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GBPJPY trade ideas

#GBPJPY: 600+ Pips Swing Move, JPY To Drop! GBPJPY has successfully rejected the area previously identified in our analysis of GJ. We had anticipated a price rejection and reversal with a strong bullish impulse, which has materialised. Following the positive candle close on Friday, we anticipate a continuation of the bullish trend and potential reaching of the 200 mark. When trading, it is crucial to prioritise risk management. Conduct your own analysis and utilise this information solely for educational purposes. Three potential targets have been identified: 198, 200, and 202. A stop loss can be positioned below our buying zone, as indicated by the black-marked zone. Your support, expressed through likes, comments, and shares, is greatly appreciated and encourages us to continue providing valuable content. ❤️🚀 Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
29
GBPJPY at a Turning Point: Triple Top Signals Potential DeclineGBPJPY at a Turning Point: Triple Top Signals Potential Decline Fundamental Analysis: GBP is showing signs of weakness against the Japanese Yen following the latest UK employment data. The UK unemployment rate rose to 4.6% for the three months ending in April, while the Claimant Count Change increased by 33.1K in May. Meanwhile, hawkish expectations for the Bank of Japan (BoJ) continue to strengthen the Japanese Yen. Technical Analysis: GBPJPY has encountered strong resistance near the recent highs for the third time, increasing the likelihood of a decline, as seen on the chart. The price action suggests the formation of a triple top pattern, which could trigger a deeper drop from this zone. Targets: 🎯 194.70 🎯 193.60 🎯 192.40 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
28
GBPUSD reaches resistance zone: Watching for potential reversalOANDA:GBPJPY has reached a pretty significant resistance level, that has been an obvious turning point in the past, with several strong reversals from the area. So naturally, I’m watching to see how price reacts here again. If we get confirmation of rejection (what I usually watch for: like a bearish engulfing candle, long upper wicks or signs of increased selling pressure), I’ll be looking for short setups from there. 🟥 My sell idea is based on the expectation that this resistance will hold. I would be targeting a move down toward the 192.000 level, which I feel is a realistic and clean target, especially if price respects this structure again. But if price breaks above and starts holding strong above the zone, then I’ll back off the bearish bias and reassess, and I’d consider the bearish idea invalidated, with potential for further upside 🚀 Just sharing how I see the chart right now, not financial advice 💕✨
Short
by TrendDiva
57
GBPJPY At the Top? Massive Liquidity Grab📈 1. Price Action & Key Technical Levels (Daily Chart) Price reached a major supply zone between 196.0 and 197.0, showing clear rejection (weekly pin bar and a lower high structure relative to the previous peak). The long-term descending trendline acted as resistance again. A confirmed rising wedge pattern broke to the downside, with first target around 191.4, and extended target near 187.4 (key demand zone with historical confluence). Weekly RSI shows a bearish divergence vs price highs – an additional signal of bullish exhaustion. 📊 2. COT Data (as of June 3, 2025) GBP (British Pound) Net long positions increased by +30,371 contracts (Commercial + Non-Commercial). Non-Commercials: 103,672 long vs 68,457 short → net long +35,215 but the increase is relatively modest. Commercials are increasing both long and short positions, but the net delta supports medium-term GBP resilience. JPY (Japanese Yen) Net short worsened by -13,566 contracts. Non-Commercials are cutting longs and adding shorts → aggressive yen selling. Commercials remain heavily short (275,659 vs 100,151 long). ➡️ COT Conclusion: GBP remains structurally strong, but the JPY is now extremely oversold, increasing the likelihood of a technical correction in favor of JPY (GBPJPY pullback). 📉 3. Retail Sentiment 72% of retail traders are short GBPJPY, with an average entry at 191.2. Current price is above 195.8 → a liquidity sweep above retail shorts may have already occurred. The order book shows a heavy sell cluster between 195.0–195.9 → potential zone of manipulation/liquidation. ➡️ Contrarian view: After sweeping liquidity above retail highs, we may now see downside pressure to clean out breakout longs. 📅 4. Seasonality June tends to be neutral to bearish: 5-year average: +0.45% (weak gain) 10- and 15-year averages: -1.24% and -1.30% Historically, the first 10 days of June often mark a local top, followed by a decline – consistent with the current price structure. 🧠 5. Macro-Technical Confluence The broader setup points to a distribution phase between 195.5–196.5, with high probability of a technical pullback toward 193.5–191.4 in the short-to-medium term. The yen's oversold conditions may ease temporarily, supporting a corrective GBPJPY retracement. Break below 193.5 would confirm the move toward 191.4 and eventually 187.4 – an area of institutional interest. 🔍 Trade Setup Summary (Bias: Bearish) Technical context: Short setup confirmed by structure break, divergence, and supply rejection. Macro/sentiment context: Supports a corrective pullback on the pair. Strategy: Look for intraday weakness below 195.0–194.5 → targeting 193.5, then 191.4. Invalidation: Daily/weekly close above 197.0.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
12
Lingrid | GBPJPY potential Extension after Bullish BreakoutOANDA:GBPJPY is consolidating just above the key support around 195.05 after bouncing from a higher low and failing to hold the recent breakout above PMH. The bullish structure remains intact within the upward channel, but the pair is currently lacking momentum. If price holds above 195.00 and forms a new bullish wave, a push toward 198.00 remains likely. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 194.80–195.20 Buy trigger: bullish confirmation above 195.60 Target: 198.00 Sell trigger: break below 194.80 with strong volume 💡 Risks Failure to hold 195 could shift structure to neutral Extended range may lead to choppy conditions Yen strength could trigger sudden reversals from resistance Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
3
