GBPAUD: 2 Strong Bearish Confirmations 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD is in a very bearish price action after a test
of the underlined horizontal resistance.
The price formed an inverted cup and handle pattern
and violated its neckline and a support line of a rising
parallel channel on an hourly time frame.
Probabilities will be high to see a decline at least to 2.064 support.
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GBPAUD trade ideas
Pound Power Loading – Ready for Lift-Off?Price is reacting bullishly from a demand zone near 2.06400, indicating strong buyer interest. The structure suggests accumulation and potential breakout. A successful hold above this zone may lead to a bullish continuation toward the next resistance around 2.09200.
Bullish Bias: Watching for higher lows and momentum above 2.07200 for confirmation of upside continuation.
Key Levels:
Demand zone: 2.06000 – 2.06400
Resistance target: 2.09200
Breakout confirmation: Above 2.07200
GBP-AUD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD hit a horizontal
Resistance level of 2.0766
And is already making a
Bearish pullback so we are
Locally bearish biased which
Means we can enter a short
Trade with the Take Profit
Of 2.0527 and the
Stop Loss of 2.0797
Sell!
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GBP/AUD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/AUD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 2.050 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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GBP_AUD RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅GBP_AUD surged again
To retest the resistance of 2.0769
But it is a strong key level
So I think that there is a high chance
That we will see a bearish pullback and a move down
SHORT🔥
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Investment Opportunity LONG GBP/AUD
The current market setup offers an interesting LONG opportunity on the GBP/AUD pair, with an entry point at 2.0586. The optimized strategy includes a Take Profit (TP) of 3% and a Stop Loss (SL) of 1%, ensuring an adequate risk/reward ratio for the management of the trade.
Technical Analysis
The GBP/AUD pair presents several bullish signals: ✅ Well-established key support in the 2.0586 area. ✅ 50-period moving average supporting the positive trend. ✅ RSI in the bullish zone, suggesting favorable momentum for a continuation of the uptrend.
Fundamental Rationale
The strategy is supported by macroeconomic and fundamental factors: 📊 The Bank of England maintains a favorable approach to the British pound. 📉 The Australian dollar shows signs of weakness related to global economic uncertainty. 🌍 UK macro data stronger than Australian, confirming the relative strength of the pound.
Trading Strategy
🔹 LONG Entry: 2.0586 🔹 Take Profit (TP): +3% from entry level, exploiting the growth potential. 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): -1%, protecting the position from excessive volatility. 🔹 Dynamic Management: Continuous monitoring for possible adjustments based on market conditions.
Conclusion
The updated strategy optimizes risk and potential reward, offering a solid setup to capitalize on the growth of GBP/AUD. As always, it is advisable to accompany the trade with effective risk management and careful monitoring of market conditions.
GBPAUD Potential LongsFX:GBPAUD
📊After reaching 2.16400, which is a high it hasn't seen in almost a decade back in 2015, price has finally cooled off and been on a downtrend for 27 days, down by roughly 5.3% to the daily demand range at 2.04838. Before the third push downward to the daily demand zone, price was consolidating for roughly 3 weeks, giving movements of 350 pips from its high to low.
📊The highlighted candles below are 4h candles that make up one spinning top candle on the daily timeframe, this may suggest that for the next few days, price may have the ability for short term reversals back to the upside. For aggressive swing entry, we can place the stop loss below the swing low on the daily demand range and target the first TP at the impulse zone above. The point of control of the volume profile is sitting between the 0.62 and 0.709 points of the Fibonacci retracement tool, this suggests that price has some chances of breaking above the impulse zone but react and respect the Fibonacci zone. If it respects the point of control zone, we can expect that sellers are still in control, by then, we can look for sell opportunities to catch the ride downwards.
📃On fundamentals, UK’s Financial Times Stock Exchange 100 Index (FTSE 100) rose 1.1%, as giants like Shell and Standard Chartered released positive management updates. Shell announced $3.5 billion buyback of shares after surpassing 50% increase of quarterly adjusted earnings when compared to previous earnings. At the same time, Standard Chartered’s pretax profit increased by 10% for Q1, which they shared was due to outstanding performance from their institutional wealth management divisions. There might be some positive outlook for inflation as the Eurozone revealed a steady inflation of 2.2% for April, which was the same as market expectations. However, Deutsche Bank has forecasted a 25-basis point rate cut by BoE, downwards to 4.25%, this may signal bearish movements for the GBP
GBPAUD-SELL strategy 6 hourly chart IchimokuThe pair may recover short term, and this for those interested BUY side, once might consider a short-term BUYING strategy.
However, this analysis is about the potential longer view reaching 1.9750 area. The pattern resembles a large s/h/s pattern, and the neckline break may translate into reaching that objective.
Strategy SELL @ 2.0675-2.0775 and take profit near 1.9850 for now.
GbpAud now the “buyers” are within!Good day traders, we back with GBPAUD but before I go into it. Last week I took loss because I was buying GBPAUD but I lately found out I was way too early and my narrative has not changed at all.
1D- Daily TF we have a bearish structure and we know that once price shifts structure we want price to retest Atleast till the 0.705 of the OTE fib level to later continue to the Sellside liquidity.
4H- On this respective TF we are also in a bearish structure but I believe not for long because on the lower TF the shift higher has materialised, giving confirmation that we can start positioning ourselves for the up movement.
1H- ICT has a entry model(F.PFVG), on the hourly we saw prices giving back all of yesterday’s gains till it reach that level of first presented FVG and that’s what we gonna use as the level of interest.
