EURGBP – transitioning from bearish to bullish .. week of 02 JunIt appears that the bearish move that began in April may have ended now. Price that mostly stayed under the 50ema has crossed over to the other side. The downward trendline has also been broken with price moving above it. We already have a higher high and higher low in place. Aggressive traders can take a long now, but I want to be more conservative these days. I would like to see:
a break above the recent swing high (0.8459).
another sequence of HL and HH.
and a retest of the minor resistance/support at 0.8459.
Even with all these precautions, we can still get a +2.3R trade. If PA continues to develop as per my analysis, I will monitor on lower time frames to find more confluence and bullish evidence before committing to a trade. My initial target will be the region just before the swing high at 0.8623.
This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk so carefully managing your capital and risk is important. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more.
GBPEUR trade ideas
EURGBP Bullish Structure Analysis – Channel Breakout + Target🧱 1. Market Structure Breakdown
EURGBP has been trading within a descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows, which indicates a short-term bearish trend. However, price action recently broke out above the upper boundary of this channel, suggesting a potential bullish reversal or trend correction.
This breakout marks a significant structural shift in market behavior.
🔵 Old Structure: Bearish, confined within the channel
🟢 New Structure: Bullish breakout above trendline + key resistance zone
🧩 Implication: Change in directional bias; potential for long opportunities
📍 2. Breakout Confirmation
The breakout was confirmed by:
A strong bullish impulse candle that closed above the descending trendline
Price sustaining above previous resistance (~0.8405)
Increase in bullish volume at the breakout point (if volume indicator is used)
This suggests that the breakout is genuine, not a false spike or liquidity grab.
🌀 3. Retest Phase – The Critical Zone
After breaking out, the market is now pulling back to retest the previous structure. This is a textbook price action move:
🔄 What’s Being Retested?
✅ Upper boundary of the descending channel
✅ Major horizontal support/resistance zone (~0.8405–0.8415)
✅ Broken trendline from previous lower highs
✅ QFL base (Quasimodo level that was swept)
✅ 50% Fibonacci retracement of the breakout move
This zone forms a multi-level confluence area, making it a strong support for potential long entries.
🔍 4. Key Technical Observations
Element Description
📐 Descending Channel Defined the prior bearish structure. Breakout invalidates this bias.
🧱 Trendline Retest Acts as dynamic support; price currently sitting on it.
🔃 SR Flip Zone Old resistance (~0.8405) turned into support—critical level.
📊 Fib 50% Retracement Provides technical alignment with potential buying interest.
📌 QFL/Order Block Zone Historical demand was swept and now being respected again.
🎯 5. Target Levels & Trade Plan
If the structure holds and the price responds bullishly from the current zone, the next levels of interest are:
✅ Primary Target – 0.8460
A clear supply/liquidity zone from previous structure highs
Also aligns with psychological round number and Fib extension
⚠️ Interim Target – 0.8430
Previous intra-channel resistance level
May serve as a short-term reaction point
❌ Invalidation Level
A clean break and close below 0.8390 would invalidate the breakout structure
This would reintroduce bearish pressure and signal a potential fakeout
🧠 6. Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice)
Entry: Around 0.8405–0.8415 on bullish confirmation (e.g., engulfing candle, pin bar, break of minor downtrend)
Stop-Loss: Below 0.8390 (beneath structure & invalidation point)
Take-Profit 1: 0.8430
Take-Profit 2: 0.8460
This offers a high R:R opportunity if managed with proper confirmation.
🧭 7. Risk Management & Considerations
Avoid entering prematurely without a bullish signal (e.g., pin bar, engulfing, RSI divergence).
Monitor macroeconomic news—especially from BoE or ECB—as they can disrupt technical setups.
Scaling into the position or using a split TP strategy can help protect profits.
✅ Conclusion
This EURGBP setup is a textbook case of market structure trading:
A well-defined channel breakout
Followed by a clean pullback to structure
With confluence across horizontal, diagonal, and Fibonacci levels
If price respects this zone, bulls could drive toward 0.8460, offering a solid opportunity for traders who understand structure-based setups.
