GBPAUD trade ideas
GBPAUD Wave Analysis – 18 March 2025- GBPAUD reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 2.060
GBPAUD currency pair recently reversed from the support area between the support level 2.0290 (former multi-month resistance from December) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from February.
The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the previous short-term ABC correction 4.
Given the strong multi-month uptrend, GBPAUD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 2.060 (which reversed the previous upward impulse wave 3).
GBPAUD Selling Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart GBP/AUD 4 HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBP/AUD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBP/AUD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBP/AUD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBPAUD 4HR Trade OutlookGBPAUD made a strong bearish move yesterday and formed a 4HR imbalance, we are now watching how price reacts to that 4HR imbalance created. If it respects it, we'll dial down to a lower timeframe and look for Sells, if it breaks it, we can look for Buy Setups. Remember, Patience is your edge. PEPPERSTONE:GBPAUD
GBPAUD-SELL strategy 6 hourly chart KAGIthe pair is as mentioned in previous updates on its way towards 2.0240 area. The pressure is on, and indicators all are in unison for lower levels to be seen, is my viewpoint.
Strategy SELL or ADD @ 2.0380-2.0410 area and take profit near 2.0260 for now.
GBPAUD💡The chart shows a technical analysis of the GBP/USD pair on the 4-hour timeframe. Rising Wedge Pattern: There is a clear shape of a rising wedge pattern, a reversal pattern where the price is within a narrow, upward-sloping channel. Typically, a break of this pattern downward indicates a reversal from bullish to bearish. The MACD indicator shows that momentum is beginning to shift to the downside (red), supporting the idea of a continued downward trend.
⛔️Not investment advice for educational purposes only.
Mon 17th Mar 2025 GBP/AUD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/AUD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
GBPAUD TRADE SETUPWait for retest the entry level and bearish momentum then take a trade for Sell otherwise skip this setup
Sell gbpaudStrong sell expected
Already weekly overbought
Monthly sell area
Respecting sell zone and uper sell trend
GBPAUD Forecast (Short)GBPAUD Forecast (Short):
Entry Price: 2.04900
Take Profit (TP): 2.02600 (2300 pips below the entry point)
Stop Loss (SL): 2.05600 (700 pips above the entry point)
Rationale for the Forecast:
Current Context:
GBPAUD is near a resistance level, indicating a potential downward reversal.
The Take Profit level (2.02600) is close to a key support level, which could be reached if the pound weakens or the Australian dollar strengthens.
The Stop Loss level (2.05600) is set above a key resistance level, minimizing risks in case of an upward breakout.
Fundamental Factors:
GBP: Weak GDP and industrial production data from the UK could put pressure on the pound.
AUD: Positive data from the construction sector and potential improvements in commodity prices could support the Australian dollar.
Technical Factors:
The level of 2.04900 is a resistance zone where a downward move is possible.
The level of 2.02600 is a support zone where profit-taking could occur.
The level of 2.05600 is a zone above key resistance where the Stop Loss would be triggered.
Recommendations:
Target (Take Profit): 2.02600 (2300 pips profit).
Risk (Stop Loss): 2.05600 (700 pips loss).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3.3 (profit more than three times the risk).
Scenarios:
Optimistic Scenario:
GBPAUD reaches the 2.02600 level, and the position is closed with a profit.
This could happen if UK data weakens further or Australian data improves.
Pessimistic Scenario:
GBPAUD breaks above the 2.05600 level, and the position is closed with a loss.
This could occur if UK data improves or Australian data worsens.
Conclusion:
The current trade has a favorable risk-reward ratio (1:3.3).
It is recommended to monitor news from the UK and Australia, as they could impact the pair's movement.
GBPAUD The Week Ahead 17th March ‘25The GBPAUD currency pair maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by the prevailing long-term uptrend. However, recent price action suggests an overextended bullish breakout, approaching significant resistance zones on both daily and weekly timeframes.
The key trading level to watch is 2.0227. A potential overbought pullback from current levels, followed by a bullish rebound from 2.0227, could extend the upside, targeting 2.0499, with further resistance at 2.0577 and 2.0737 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a confirmed break below 2.0227, with a daily close under this level, could signal a corrective pullback towards 2.0077 and 2.9937.