They Were 84% Short — Here's What Happened Next on GBPAUDThis is not just a simple breakout — this is what happens when data, price action, and psychology align with surgical precision.
Today, we entered a long position on GBPAUD directly from a well-defined weekly demand zone. The setup was already technically solid, but what made it exceptional was the alignment of multiple institutional-grade factors:
✅ Weekly demand zone respected to the pip, with proven historical sensitivity
✅ Change of structure on the H1 chart, confirming a short-term reversal from a deeply discounted area
✅ COT data showing a clear build-up of commercial long positions on the British pound
✅ AUD net positioning deep in negative territory, with declining open interest and no signs of reversal
✅ Retail sentiment: 84% of traders short on GBPAUD according to MyFxBook → strong contrarian signal
✅ Seasonality: GBP tends to outperform AUD during May and June
The result? A rapid and aggressive bullish impulse that allowed us to move the stop loss to break-even just a few hours after entry.
📌 Current trade status:
➤ Long from the demand zone
➤ SL at BE = zero risk
➤ Monitoring price action above 2.07 for potential continuation
🎯 Mid-term target zone: 2.1150–2.1300, with focus on liquidity clusters and previous inefficiencies as potential magnets.
This is how you build trades that are not just reactive, but proactive — based on multiple layers of confluence and edge, not on emotions or noise.
GBPAUD Poised For a Bearish Wave GBPAUD Poised For a Bearish Wave
GBPAUD has confirmed a double top pattern on the 4-hour chart. After breaking through the support zone, the price retraced and tested the level again.
As expected, GBPAUD reacted at this zone, increasing the likelihood of a valid bearish setup.
However, market uncertainty remains due to a lack of clear direction following recent comments from Trump.
As a result, the price might continue to fluctuate within this range before a strong bearish wave resumes.
Key support zones to watch: 2.0630 and 2.0360.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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GBPAUD – DTF Technical & Fundamental AnalysisGBPAUD – DTF Technical & Fundamental Analysis
On the daily timeframe, the price was previously within a range following an uptrend. A major support level at 2.07500 has been breached in recent sessions, signaling a potential Change of Character (CHoCH) and possibly indicating a shift in market momentum. Additionally, the price has broken below a minor support level at 2.05800, with an accumulation phase developing.
Our strategy moving forward is to monitor price action as it seeks liquidity above the identified liquidity zone. We will wait for clear confirmation of liquidity formation. Should the price return to test and break the support level again, the area of interest lies around 2.05790 (a potential breakout point). Risk management should be placed below 2.07260 should liquidity form as expected. The longer-term target is a potential move toward the next minor resistance zone at 0.90650.
Fundamental Analysis:
The British Pound (GBP) has depreciated against the Australian Dollar (AUD) in early May 2025, reaching a one-month low around 2.0525. This decline can be attributed to several key factors:
Australian Dollar Strength: The AUD has gained strength, primarily driven by the Australian Labor Party's recent election victory, securing a second term in office. This political stability, coupled with a rally in the AUD/USD exchange rate to five-month highs near 0.65, has instilled greater investor confidence in the Australian currency.
GBP/AUD Exchange Rate Trends: The GBP/AUD pair has been in a downtrend, with the current price at approximately 1.98078 as of May 6, 2025. Market forecasts suggest a potential further decline of around 3.5% in the short term, although a modest recovery is anticipated over the longer term, potentially extending into the next year.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.
#GBPAUD: +245 From Previous Analysis, 880+ Total Pips TargetIn our previous analysis, we clearly indicated our entry point, and the price followed suit, reversing straight and currently up 245+ in positive. Going forward, we expect a straight, clean move of 800+ points. If you missed this entry, there will be a correction within the next 4 hours. Just analyse the pinpoint and enter accordingly with proper risk management.
Good luck and trade safely!
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GBPAUD possible bearish for 2.0360#GBPAUD made a new high, then moved in a range 2.0685-2.1010 for a whole month. now support level 2.0685 broken. better to wait for correction/pullback to test the imbalance area between buyers and sellers. ideal level for short is 2.0960-65. stop loss: 2.1050, target: 2.0450 & 2.0360.
GBPAUD Turns Bearish After Major Support Break – Eyes on 2.05110
The GBPAUD pair has broken decisively below the key support zone at 2.07000 , which previously acted as a base for multiple rebounds. This breakdown confirms bearish momentum and opens the path toward deeper retracement levels.
📉 Technical Breakdown:
- Price has closed below the 0.786 Fibonacci level (2.07778), signaling continuation.
- The next measured support target lies near 2.05110, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension and historical demand structure.
- RSI continues trending downward, showing no signs of bullish divergence , indicating sustained selling pressure.
📰 Fundamental Backdrop:
- Recent Australian CPI data came in stronger than expected , reinforcing RBA’s hawkish stance. This supports AUD strength.
Meanwhile, the UK economic outlook remains fragile due to inflation uncertainty and soft retail data.
Rising expectations that RBA may pause cuts or hike sooner vs. a dovish BOE adds fuel to this downside move.
🔍 Outlook & Trade Plan:
- Bias: Bearish below 2.07000
- Target Zone: 2.05110 (short-term)
- Confirmation: Price sustains below broken support, with pullbacks rejected near 2.07000
- Invalidation: Bullish breakout back above 2.07778 zone with strong volume
This zone breakdown is technically clean and backed by macro sentiment. I’ll monitor price action closely if a minor retest toward 2.07000 occurs, to consider entering a sell on rally setup .