📌 Always wait for confirmation—structure gives us context, but entries need price action signals to minimize risk.
EURGBP Upside target 0.8520On the daily chart, EURGBP stabilized and moved upward after testing the previous demand zone, forming a bullish bat pattern in the short term. Currently, attention can be paid to the support near 0.8400. If it stabilizes after a pullback, you can consider going long, and the upward target is around 0.8520.
EUR/GBP BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
EUR/GBP SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.860
Target Level: 0.843
Stop Loss: 0.872
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EUR/GBP Weekly Breakout With Potential Retest Toward 0.85On the weekly timeframe, EUR/GBP has broken above a long-standing descending trendline that has acted as dynamic resistance since late 2022. This trendline has been respected multiple times, as shown by the repeated rejections near the line, indicating strong selling pressure in previous attempts. However, the recent bullish breakout marks a potential shift in the market structure.
After a clean break above the descending trendline, price has started to retrace toward the breakout zone. This behavior is typical and aligns with classical technical analysis, where previous resistance often turns into new support. The region around the broken trendline, particularly near the psychological level of 0.8500, now becomes a key area to watch for a retest and potential bounce.
A successful retest around 0.835–0.84 could signal continuation of the bullish breakout, with 0.8500 serving as the next key resistance and potential short-term target. A rejection from this area, combined with bullish candlestick confirmation, could offer a favorable long entry opportunity. However, if the retest fails and price falls back below the trendline, it would invalidate the breakout structure and could indicate a false breakout scenario.
Trade Plan:
Retest Entry Zone: 0.8350–0.8400 (look for bullish confirmation)
Target: 0.8500 (psychological resistance)
Stop-Loss: Below 0.8300 (to invalidate trendline support)
This setup reflects a textbook breakout-and-retest structure, offering a clear technical roadmap supported by trendline theory and psychological level behavior. Traders should wait for confirmation before committing to a position.
Disclaimer: This analysis is part of a trading plan and does not constitute trading advice. Always apply proper risk management in every trading decision.
EUR/GBP : From Drop to Pop !!Hey Traders,
Price is showing signs of a potential shift after holding a key demand zone. If structure confirms, we could see a bullish move toward the next major level.
🎯 Target: 0.84335
📌 (Not financial advice)
#EURGBP #ForexSetup #BullishBias #PriceAction #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #EuroPound #FXTrading
EURGBP: Bears Will Push
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURGBP pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
The Day Ahead Key Economic Data
United States
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (May)
Insight into regional manufacturing. Weak data may increase rate cut expectations.
Dallas Fed Services Activity
Measures service sector strength; can affect Fed rate outlook.
Germany
Unemployment Claims Rate (May)
Higher unemployment could support a more dovish ECB.
Import Price Index (April)
Key for inflation outlook; may influence euro and bund yields.
France
PPI, Consumer Spending, Q1 Payrolls
Indicators of inflation and consumer strength. Can affect Eurozone equities and ECB expectations.
Australia
CPI (April)
Major driver for AUD and rate expectations. A high print could push AUD higher.
Central Bank Events
FOMC Minutes
Traders will watch for signals on inflation concerns and future rate path.
Fed Speakers: Williams, Kashkari
Comments may influence expectations for Fed policy shifts.
ECB Consumer Expectations Survey
Insight into Eurozone inflation expectations. Affects EUR.
RBNZ Decision
Direct impact on NZD. A hawkish stance could lift NZD.
Earnings (Market Movers)
NVIDIA
High-impact for NASDAQ and AI stocks. Watch for volatility and options activity.
Salesforce
Key for tech sector sentiment, especially SaaS names.
Synopsys, Agilent, Abercrombie & Fitch
Sector-specific insights: semis, health, consumer.
