GBP/CAD - Triangle Breakout (19.05.2025)The GBP/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.8651
2nd Resistance – 1.8685
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GBPCAD trade ideas
GBPCAD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPCAD is currently trading around the 1.85700 level, consolidating inside a well-defined bullish pennant on the 2-day chart. This pattern formation follows a strong impulsive rally from the 1.71000 region earlier this year, signaling that the pair is in a re-accumulation phase before its next leg higher. Price action is coiling tightly within converging trendlines, and recent volume spikes suggest increasing interest and momentum from the bulls, pointing toward a potential breakout to the upside.
On the fundamental front, the British pound is benefiting from rising wage inflation and a still-hawkish Bank of England tone, which keeps rate cut expectations muted compared to other G10 currencies. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar remains under pressure due to softening oil prices and weaker-than-expected domestic data. The BoC has also signaled it may start easing in the coming months if inflation continues to slow, making CAD less attractive relative to GBP.
Technically, a breakout above the pennant resistance around 1.8600–1.8650 with strong bullish volume would confirm the continuation of the prior uptrend. The projected target from this pattern sits near the 1.95700 area, aligning with previous major resistance and psychological round numbers. Momentum indicators are building to the upside, and price remains above all key moving averages on the higher timeframes, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
With volume confirming accumulation, a breakout from this bullish pennant could accelerate quickly as trend-following strategies kick in. GBPCAD is well-positioned to capture the upside, and the current structure offers an excellent risk-to-reward opportunity in favor of bulls. In the context of macro divergence between GBP strength and CAD softness, the 1.95700 target looks highly achievable in the coming weeks.
GBP/CAD Short Setup 🧠 GBP/CAD Short Setup | 4H Analysis
I'm eyeing a short opportunity on GBP/CAD based on a confluence of key technical signals:
🔹 Entry: 1.86361
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.88000
🔹 Take Profit: 1.81452
🔹 RRR (Risk-Reward): 1:3+
🔍 Analysis:
Price tapped into a higher time frame supply zone (S&D) and showed a clear rejection.
We've seen a Break of Structure (BOS) followed by a bearish reaction.
Price is respecting the ascending channel, showing signs of exhaustion near resistance.
Potential for continuation to the downside targeting previous structure lows.
📌 If price respects the current S&D zone and fails to break above 1.88000, continuation lower remains valid.
📉 Trading Plan:
Monitor lower timeframes for additional bearish confirmations and entry triggers before full commitment.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This post is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please trade at your own risk and always follow your risk management rules.
Possible Bearish Reversal on GBPCAD | 4H Key ResistancePrice is currently testing a key resistance area near 1.86828 – 1.88313 (marked as Invalid Level).
The market structure shows a potential double top and signs of exhaustion.
Bias: Bearish reversal
Entry Zone: Around 1.86828
Invalidation: Break and close above 1.88313
Target (TP): 1.70447
A rejection from this resistance could signal a strong move to the downside. Wait for confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, break of structure) before entering. Manage risk accordingly.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk according to your trading plan.
Why GBP/CAD Looks Ready to Climb to 1.9382The next strong currency ready to climb is GBP/CAD
Strong UK data recently boosted confidence in the pound.
Oil prices are falling, weakening the CAD.
The BoE hints at delayed rate cuts, supporting GBP.
Technical breakout above resistance signals bullish momentum.
Market sentiment favors GBP over commodity-linked currencies.
We are also seeing strong technical signs including:
Cup and Handle
Price>20 and 200MA
Target 1.9382
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GBP-CAD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CAD is trading in a local
Uptrend and the pair made a
Breakout and a retest of the
Key horizontal level of 1.8600
Which is now a support and
We are seeing a bullish rebound
From the new support already
So we are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a further
Bullish continuation
Buy!
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GBP/CAD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on GBP/CAD right now from the resistance line above with the target of 1.836 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPCAD1.Higher time frame 123 channel is in
play.
2. Double top is in play.
3. One hour 123 pattern is also in play.
After all the middle section wasn't clear enough but we going down on the 3rd touch and the double top at the same time. Wait for marker 4 hour liquidity candle to form then enter on 1hour rejection candle.
Wish you all the best comment after taking this trade. If market didn't reach our 3rd touches that means there's no trades. Goodluck......
GBPCAD Daily – Full Technical & FundamentalANALYST´S NOTE: THIS TRADE REVIEW TEXT IS GENERATED BY SCREENSHOT READING FROM CHATGPT - Tommi Za
🧠 Fundamental Overview – GBP vs CAD (Mid-May 2025)
🇬🇧 GBP – Bullish Bias
The Bank of England remains cautious on inflation, with strong wage growth and service sector resilience.
