GBPJPY trade ideas
GBP/JPY: Yen Strength Pushes Price Toward Key SupportGBP/JPY has posted a decline of more than 3% over the last four trading sessions, with bearish momentum growing as the market increasingly favors the Japanese yen in the short term. Demand for the yen has risen sharply since last week, when Donald Trump announced a minimum 10% tariff on all imports into the United States. This was further reinforced today by new comments proposing additional 50% tariffs on China, following Beijing’s announcement of countermeasures against the U.S.
The yen is historically considered one of the safest currencies, and the recent surge in uncertainty has helped it hold strong against the British pound.
Wide Sideways Range
The pair remains within a broad long-term range, bounded by a ceiling near 198.676 and a floor around 186.932. Although recent selling has brought the pair close to the lower boundary, price action has not yet been strong enough to break this level, keeping the sideways channel as the dominant technical formation to watch for now.
MACD
The MACD indicator has started to show a shift in market momentum, with the histogram oscillating below the zero line. This reflects ongoing bearish pressure based on recent moving average behavior, and as long as this pattern persists, selling momentum in GBP/JPY may become increasingly relevant in the coming sessions.
RSI
The RSI also reflects a bearish tone, with the line currently holding below the 50 level. However, the indicator is gradually approaching the oversold zone near the 30 level, which is typically where selling pressure may begin to ease, potentially opening the door for short-term bullish corrections.
Key Levels:
192.493 – Key resistance: Located in the middle of the broader range and roughly aligned with the 200-period moving average. Persistent price action near this level may signal the beginning of a bullish bias in the short term.
190.144 – Tentative zone: This level may act as a potential area for short-term bullish corrections.
186.932 – Current support: Positioned at the bottom of the broader range. If price action breaks below this level, it could pave the way for a much more significant downtrend in the sessions ahead.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
GBPJPY Long4H main structure is bearish, the 1H internal structure is bullish which could be the beginning of the 4H pullback.
3 possible entries depending on how aggressive the sellers will be on the 15M pullback or if price breaks above the current range and holds the forming a new support, that could be a possible entry.
GBP/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GBP/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 193.172
Target Level: 187.511
Stop Loss: 196.946
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GJ-Mon-7/04/25 Top down analysis-Hedging into safe haven YENAnalysis done directly on the chart
A lot has been happening macro economically recently.
Stay informed, follow the global news.
Financial Juice is a great website, app to stay up to date.
It's really easy to get lost in the market, start educating
yourself.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
[_] ONENTRY
GBP/JPY - ‘2FIB Strategy’ by ONENTRY
Timeframe: 30 Minutes
Session: London & New York
Step 1: Identify the Overnight Range
Mark the high and low of the price range between 00:00 - 06:30 (+1GMT).
Wait for a clear breakout with a candle closing above (for longs) or below (for shorts) this range.
Step 2: Apply Fibonacci Levels
After the breakout, use the Fibonacci retracement tool:
Anchor Point 1: Start at the close of the breakout candle body.
Anchor Point 2: Drag to the start of the impulse move - first candle body of the range.
Key level for entry: 0.5 and 0.35 retracement.
Step 3: Trade Execution
Entry: Enter on a pullback to 0.5 and 0.35 Fib level after the breakout.
Stop Loss :
Long trades: Below the low of the breakout candle’s body
Short trades: Above the high of the breakout candle’s body.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.0 Fib
TP2: 1.25 Fib extension.
TP3: 1.6 FIB extension
TP4: 2.3 Fib extension (runner position).
Step 4: Trade Management
Move SL to breakeven when price hits TP1.
Close the running trade before midnight.
!!! Always Test The Strategy !!!
GBPJPYThe chart shows the expected movement of GBPJPY. First, I anticipate the price to push up to 195.423 , as indicated by the white line. This represents a bullish move before the market reverses. Once GBPJPY reaches this resistance level, I expect the price to drop back down to the support zone at **184.50**, marked by the blue line.
The **184.50** level is a key support area where the price may react. If it reaches this level, there is a possibility of a bounce or consolidation before the next move.
LONG ON GBP/JPYGJ has Taken a dive since last week.
The Jpy Index is now over brought and should begin falling.
This will cause most of the XXX/JPY pairs to rise.
EJ, NJ, and GJ all look great for a buying opp.
GJ has a morning star on the 15min TF, I am waiting for price to pullback to the FVG or demand area on the 15min TF before entering long.
This is a sell limit order risking 65 pips to make over 300 pips.
See you at the top.
GBPJPY TODAY FORECASTIn this forecast we're analyzing 2H time frame for GBPJPY. Today I'm looking for a potential buy trade setup. According to my analysis and strategy when price enters in my key levels as shown in the chart and give any bullish confirmation like candlestick pattern or price action. After taking confirmation we'll trigger our trade. Confirmation is most important part of this analysis.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis. Further updates related this analysis will posted soon once price reach our levels.
#GBPJPY 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
GBPJPY Bullish Setup – 15-Minute Timeframe AnalysisA Market Structure Shift (MSS) has been identified on the 15-minute timeframe, signaling a potential bullish run for GBPJPY.
Before the bullish momentum unfolds, the market is expected to retrace and mitigate an Order Block (OB) below the current price. This move will likely induce retail traders to sell, creating liquidity for smart money to fuel the upside movement.
Once this liquidity grab is complete, I anticipate a strong move to the upside, targeting the 195.70 level, which aligns with key liquidity resting from last week’s bearish trend.
This setup presents a classic liquidity sweep and OB mitigation pattern often seen in smart money playbooks.
GBPJPY Downtrend ContinuationWhat do you guys anticipated on GBPJPY next week?
Are we going to see her to continue its downtrend?
If yes, where are you plan to join?
So, what's with my supply zone?
1. H4 H1 says the same, downtrend
2. Supply zone with imbalance
3. SBR also present, can be where the price going to reverse (it's not my entry zone, I don't mind of missing)
For this trading cycle, I will only targeted 1:2RR only and see how it goes.
Have a wonderful trading week guys, remember to follow your system, makes it consistent.
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GBPJPY Will Fall! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 189.486.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 183.143 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPJPY next week bias Good day traders, hope we all made money following the resent market volatility but regardless we back again on the job.
GBPJPY on the daily TF we had a market structure shift lower falling in line with the weekly structure, going into the new week we’d like to see the market open higher and give up ICT’s power of 3 which basically means we wanna see price go against our bias(sells) Monday and Tuesday and maybe till morning Wednesday. On the TF shown here 4hour TF we can also see that price shifted lower now using the OTE that ICT explains in his 2022 model, we will only consider taking our sells once price starts rejecting the FIB levels above.