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EUR/GBP LONG 4H Hi, my name is Russo Andrea and I am a Forex Trader. Today I want to talk to you about a trading strategy that I am considering on EUR/GBP, a very interesting pair for those who, like me, operate in the currency markets. The idea behind this trade is to go LONG on EUR/GBP. After analyzing the technical data and fundamentals, I believe that there is an interesting profit opportunity. Here are the details of my strategy: Entry Point: 0.83781 Stop Loss (SL): 0.8550 Take Profit (TP): 0.84168 Trade Rationale: This trade is based on a combination of technical and fundamental analysis. Looking at the charts, we have a key support near the 0.83781 area, which represents an ideal level to open a long position. Technical indicators, such as RSI and moving averages, are showing signs of a possible bullish reversal. On the other hand, my Stop Loss at 0.8550 was strategically placed to limit losses if the market moves against us, while still maintaining an acceptable risk for this trade. The Take Profit at 0.84168, on the other hand, represents a realistic level of profit based on previous resistances. Risk Management: Risk management is essential in trading. It is important to always stick to your plan, without being influenced by emotions. With this trade, I am maintaining a balanced risk/reward ratio, increasing the probability of success in the long term.
Long
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
EUR/GBP Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown & Bearish MoveThis EUR/GBP chart on the 1-hour timeframe showcases a well-defined symmetrical triangle formation, a widely recognized pattern in technical analysis that signals potential breakout opportunities. The price action has respected the converging trendlines, indicating consolidation before a decisive move. Recently, the market has broken below the support zone, confirming a bearish breakdown and providing a strong signal for potential downside movement. This analysis will cover pattern formation, key technical levels, trading strategy, risk management, and future market outlook to provide a comprehensive professional breakdown of this setup. 1. Chart Pattern Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Formation A symmetrical triangle consists of two converging trendlines that squeeze price action into a narrowing range, reflecting market indecision. This pattern is considered a continuation pattern, meaning that the price is likely to continue in the direction of the prevailing trend after the breakout. Pattern Characteristics in This Chart: ✅ Lower Highs: Price fails to break previous peaks, indicating weakening bullish momentum. ✅ Higher Lows: Buyers step in at higher points, preventing aggressive declines. ✅ Volume Decrease: Typical of consolidation within a symmetrical triangle. ✅ Breakout Confirmation: A strong bearish candle broke below the support level, signaling further downside potential. 2. Key Technical Levels & Zones 📌 Resistance Level + All-Time High (ATH) – 0.8421 This level represents the highest point in the pattern, where price faced repeated rejections. It aligns with a historical resistance zone, indicating a strong supply area. A breakout above this level would shift the market to a bullish bias. 📌 Support Level – 0.8379 (Now Acting as Resistance) Previously a key demand zone where buyers defended the price. Price has now broken below this level, confirming it as new resistance in a bearish scenario. A successful retest followed by rejection increases downside confirmation. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement – 0.8421 Located above the upper trendline and recent highs to avoid false breakouts. If price regains this level, the bearish scenario will be invalidated. 📌 Target Zone – 0.82926 (Major Support Area) This is the next strong support level, acting as a potential take-profit zone for short positions. It aligns with a previous price reaction area, making it a logical target for sellers. 3. Trading Setup & Strategy – Bearish Trade Plan The breakdown from the symmetrical triangle structure presents an opportunity to short the pair with a defined risk-to-reward setup. 📌 Entry Strategy: Enter short positions after price breaks and retests the 0.8379 support level as resistance. Confirmation should come from bearish candlestick patterns like engulfing candles or pin bars. 📌 Stop Loss: Placed above 0.8421, above the last swing high, to protect against potential false breakouts. 📌 Take Profit (TP) Target: First TP: 0.8325 (Intermediate support) Final TP: 0.82926 (Major support and key structure level) Alternative Scenario – Bullish Reversal Possibility If price reclaims 0.8379 and closes above it consistently, the bearish breakdown might be a false move. A move above 0.8421 would invalidate the bearish setup, leading to potential bullish momentum. 4. Risk Management & Trade Confirmation ✅ Volume Analysis A significant increase in volume on the breakdown strengthens the bearish outlook. Low volume retests may indicate a weak reversal attempt, favoring continuation downward. ✅ Bearish Price Action Confirmation Lower highs and consistent lower lows reinforce a bearish sentiment. Rejections from the broken support (now resistance) validate the trade setup. ✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) The Stop-Loss (SL) is tight, and the profit target is significantly larger, making this a high RRR trade. Ideally, a RRR of at least 2:1 or 3:1 should be maintained for proper risk control. 