The UK economy is avoiding recession; GDP data is stabilizing.
Risk sentiment supports GBP as a relatively strong currency in a weak global macro environment.
🇨🇦 CAD – Bearish to Neutral Bias
The Bank of Canada is likely done with rate hikes; some policymakers hint at possible easing.
Oil prices, a major CAD driver, have pulled back due to slower global demand and lower Chinese growth.
CAD is losing strength, particularly against currencies with stronger monetary policy expectations.
→ Conclusion: Fundamental Tailwind Favors GBP Long
📊 Technical Breakdown
⚙️ Market Structure & Trend
The market is in a strong uptrend within a wide ascending channel.
Recent breakout from a descending wedge pattern indicates potential for continued bullish momentum.
Higher lows and higher highs structure is intact.
🧩 Key Technical Confluences
Price recently broke above wedge resistance and is now consolidating just above it.
Strong multi-level support confluence forms at the breakout retest:
38.2% Fib retracement
Lower wedge trendline
Ascending channel support
EMA 50 (1.8389)
Dynamic support from the EMA 200 (1.8038) remains intact, reinforcing bullish strength.
The area marked for potential entry also overlaps with Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone and bullish order block.
📈 Indicator Readings
RSI at ~56: neutral-bullish territory. No signs of exhaustion or divergence.
Momentum is building, but still early — suggesting opportunity before acceleration.
🔍 Execution Plan
Wait for price to revisit the confluence zone.
Look for Sign of Strength (SOS) on lower timeframes (bullish BOS, engulfing, or trendline breakout).
Do not buy blindly — confirm market intent at the zone.
ANALYST´S NOTE 2: CHATGPT RATINGS FOR THE TRADE SETUP:
✅ Summary Rating
Category Evaluation
Trend Bullish across all timeframes (D, H4, W)
Structure Clean breakout + retest within rising channel
Confluence Fib + trendline + EMA + structure flip
Indicators RSI neutral-bullish, EMA alignment positive
Fundamentals Favors GBP strength vs weakening CAD
Entry Plan Requires SOS confirmation, no impulsive entries
Target Weekly liquidity highs / prior swing highs
Risk Control Defined via 61.8% invalidation / EMA break
→ My Rating: ★★★★★ 9.3 / 10
A mature, high-confluence setup aligning technicals and macro fundamentals. Ideal for trend-following traders who wait for confirmation.
GBPCAD - ANOTHER LEGUK Bullish Factors :
1. Political Stability -> boost investor confidence
2. UK is less exposed to trade tensions
3. Economic data has been solid as of late
4. UK-US Trade deal
5. Increase in COT data
CAD Bearish Factors :
1. Trade uncertainty with the US
2. Weak growth
Technicals :
1. Reverse Head and Shoulder pattern
2. Price above all 4 MAs
3. Pair has been in a long up-trend
GBPCAD Is Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPCAD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.865.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.902 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBPCAD BUY TRADE SETUP🔥 GBP/CAD – May 19, 2025
📋 Plan Overview
Parameter Details
Type Breakout Pullback
Direction Long (Buy)
Confidence 75%
R:R ~2.5:1
Status Active Monitoring
📈 Market Bias & Type
Bias: Bullish
Type: Continuation (Breakout pullback setup into dynamic + static support)
D1 confirms bullish structure; H4 confirms breakout; H1 forming a potential higher low.
🔰 Confidence Level: 75%
Factor Confidence Contribution
Multi-TF Trend Confluence ✅ +25%
Volume Confirmation ✅ +15%
Bullish Structure (Flag Retest) ✅ +20%
Momentum Indicators 🔄 Neutral +10%
Risk due to Resistance Near ❌ -5%
📍 Entry Zones
Primary Entry Zone: 1.8575 – 1.8600 (on bullish candle confirmation)
Secondary Entry Zone: 1.8545 (stronger support but riskier proximity to SL)
❗ Stop Loss - Primary
SL: 1.8540 (Below H4 support and SMA-50 dynamic level)
❗ Stop Loss - Secondary
SL: 1.8510
Reason: Below structural HL and untested daily demand. Clean invalidation of bullish setup if broken.
