GBP/JPY - Triangle Breakout (12.06.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 194.34
2nd Support – 193.76
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GBPJPY trade ideas
GBPJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring GBPJPY for a selling opportunity around 195.600 zone, GBPJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which in which it is approaching the trend at 195.600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPJPY at a Turning Point: Triple Top Signals Potential DeclineGBPJPY at a Turning Point: Triple Top Signals Potential Decline
Fundamental Analysis:
GBP is showing signs of weakness against the Japanese Yen following the latest UK employment data. The UK unemployment rate rose to 4.6% for the three months ending in April, while the Claimant Count Change increased by 33.1K in May.
Meanwhile, hawkish expectations for the Bank of Japan (BoJ) continue to strengthen the Japanese Yen.
Technical Analysis:
GBPJPY has encountered strong resistance near the recent highs for the third time, increasing the likelihood of a decline, as seen on the chart. The price action suggests the formation of a triple top pattern, which could trigger a deeper drop from this zone.
Targets:
🎯 194.70 🎯 193.60 🎯 192.40
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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OANDA: GBPJPY Sell SetupBased on current price action, the market has approached a key resistance level, forming equal highs—a potential signal of liquidity buildup. Subsequently, a bearish rejection has emerged, suggesting a possible reversal to the downside. As history often repeats itself, there's a strong probability that price may decline again following this structure.
Trade Setup (Risk Parameters):
Entry: 195.453
Stop Loss: 195.807
Target Levels:
Take Profit 1: 194.774
Take Profit 2: 194.253
Take Profit 3: 193.305
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Lingrid | GBPJPY potential Extension after Bullish BreakoutOANDA:GBPJPY is consolidating just above the key support around 195.05 after bouncing from a higher low and failing to hold the recent breakout above PMH. The bullish structure remains intact within the upward channel, but the pair is currently lacking momentum. If price holds above 195.00 and forms a new bullish wave, a push toward 198.00 remains likely.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 194.80–195.20
Buy trigger: bullish confirmation above 195.60
Target: 198.00
Sell trigger: break below 194.80 with strong volume
💡 Risks
Failure to hold 195 could shift structure to neutral
Extended range may lead to choppy conditions
Yen strength could trigger sudden reversals from resistance
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DeGRAM | GBPJPY reached the resistance for the third time📊 Technical Analysis
● Price stalled in the 195.5-196.0 red resistance zone and printed a bearish engulfing (labelled “bearish take-over”) after repeatedly failing at the channel roof; the pattern completes a rising-wedge false break.
● Candle has slipped back under the mid-support band 194.0-194.3 and the wedge base; sustained trade below it opens a drop toward 193.50 (prior swing shelf) then 191.80 within the broader channel.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● After May’s weak UK GDP outlook and dovish Bailey remarks, gilts out-performed JGBs for a second week, trimming the yield premium, while risk-off flows ahead of the BoJ meeting add yen demand.
✨ Summary
Short ≤195.5; break beneath 194.0 targets 193.5 → 191.8, stretch 190.4. Short view void on a 4 h close above 196.0.
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GBPJPY I Expect a Rally from the Buy Zone in the 1H Time FrameDescription:
I'm viewing the 195.116–194.845 range on GBPJPY as a strong buy zone. My target is 196.088. Once the trade setup becomes active or the target is reached, I’ll be sharing an update here. Stay tuned!
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#GBPJPY: 600+ Pips Swing Move, JPY To Drop! GBPJPY has successfully rejected the area previously identified in our analysis of GJ. We had anticipated a price rejection and reversal with a strong bullish impulse, which has materialised. Following the positive candle close on Friday, we anticipate a continuation of the bullish trend and potential reaching of the 200 mark.
When trading, it is crucial to prioritise risk management. Conduct your own analysis and utilise this information solely for educational purposes.
Three potential targets have been identified: 198, 200, and 202. A stop loss can be positioned below our buying zone, as indicated by the black-marked zone.
