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GBPJPY trade ideas

GBP/JPY showing the Bulls some love !!As i write this down GBP/JPY teases us with a triangle on a 1h timeframe with a break and test... and maybe a confirmation? 195.00 level is also there - giving us extra confirmation the YEN showed some strength since the year began maybe because of the ongoing Japanese fiscal year ending up in march, but since we are talking about fiscal years, UK's fiscal year concludes in April ! ( during fiscal year end companies tend to repatriate their offshore capital for several reasons: Tax Optimization, Financial Reporting, Dividend Payments, Debt Servicing, Currency Exchange Considerations, Strategic Investments) - this ensure a increased demand for the specific currency making it raise in value ( supply and demand 101) so where are we at right now: - Fundamentals favor the GBP in the near term future ( other fundamentals must be taken into consideration - do some research tell me what you find) - Technically we see an opportunity to profit for the coming fundamentals even tough is a good chance this setup is not the start line of the race upwards when it comes to Taking profits the only level that comes into mind is 198.200 (not a guarantee but a possibility) - Other Technical's the currency sits above the YTD Anchored VWAP and the march Anchored VWAP for some time now, in terms of Market Structure we see higher highs on the 4h/Daily and previous highs taken out ( feb high and Jan high) - this an uptrend no doubt For day traders: on the lower timeframes we see some head & Shoulders formations gearing up 1min_ chart completed H&S 5m_chart H&S in construction - and if I'm stretching my luck a bit maybe another H&S on the 15 min that's all there is to it! Whatever your trading remember to take the risks into consideration and always do your own analysis before taking a decision !! I'm still new to sharing ideas on the community - don't start throwing rocks now if your Bearish :D -Not financial Advice !
Long
by Chrispy3000
GBP/JPY SELL SETUP 250 PIPS1️⃣ Macro Fundamental Analysis (GBP vs. JPY) 🔹 Interest Rate Differentials (Carry Trade Impact) Bank of England (GBP) The BoE has kept rates high to fight inflation. Higher GBP rates → capital inflows into GBP assets. Bullish for GBP/JPY. Bank of Japan (JPY) BoJ is still ultra-dovish, keeping negative/low interest rates. Japan’s government wants a weak yen to support exports. Bearish for JPY, Bullish for GBP/JPY (carry trade flows into GBP). 📊 Institutional View: Hedge funds & large investors prefer long GBP/JPY due to high interest rate spreads. GBP/JPY remains fundamentally bullish due to carry trade inflows. 🔹 Global Risk Sentiment (Risk-On vs. Risk-Off) GBP/JPY is a "risk-on" pair → it rises when markets are bullish and falls when investors seek safety. If stock markets are bullish, GBP/JPY tends to rise. If there’s a global crisis, investors move into JPY (safe-haven), causing GBP/JPY to fall. Current Market Sentiment: Stock markets are uncertain, but no full risk-off move yet. Watch equity markets & US bond yields for risk sentiment confirmation. 📊 Institutional View: Mild risk-on bias → GBP/JPY has support, but volatility remains high. 🔹 Institutional Positioning (COT Data & Hedge Fund Flows) Hedge funds have been buying GBP against JPY due to the rate differential. Commitment of Traders (COT) Report: Shows institutional investors are still net long GBP/JPY but reducing positions. Some profit-taking could lead to short-term downside. 📊 Institutional View: Long-term institutional bias is bullish, but hedge funds may reduce positions if risk-off sentiment increases. 2️⃣ Technical Analysis (ITPM Style) – Multi-Timeframe Breakdown 🔹 GBP/JPY (Daily Timeframe) 📈 Trend: Still in an uptrend, but approaching resistance. 📌 Key Resistance: 195.00 - 196.00 📌 Key Support: 191.00 - 190.00 🔹 Price is struggling at resistance near 194.00. 🔹 Possible pullback to 191.50 - 192.00 before resuming higher. 🔹 GBP/JPY (H4 Timeframe) 📉 Short-Term Weakness, but Still in an Uptrend Channel 📌 Key Level to Watch: 192.50 - 193.00 🔹 Bearish Rejection at 194.00, but still inside an uptrend structure. 🔹 If price breaks below 192.50, a deeper correction to 191.00 is likely. 🔹 GBP/JPY (H1 Timeframe) 📉 Intraday Weakness, Watch 192.50 for Breakdown 📌 Key Levels: Resistance: 193.50 - 194.00 Support: 192.50 (short-term support), 191.50 (stronger support) 📊 Institutional View: Intraday traders may take short positions below 192.50, targeting 191.50 - 191.00. 3️⃣ Institutional Trade Setup (ITPM Style) 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Short-Term Correction) Entry: Sell below 192.50 (Break of key support). Target: 191.50 → 190.00 (support zone). Stop-Loss: Above 193.50. Rationale: Short-term hedge funds taking profits → minor pullback in bullish trend.
