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GBPAUD trade ideas

GBP/AUD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! We are now examining the GBP/AUD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 2.054 level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
My GBPAUD Long idea 26/03/2025The AUD currency has been seeing some weakness and if we look at the inflation it is relatively weakening. The inflation rate in Australia went from 2.8 to 2.4 and the interest rate for AUD is sitting at 4.1. The Pound has seen some love due to raising inflation narrative we are sitting at 3.0 and it is expected to drop to 2.9 with the interest rate sitting at 4.5. AUD interest rate projection -> Q1 4.1 -> Q2 3.85 -> Q3 3.85 -> Q4 3.6 GBP interest rate projection -> Q1 4.5 -> Q2 4.25 -> Q3 4.0 -> Q4 4.0 I would love to see the price make some pullbacks to the 50% fib or go a little below to the 100 EMA for a better RR. However, if you pull out the Bollinger Bands you will realize that the 4H price has bounced off of the lower Bollinger. And if you try drawing a FIB from the recent 4H Swing Low you will notice a bounce from the 50% level. I would try DCA or put a tight SL below 204738 maybe if price stays flat but slowly melting upwards.
Long
by stingotho
GBP/AUD Bulls Eye 2020 HighFutures traders are net-long GBP/USD futures and net-short AUD/USD futures. So it is quite fitting to see GBP/AUD in a strong uptrend, with traders now eyeing the 2020 high. However, the weekly chart suggests the current upswing may be nearing a cycle peak. A small bearish divergence has also formed on this timeframe. I am therefor seeking evidence of a swing high to form, somewhere around the 2020 high (or below). For now, the daily chart is grinding higher and the 10-day EMA is supporting. There are also early signs of an ending diagonal / rising wedge, which could still allow for another leg or two higher before the anticipated mean reversion towards the 10 and 20-week EMAs kick in. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
by CityIndex
GBPAUD Bearish Breakout Imminent: Points to Potential Downside4-hour chart of GBPAUD reveals a critical juncture. We've observed a recent uptrend culminating in what appears to be a rising wedge formation. This pattern, characterized by converging trendlines, often signals a potential reversal, particularly after a sustained bullish run. The upper trendline has faced repeated tests, indicating weakening upward momentum. Crucially, the 2.04938 level acts as immediate support. A decisive break below this point would validate the wedge breakdown and likely trigger a significant bearish move. Key Levels and Targets: Immediate Support: 2.04938 Target 1: 2.03263 (Initial downside target) Target 2: 2.00516 (70.0% Fibonacci Retracement) Target 3: 1.97478 (100.0% Fibonacci Retracement) Fibonacci Analysis: The price action has breached the 50.0% retracement level, suggesting a potential continuation towards the 61.8% and lower levels. The 70.0% and 100.0% retracements are critical downside targets. Trading Implications: Short Entry: A confirmed break below 2.04938 is the primary trigger for a short entry. Stop Loss: A conservative stop-loss should be placed above the recent swing high or the upper trendline of the wedge to mitigate risk. Risk Management: Given the potential for volatility, prudent risk management is essential. Considerations: Confirmation: A break below 2.04938 must be accompanied by strong bearish momentum and ideally, increased volume to validate the signal. Fundamental Factors: Keep a close eye on upcoming economic data releases from both the UK and Australia, as these can significantly impact the pair.
Short
by ultreosforex
GBPAUD sell up with great potentialGood day traders, today we just confirming the weekly bias on GBPAUD(sell) On the 4 hour TF we saw yesterday the market opened with a jump lower creating a volume imbalance which later we saw price revisiting those levels and for the most part of the day, price was trading around the VI and closed the day below the VI. For today we expecting price to close the day lower meaning todays bias is bearish, we want to see it atleast before the end of this week for price to have taken last week Thursday's low.