🎯 Targets
Target Price Rationale
TP1 1.8685 Previous local high (H1/H4)
TP2 1.8740 Measured breakout extension
TP3 1.8800 Daily upper resistance range
🧠 Management Strategy
Initial Risk: 1% capital risked on SL
Scaling: Add at retest of 1.8570 on strong candle close
Breakeven Move: At TP1 hit, SL moves to Entry
Partial Exit: 50% at TP1, 30% at TP2, rest trail with EMA 20 H1
⚠️ Confirmation Checklist
Criteria Status
Bullish Reversal Candle 🔄 Pending at support
Breakout Volume (H4) ✅ Confirmed
Session Timing (London/NY) 🔄 Wait for overlap
RSI > 50 (H1/H4) ✅ Supportive
MACD Bullish Crossover 🔄 Pending confirmation
⏳ Validity
H4 Trend Structure: Valid for 48–72 hours or until breakout fails
❌ Invalidation Conditions
Close below 1.8540 on H1 or 1.8510 on H4
Bearish engulfing during NY/London session at resistance
Loss of momentum with high-volume rejection near 1.8650
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
GBP: Mildly bullish from recent CPI surprise and BOE tightening tone
CAD: Crude oil stable but not strongly bullish; neutral CAD flows
Sentiment: Neutral to slightly risk-on; no upcoming red news within 12h window
📋 Final Trade Summary
This trade is a bullish continuation pullback setup following a confirmed breakout on H4. H1 suggests a healthy retracement into a key support zone around 1.8575–1.8600. With volume supportive and trend aligned across D1 and H4, this presents a technically sound buy opportunity if confirmed with bullish price action at support.
R:R is strong at 2.5:1, with risk managed below structure lows. Ideal for aggressive short-term long entries into a trend continuation environment.
GBPCAD 2H (BOS 2H + Supply + Fib 88 level + GAP)Hello traders! We have good reaction from supply zone + BOS 2H(confirmation). Now i expecting that price will close fully gap and after it we need another confirmation from 1-3min BOS.
TP till Demand+0.5 Fib level.
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GBPCAD SELL TRADE PLAN📉 GBPCAD SELL TRADE PLAN
📅 Date: May 06, 2025
🎯 Type: Intra-Day to Short-Term Swing
📊 Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (78%)
🔁 Structure Type: Reversal from H4 Supply + Liquidity Sweep
📌 Risk:Reward: 3.2:1
🔍 Market Context
Bias: Bearish
Primary Structure: D1 & H4 bearish sequence maintained
Trigger Zone: Price tapped into H4 supply zone (liquidity sweep + inefficiency)
Internal BOS: Present on H1
Volume: Clustered spike near zone, high rejection tail
Macro Sentiment: CAD supported by crude oil strength; GBP softening across board
Retail Positioning: GBP bullish bias, ideal for fade
🔰 SELL ENTRY ZONE
Primary Sell Zone: 1.8435 – 1.8460 (H4 OB + Equal High Liquidity)
Stop Loss: 1.8498 (Above inefficiency sweep + 1H ATR buffer)
Entry Method: Scale-in (50% @ mid-zone, 50% @ top of zone)
🎯 TAKE PROFIT TARGETS
TP1: 1.8350 → Internal liquidity grab (70+ pips)
TP2: 1.8265 → Clean inefficiency + structural support
TP3: 1.8180 → D1 demand + macro swing low
📏 RISK:REWARD PROFILE
TP1: ~1.3:1
TP2: ~2.5:1
TP3: ~3.2:1
🧠 TRADE MANAGEMENT
Initial Risk: 0.50% of portfolio
SL to BE: After TP1 hit
Partial Close: 60% @ TP1, 25% @ TP2, 15% trail into TP3
Exit Criteria: 1H bullish BOS + volume + RSI divergence
News Filter: Exit before CAD high-impact news
⏱ VALIDITY
Trade Plan Type: Intra-Day to 2-Day Swing
Valid For: 24–36 hrs from first tap
Expires: May 08, 2025 (NY session open)
❌ INVALIDATION
H1 Close Above: 1.8500
Macro Catalyst Flip: Sudden BoC dovish bias or GBP hawkish surprise
Volume Divergence: If price rises on declining volume past zone
🌐 SENTIMENT SNAPSHOT
COT: CAD steady, GBP long exposure vulnerable
Retail Traders: 68% long GBPCAD
Cross-Confirmations: GBPAUD + GBPNZD show top structures
Oil Market: Bullish (CAD-correlated)
Sentiment Score: +6.5/10
✅ TRADE SUMMARY
GBPCAD presents a precise sell opportunity from H4 supply zone after sweeping local highs. The setup aligns with bearish D1 structure and macro CAD strength. Volume profile, liquidity engineering, and BOS validate this reversal. Clean downside targets offer ideal RR if managed per plan. Stay vigilant for NY session volatility or CAD data triggers. Strict invalidation guards the trade with asymmetric reward.