GBP/CHF - Channel Breakout (02.07.2025)The GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.0956
2nd Resistance – 1.0996
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GBPCHF trade ideas
GBP/CHF Headed to 1.10 – But Bulls Might Regret It📉 1. Price Action & Technical Structure (D1)
Key demand zone tested with bullish reaction:
Price reacted strongly around the 1.0790–1.0840 structural demand area, previously the origin of a significant bullish impulse. The latest daily candle closed above the previous swing low, suggesting a potential technical rebound.
Immediate target:
The 1.0980–1.1010 zone, aligning with:
A clear supply area
RSI bouncing from oversold territory
A visible imbalance left unfilled
Technical bias: Short-term LONG to fill the imbalance before a potential institutional-driven short setup at supply.
2. Retail Sentiment
86% of traders are LONG, with an average entry of 1.0997
Only 14% are SHORT, with lower volume and better pricing
Current price: 1.0833, meaning most long traders are in drawdown
Contrarian view:
The heavy long positioning creates a liquidity pool between 1.0990–1.1010, making that zone highly attractive for institutional distribution and liquidation of retail longs, especially if accompanied by a structural shift.
🎯 Operational impact:
Supports a technical long to 1.10, but high risk of reversal once that level is reached.
3. COT Report
GBP (British Pound – CME)
Non-commercials:
Long: -6,434 → massive unwind of bullish exposure
Short: +2,028 → rising bearish bets
Net positioning is increasingly bearish
Commercials:
Long: +7,459 → increasing coverage against GBP weakness
Short: -569 → slight reduction
Positioning is mixed, but commercials are taking defensive long positions
GBP interpretation:
Bearish pressure rising from institutional speculators, despite some commercial support.
CHF (Swiss Franc – CME)
Non-commercials:
Long: +327
Short: +1,215
Net positioning still heavily short, but shorts increasing again
Commercials:
Long: +1,909
Short: +307
Commercials are accumulating long CHF positions (bullish sign)
CHF interpretation:
Divergence between commercials (bullish CHF) and speculators (still short) → shift may be underway.
4. July Seasonality
GBP:
Historically strong in July, especially the last 2 years (+3.5%)
Positive tendency across 10y/15y/20y averages
CHF:
Also seasonally positive in July, but underperforms GBP across most timeframes (except 2Y where CHF is also strong)
Operational impact:
Favors short-term bullish GBP/CHF bias, supported by seasonal momentum.
✅ Final Outlook
Current short-term bias is bullish, driven by:
Clear technical rebound
Visible imbalance toward 1.10
Seasonal divergence in favor of GBP
However, excessive retail long positioning + COT speculative pressure on GBP suggest this rally could be a distribution phase, offering an optimal short opportunity at 1.10.
Perfect short on GBPCHFI went short on GBPCHF because of the bearish pennant pattern that formed on the 8hr , price action than continued to break below the level and pulling back to the pattern and forming a bearish evening star pattern on the 8hr as well and I entered the trade at 9am est on the opening of the new 8hr candlestick
GBPCHF: Strong Bearish SignalGBPCHF has been in a prolonged consolidation since mid-June, remaining within a significant horizontal range on the 4-hour chart.
Following the weekend market opening, the pair appears to be strongly bearish.
The violation of a support level within this range suggests the end of a bearish accumulation phase, creating potential for further upward movement, with the next resistance level to watch at 1.0889.
GBCHF Will Fly from a Old support LevelHello Traders
In This Chart GBPCHF HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPCHF analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPCHF market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPCHF Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBPCHF Wave Analysis – 3 July 2025- GBPCHF reversed from strong support level 1.0785
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.0950
GBPCHF currency pair recently reversed up from the strong support level 1.0785 (which has been steadily reversing the price from last August as can be seen below).
The upward reversal from the support level 1.0785 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Bullish Engulfing.
Given the strength of the support level 1.0785 and the oversold daily Stochastic, GBPCHF currency pair can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 1.0950.
GBP/CHF – Breakout Buy Setup Based on Bullish Divergence (1H TF)The GBP/CHF pair has been moving in a bearish trend, but momentum appears to be shifting. A strong bullish divergence has developed on the 1-hour chart, suggesting potential for a reversal.
Despite no clear reversal pattern at this stage, we’re eyeing a breakout above the last lower high (LH) as confirmation of a shift toward bullish structure. If the breakout occurs, we expect a new higher high (HH) to form, aligning with the divergence.
Retail sentiment is currently 90% long, which adds further interest to this setup. Our buy stop order is positioned to catch the move early, with a 1:1 risk-reward profile.
🔹 Pair: GBP/CHF
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Trend: Bearish
🔹 Divergence: Bullish
🔹 Pattern: None
🔹 Sentiment: 90% Long (Myfxbook)
🔹 Bias: Neutral (awaiting structure shift)
🔹 Entry (Buy Stop): 1.08982
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.08207
🔹 Take Profit: 1.09757
🔹 Lot Size: 0.20
🔹 Risk/Reward: 1:1
🔹 Risk: $200
🔹 Potential Reward: $200
🎯 Strategy: Entry will only be triggered if price breaks above the previous LH. That would signal a shift in structure and validate the divergence setup.
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📊 Current Bias:
🟥 Bearish weight remains, but we smell bullish smoke beneath — reversal setups in play.
📈 Entry Strategy:
Long (Bullish) — Scout entry above 1.06500+ in higher timeframes (4H+). Retest confirmation required.
Short (Bearish) — “The vault’s unguarded! Slip in short anywhere up top—clean sweep mode.”
🛑 Stop Loss Placement:
Place SL near recent swing highs/lows on the 5H chart (swing basis). Customize per lot size and multiple entries. Your risk defines your escape rope.
🎯 Profit Extraction Target:
Long TP: Aim for the 1.11500 vault door (or vanish before it slams).
Short TP: Dive to 1.06500, or pull the plug earlier if guards wake up.
📰 Strategic Conditions:
This pair’s behavior is currently driven by mixed macro triggers — smart money positioning (COT), sentiment clusters, and market structure traps.
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GBP-CHF Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CHF formed a H&S
Pattern and now we are
Seeing a strong bearish
Breakout of the neckline
Key level around 1.0933
Area and as the breakout
Is confirmed we will be
Expecting a further bearish
Move down towards the
Target below around 1.0867
Sell!
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GBP/CHF Long Setup📈 GBP/CHF Long Setup
🕒 1H Timeframe
📍Entry: 1.0800
🎯 Target: 1.0889
I'm currently long GBPCHF after seeing a strong bounce from a key demand zone. Price has printed a higher low and is showing bullish structure on the 1H. Targeting a break above local resistance toward 1.0889.
🔍 Multiple rejections from demand + bullish momentum = high probability setup.
📊 Let’s see if price can push through those liquidity levels.
📍 Risk-managed and eyes on PA — updates to follow.
#GBPCHF #Forex #TradeSetup #PriceAction #SmartMoney #MarketStructure #SwingTrade
GBP/CHF LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/CHF pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously falling on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 1.116 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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GBP/CHF BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GBP-CHF downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 1.096 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the GBP/CHF pair.
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GBPCHF: Will Start Growing! Here is Why
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the GBPCHF pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
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GBPCHF Buy Trade IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart GBPCHF HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPCHF analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPCHF market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPCHF Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBP_CHF RISKY LONG|
✅GBP_CHF fell down sharply
But a strong support level was hit at 1.0932
Thus as a rebound is already happening
A move up towards the target of 1.0970 shall follow
LONG🚀
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GBPCHF Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.097.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.100 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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