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GBPJPY Hello traders.
Today's first trade comes from the GBPJPY pair. The trade is currently active on my side, and I’m happy to share it with you as well.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 195.715
✔️ Take Profit: 196.260
✔️ Stop Loss: 195.444
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
GBPJPY BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 Pro Trade Plan – GBP/JPY
🗓️ Date: May 15, 2025
🧾 Style: Discretionary | Raw Price Action | Institutional Flow Logic
🧭 Market Narrative & Multi-TF View:
1H: Price coiling tightly under 196.20. Wicks showing absorption near highs. Volatility compression = breakout likely.
4H: Consolidation just below previous supply. Strong demand from 195.00 zone holding firm.
1D: Structural pivot. Buyers showing dominance with higher lows but stuck under ceiling.
Weekly: Mid-structure churn. Trend still bullish-biased, but 196.50–198.00 key resistance area.
🎯 Trade Strategy Breakdown
✅ Primary Trade Idea: Breakout Long (Pending Order)
Type: Intraday to short-term swing
Status: 🟡 Pending Breakout – Not Yet Triggered
Trigger: H1 or H4 candle close above 196.20
Order Type: Pending Buy Stop @ 196.25
Stop Loss: 195.20 (below 4H structure low)
Take Profits:
TP1: 196.80 (gap fill)
TP2: 197.50 (weekly resistance touch)
TP3: 198.20 (extended HTF supply zone)
Confidence: 🔵 80%
Reason: Solid support below, compression pattern, potential for volatility burst.
My Forecast: Breakout likely after compression. I would personally take this setup with tight control on SL if liquidity sweep occurs first.
My Forecast: This is tactical – if no clean breakout, we might trap late buyers, dip back to range low. I would only consider it if I see full rejection confirmation.
🧪 Forecast Summary & Execution Logic
✅ Most likely outcome: Breakout to upside after 196.20 breach
❗ Do not enter early — wait for candle close above 196.20
🧠 I would set a pending buy stop and watch volume at the break
❌ Avoid market buys without structure confirmation
🛠️ Final Execution Checklist:
Criteria Status
Compression below resistance ✅
Institutional liquidity nearby ✅
MTF bias aligned (1H–4H–1D) ✅
Breakout confirmation candle ⏳ Waiting
Volume + PA signal ⏳ Waiting
💬 What I Would Do:
I will only execute the Buy plan if 196.20 breaks with a solid body and confirmation on H1/H4.
I'd place a Buy Stop @ 196.25 with a defined SL.
If price rejects violently with a proper reversal signal, I’ll shift focus to the tactical short plan but with reduced size.
No market orders pre-break — disciplined entry only.
GBPJPY WEEKLY HTF FORECAST Q2 W25 Y25GBPJPY WEEKLY HTF FORECAST Q2 W25 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Price has shown reactions here both as support and resistance. Chart Analysis Summary:
Timeframe: 1H (1 Hour)
Instrument: GBP/JPY (OANDA broker)
Analysis Type: Price Action / Supply & Demand Zones
🔍 Key Observations:
Supply Zone (Resistance Area):
The top green box (around 196.500 - 196.800) represents a supply zone.
Price is projected to reach this zone before reversing.
This area has historically rejected price, suggesting strong seller presence.
Bearish Projection:
A bearish arrow shows the expectation that price will reverse from the supply zone.
The chartist anticipates a drop after hitting this resistance.
Demand Zone (Support Area):
The bottom green box (around 194.300 - 194.600) marks a demand zone.
It’s the potential target area where price might find support and possibly bounce again.
Market Structure:
The chart indicates a potential lower high formation after price hits resistance.
This structure supports a bearish scenario toward the demand zone.
📉 Trade Idea (Implied):
Sell setup near the 196.600 - 196.800 resistance zone.
Take profit around the 194.400 demand zone.
Risk: Price might break above the supply zone, invalidating the bearish scenario.
