GBPAUD: Weekly Reversal | COT & Seasonality Support Bullish📊 Technical Outlook
Price strongly reacted from a key weekly demand zone between 2.0400 and 2.0500, showing clear absorption of bearish pressure. The RSI is rebounding from the 30 area, signaling early reversal potential.
The next technical target lies between 2.08900 and 2.10000, within a well-defined supply zone.
An early bullish reversal is in progress, with potential for a swing move toward the red zone.
🧠 Commitment of Traders (COT Report – 08/07/2025)
GBP: Non-commercial traders are net long, with positioning growing across the board: +869 longs / -926 shorts. Commercials reduce shorts and increase longs → Bullish bias.
AUD: Non-commercials are clearly short (-2,267 longs / +1,957 shorts). Commercials are increasing long exposure (+2,629), but still in the minority → Bearish bias.
➡️ The COT spread confirms a GBP long vs AUD short bias.
📅 Seasonality (July)
GBP: Historically strong in July, with average monthly gains across all timeframes (especially the 2Y window).
AUD: Less favorable seasonal profile in July; flat to slightly negative across all time horizons.
➡️ Seasonality supports GBP strength.
📉 Retail Sentiment
58% Long / 42% Short on GBPAUD
➡️ Retail traders are still heavily long → a shakeout of weak long hands is possible before the real rally begins.
🎯 Strategic Conclusion
GBP shows bullish convergence across technical, COT, and seasonal factors. AUD presents clear weakness.
The current price zone offers a clean entry point for longs, targeting the 2.08900–2.10000 supply zone.
GBPAUD trade ideas
GBPAUD to find buyers at current support?GBPAUD - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Bespoke support is located at 2.0605.
We look to Buy at 2.0605 (stop at 2.0535)
Our profit targets will be 2.0885 and 2.0950
Resistance: 2.0750 / 2.0800 / 2.0970
Support: 2.0600 / 2.0520 / 2.0450
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GBPAUD oversold bounceback capped at 2.0710The GBPAUD pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the previous support zone, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 2.0660, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 2.0660 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 2.0480, followed by 2.0410 and 2.0350 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 2.0660 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 2.0710, then 2.0750.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 2.0660. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPAUD and the Elliott Wave TheoryFrom the bottom left of the chart, we see the price move upwards to form a Wave 1(Green) then a 2(Green). It is important to note that this Wave 2(Green) was a Zigzag correction. This means we should expect a Flat Correction for Wave 4(Green). Wave 3(Green) is long and goes beyond the 161.8% Fib. level, and this normal expressive behaviour for Waves. Our Wave 3(Green) retests on a W1 Chart Fib. level and then drops. This drop is our Wave A(Black). Wave A(Black) retests severally around the 161.8% Fib. level. We should expect a Flat correction as stated earlier, and this means Wave B should go beyond the ending of Wave 3(Green). A confirmation on the D1 Chart would trigger formation of Wave B(Black).
GBPAUD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 2.060.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 2.071 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBP/AUD Ready To Go Up After Melted , 2 Entries Valid !Here is my GBP/AUD 1H Chart and this is my opinion , the price moved very hard to downside without any correction and the price at strong support now 2.05000 which is forced the price many times to go up , so it`s my best place to enter a buy trade , and if you checked the chart you will see the price now creating a reversal pattern and i put my neckline and if we have a closure above it to confirm the pattern we can enter another entry to increase our contracts . if we have a daily closure below my support area then this idea will not be valid anymore .
GBPAUD: Pullback From Resistance 🇬🇧🇦🇺
I think that GBPAUD may pull back from a key intraday resistance.
As a confirmation, I see a bearish engulfing candle after its test
on an hourly time frame.