5. Market Sentiment & Future Outlook Bearish Bias Strengths: Trendline break indicates strong downside pressure. Failed attempts to break resistance suggest weakening bulls. Global macroeconomic factors and fundamental catalysts may favor GBP strength over EUR in the near term. Reversal Risks: A strong bullish breakout above 0.8421 would shift momentum to the upside. Fundamental news events (e.g., ECB or BoE statements) can impact market direction unexpectedly. 6. Summary & Conclusion 🔹 The EUR/GBP 1-hour chart has broken below a symmetrical triangle pattern, confirming a bearish breakout. 🔹 Key levels to watch: Resistance at 0.8421, support at 0.82926. 🔹 Trading strategy favors short positions, with a target at 0.82926 and a stop loss at 0.8421. 🔹 Confirmation comes from trendline breaks, volume analysis, and lower highs/lows structure. 📌 Final Verdict: The setup is bearish unless price reclaims 0.8379 and invalidates the structure. Traders should monitor price action, volume, and news events for further confirmations. 🔥 Potential Profit Target: 80-90 Pips 📉 ⚠️ Risk Management is Crucial – Always Use Stop Loss & Proper Position Sizing
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
1
EURGBP SWING UPDATE: SCALING INTO PULLBACK AT 0.83376!ICMARKETS:EURGBP 🟢 LONG EURGBP @ 0.83376 (Short-Term Add-On) ✅ Catalyst: Retest of swing support + H1 bullish reversal. 🛑 SL: 0.83125 🎯 TP1: 0.83766 (1:1.5 R:R) 🎯 TP2: 0.84125 (1:3.0 R:R) 📊 Chart: Pullback to 0.8310 (swing low) aligns with uptrend. RSI confirms bullish momentum. 🌍 Context: Core swing trade (TP3: 0.85151) still active; BOE dovishness vs. ECB resilience favors EUR. 💬 “Holding swing + adding here? What’s your move? 👇 #Forex #EURGBP #SwingTrading
Long
by whitebeardfx
2
EURGBP: Rectangle Top rejection. Sell opportunity.EURGBP is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.272, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 25.202), going from an almost overbought RSI to neutral as it got rejected on the R1 Zone. That is the top of the 6 month Rectangle pattern, where the last rejection pulled the price all the way down to the S1 Zone. This time the presence of both the LH and HL trendlines makes us consider a slightly tighter trading range. The trade is short, TP = 0.82600. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
EUR/GBP Analysis – Bearish Momentum Gaining StrengthThe EUR/GBP pair has shown a significant shift in market structure, breaking below a critical support level and signaling further downside potential. After facing strong resistance near the 0.84400 region, the price struggled to maintain bullish momentum and started forming lower highs, indicating selling pressure. Technical Breakdown: Resistance Zone: The upper boundary near 0.84400 acted as a supply area where sellers gained control. Multiple rejection candles at this level confirmed that buyers were losing strength. Support Breakdown: The price recently broke below a key support zone, which had previously acted as a demand area. This breakdown suggests a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. Bearish Continuation Pattern: The chart displays a clear lower high and lower low formation, reinforcing the bearish trend. The price is now retesting the breakdown zone, which could serve as a new resistance level before further declines. Target Projection: The next major support lies at 0.82508, which aligns with a previous consolidation zone. If the bearish momentum persists, we may see a test of this level in the coming sessions. Trading Considerations: 📌 Bearish Bias: Traders may look for sell opportunities on pullbacks toward resistance levels. 📌 Confirmation: A retest of the breakdown level with rejection signals could provide a strong entry point. 📌 Risk Management: Stop-loss placements above 0.83800 could help manage risk in case of an unexpected bullish reversal. 💡 Final Thoughts: With the prevailing bearish momentum, EUR/GBP is likely to continue downward unless buyers regain control at key levels. Traders should watch for price action signals near support and resistance zones to confirm trade setups.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis – Triangle Breakdown & Bearish MoveChart Overview This EUR/GBP 1-hour chart highlights a symmetrical triangle pattern that has recently broken to the downside, signaling a potential bearish move. The chart includes key technical levels such as resistance, support, trendlines, and a projected price target. Let’s analyze each component in detail. 1. Formation of a Symmetrical Triangle A symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern, meaning it typically precedes a breakout in the direction of the prevailing trend. In this case: The pair initially rallied sharply, forming a strong uptrend. A consolidation phase followed, where price started forming lower highs and higher lows, creating a contracting triangle. The triangle’s resistance and support levels were tested multiple times, confirming their significance. Key takeaway: The more times price tests support and resistance without breaking through, the stronger the eventual breakout. 2. Breakdown from the Triangle – Bearish Signal The price broke below the support level, triggering a breakdown from the symmetrical triangle. This breakdown was accompanied by a strong bearish candlestick, indicating a decisive move to the downside. The previous support is now acting as resistance, meaning any pullback to this zone could provide a shorting opportunity. Why is this important? A breakdown from a triangle often results in a sharp directional move, especially if it aligns with the broader market trend. 3. Trendline Analysis – Uptrend Reversal The rising trendline that supported the price action has been broken, further confirming trend exhaustion and a shift to bearish momentum. Before the breakdown, the price had been respecting the trendline as support. After the breakdown, the trendline is invalidated, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Technical Insight: Trendlines act as dynamic support/resistance, and once broken, they often lead to strong directional movements. 4. Key Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Level (Former Support Zone): This level was previously a strong demand zone where buyers stepped in. Now that price has fallen below it, this area could act as a resistance if price retests it. Traders should watch for bearish rejections or reversal patterns (such as shooting stars or bearish engulfing candlesticks) before entering short positions. Support Level & Bearish Target (0.829): The chart highlights 0.829 as the next significant support area. This level aligns with historical price action and provides a logical take-profit zone for short traders. 5. Expected Price Action – Bearish Continuation Scenario Given the breakdown from the triangle, the expected movement is as follows: A short-term pullback to the broken support (now resistance). Rejection from this zone, leading to further downside momentum. Price reaching the projected target near 0.829, where traders may look to take profits or reassess market conditions. 6. Trading Strategy & Risk Management ✅ Bearish Trade Setup Entry: On a pullback to the broken support level (preferably with bearish confirmation signals). Stop-Loss: Above the previous resistance level to avoid false breakouts. Take-Profit: Around the 0.829 target or lower if momentum continues. ⚠ Risk Considerations If price closes back above the broken support, it may indicate a false breakout, invalidating the bearish trade setup. Fundamental news events (such as central bank decisions or economic data) could impact price movement unexpectedly. Conclusion – Bearish Outlook with Defined Target This chart presents a textbook triangle breakdown, reinforcing the bearish bias for EUR/GBP. The structure suggests that price will continue lower toward the 0.829 target, unless invalidated by a strong reversal. Traders should watch for pullbacks and rejection signals before entering short positions. Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Resistance: 0.835 - 0.837 (Former Support Zone, Now Resistance) ✅ Target: 0.829 (Projected Price Target) 📉 Bias: Bearish Final Thought This setup provides a high-probability trade idea for traders looking to capitalize on momentum. As always, implementing proper risk management is crucial to navigate market uncertainties. 🚀
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EURGBP INTRADAY Bearish continuation The EUR/GBP pair continues to exhibit bearish sentiment, reinforced by the prevailing downtrend. The key intraday resistance level is at 0.8420, marking the current swing high. Bearish Scenario: An oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at 0.8420, would likely target downside support at 0.8353. A break below this level would open the door for further declines toward 0.8335 and 0.8300 in the longer timeframe. Bullish Scenario: Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above the 0.8420 resistance, accompanied by a daily close above this level, would invalidate the bearish outlook. This would pave the way for further rallies, with the next resistance levels at 0.8450 and 0.8490. Conclusion: The prevailing sentiment remains bearish as long as 0.8420 holds as resistance. Traders should watch for rejection at this level to confirm downside momentum. Conversely, a decisive breakout above 0.8420 would signal a potential shift to a bullish bias, targeting higher resistance levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Scholz and Macron: Europe, arms for Ukraine Recently, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and French President Emmanuel Macron reiterated their commitment to providing military aid to Ukraine. This decision comes at a crucial time, with the conflict continuing to profoundly affect the global economy and geopolitics. ### Implications for the war and Europe Scholz and Macron's choice to continue with military supplies underscores Europe's determination to support Ukraine against Russian aggression. However, this stance could escalate tensions with Moscow, which has already expressed its displeasure. The war in Ukraine has already had a significant impact on the European economy, with energy prices rising and supply chains disrupted. Continuing to supply weapons could prolong the conflict, but could also strengthen Europe's position as a key player in defending democratic values. ### Impact on Forex The news has significant implications for the Forex market. Several currency pairs could be significantly affected: - **EUR/USD**: The euro could come under pressure due to economic uncertainties and Europe's exposure to the conflict. On the other