Conclusion:
While the broader trend remains bullish, the current overextended move suggests the possibility of short-term retracements. Holding 2.0227 as support will be critical for further upside continuation, while a breakdown below this level could trigger deeper corrections. Traders should monitor price action closely and adjust risk management accordingly.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPAUD buy Trade IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart GBP/AUD 4 HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBP/AUD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBP/AUD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBP/AUD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBPAUD has Formed Rising WedgeGBPAUD has formed a rising wedge and has already started falling in 4-hour timeframe.
A short position can be taken with RRR 1:2
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
The GBP/AUD "Pound vs Aussie" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
Here is the updated data summary:
⚡Market Overview
Current Price: 1.98000
30-Day High: 2.0240
30-Day Low: 1.9431
30-Day Average: 1.9771
Previous Close Price: 1.9834
Change: -0.0034
Percent Change: -0.17%
⚡Fundamental Analysis
Economic Trends: The UK economy is expected to slow down, driven by decreasing consumer spending and investment.
Interest Rates: The Bank of England is expected to maintain low interest rates, with a benchmark rate of 0.1%.
Inflation Rate: The UK inflation rate is expected to rise to 2.5% in 2025, driven by increasing demand for goods and services.
Employment Rate: The UK employment rate is expected to fall to 74.5% in 2025, driven by decreasing job creation.
GDP Growth Rate: The UK GDP growth rate is expected to slow down to 1.8% in 2025, driven by decreasing economic activity.
⚡Macro Economics
Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to slow down, driven by decreasing demand for goods and services.
Global Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, potentially decreasing demand for UK goods and services.
Global Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to increase interest rates in 2025, potentially decreasing demand for currency markets.
Commodity Prices: Commodity prices are expected to fall by 5% in 2025, driven by decreasing demand for raw materials.
Trade Balance: The UK trade balance is expected to worsen by 10% in 2025, driven by decreasing exports.
⚡COT Data
Non-Commercial Traders (Institutional):
Net Short Positions: 55%
Open Interest: 100,000 contracts
Commercial Traders (Companies):
Net Long Positions: 30%
Open Interest: 60,000 contracts
Non-Reportable Traders (Small Traders):
Net Short Positions: 15%
Open Interest: 20,000 contracts
COT Ratio: 1.8 (indicating a bearish trend)
⚡Sentimental Outlook
Institutional Sentiment: 58% bearish, 42% bullish
Retail Sentiment: 55% bearish, 45% bullish
Market Mood: The overall market mood is bearish, with a sentiment score of -30
⚡Next Move Prediction
Bearish Move: Potential downside to 1.93500-1.91000.
Target: 1.93500 (primary target), 1.89000 (secondary target)
Stop Loss: 2.0240 (above the 30-day high)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (potential profit of 0.0700 vs potential loss of 0.0350)
⚡Overall Outlook
The overall outlook for GBP/AUD is bearish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected slowdown in the UK economy, decreasing demand for UK goods and services, and bearish market sentiment are all supporting the bearish trend. Investors should be cautious of potential downside risks, including changes in global economic trends and unexpected regulatory developments.
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GBPAUDPrice has been bullish but it did reject weekly resistance so be very mindful of taking buys at this key level. We could see a minor sell off to then continue bullish. If price breaks below 2.03100 area, then I'd look for more long term sells. If that area is respected, then I'll continue looking for buys back up to weekly resistance.
GBPAUD - Short Sell - 90 Percent Trade Chances Bearish Confluences:
1- HL broken, LL formation
2- Trend Line Broken
3- Support Level 2.04831 Broken
4- Divergence played on 4H time Frame
5- Formation of Bearish Wedge pattern
6- Sentiments of Sell are > 90 %
TRADE PLAN :
Entry can be made at current Market Price or wait for the Price to retest support level, Keep the STOP loss above HH and Take Profit (TP) levels are set to TP1 and TP2 as marked on the chart.
HAPPY TRADING GUYZ !
REGARDS,
PRO_TRADE_PROFESSOR
GBPAUD SELL?This market has been in an uptrend without a proper correction. RSI on daily time frame is showing overbought which could be a sign of exhaustion.