GBPJPY – Golden Pocket Breakout SetupTimeframe: 1H | 🎯 Bias: Bullish Breakout GBPJPY is testing a key Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5–0.618) from the recent impulse leg (194.00 → 196.195). This golden pocket sits inside strong demand and could launch the next leg higher. 🔍 Technical Confluence Fib Support Zone: 195.270–195.447 (0.618–0.5) Price Action: Consolidating near golden pocket, showing rejection wicks Structure: Higher highs and higher lows intact RSI: Resetting around 45–50, leaving room for momentum buildup Next Resistance: 196.200 (previous high), then 197.300 and 198.500 🧠 Fundamental Confluence GBP Strength Drivers: BoE's "hawkish cut" tone — restrictive policy to fight sticky inflation UK macro improving: upcoming GDP & labor data could surprise to the upside Market pricing less aggressive easing compared to peers = GBP premium JPY Weakness Factors: COT RSI at 100% = overbought positioning BoJ delays normalization to 2027 Risk-on flows (VIX ~16.7) reducing safe-haven demand Macro Flows: Bullish NASDAQ + stable oil → support GBPJPY upside Macro Themes: Oil & NAS100 bullish = supports GBPJPY upside Market unwinding defensive positions = bullish for GBPJPY 🛠 Trade Plan 📥 Entry Option 1: Buy on bullish reaction from 195.27–195.45 (Fib golden pocket) 📥 Entry Option 2: Break and close above 196.200 (confirmation entry) 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 195.00 (under Fib + recent structure) 🎯 TP1: 196.80 🎯 TP2: 198.00 (measured move) 📌 “Golden pockets don’t lie when fundamentals align.”
Long
by wajahatarif
3
GBPJPY Hello Traders, There is a potential Buy opportunity on the pair, and I’d like to share it with you. The setup provides an ideal buying condition, and I’ve configured the trade with a Risk-to-Reward Ratio of 1:2. According to my personal entry model — which includes three different rating levels (a-b-c) — this setup has received the highest rating, which increases the likelihood of a successful outcome based on historical performance. 🔍 Trade Details ✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: 195.654 ✔️ Take Profit: 196.179 ✔️ Stop Loss: 195.391 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Long
by Nurlan_PT
4
GBPJPY - Major Resistance Zone Threatens Further UpsideThe GBP/JPY 4-hour chart reveals the pair is approaching a critical resistance zone around the 196.00-196.50 level, marked by the upper boundary of the highlighted rectangular area, which represents a significant technical ceiling that has been tested multiple times over the past month. This resistance level coincides with previous swing highs and appears to be acting as a formidable barrier to further upside progress, suggesting that traders should exercise heightened caution as selling pressure is likely to intensify in this area. The pair's recent rally from the May lows around 190.50 has been impressive, but the multiple rejections from this upper resistance zone indicate that institutional sellers may be positioned to defend these levels aggressively. Given the historical significance of this resistance area and the potential for profit-taking after the substantial advance, market participants should be prepared for increased volatility and possible reversal signals as the pair approaches or tests this key technical barrier, making risk management particularly crucial at current levels. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by financialflagship
2
OANDA: GBPJPY Sell SetupBased on current price action, the market has approached a key resistance level, forming equal highs—a potential signal of liquidity buildup. Subsequently, a bearish rejection has emerged, suggesting a possible reversal to the downside. As history often repeats itself, there's a strong probability that price may decline again following this structure. Trade Setup (Risk Parameters): Entry: 195.453 Stop Loss: 195.807 Target Levels: Take Profit 1: 194.774 Take Profit 2: 194.253 Take Profit 3: 193.305 I welcome your insights—feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. If you find this analysis helpful, consider boosting and following for more trade ideas. Wishing everyone safe and profitable trading!
Short
by TradesbyJV
2
GBPJPY preps for the breakoutThe interesting storyline may be developing around Japanese Yen and its cross-pairs (especially against European currencies). GBPJPY, for example, is concentrating inside of a massive trading range, as volatility for this pair has dropped to a one-year low. Yields of 30-year bonds for Japan has been peaking to a historical high, but now they start to rebound. The net position of large speculators for Japanese Yen futures on COT-reports seem to point to the overleveraged situation, which might result to quick unloading of longs and Yen sliding down quickly, which may result in a shakeout of a volatility and rapid breakouts for GBPJPY and similar pairs. Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
Long
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
2
GBPJPY Will Move Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for GBPJPY. Time Frame: 15h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 195.681. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 193.757 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
2
GBPJPY Will Go Up! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 194.411. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 196.230 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
2
Potential bullish rise?GBP/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 145% Fibonacci resistance. Pivot: 194.43 1st Support: 193.80 1st Resistance: 195.61 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
2
DeGRAM | GBPJPY reached the resistance for the third time📊 Technical Analysis ● Price stalled in the 195.5-196.0 red resistance zone and printed a bearish engulfing (labelled “bearish take-over”) after repeatedly failing at the channel roof; the pattern completes a rising-wedge false break. ● Candle has slipped back under the mid-support band 194.0-194.3 and the wedge base; sustained trade below it opens a drop toward 193.50 (prior swing shelf) then 191.80 within the broader channel. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● After May’s weak UK GDP outlook and dovish Bailey remarks, gilts out-performed JGBs for a second week, trimming the yield premium, while risk-off flows ahead of the BoJ meeting add yen demand. ✨ Summary Short ≤195.5; break beneath 194.0 targets 193.5 → 191.8, stretch 190.4. Short view void on a 4 h close above 196.0. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
2