hand, the US dollar could strengthen due to its safe-haven status. - **USD/RUB**: The Russian ruble could see further depreciation due to geopolitical tensions and potential new Western sanctions against Russia. - **EUR/GBP**: The euro-sterling relationship could be affected, with the euro under pressure and the pound showing relative stability, as the UK is less directly exposed to the conflict. - **USD/CHF**: The Swiss franc, traditionally considered a safe-haven asset, could also strengthen against the US dollar in the event of further escalations. - **AUD/USD and CAD/USD**: Commodity currencies such as the Australian and Canadian dollars could see increased volatility, as natural resource markets remain affected by the conflict. ### Conclusion Scholz and Macron’s decision to continue supplying weapons to Kiev is a strong signal of European solidarity, but it brings with it significant challenges. Forex investors should carefully monitor the listed currency pairs and geopolitical developments, as volatility could offer opportunities, but also risks.
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Engulfing Candles: The Power ShiftIf there’s one candle pattern that represents an immediate shift in balance between buyers and sellers it is the engulfing candle. Today we take a deep dive into some of the key nuances of this pattern and explain how context and confirmation are essential elements to making this pattern a useful tool in your trading toolkit. Understanding the Engulfing Pattern The Engulfing candle pattern occurs when a single candlestick completely engulfs the body of the previous candle. In a bullish engulfing, a large bullish candle fully covers the smaller previous bearish candle, while in a bearish engulfing, a large bearish candle engulfs the previous bullish one. Within the space of a signal candle, the market has completely erased the previous candles price action and sometimes multiple prior candles price actions. This step change in momentum, is why it is often known as the ‘power shift pattern’ – when it is identified correctly can represent a key inflection point. Bullish Engulfing: A bullish engulfing suggests that after a period of selling, buying pressure has taken over, overpowering the bears in one strong move. This may indicate a potential reversal, from a bearish trend to a bullish one. Bearish Engulfing: A bearish engulfing indicates that after a period of buying, selling pressure has overwhelmed the bulls. This could signal a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend. Example: Nvidia Daily Candle Chart In this example, we see bullish and bearish engulfing candles form at the parameters of a range that formed on Nvidia’s daily candle chart. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results The Importance of Location and Context Like any chart pattern, the Engulfing candle is most effective when it occurs in the right context. Its location is crucial to its reliability. Trading the pattern within a range or consolidation zone can be misleading, as there may not be a clear prevailing trend for the pattern to reverse. For a bullish engulfing to be meaningful, it should ideally appear near a key support level, where buyers are likely to step in. In contrast, a bearish engulfing is more reliable when it appears near a key resistance level, where selling pressure may be about to take control. In short, location is everything. An engulfing pattern at a support or resistance level holds more weight than one formed in the middle of a range or without a clear market direction. Example: USD/CAD Daily Candle Chart In this example, we see small bearish engulfing candles form within a consolidation range. These are not significant signals as the location and context is sub-optimal. We then see a large engulfing candle form at the parameter of resistance – creating a clear bearish signal. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Confirmation: The Next Candle is Key A major element to watch for with the Engulfing candle is confirmation. The next candle after the engulfing one should trade in the direction of the engulfing candle. For a bullish engulfing, the next candle should ideally close above the high of the engulfing candle. This confirms that the buying momentum is likely to continue. For a bearish engulfing, the next candle should ideally close below the low of the engulfing candle. This suggests that selling pressure is likely to persist. Without this confirmation, the pattern can be less reliable, and the initial move may not hold. The following candle helps validate whether the momentum shift is real or just a short-term fluctuation. Stop Placement Stop placement is a crucial aspect of trading the Engulfing pattern. Stops should generally be positioned just beyond the high or low of the engulfing candle, depending on the direction of the trade. For a bullish engulfing, place the stop below the low of the engulfing candle to allow for some movement without being stopped out prematurely. For a bearish engulfing, place the stop above the high of the engulfing candle to protect against any potential reversal or false breakouts. Placing stops in these locations helps manage risk while giving the trade enough room to develop, without exposing the position to unnecessary losses. The Engulfing Pattern Across Timeframes One of the advantages of the Engulfing candle is its versatility. It can be used