The market is currently testing the current Daily Area and based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
GBP/AUD pair analysis, BOE decision. Sagar: The chart for *EUR/AUD on the 1D timeframe* utilizes various *technical analysis tools and patterns* to forecast price movement. Below are the key elements present in the analysis:
### *Patterns and Tools Used:*
1. *Change of Character (CHOCH):*
- Marked at different points, indicating a potential shift in market structure.
- CHOCH often signifies a transition from a ranging or trending market to a new direction.
2. *Break of Structure (BOS):*
- This confirms a bullish market structure after the price breaks previous resistance levels.
- The BOS marks key turning points in the trend.
3. *Order Block (OB):*
- The blue zone represents a *bullish order block*, where price may react and continue higher.
- OBs are areas of strong buying/sell…
Sagar: This *GBP/AUD 1H TradingView chart* uses various *Smart Money Concept (SMC)* tools and patterns to analyze price movement. Below are the key elements present:
### *Patterns and Tools Used:*
1. *Change of Character (CHOCH):*
- Marked at two points on the chart, indicating a *shift in market structure* from bullish to bearish.
- CHOCH helps traders spot potential trend reversals.
2. *Liquidity Sweep (LQ SWEEP):*
- The price *swept liquidity* above a previous high before reversing downward.
- This signals that market makers grabbed stop-loss orders before pushing price in the opposite direction.
3. *Break of Structure (BOS):*
- Confirms the bearish move after the liquidity sweep.
- BOS is crucial for *trend continuation confirmation*.
4. *Order Block (OB) - Supply Zone:*
- The *red zone* marks a *bearish order block*, an area where institutional traders previously placed sell orders.
- Price often retraces into this zone before continuing lower.
5. *Fair Value Gap (FVG):*
- The *blue zone* represents an imbalance (gap) in price, where the market may return to fill inefficiencies.
- Price tends to revisit these areas before resuming its trend.
6. *Target Zone:*
- Marked at the bottom, showing where price is expected to reach based on *market structure*.
7. *Equal Lows / Liquidity Grab Concept:*
- The chart shows *liquidity engineering* where price *sweeps highs* before aggressively reversing lower.
### *Overall Analysis:*
- *Bearish Smart Money Setup* with liquidity sweep, BOS, CHOCH, OB, and FVG.
- Price likely *retraced into the order block (OB)* before continuing its *downtrend towards the target zone*.
- These concepts are commonly used in *ICT (Inner Circle Trader) and Smart Money trading strategies*.
Would you like further explanation on any of these tools?
GBPAUD: Bullish Forecast & Outlook
Balance of buyers and sellers on the GBPAUD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
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GBPAUD - Bearish ReversalGBPAUD has formed a triple top and currently retracing towards neckline. Sell on break of neckline.
GBPAUD longAll timeframes are in alignment that price is due for a bullish move.
3 month and monthly timeframe:
Price took a lot of bullish orders at 1.6000 from which we saw a lot of bullish momentum on the pair.
Price retested 1.8600, indicating that price would form a new bullish leg and go to the highs of 2.0850.
There has been a lot of choppy price action in the pursuit of that area but I believe that price will soon hit that target in the near future.
This is because this quarterly candle closure looks as if it will close above 2.0250 showing that price has more than enough buy volume to reach that target
On the monthly timeframe, December's monthly candle engulfed numerous wicks showing that buy volume has kicked in.
January and February saw price test the 1.9650 handle twice before collecting enough buy orders to go higher
Weekly:
There is not a lot to deduce here since price is heavily in alignment with the monthly and 3M timeframe
Daily:
Price broke and retested the 2.0300 level and went higher.
Price has formed a bullish pattern that has confirmed to me that 2.0720 is a magnetic region
So everything, price is doing currently is in order to pick up orders to head to that region
4 hour:
Price on the 4 hour has formed a very high confluence bullish pattern that shows me it will break the current highs.
2.0660 is the next magnetic zone for this timeframe and I am looking to long the pair to that region
My optimal entry region is at 2.0550 which is a psychological zone and the London session is drawing near.
I am waiting for a bullish confirmation to buy the pair in the next hour or two.
gbpaud analysis elliot. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