Short
by ShinForex1
GBP/JPY LOOKING TO GO LONGGBP/JPY 15M - Morning people, I thought I would bring you some analysis for this pair, I am wanting to see bullishness longer term with this pair. As we know the prevailing trend is a bullish one. The JPY is seen as one of the weaker currencies and the GBP is seen as one of the major currencies in the world. That aside we are seeing price respect areas of Demand and we have recently seen price trade down to clear an area. Breaking structure both fractally and on the higher timeframes I am led to believe that this market is now ready to print in a new bullish leg to the upside, giving us reason to to buy in. I just want to see price pullback trading down and into the Demand Zone I have got marked out below, once we see price trade in I am then expecting to see price break structure again fractally giving us the entry confirmation we need to go long.
Long
by Lukegforex
GBP/JPY Bearish Rejection – Short Trade Setup!🔹 Trendline Rejection ❌📈 Price tested the descending trendline and got rejected. Bearish pressure increasing! 🚨 🔹 Resistance Zone (📍193.6 - 194.0) 🔵 Strong selling zone 📉 Stop Loss placed at 194.013 🚫 🔹 Support Zone (📍193.0) 🟦 Price might bounce here temporarily 🤔 If it breaks below, expect further drop 🚀📉 🔹 Target Level (📍192.311) 🎯 Bearish Target ✅ Ideal Take Profit 🏆 Trade Setup 💼 🔸 Entry: 📍193.5 - 193.6 📉 🔸 Stop Loss: ❌ 194.0 🚫 🔸 Take Profit: ✅ 192.3 🎯 Final Verdict: Sell Setup Active! 📉🔥 Watch for confirmation before entering! 👀🚀
Short
by Jameshead007
GBPJPY Under Pressure: Potential Sell Opportunity.The GBPJPY pair has recently broken structure to the downside on the 4-hour timeframe, signaling bearish momentum. The pair is currently under significant selling pressure, with price action suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend. Here's a deeper analysis of the situation: Market Structure: The recent break of structure to the downside indicates that sellers are in control. The pair has failed to reclaim previous highs, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Key Levels: Range High: The stop-loss level should be placed above the recent range high to manage risk effectively. This level acts as a key invalidation point for the bearish setup. 🚫 Range Low: The target is the previous range low, which aligns with a strong support zone. This level could act as a magnet for price, given the current bearish momentum. 🎯 Bearish Pressure: The pair is trading below key moving averages (e.g., 50 EMA and 200 EMA on the 4-hour chart), further confirming the bearish bias. Additionally, momentum indicators like RSI and MACD may show bearish divergence or oversold conditions, which could provide further confluence for the trade idea. 📊 Risk Management: As always, proper risk management is crucial. Ensure that the position size aligns with your trading plan, and avoid over-leveraging. 🔒 Fundamental Context: Keep an eye on any GBP or JPY-related news that could impact the pair, such as central bank decisions, economic data releases, or geopolitical developments. These factors could either accelerate or invalidate the current technical setup. 📰 Disclaimer ⚠️ This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any trading decisions. 📢
Short
by fxtraderanthony
GBP/JPY Entry IdeaGiven the multitude of the wick rejection on the 4hr timeframe, the consistent downtrend on the weekly and how price is returning to the key area, I am still bearish on price. I will be looking for any significant signs of rejection off the key area on the 15min timeframe, in which I will be going short. Price is doing its "drop, base, drop" motion. Should price break and close above the blue line strongly on the 1hr/4hr, I will be looking to go long as this would be a market shift.
Short
by BossManXO
GBPJPY H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 194.70, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 193.08, a pullback support. The stop loss is set at 196.03, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM