GBPCAD trade ideas
GBPCAD Tests Bearish Trendline – Focus Shifts to BoC DecisionGBPCAD is currently respecting a well-defined descending trendline, showing multiple rejections and a sustained series of lower highs. The latest retest near 1.8460 was met with selling pressure, aligning with the broader bearish channel.
Key Levels:
Current Price: 1.8458
Resistance Area: 1.8470 – 1.8600 (trendline & previous highs)
Support Targets:
TP1: 1.8120 (key structure)
TP2: 1.7980
TP3: 1.7900 (major support zone)
Bearish Technical Confluence:
✅ Multiple rejections at trendline
✅ Lower highs & lower lows continue
✅ Potential reversal candlestick pattern forming
✅ Bearish breakout could accelerate toward 1.7980
📉 Fundamental Outlook – BoC Rate Decision in Focus (April 16)
Market Sentiment Split:
Initially, economists leaned toward a BoC hold, as recent data and trade optimism gave the central bank room to pause.
However, March CPI undershot expectations, triggering increased speculation of a rate cut.
Key Data Highlights:
Headline CPI fell to 2.3% YoY vs 2.6% previously, well below the 2.7% forecast.
Drop mainly due to gasoline and transport costs, which BoC may look through.
Core inflation (median 2.9%, trimmed 2.8%) remains elevated, supporting arguments for a hold.
Analyst Viewpoint:
“We still marginally favor a BoC hold given the proximity to elections and resilience in core inflation, but our conviction is lower after the CPI miss.” – Knightley & Pesole, ING
Market Reaction:
Loonie sold off post-CPI, but analysts believe the sell-off may be short-lived if BoC surprises with a hawkish hold.
Swap market odds of a cut rose to 45%, up from 33% pre-CPI.
🎯 Combined Technical + Fundamental Setup
If BoC holds rates, expect CAD strength → GBPCAD could accelerate downward toward 1.8120 → 1.7900.
If BoC cuts, GBPCAD may spike temporarily toward 1.8600, but downside pressure may resume unless accompanied by dovish forward guidance.
🛠️ Trade Plan:
Sell Bias Below: 1.8470
Entry Trigger: Bearish confirmation or post-BoC rejection
TP1: 1.8120
TP2: 1.7980
TP3: 1.7900
Invalidation Zone: Break and close above 1.8600
GBPCAD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
GBPCAD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GBPCAD
Entry - 1.8453
Stop - 1.8548
Take - 1.8281
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GBP/CAD BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GBP/CAD is making a bearish pullback on the 1D TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 1.841 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBP CAD #0008 Long Swing Trade - The Trade is heavily reliant on Liquidity Pools (LP) that exist along the structures.
- The main consideration for this trade limit order placement was due to exhaustion patterns portrayed by the last Weekly price action (large wick formation).
- Moving to the 3-hour chart, there are number of reliable liquidity pools exist that could be the place of entry.
- However, we have decided that the one with OrderBlock (OB) is the most reliable and promising, hence presenting us with an entry position for our limit order.
- Within our 3-hour chart, we noticed interesting liquidity pools built up marked in "PURPLE" colour.
- This Liquidity Pools presents Large liquidity to the Smart Money, ie, the Stop Orders of the General Markets participants.
- We anticipate a liquidity hunt to occur in these areas, i.e. "Purple LP"
- Placement of Buy order Limits has been made, and the LAST MONTH HIGH is made as the TP Target Price.
- Entry is for Swing Trading, the duration of holding may pass 1 week.
GBP/CAD – Price Hits Key Supply ZonePrice has now reached a key supply zone around the 1.8468 – 1.8500 level, a region where strong selling pressure previously caused a sharp drop. This area aligns with previous structure and volume imbalance, making it a critical zone to watch for potential rejection or reversal.
We can observe:
Strong bullish momentum leading into the zone
Previous distribution and drop from this level
Clean break of internal structure on the way up
What to watch for next:
Bearish reaction or confirmation candles from this zone could signal potential short setups
A strong breakout and retest might invalidate the zone and open room for further upside
This area deserves close attention — patience is key before committing to a trade. Wait for price action confirmation.
GBPCAD - BUYSFor self journaling purposes only
If you want to take the trade read the chart, it is self explanatory.
I am waiting on a break and close of the resistance trend-line then retest to take a buy.
Targeting 1.83963 at the very least. will protect position with trailing stop loss once in substantial profit.
GBP is a safe haven for EU specially now with all of the geopolitical tension incited by tariffs. The pause does not really stop economic uncertainty until negotiations are afoot.
GBPCAD – Bullish Setup (1H Divergence)✅ Setup Summary:
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Signal: Bullish Divergence
Bias: Short-term bullish – Potential reversal or corrective bounce
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Divergence Present:
Price made a lower low, while RSI/MACD made a higher low
→ Sign of bearish momentum weakening
Support Area:
Price reacting near a previous demand zone or horizontal support
Candlestick Clue:
Watch for bullish engulfing, hammer, or structure break
📈 Trade Plan – LONG
Entry:
On confirmation from bullish candle
Or break of minor 1H resistance or trendline
Stop-Loss:
Below the divergence swing low
Target:
TP1: Last 1H high
TP2: Fib 0.5 or 0.618 retracement of recent bearish move
R:R Ratio: Minimum 1:1.5
⚠️ Watch Out For:
GBP or CAD news (e.g. oil prices affecting CAD)
Break below divergence low = invalidates the setup
Best paired with a break of internal structure
GBPCAD💡Chart analysis of the GBP/CAD currency pair (daily time frame). The price is currently retesting the broken structure - a demand zone. If it fails to break above it, it may return to the downside towards the support area (S.1). The MACD indicator shows decreasing upward momentum, supporting the possibility of an upcoming decline.
⛔️Not investment advice for educational purposes only.
GBPCAD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
GBPCAD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.8356 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.8184
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
More DATA = Better Trades, adopt a "Top Down" approach!! All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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Tue 15th Apr 2025 GBP/CAD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/CAD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Pullback resistance ahead?GBP/CAD is rising towards the resistance which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.8372
Why we like it:
there is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.8465
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.8227
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Bullish bounce off pullback support?GBP/CAD has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.8091
1st Support: 1.7913
1st Resistance: 1.8417
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GBP/CAD Trading plan (long position)✅ GBP/CAD Trading Plan (Long Position)
Strategy: Reversal Trade + Break of Trendline
Timeframe: 4H
Date: April 13, 2025
Pair: GBP/CAD (British Pound / Canadian Dollar)
Platform: OANDA (via TradingView)
🔍 Market Insight
• The pair has been in a strong downtrend.
• Price is now:
• Bouncing off a clearly marked support zone (~1.8050–1.8100).
• Broke a descending trendline, suggesting a shift in momentum.
• Formed multiple bullish wicks and a bullish engulfing pattern near support.
• BBandLE (buy entry signal) confirms buying pressure.
🎯 Trade Entry
• Entry Price: Around 1.8140
• Reason for Entry:
• Bounce off strong demand zone (support)
• Bullish momentum shift after a trendline break
• Price showing higher lows forming at support
• Clean risk-to-reward zone mapped out
📉 Stop-Loss (SL)
• SL Price: 1.8045
• Risk: ~95 pips
• Justification:
• SL placed below the rejection wicks and structure low
• Gives trade room in case of volatility or retests
📈 Take-Profit (TP)
• TP1: 1.8300
• Early resistance and previous structure
• Take 50% off here and move SL to breakeven
• TP2: 1.8680
• Final target at the previous swing high/resistance zone
📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
• TP1 RRR: ~1:1.7
• TP2 RRR: ~1:5.5
• Overall trade has excellent reward potential with tight risk
🧠 Trade Management
• Monitor price action at 1.8300 zone
• If bullish momentum continues strongly, you can trail SL and ride the wave
• If price stalls or prints reversal signals, secure gains early
⚠️ Risks
• GBP or CAD economic data/news may cause volatility
• Oil price surges could strengthen CAD unexpectedly
• Failure to hold 1.8050 invalidates this reversal idea
🛠️ Contingency Plan
• If price returns to 1.8050:
• Watch for bullish rejection patterns again for possible re-entry
• If price closes below 1.8040, exit and wait for a fresh setup
📅 Time Horizon
• Swing Position: Hold for 3–7 trading days
• Adjust if fundamentals or price action changes
GBPCAD BUY📉 GBPCAD: Clean Break of 1.80, But No Need to Rush In! 🧠
I’ve tried to keep this analysis as simple as possible:
🔹 A major ascending trendline that’s been respected for a while.
🔹 A clear breakout of the 1.8000 zone, which has already been retested.
➡️ Now the real question is: Are we late for a precise entry? 🤔
💡 In this kind of setup, patience is key. Let’s monitor the pair closely and wait for a clear confirmation before jumping in.
📊 Stay sharp and good luck, traders!
GBPCAD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
In the GBPCAD currency pair, we are witnessing the formation of a 5-wave pattern or a zigzag.
Our hypothesis is the formation of a 5-wave pattern.
Waves 1 to 4 have formed. It is currently in the support range.
This support range is formed by the collision of static and dynamic supports, which is relatively reliable, and the price has also corrected by 61.8% Fibonacci.
Now we expect the price to grow, and the limits of wave 5 are indicated in the figure.
The first target is 1.8800 and the second target is 1.9200. The third target is far from expected, but not impossible.
Also consider the stop loss below wave 1.
Be successful and profitable.