GBPJPY Bullish Breakout – Watch for Momentum Towards 194.60GBPJPY has broken out of a descending wedge and is now retesting the breakout zone near 189.50–189.80. This area aligns with previous structure support and the wedge's upper boundary. Price action indicates bullish momentum is resuming.
🔑 Key Levels:
Current Price: 189.66
Breakout Level: ~189.50
Resistance Targets:
TP1: 190.55 (recent resistance high)
TP2: 192.57
TP3: 194.61 (key supply/weekly resistance zone)
✅ Bullish Confluence:
Breakout from falling wedge pattern
Strong retest of breakout zone with consolidation
Higher low formation and bullish engulfing attempt
No major resistance until 190.50, providing clean upside
🧠 Fundamental Context:
CBI Report (UK): Sentiment and investment outlook among UK manufacturers is deteriorating, but the pound has shown resilience likely driven by broader risk-on market sentiment.
BOJ Outlook (Japan): IMF suggests BOJ is likely to delay further rate hikes due to global uncertainty from US tariffs, maintaining a dovish bias. This weakens the yen’s fundamental strength.
Market Mood: With Japan facing delayed policy tightening and UK's inflation still above target, GBPJPY favors the bullish case in the short term.
💡 Trade Idea:
Bias: Bullish above 189.30
Entry: On retest confirmation around 189.50
Target 1: 190.55
Target 2: 192.57
Target 3: 194.61
Stop Loss: Below 188.80
📌 Note: Keep an eye on US data and BOJ tone shifts. Any risk-off shift in global markets could affect yen strength unexpectedly.
