GBPJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D13 Y25GBPJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D13 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Gap fill
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPJPY trade ideas
GBPUSD - SHORTI'm currently holding a bearish bias on GBP/JPY, anticipating a short-term correction after recent overbought conditions. Price action shows signs of exhaustion, and I'm expecting a move downward to fill the Fair Value Gaps (FVG) left behind during the previous bullish impulse.
Trade Rationale:
Overbought Conditions: After a strong upside move, price has reached a zone where buyers are losing momentum, hinting at a potential reversal or pullback.
Imbalance/FVG Zones: Clear inefficiencies exist below current price levels, and I expect the market to retrace to fill these imbalances as part of its natural rebalancing.
Structure & Supply: The market is showing reaction near a significant supply zone, which could act as the catalyst for bearish continuation.
Target Zones:
TP1: First demand zone where minor support may form — partials can be taken here.
TP2: Deeper demand zone aligned with previous consolidation — a high-probability area for price to react and potentially reverse or consolidate again.
Risk Management:
Stops are placed just above recent highs, invalidating the idea if the market breaks structure and continues bullish. The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio aligned with smart money concepts like imbalance fills and demand/supply reactions.
📉 Plan: Waiting for clear bearish confirmation (e.g., lower timeframe break of structure) before fully committing to the short position.
GBPJPY SHORT Trend: Strong recent bullish momentum.
Current Price: ~195.458 JPY.
Setup: A short (sell) position is marked, suggesting a potential reversal.
Stop-Loss: Around 195.924.
Take-Profit: Around 193.649.
Volume: Spiked during the breakout, now stabilizing.
EMA 200: Price is well above, indicating strong upward bias, but overbought risk.
GBP/JPY Fibo ResistanceGBP/JPY has been on a run with more than 1,000 pips gained on the pair from the April 9th low around the 185.00 handle. There's been a few different clean setups, as well, such as the ascending triangle when the 190.00 level was holding as resistance, and then support.
The BoJ rate decision helped to prod JPY weakness and then there's been widespread continuation of risk-on so far to start this week. There's also some important context for the bullish continuation theme given this week's early rally...
The long-term gap from back in 2008 continues to carry weight and we saw that last week as the bottom of that gap at 193.61 held as resistance. The top of that gap sits at 198.08 and this was resistance when it was last in-play on January 7th.
At this point there's also Fibonacci resistance at 195.66 coming in to hold the highs, and this sets the stage for a higher-low at either 195.00 or 193.61. A show of support there opens the door for bullish continuation, and the top of that gap would be an ideal area for resistance to show at or around 198.08. Also of interest is a shorter-term Fibonacci level at 197.41 which is confluent with the psychological level of 197.50. - js
GBP JPY SELL SET UP🔥 GBPJPY Sell Setup – Clean & Calculated 🔥
Here’s the play on GBPJPY 👇
🧠 Working off key resistance zones + multiple reaction points
⚠️ Trigger: A weak high lining up perfectly with validated resistance
🎯 Plan:
3 Entries: Top, Mid & Bottom of the zone
Targeting the 2H Bullish Order Block for the exit
Simple structure. Solid logic. No overcomplication.
⚖️ Risk Profile:
Fully managed
Starting with a clean 4:1 R:R
High probability setup with a smart edge
Let’s see how price respects the zone — discipline over emotion every time. 🧘♂️
💬 Chart coming next. Drop your thoughts or ask questions in the group!
#GBPJPY #ForexTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #OrderBlocks #PriceAction #SellSetup #RiskReward #FundedTrader #TradingCommunity #LearnToTrade
Price ready to break up and out of the year W Pattern to 205.66GBP/JPY seems to be one of the favourite Forex pairs when it comes to breakouts in 2025.
It's taken 5 MONTHS for a breakout, which we have only gotten as of TODAY.
THere are a number of reasons for the upside and the upside to come including:
📉 Reduced Safe-Haven Demand for Yen
Improved U.S.-China trade relations have lessened global economic uncertainties, diminishing the appeal of the Japanese Yen as a safe-haven asset.
🔄 Widening UK-Japan Yield Differential
The divergence in monetary policies, with the UK maintaining higher interest rates compared to Japan's accommodative stance, has increased the yield differential, attracting investors to the Pound.
And let's look at the technicals which are LEADING the analysis.
W Formation
Price>20 and 200MA
Target 205.66
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPJPY Sell Setup- Go for sell when setup given
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR
- keep looking for sell even if price goes one more up
- in any case GJ has to come down
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GBPJPY Sell Setup – Closing the Weekend Gap
The market opened with a clear gap and price has now pulled back into a premium zone. I’m shorting here with a 1:2 risk-reward targeting the gap fill below. If momentum holds, we should see price drive back toward the 193.10 region.
📉 Risk: 1%
🎯 Reward: 2%
🔍 Timeframe: 15m
Let’s see how she plays out 👀