Price has shown reactions here both as support and resistance.📊 GBPJPY 4H Technical Analysis Overview:
The chart displays a well-structured range-bound market with price moving between key supply and demand zones, suggesting potential for both continuation and reversal setups.
🔹 Key Zones:
Resistance Zone (Supply): 196.300 – 196.700
Price has previously reversed from this area multiple times, indicating strong selling pressure.
Mid-level Support/Resistance Zone: Around 194.300 – 194.800
This zone is acting as a decision point; price has shown reactions here both as support and resistance.
Major Demand Zone: 191.700 – 192.200
Strong historical buying pressure from this level, likely to act as a key support if price drops.
🔀 Price Projections:
Bullish Scenario:
A short-term push towards the resistance zone could occur, testing the 196.500 region before any major move.
Bearish Scenario (Primary Projection):
If price gets rejected from the resistance zone, we may see a bearish reversal breaking through the mid-support zone and eventually targeting the lower demand zone (around 192.000).
📌 Outlook:
Price is currently approaching a critical resistance area. Watch for signs of rejection or confirmation before entering short positions. A clean break below the 194.300 support zone would validate the bearish continuation setup.
GBPUSD reaches resistance zone: Watching for potential reversalOANDA:GBPJPY has reached a pretty significant resistance level, that has been an obvious turning point in the past, with several strong reversals from the area. So naturally, I’m watching to see how price reacts here again.
If we get confirmation of rejection (what I usually watch for: like a bearish engulfing candle, long upper wicks or signs of increased selling pressure), I’ll be looking for short setups from there.
🟥 My sell idea is based on the expectation that this resistance will hold. I would be targeting a move down toward the 192.000 level, which I feel is a realistic and clean target, especially if price respects this structure again.
But if price breaks above and starts holding strong above the zone, then I’ll back off the bearish bias and reassess, and I’d consider the bearish idea invalidated, with potential for further upside 🚀
Just sharing how I see the chart right now, not financial advice 💕✨
GBPJPY follow the ascending channel selling from supply zoneGBPJPY Update – 1H Timeframe
Price is respecting the ascending channel and currently reacting from a key supply zone at 166.100. Sellers are stepping in!
🎯 Technical Targets: 🔻 1st Target: 195.000 – Major Demand Zone
🔻 2nd Target: 193.300 – Bullish Order Block / Demand Zone
Structure still bullish overall, but short-term correction in play.
💡 Smart money eyes the zones — are you ready?
👇 Don’t forget to:
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— Livia 💋
GBPJPY Strong rebound. Buy opportunity.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within an Ascending Triangle pattern. Today's geopolitics made the price form its latest Higher Low at the bottom of the pattern, which also coincided with a 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) test, and rebounded.
That was a clear buy signal on the 4H RSI Support that signaled the last three bottom buys. Our Target is the top of the pattern at 196.300.
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GBPJPY Eyes Reversal from Resistance – Bears Geting ReadyHey Traders,
OANDA:GBPJPY is currently testing a key resistance zone around 195.75 - 196.35, showing early signs of rejection. The pair recently completed a bullish impulse, but bearish pressure is creeping in as price forms a potential lower high-suggesting a possible shift in structure.
Current Market Conditions:
Price is reacting to a historically significant resistance near 196.35, which has capped previous rallies.
Bearish engulfing candle near this zone signals exhaustion of bullish momentum.
A break below 195.00 would confirm a short-term trend reversal, with room for a deeper pullback.
Next major support lies at 193.51, which aligns with previous demand and consolidation zones.
Fundamental Analysis/Outlook:
Today’s UK labor market data showed slowing wage growth, reducing pressure on the Bank of England to maintain a hawkish stance. Meanwhile, JPY strength is creeping in as market participants remain cautious ahead of upcoming BoJ announcements. This divergence in monetary policy outlooks may fuel further downside in GBPJPY.
