2.7% year-over-year increase in June—up from 2.4% the previous month. Meanwhile, core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is projected to have risen 3% over the same period, compared to a prior gain of 2.8%.
If these numbers come in as expected, it could support the forecasts of analysts who have warned that the costs of Trump’s heavy import tariffs would eventually show up on price tags, as manufacturers, importers, and retailers pass along the burden through the supply chain. Since taking office, Trump has imposed a wide array of tariffs, including a 10% levy on most imports, a 25% duty on foreign automobiles, and tariffs exceeding 50% on Chinese products.
NASDAQ - Long Bias explanation and Entry/SL/TP ideasTrend : NASDAQ is in a strong uptrend at the moment
Retail : Majority have a BEARISH sentiment on this pair
Institutions : Increase in week over week holdings
Structures : No structures as we are at highs so targeting recent formed high + round number above makes sense
Price action : Sitting on a support shelf at the moment
Targets : Recent high + level at round number (23000)
Stops : Many options to place stops below
Entries : Positive bounce at current level, decent entry zone but further possible entry levels sit below too
If trading on a shorter timeframe, perhaps the gap fill is a good point to take the trade off the table.
Targeting higher than 23 might be dangerous as we are playing around at ATHs