Short
by FxPipMaster_TebohoMatla
GBP AUD [Long]I would also say that I have put a small pending long order on a break below the range here. I have no argument to be short the GBP AUD in the context of the current Macro Economic climate, so any trades I try will be longs. Usually i risk 2%, in this case i might just expose myself to 1%, however if it does bounce and comes back inside the range, the case for the bullish continuation is much stronger and would allow me to both run it and add to it further. Obviously if the sellers take control then its time to wait on the sidelines some more. Perhaps scaling in another 1 or 2% with a break then above the range. Of course if It gets stopped out then a slide lower is possible and I have buy orders waiting at around 202160.
Long
by RicksTradingRoom
GBPAUD INTRADAY key trading level at 2.0520The GBPAUD currency pair is showing bullish sentiment, bolstered by the prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action suggests a corrective sideways consolidation, indicating a potential pause before resuming the upward movement. Key Trading Levels: Support Level: The critical support to monitor is 2.0520, which marks the previous consolidation price range. Upside Targets: A corrective pullback from current levels, followed by a bullish rebound from the 2.0520 level, could set the stage for a move toward the next resistance levels at 2.0650, followed by 2.0720 and 2.0850 over a longer timeframe. Alternative Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break below the 2.0520 support level, with a daily close beneath this point, would invalidate the bullish outlook. In this case, the pair may experience deeper retracement, targeting the support levels at 2.0396, 2.0345, and 2.0286. Conclusion: While the current sentiment remains bullish, traders should keep a close watch on the 2.0520 support level. A successful bounce could reinforce the uptrend, while a breakdown and close below this level would indicate a shift to a bearish outlook, warranting caution and potential repositioning. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBPAUD Will Go Down! Short! Take a look at our analysis for GBPAUD. Time Frame: 5h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 2.056. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 2.044 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
GBP/AUD "Pound vs Aussie" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GBP/AUD "Pound vs Aussie" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (1.96000) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 1.97300 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 1.93400 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: GBP/AUD "Pound vs Aussie" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. 🟢Fundamental Analysis - BoE Interest Rate Decision: The Bank of England's (BoE) decision to keep interest rates unchanged has led to a decrease in investor confidence, potentially impacting the GBP/AUD pair - UK GDP Growth Rate: The UK's GDP growth rate is expected to be impacted by the BoE's dovish outlook and trade war fears, potentially leading to a decrease in the GBP/AUD pair - Australian Employment Data: Australia's employment data is expected to be released soon, potentially impacting the AUD and the GBP/AUD pair 🔴Macroeconomic Trends - Global Economic Trends: The ongoing trade war between the US and China is expected to impact global economic trends, potentially leading to a decrease in the GBP/AUD pair - Inflation Rate: The UK's inflation rate is expected to be impacted by the BoE's monetary policy decisions, potentially leading to a decrease in the GBP/AUD pair - Interest Rate Differentials: The interest rate differential between the UK and Australia is expected to impact the GBP/AUD pair, potentially leading to a decrease in the pair's value 🟣COT Report - Institutional Traders: Institutional traders are net long on GBP/AUD, expecting a potential increase in the pair's value - Retail Traders: Retail traders are net short on GBP/AUD, expecting a potential decrease in the pair's value - Open Interest: Open interest is increasing, indicating a potential increase in market volatility Non-Commercial Traders: 40% long, 60% short Commercial Traders: 45% long, 55% short Non-Reportable Traders: 35% long, 65% short ⚪Technical Analysis - Trend: The current trend is bearish, with the GBP/AUD pair having declined by 5% over the past quarter. - Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is below the 200-day moving average, indicating a bearish trend. 🟤Market Sentiment - Investor Sentiment: Institutional investors are 35% bullish, 45% bearish, and 20% neutral on the GBP/AUD pair. - Retail Sentiment: Retail investors are 40% bullish, 30% bearish, and 30% neutral on the GBP/AUD pair. - Market Mood: The overall market mood is cautious, with investors waiting for further economic data before making investment decisions. ⚫Overall Outlook - Bearish: The GBP/AUD pair is expected to continue its downward trend, driven by a stronger AUD and a weaker GBP. - Volatility: The GBP/AUD pair is expected to be volatile, with potential price swings of 5-10% in the short-term. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Short
by Thief_Trader