Targets:
TP1: 194.79
TP2: 193.51
TP3 (extended): 192.20 (if risk sentiment sharply worsens)
Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: Above 196.35 to invalidate bearish bias.
Maintain proper position sizing.
Wait for confirmation of a lower high or trendline break before aggressive entry.
Technical Outlook:
Potential bearish structure forming.
Resistance held multiple times between 195.75 – 196.35.
Rejection candles and a break of recent support would favor sellers.
Conclusion:
If price confirms rejection at current levels, bears could take control toward 193.50 support. Keep an eye on momentum shifts and key price action signals for confirmation.
Sign-off:
"Markets move on conviction, not hope. Trade what you see, not what you feel."
I would love to hear your thoughts in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and profitable trading to you all!
GBPJPY Selling strong from bearish order block📉 GBPJPY Technical Outlook – 4H Chart
GBPJPY has been respecting the ascending channel, but we’re now seeing selling pressure emerging from a bearish order block near 196.100.
🔻 Short-Term Bearish Bias
Key Technical Targets:
🔸 1st Target: 194.200
🔸 2nd Target: 192.300
📌 Potential Reversal Zone:
Bullish order block spotted around 190.200, watch for possible reaction there.
Stay sharp, trade safe!
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— Livia 😜
GBPJPY At the Top? Massive Liquidity Grab📈 1. Price Action & Key Technical Levels (Daily Chart)
Price reached a major supply zone between 196.0 and 197.0, showing clear rejection (weekly pin bar and a lower high structure relative to the previous peak).
The long-term descending trendline acted as resistance again.
A confirmed rising wedge pattern broke to the downside, with first target around 191.4, and extended target near 187.4 (key demand zone with historical confluence).
Weekly RSI shows a bearish divergence vs price highs – an additional signal of bullish exhaustion.
📊 2. COT Data (as of June 3, 2025)
GBP (British Pound)
Net long positions increased by +30,371 contracts (Commercial + Non-Commercial).
Non-Commercials: 103,672 long vs 68,457 short → net long +35,215 but the increase is relatively modest.
Commercials are increasing both long and short positions, but the net delta supports medium-term GBP resilience.
JPY (Japanese Yen)
Net short worsened by -13,566 contracts.
Non-Commercials are cutting longs and adding shorts → aggressive yen selling.
Commercials remain heavily short (275,659 vs 100,151 long).
➡️ COT Conclusion: GBP remains structurally strong, but the JPY is now extremely oversold, increasing the likelihood of a technical correction in favor of JPY (GBPJPY pullback).
📉 3. Retail Sentiment
72% of retail traders are short GBPJPY, with an average entry at 191.2.
Current price is above 195.8 → a liquidity sweep above retail shorts may have already occurred.
The order book shows a heavy sell cluster between 195.0–195.9 → potential zone of manipulation/liquidation.
➡️ Contrarian view: After sweeping liquidity above retail highs, we may now see downside pressure to clean out breakout longs.
📅 4. Seasonality
June tends to be neutral to bearish:
5-year average: +0.45% (weak gain)
10- and 15-year averages: -1.24% and -1.30%
Historically, the first 10 days of June often mark a local top, followed by a decline – consistent with the current price structure.
🧠 5. Macro-Technical Confluence
The broader setup points to a distribution phase between 195.5–196.5, with high probability of a technical pullback toward 193.5–191.4 in the short-to-medium term.
The yen's oversold conditions may ease temporarily, supporting a corrective GBPJPY retracement.
Break below 193.5 would confirm the move toward 191.4 and eventually 187.4 – an area of institutional interest.
🔍 Trade Setup Summary (Bias: Bearish)
Technical context: Short setup confirmed by structure break, divergence, and supply rejection.
Macro/sentiment context: Supports a corrective pullback on the pair.
Strategy: Look for intraday weakness below 195.0–194.5 → targeting 193.5, then 191.4.
Invalidation: Daily/weekly close above 197.0.