GBP/AUD: The Impact of Tariffs on MarketsThe GBP/AUD exchange rate showed mixed movements from January 27 to February 4, 2025, closing at 1.99489 on February 4 with a decline of approximately 0.42% compared to the previous session. Despite a modest rally on February 3, with an increase of about 0.58%, the subsequent downturn signals prevailing bearish sentiment. This fluctuation highlights a cautious market environment influenced by several key factors. A technical report dated February 4 highlighted a symmetrical triangle pattern where, despite a bullish crossover of the 9-period moving average above the 14-period moving average, the price remains confined between a resistance level around 2.0050. This range-bound behavior reflects traders' hesitation as they await a decisive breakout to confirm the next directional trend. Additionally, geopolitical factors have significantly impacted volatility. The announcement of new U.S. tariffs by President Trump temporarily pushed GBP/AUD above 2.012. However, this rally was short-lived, with the rate retracting shortly after due to market adjustments, demonstrating the pair's sensitivity to external economic policies. Furthermore, risk-off flows have contributed to intermittent strength in GBP/AUD, but the overall sentiment remains mixed. Technical indicators and the persistent narrow trading range indicate ongoing uncertainty, applying continuous downward pressure on the pair.
GBPAUD trade ideas
GBP_AUD SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅GBP_AUD is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 1.9906
After trading in a local downtrend from some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 1.9980
LONG🚀
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Falling towards overlap support?GBP/AUD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce frm this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.9897
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.9769
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 2.0083
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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GBP/AUD – Triangle Formation and Potential BreakoutThe GBP/AUD pair is in a strong uptrend after a previous decline, and the price is now forming a symmetrical triangle, which is a continuation pattern. If a breakout occurs to the upside, further growth is expected.
Technical Analysis:
• Triangle Pattern: The price is consolidating within a tightening range of support and resistance.
• Key Level: 2.01100– a critical breakout zone.
• Expected Scenario: If the price holds above 2.01083, a move toward 2.02500+ is likely.
• Confirmation: A strong breakout with volume and a candle closing above the triangle would provide a solid confirmation.
Trade Plan:
• Entry: After a confirmed breakout above 2.01083.
• Target: 2.02500+
• Stop-loss: Below the triangle structure (around 2.00000).
If the breakout happens to the downside, the market structure may shift, and a different scenario could play out.
GBP/AUD: Supply Zone Retest – Sellers Ready?Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPAUD Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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GBPAUD 4H Timeframe AnalysisGBPAUD 4H Timeframe Analysis
Technical Analysis:
On the 4-hour timeframe, price remains in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows. We observed a retest of two minor key support levels at 1.9900 and 1.9980, followed by a breakout above the minor key resistance at 2.0060. However, this breakout turned out to be a false move, as price retraced, hunting buy stop losses placed within the liquidity zone.
Price Action Expectation:
Now, price is attempting to break the minor key resistance again at 2.0060. Since liquidity has already been formed, our objective is to wait for a confirmed break of this level. Once that happens, we will place a buy stop order at 2.0070, with:
Stop Loss (SL): 1.9963
Take Profit (TP): 2.0285
This setup aligns with the overall uptrend and liquidity formation, giving us a strategic entry point once confirmation is established.
Fundamental Outlook:
GBP: Strengthened by positive UK economic data and potential Bank of England rate hikes, supporting GBP demand.
AUD: Weighed down by slower economic growth in China and a potential slowdown in RBA tightening, making the AUD weaker.
Risk Sentiment: A risk-off environment could benefit GBP over AUD due to the latter's sensitivity to global market sentiment.
Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risks. Always consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
long trade on GBPAUDthe price is clearly on uptrend,
I identified the last HH, draw a zone and wait.
when the price broke that Hh I waited for the retest to come
the price give a retest I go to lower TF to identify structure
the sturture was clear on 15min the momentum is good... the entry was done on the break of the LL
bet late to post it
GBPAUD Swing BUY Trade (Trend Continuation Setup)📌 Entry: Buy at 2.0000 – 1.9950 (Liquidity Grab Zone).
📌 Stop Loss (SL): Below 1.9920 (Safe Level).
📌 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 2.0050 (Break of Structure Level).
📌 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 2.0100 (HTF Resistance).
📌 Take Profit 3 (Final TP3): 2.0150 (High Supply Zone).
🎯 Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 1:4+ (High Probability Trade).
🔥 PRIMARY TRADE: BUY at 2.0000 – 1.9950 if a bullish engulfing candle appears.
GBPAUD High-Probability Institutional BUY Trade Plan Identified.📌 Main Entry: 1.9850 - 1.9900 (Pending Buy Limit Order)
📌 Main TP Target: 2.0000 & 2.0150 (Liquidity Pool & Institutional Target)
📌 SL: 1.9800 (Protected Below Inducement)
🔹 Bias: Bullish – Smart Money Likely Targeting 2.0150+
🔹 Risk Management: Strict SL & No Overleveraging
🔥 This is a Grade A Institutional Trade Plan. Precision & Execution are Key. 🔥
GBPAUD"📈 GBPAUD Long Trade: Holding Full Size 🚀
Currently holding a full-size long position on GBPAUD. The pair has been on an upward trajectory, with recent analyses suggesting potential for further gains. Notably, a winning streak has been observed, with buyers achieving six consecutive sessions of gains.
LEARN2.TRADE
As of now, GBPAUD is trading at approximately 2.00536 AUD, reflecting a 0.30% increase in the past 24 hours.
TRADINGVIEW.COM
The broader trend remains bullish, with technical indicators supporting the upward momentum. The 20-day and 50-day moving averages have formed a bullish crossover below the price action, reinforcing expectations of continued upside.
LEARN2.TRADE
While the market shows promise, it's essential to stay vigilant and manage risk appropriately. The current price level is near the 2.0000 resistance, and a break above this could open the path to higher targets.
LEARN2.TRADE
#Forex #GBPAUD #TradingStrategy
GBPAUD-LONG?Last week GA showed good possibilities to move to the downside but we were waiting to see what happens with the news considering this week is full of data. Starting out the week, trumps tariffs have now affected foreign countries & affecting their movement. GA is breaking structure to the upside & caused a change of character. There’s now technical indications of a move to the upside but we’ll still be attentive to the economic news coming up, for now, we’re bullish 🫱🏽🫲🏾
Possible shorts on GBPAUD GBPAUD was on a bullish trend. It broke a major high leaving an imbalance. Price pulled back into the origin and instead of reacting off it and bouncing back, it broke the origin giving us a change of character. Now that price has shifted to a possible sell, it is on a pullback into the origin that caused the structure shift. We wait for price to trigger us in. Applying proper rusk management.
GBPAUD Will Go Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.994.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.958 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBP/USD Long, EUR/USD Long and GBP/AUD LongGBP/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H low tests.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Break below area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
GBP/AUD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Break below area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
GBPAUD-SELLFrom a technical standpoint, my overall position is shorting until it reaches trendline from higher time frame. On 1hr time frame, price action seems to be resisting my 2.0000 zone & bullish movement is decreasing. Market structure us bearish, price reached above 50% fib level, and many other confluences too that confirm a possible bearish move coming up. Because the AUD/USD correlates with GBPAUD, the dollar declined major counterparts on Thursday, showing that the nations economic growth fell short of economist estimates in the fourth quarter of 2024. Advance GDP fell short (2.3%) from forecast (2.7%),, so if dollar weakens, Aussie goes up, driving GBP down. This is only from a technical standpoint. Next week is full of news & data that might change my position but for now, we remain bearish.