Goal - 2.0655
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Lingrid | GBPAUD Selling Opportunity From the Key LevelFX:GBPAUD rebounded sharply from the key support zone near 2.0415, forming a corrective leg toward the mid-range resistance at 2.0800. However, the overall structure remains within a downward channel, and the recent lower high under the red resistance trendline suggests continuation of bearish pressure. A rejection from the 2.08–2.10 zone would likely resume the prior impulse leg toward lower support levels. Until a breakout above the descending red trendline occurs, rallies remain corrective.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Rejection from 2.0800–2.0900
Sell zone: 2.0750–2.0850
Target: 2.0589 and potentially 2.0415
Invalidation: Break and close above 2.1020
💡 Risks
Breakout from the red resistance line could reverse the downtrend
Sudden AUD weakness from macro events
Price closes above the descending channel boundary
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GBPAUD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
GBPAUD Downward Pressure - Bearish Confirmations Swing TradeAlthough price has been consolidating between a daily resistance and support, I am currently seeing multiple rejections in resistance and bearish candlestick patterns that indicate pressure to the downside will soon follow.
A rejection in the current highlighted resistance and a break of support will take price to weekly demand. Always wait for the right confirmations - especially when price is range-bound like it is now.
GBPAUD Long Trade OANDA:GBPAUD Long Trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
GBPAUD bullish potentialGBPAUD is showing bullish potential after forming a double bottom around the key support zone at 2.0459. A bullish harmonic pattern is unfolding, with a potential move toward the 2.0720–2.0740 resistance zone. The break of the downtrend line adds confirmation, and a pullback to 2.0530–2.0550 could offer a good re-entry area. As long as price stays above 2.0450, the bullish setup remains valid. The key target is the harmonic D completion zone.
GBPAUD Is Going Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 2.055.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 2.070 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBPAUD oversold rally capped at 2.0600 resistanceThe GBPAUD pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 2.0600, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 2.0600 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 2.0400, followed by 2.0350 and 2.0290 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 2.0600 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 2.0645, then 2.0730.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 2.0600. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
High-Stakes GBP/AUD Short Plan – Grab the Bag & Escape Early!💥🔥GBP/AUD HEIST OPERATION: The Pound vs Aussie Bear Trap Masterplan 🔥💥
(Thief Trader Exclusive TradingView Drop – Smash Boost If You’re Ready To Rob The Market!)
🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍
Welcome, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💰✈️
This isn't just analysis — it's a high-stakes forex heist, engineered using Thief Trading Style's elite blend of technical, macro, sentiment, and quantitative insights. We're cracking the GBP/AUD vault with sharp bearish setups targeting a major liquidity zone — aka the Police Barricade Support Area! 🚨🔫
📉 Plan of Attack – Short Entry Setup
This isn’t your typical chart — this is blueprint-grade precision. Here's the GBP/AUD short strategy for Day & Swing Traders:
🚪 ENTRY ZONE
Initiate bearish positions at or near recent highs (wick level).
Use limit orders stacked (layering/DCA style) on the 15m or 30m retest zones for sniper entries.
Look for wicks with rejection — that’s where the fake bullish robbers get trapped!
🛑 STOP LOSS
Place SL just above recent 4H swing highs (2.06100 as a reference).
Adjust according to position size and the number of orders you’re layering.
🎯 TARGET ZONE
Aim for 2.02500, or book partial profits earlier if the heist gets heat.
Escape before the alarms ring! Secure the bag and vanish like a pro.
🔍Fundamental & Sentiment Heist Intel 📚
This bearish pressure on GBP/AUD isn’t random — it’s triggered by a perfect storm:
COT Positioning flips 📊
Aussie strength from commodities & RBA commentary 📈
GBP uncertainty from macro tightening & economic data ⚖️
Sentiment exhaustion at highs + false bullish trap 📉
Consolidation zone breakdown = smart money move! 💼
Wanna go deep? 🧠
Tap into COT, Macro Trends, Intermarket Analysis & Thief’s proprietary scoreboardsss 📡🔗
⚠️ News & Position Management Alert 🚧
📰 Avoid entry around key news drops
🔒 Lock in profits with trailing SL
💼 Secure capital > Chase greed
🔥 SHOW SOME LOVE 🔥
💖 Smash that ❤️ BOOST button — it powers our next big heist!
Together, we rob the market with style, skill, and precision.
See you on the next breakout robbery mission, legends!
Stay dangerous. Stay profitable. Stay Thief. 🐱👤💵🚀