GBPCHF The heavier the retail long positioning, the more vulnerable price becomes to downside pressure. Markets often move against the majority, and when retail is heavily skewed long, it can signal potential for a contrarian move.
British Pound / Swiss Franc forum
GBPCHF The heavier the retail long positioning, the more vulnerable price becomes to downside pressure. Markets often move against the majority, and when retail is heavily skewed long, it can signal potential for a contrarian move.GBPCHF GBPCHF -80% since 198080-90% of retail is bullish on GBPCHF for 3 months. 95% of retail blow up their accounts in 90 days.
GBPCHF @pooriajafarioffical Can you post and share where your entry is positioned? Here's mine.If you're convinced that tariffs alone are a sufficient catalyst for a reversal—without alignment from broader fundamentals or technical structure—then logically, you should be positioned Long. Otherwise, it raises the question: is this conviction or just a narrative without execution?
Looking through your posts, it’s clear I overestimated your grasp of the markets. Engaging was a misstep—one I won’t repeat. Time is capital, and I just realized I spent mine poorly.
GBPCHF gbpchf will soon enter the 1.08 channel as Trump's tariffs do their job. The market takes its cues from fundamentals, not technicals :)GBPCHF pooriajafariofficialim not done lol. For the past 500 days. Not A SINGLE VOTE from MPC members was allocated to increase GBP Interest rates.
The vote is reported in an 'X-X-X' format -
the first number is how many MPC members voted to increase interest rates,
the second number is how many voted to decrease rates, and
the third is how many voted to hold rates.
The BOE's MPC meeting minutes contain the interest rate vote for each MPC member during the most recent meeting. The breakdown of votes provides insight into which members are changing their stance on interest rates and how close the committee is to enacting a rate change in the future;
GBPCHF Here is some more, EURGBP is the 2nd most bullish forex pair this week :) pooriajafariofficialJanuary 2025 to current date. EUR is also stronger than GBP.
GBPCHF Price action is bearish. Lower high, lower low, lower high, lower low. You dont even need fundamentals to know market structure is bearish. pooriajafariofficial
GBPCHF Institutional Traders have been reducing their GBP exposure since June. :) Reaching peak reduction of GBP exposure the past 3 weeks (since July 25). Tariffs on Swiss Goods wont make UK economy magically stronger. pooriajafariofficial Economic Fundemantals, GBP is the weakest against the Major & Minor Currencies.
Is tariff on Swiss Goods enough for GBP to get stronger than CHF when theres 10+ fundamental variables that points to a weak GBP? lets see...
GBPCHF 1. Swiss Franc (CHF) – Strength Factors✅ Safe-Haven Demand
The Swiss franc continues to attract capital flows due to its safe-haven status amid rising geopolitical risks and global macro uncertainty. With investors turning cautious, CHF tends to outperform during risk-off environments, particularly against more volatile currencies like GBP.
✅ Low Inflation + Hawkish SNB Stance
Switzerland has kept inflation well under control, often below 2%. While other central banks are forced to walk a fine line between controlling inflation and avoiding recession, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has room to maintain tight monetary policy or even strengthen the franc further through forex interventions if necessary.
✅ Trade Surplus and Fiscal Stability
Switzerland runs a persistent current account surplus, reflecting strong exports and high external demand for Swiss goods and services. Additionally, the Swiss government operates with low debt levels and budget discipline, making CHF fundamentally sound.
2. British Pound (GBP) – Weakness Factors
❌ Stagflation Risks
The UK economy is showing signs of stagnation alongside sticky inflation, a classic stagflation scenario. Growth is sluggish, wage inflation is elevated, and productivity remains low. These dynamics weigh heavily on investor confidence in the pound.
❌ Bank of England's Dilemma
The Bank of England (BoE) is stuck between fighting inflation and avoiding a deeper slowdown. Recent data has shown inflation softening but still above target, leaving the BoE cautious. Markets are starting to price in the possibility of rate cuts into 2025, which could further weaken GBP.
❌ Fiscal Pressures and Political Instability
With high government spending and growing debt, the UK faces long-term fiscal concerns. Recent political shifts and uncertainty over future policy directions also undermine investor sentiment and confidence in GBP-denominated assets.
Is tariff enough for GBP to get stronger than CHF when theres 10+ fundamental variables that points to an extremely weak GBP? :) lets see.
GBPCHF The United States has imposed a 39% tariff on Swiss goods. This news is not in the favor of the Swiss franc gbpchf is long