effectively on any timeframe, from short-term intraday charts to long-term daily or weekly charts. On shorter timeframes, the Engulfing pattern may act as a signal for intraday trades, indicating a quick shift in momentum. On longer timeframes, the pattern could signal a larger, more sustained trend change, suggesting a longer-term move in the market. Regardless of the timeframe, the Engulfing candle remains an important pattern because it highlights a significant change in market sentiment, whether on a micro or macro scale. Final Thoughts The Engulfing candle is an effective pattern for identifying a shift in market momentum, either from bullish to bearish or vice versa. However, its effectiveness is heavily influenced by location and confirmation. When the pattern forms at a key support or resistance level and is followed by confirmation from the next candle, it can offer valuable insight into where the market may be headed. By combining these elements with good stop placement, traders can better manage risk and increase the reliability of the signals this pattern provides. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Education
by Capitalcom
1
Bearish reversal?EUR/GBP is rising towards the pivot and could reveres to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.8401 1st Support: 0.8356 1st Resistance: 0.8444 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
EURGBP Bearish Continuation Setup Potential Drop to Key Support📌 Overview: The EUR/GBP pair is showing signs of bearish continuation after failing to break above key resistance levels. Price action indicates a potential downward move towards a major support zone, aligning with the overall market structure. 🔎 Technical Analysis: The pair has formed a lower high, indicating weakness in bullish momentum. A breakdown from the recent consolidation zone suggests sellers are in control. Price has breached a key support level, turning it into a resistance zone. The market structure indicates a potential drop towards 0.82773, which aligns with a previous support area. 📊 Key Price Levels: ✔ Resistance: 0.84000 - 0.84200 (previous support turned resistance) ✔ Current Price: 0.83876 ✔ Target: 0.82773 (major support and liquidity zone) ✔ Stop Loss: Above 0.84000, invalidating the bearish setup 📉 Trade Plan & Execution: 🔹 Entry Strategy: Traders can look for a retest of broken support (now resistance) near 0.84000 to confirm selling pressure. A bearish rejection candle (such as a shooting star, bearish engulfing, or pin bar) could confirm the continuation of the downward trend. 🔹 Profit Target: The primary target is 0.82773, which acts as a strong demand zone from previous price action. 🔹 Risk Management: A stop loss should be placed above 0.84000, as a break above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. Maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (1:2 or better) is advisable for optimal trade execution. 📢 Market Outlook & Considerations: ✅ Bearish Confirmation: Sustained rejection from resistance and lower highs strengthen the bearish outlook towards 0.82773. 🚨 Bullish Reversal Risk: A break above 0.84000 could invalidate the setup, signaling a potential return to bullish momentum. 📊 Fundamental Factors: Keep an eye on GBP and EUR-related economic data, central bank policies, and risk sentiment, which could impact price movements.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
The EUR/GBP pair is experiencing a bearish trend, with the Euro * Currency Pair: EUR/GBP (Euro versus British Pound) * Timeframe: 1D (Daily Chart), meaning each candlestick represents one day's trading activity. * Current Price: 0.83936 * Change: -0.00232 (-0.28%), indicating a decrease in the value of the Euro against the Pound. * Buy/Sell Indicators: * Buy: 0.83941 * Sell: 0.83929 * Price Levels: Several horizontal lines are drawn on the chart, indicating key price levels: * 0.89000 * 0.88000 * 0.87000 * 0.86000 * 0.84496 (appears multiple times, suggesting a significant level) * 0.83936 (current price) * 0.83000 * 0.82422 (appears multiple times, suggesting a significant level) * 0.81000 * Trend: The chart appears to show a general downtrend, with the price moving from the higher levels in 2022 towards the lower levels in 2024. * Timeline: The timeline at the bottom shows the years 2022 to 2025, with July marked for each year. This helps to visualize the long-term trend of the EUR/GBP pair. * Platform: The bottom of the image shows the trading platform interface with various icons, likely for technical analysis tools, chart settings, and other functions. * Candlestick Patterns: The chart uses candlestick patterns to represent price movements. These patterns can provide insights into market sentiment and potential future price movements. * Volume: The "v 2" on the left side might refer to a volume indicator, showing the trading volume for the currency pair. * "Gro/British Pound" text in the middle of the chart is likely an artifact or a label that was not fully removed or a label that is not fully clear. General Observations: * The EUR/GBP pair is experiencing a bearish trend, with the Euro weakening against the Pound. * The price levels marked on the chart likely represent support and resistance levels, which traders use to identify potential entry and exit points. * The multiple occurrences of the 0.84496 and 0.82422 levels suggest that these are significant areas of price action.