Bond Auctions
US 2-Year FRN
US 5-Year Notes
Auctions may impact Treasury yields and USD. Weak demand could push yields higher.
Trading Focus
Watch USD, AUD, EUR, NZD around data and central bank events.
NVIDIA earnings could shift tech and AI market sentiment.
Treasury yield curve may move on Fed minutes and auctions.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EUR/GBP - A symmetrical triangle breakout to the downside
On the 30 minute chart we observe a symmetrical triangle that broke out on the downside on high volume. The price objective for a triangle is the distance of the widest 2 points of the triangle, projected in the direction from the breakout point.
On the chart we can see that the price objective is about 34 pips. A trade is placed near the breakout point, projected around 34 pips downward. I placed this trade before the breakout occurred, with my reasoning being this symmetrical triangle will breakout in continuation of the current trend which is downward. I did not expect the breakout to occur on the upside.
The price objective hasn't be met yet, which gives me reason to stay in the current trade until it has, or until new technical patterns arise.
EURGBPLooking at your EUR/GBP analysis, the pair appears to be approaching a critical reversal zone that could mark the end of the current downtrend.
The price action shows a clear Elliott Wave structure, with what appears to be a completed 5-wave decline from the highs marked at point (a). Currently, the pair is testing the significant support area highlighted in the pink box around the 0.786 level (0.83479), which coincides with the completion of wave 5.
This convergence of technical factors suggests we're entering a high-probability reversal area. The completion of the impulsive wave structure, combined with the pair reaching this key support zone, indicates that selling pressure may be exhausting.
From this level, we should anticipate a bullish reversal to develop soon. The initial upside targets would likely include the previous wave 4 area and the descending trendline resistance. A successful break above these levels would confirm the trend reversal and open the path for a more substantial recovery move.
Traders should watch for early signs of buying interest, such as bullish candlestick patterns or positive divergences on momentum indicators, to confirm the anticipated reversal. The risk-reward setup appears favorable for long positions near current levels, with stops below the support box.
Why EUR vs GBP Could Be Your Best Trade This Week!When it comes to forex swing trading or even forex intraday trading, the temptation to zoom into lower timeframes—like the 15-minute or 1-hour charts—is strong. Most forex traders focus on short-term momentum, often diving into scalping strategies that chase quick pips. However, the real edge lies where most don’t look: the higher timeframes, particularly the weekly chart. The EUR/GBP forex pair is a perfect example of these higher timeframes' power, especially when paired with smart money concepts like demand and supply imbalances.
EUR/GBP: A Hidden Gem for Forex Swing Traders
The EUR/GBP Forex cross pair is often overlooked compared to major USD-based pairs. However, for seasoned swing traders and institutional players, EUR/GBP offers deep liquidity, cleaner technical analysis and price action structures, and strong reaction zones that are respected time and time again.
At the end of May 2025, a significant weekly demand imbalance at 0.8384 finally took control of price action—something smart money traders had been anticipating for months. This wasn't a surprise for those watching the higher timeframes. Similar to how the previous weekly imbalance at 0.8299 took control in February 2025, these zones have proven critical in guiding the medium- to long-term direction of EUR/GBP.
EURGBP Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURGBP below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.8393
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.8412
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/GBP Bullish Breakout Forming – Falling Wedge & Retest SetupEUR/GBP has been in a prolonged downtrend over the past several weeks, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. However, the recent price action shows signs of exhaustion in selling pressure, as the candles begin to compress into a Falling Wedge pattern — a classic bullish reversal formation.
The wedge is defined by two descending, converging trendlines. As price moves closer to the apex of this wedge, volatility contracts and volume typically dries up (not shown here, but conceptually expected). This signals that market participants are preparing for a directional breakout, most likely to the upside in this context.
🔍 Key Technical Elements:
🔸 1. Falling Wedge Pattern:
The Falling Wedge is a bullish setup that forms during a downtrend and signals a potential reversal when confirmed. Price here has followed a steady decline, but the slowing momentum and structure of the wedge suggest the sellers are losing control.
The wedge acts as a compression zone, where bearish moves are becoming less impactful.
Price touches both upper and lower wedge boundaries multiple times, increasing pattern validity.
A breakout has already occurred, and the pair is now undergoing a textbook retest of the broken wedge resistance (now acting as support).
🔸 2. Retest at Key Support Zone (SR Interchange):
The retest is happening precisely at a former support/resistance flip zone, labeled SR – Interchange on the chart. This is a historically significant area where price has reacted multiple times, adding confluence to the setup.
If this level holds during the retest, it may invite strong buying interest, fueling the bullish breakout move.
🔸 3. Resistance Zones & Targets:
Inner Resistance (~0.8460): First hurdle for bulls; breaching this will signal strong momentum.
Minor Resistance (~0.85618): This is the primary target of the setup, based on previous structure and wedge height projection.
Major Resistance (~0.8740): A longer-term bullish objective if momentum sustains beyond the first two targets.
These zones serve as logical areas for profit-taking and reassessment.
📐 Measured Move & Target Projection:
The projected breakout target of 0.85618 is derived using a combination of:
The vertical height of the wedge at its thickest point.
Previous market structure resistance zones.
Fibonacci and price symmetry (if analyzed further).
This target also aligns with a previous supply zone, making it a strong magnet for price if bullish momentum kicks in.
💡 Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice):
This setup provides a good risk-to-reward opportunity if executed with patience and proper confirmation:
Entry Zone: After bullish confirmation at the retest (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or break of minor lower high).
Stop Loss: Below the SR Interchange zone or recent swing low (~0.8350–0.8360).
Target 1: Inner Resistance (~0.8460)
Target 2: Minor Resistance (~0.85618)
Target 3 (extended): Major Resistance (~0.8740)
🔄 Market Psychology:
This chart setup reflects a shift in momentum and sentiment:
Sellers have driven the price down consistently but have failed to create new significant lows with force.
Buyers are stepping in at key demand zones, creating higher lows within the wedge.
The breakout suggests smart money accumulation, and the current retest offers one of the last low-risk entries before a broader move.
🔔 Confirmation to Watch:
Bullish reversal candlestick patterns at the retest zone.
Break above local lower highs near 0.8440–0.8460.
Momentum indicators (if used) showing divergence or crossover confirmation.
📉 Bias:
Short-Term Bullish
Valid if support at 0.8390–0.8400 holds and price confirms breakout continuation.
🧠 Minds Post (Expanded Explanation)
Title: EUR/GBP Bullish Reversal Developing – Falling Wedge Breakout Retest
EUR/GBP has broken out of a textbook falling wedge on the 4H chart, which often signals the end of a downtrend and beginning of a new bullish phase. The price is currently pulling back, testing the breakout zone — a crucial step in confirming the validity of the breakout.
If this retest holds, we may see a sharp move toward the 0.8460 and 0.8560 levels — both key resistances based on past price action.
This pattern reflects a deeper market psychology shift — from consistent bearish dominance to a potential bullish takeover. Smart money may already be positioning here.
I’m watching for confirmation at the support zone around 0.8390. If price holds and breaks above local highs, a continuation toward the upper resistance is likely.
Let the market come to you. Don’t chase. Wait for structure, then trade with confidence.
EURGBP and the Lower LimitIn this trade, I will be entering a short position.
Analyzing the pair on minute timeframes, the pair broke through the area near the 0.83955 price level (a possible reversal zone).
After breaking through that area, there was a downward move, and after reaching 0.83802, it reversed back up to 0.84068, followed by another reversal (which may indicate the presence of a reversal and a pullback).
Considering all of the above, and also taking into account the technical analyses provided by Investing.com, I believe that a sell position represents a good opportunity in this pair.
The short position tool displayed on the chart serves only as a reference to support the entry into this trade.
Several moving averages and the Parabolic SAR were also used in this analysis, and they should be given close attention.