Long
by alaisattakarn
EUR/GBP Bearish Trading Setup | Resistance Rejection & BreakdownMarket Context & Overview The EUR/GBP currency pair is currently showing signs of bearish momentum, as illustrated in this 1-hour trading chart. The price is facing a strong resistance zone while forming a descending trendline, indicating that sellers are gaining control over the market. Given this technical setup, traders can anticipate a potential breakdown leading to further downside movement. This analysis highlights key price levels, technical indicators, and potential trade opportunities based on current price action. The bearish outlook is supported by the market structure, which is displaying signs of a potential trend reversal from the resistance zone. 🔹 Key Technical Levels 1️⃣ Resistance Zone (0.84200 - 0.84300) This area has acted as a strong selling zone in previous price action. Multiple rejection points indicate that buyers are struggling to push beyond this level. This resistance aligns with the descending trendline, further strengthening the bearish bias. 2️⃣ Support Level (0.84000) The current support level has provided temporary demand, preventing immediate downside movement. If the price breaks below this support, it will confirm a bearish continuation. 3️⃣ Major Resistance Zone (0.84495) This is the all-time high resistance zone in the short-term structure. A break above this level would invalidate the bearish setup and could lead to bullish momentum. 4️⃣ Target Level (0.83735) If the price successfully breaks below 0.84000, the next target would be 0.83735. This level aligns with previous swing lows, making it a realistic downside target for short positions. 5️⃣ Stop Loss Placement (Above 0.84201) A stop-loss above 0.84201 ensures protection against false breakouts. If price breaks above this level, it could signal a shift in market structure. 🔹 Technical Insights & Market Sentiment 1️⃣ Descending Trendline: The price is respecting a descending trendline, indicating a bearish bias. 2️⃣ Multiple Resistance Rejections: Price has tested the resistance zone multiple times without breaking through. 3️⃣ Bearish Price Action: The recent candles show lower highs, reinforcing the downtrend. 4️⃣ Volume Analysis: A drop in buying pressure at resistance signals potential weakness among buyers. 5️⃣ Fundamental Factors : GBP strength due to macroeconomic factors could add further pressure on EUR/GBP. 🔹 Trade Plan & Strategy 📌 Entry Criteria Ideal entry near 0.84150 - 0.84200 if price shows rejection at resistance. Alternatively, enter after a confirmed breakdown below 0.84000 for safer confirmation. 🎯 Profit Target First target: 0.83735 If bearish momentum continues, price could extend towards 0.83600 as an extended target. 🛑 Stop Loss Placement Above 0.84201 to minimize risk. This ensures the trade remains valid while avoiding market noise. 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Management ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Approximately 2:1, making this a favorable setup. ✅ Trade Management: If price starts reversing before hitting the target, consider trailing stop-loss to secure profits. If price consolidates around support, watch for breakout confirmations before entering. 🔹 Final Thoughts & Market Sentiment This trading setup suggests a strong bearish opportunity based on price action, resistance rejection, and trendline confluence. The break below 0.84000 will be the key trigger for further downside movement. If price remains below resistance, a sell position with a stop-loss above 0.84201 and a target of 0.83735 offers a high-probability trade setup.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades