GBPJPY What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GBPJPY next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 193.34
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 194.37
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPJPY trade ideas
GBPJPY Hello Traders,
There is a potential Buy opportunity on the pair, and I’d like to share it with you.
The setup provides an ideal buying condition, and I’ve configured the trade with a Risk-to-Reward Ratio of 1:2.
According to my personal entry model — which includes three different rating levels (a-b-c) — this setup has received the highest rating, which increases the likelihood of a successful outcome based on historical performance.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 195.654
✔️ Take Profit: 196.179
✔️ Stop Loss: 195.391
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
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GBPJPY – Golden Pocket Breakout SetupTimeframe: 1H | 🎯 Bias: Bullish Breakout
GBPJPY is testing a key Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5–0.618) from the recent impulse leg (194.00 → 196.195). This golden pocket sits inside strong demand and could launch the next leg higher.
🔍 Technical Confluence
Fib Support Zone: 195.270–195.447 (0.618–0.5)
Price Action: Consolidating near golden pocket, showing rejection wicks
Structure: Higher highs and higher lows intact
RSI: Resetting around 45–50, leaving room for momentum buildup
Next Resistance: 196.200 (previous high), then 197.300 and 198.500
🧠 Fundamental Confluence
GBP Strength Drivers:
BoE's "hawkish cut" tone — restrictive policy to fight sticky inflation
UK macro improving: upcoming GDP & labor data could surprise to the upside
Market pricing less aggressive easing compared to peers = GBP premium
JPY Weakness Factors:
COT RSI at 100% = overbought positioning
BoJ delays normalization to 2027
Risk-on flows (VIX ~16.7) reducing safe-haven demand
Macro Flows: Bullish NASDAQ + stable oil → support GBPJPY upside
Macro Themes:
Oil & NAS100 bullish = supports GBPJPY upside
Market unwinding defensive positions = bullish for GBPJPY
🛠 Trade Plan
📥 Entry Option 1: Buy on bullish reaction from 195.27–195.45 (Fib golden pocket)
📥 Entry Option 2: Break and close above 196.200 (confirmation entry)
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 195.00 (under Fib + recent structure)
🎯 TP1: 196.80
🎯 TP2: 198.00 (measured move)
📌 “Golden pockets don’t lie when fundamentals align.”
GBP)JPY) Technical analysis setup Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of GBP/JPY (British Pound / Japanese Yen) on the 3-hour timeframe using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and structure-based patterns.
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Market Overview
Current Price: 193.808
EMA 200: 193.100 (acting as dynamic support)
RSI (14): 42.24 → Neutral/Bearish territory
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Two Possible Scenarios (Bullish & Bearish)
Bullish Scenario
Zone of Interest: 193.1–193.5 (support area)
Price is hovering just above the support level and 200 EMA.
Double green arrows mark previous rejections = demand zone.
If price respects support and forms a higher low:
Possible rally to:
First Target: 196.415
Second Target: 198.838
Bearish Scenario
If price breaks below the yellow support zone and 200 EMA:
Clean path down to:
Target Point: 190.098 (marked strong support zone)
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Zones of Importance
Support Level: 193.0–193.5 (minor support, under retest)
Strong Support Level: ~190.1 (high probability bounce zone)
Target Resistances:
196.415 (intermediate high)
198.838 (major resistance / swing high)
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Trade Plan Summary
Direction Entry Zone SL Target R/R Potential
Long 193.1–193.5 Below 193.0 196.4 / 198.8 1:2 to 1:3+
Short Below 193.0 Above 194.0 190.1 1:2+
Mr SMC Trading point
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Additional Notes
Watch price action closely at the support zone before entry.
RSI shows some bearish momentum but not oversold yet.
The outcome may be influenced by JPY strength and macro events (check economic calendar).
pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
GBPJPY - Major Resistance Zone Threatens Further UpsideThe GBP/JPY 4-hour chart reveals the pair is approaching a critical resistance zone around the 196.00-196.50 level, marked by the upper boundary of the highlighted rectangular area, which represents a significant technical ceiling that has been tested multiple times over the past month. This resistance level coincides with previous swing highs and appears to be acting as a formidable barrier to further upside progress, suggesting that traders should exercise heightened caution as selling pressure is likely to intensify in this area. The pair's recent rally from the May lows around 190.50 has been impressive, but the multiple rejections from this upper resistance zone indicate that institutional sellers may be positioned to defend these levels aggressively. Given the historical significance of this resistance area and the potential for profit-taking after the substantial advance, market participants should be prepared for increased volatility and possible reversal signals as the pair approaches or tests this key technical barrier, making risk management particularly crucial at current levels.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPJPY at Key Resistance – Will Sellers Step In Again?Once again, GBPJPY has reached a key resistance level, which previously acted as a clear turning point, with several strong reversals from this level. Therefore, it’s worth watching the reaction from here once again, especially for anyone considering shorting this pair.
If we get rejection confirmation, such as a bearish engulfing candle, long upper wick, or signs of increasing selling pressure, I will look for short setups from there. My short idea is based on the expectation that this resistance will hold, with a target to move down to the 192.000 level, which I feel is the most suitable for this setup.
However, if the price breaks above and confirms above this zone, then the bearish setup will be immediately invalidated and reassessed, and I will consider this idea invalid, with further upside potential.
Just my view on resistance and support, not financial advice.
GBPJPY - Bullish CRAB / BAT reversal pattern formation Either the market break the X point of remain under the X :
if the market breaks the X point and reaches FIB level of 1.618 then its a CRAB pattern, otherwise if the market remain below the X point with fib levels 0.886 then its a BAT pattern.
Nonetheless, both pattern depict reversal and we expect our entry after confirmation from followed by series of LH and LL.
Entry and SL points are mentioned.
gbpjpy sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
GBPJPY: 1050+ Pips Move! Will JPY continue dropping? In our previous analysis, we anticipated a similar move for GBPJPY, but the price dropped a bit further than expected. It’s now in a position to buy long, but please use accurate risk management as JPY pairs are likely to remain more volatile than ever. There are three targets you can keep an eye on: 197, then 200. Remember, trading involves risk, so make your own decisions.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
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GBP_JPY WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅GBP_JPY went up sharply
But a strong resistance level was hit at 196.400
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 195.671
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GJ-Thu-5/06/25 TDA-Big pump and dump, pre and after US news!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Trading news is not profitable long term, unless
you are really good fundamental analysis!
Yes, you might get lucky sometime that price
goes to your favor, but without a clear understanding,
bad risk management, no strategy you'll likely to lose
all the profits you make.
It's not just about making profits, you have to consistently
making it and keep the profits you make.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPJPY is currently respecting a clean ascending triangle formation on the 4H chart, with the 193.00 area acting as a strong support zone and higher lows continuing to form. This structure signals bullish pressure building up, and a breakout above the key resistance near 196.50 could trigger the next impulsive leg toward the 198.00 target. Price action is compressing along a clear trendline, and bulls are steadily stepping in on each dip—showing a textbook bullish continuation setup.
From a macro perspective, the yen remains fundamentally weak as the Bank of Japan maintains its ultra-loose monetary stance despite global tightening cycles. In contrast, the British pound is drawing strength from resilient UK economic data and expectations of at least one more rate hike from the Bank of England due to sticky core inflation. The widening yield differential between UK gilts and Japanese bonds continues to support GBPJPY upside, which is also visible in the broader risk-on market sentiment as equities hold firm globally.
Technically, GBPJPY has consistently respected trendline support and is coiling tightly under a known resistance zone, signaling that momentum is building for a significant move. Once the pair clears the 196.50 liquidity area, price is likely to surge quickly toward 198.00 as buy stops get activated. The 191.70–192.00 region remains the key invalidation level for this bullish outlook, and as long as that support holds, this setup remains highly favorable for bulls.
This pair is showing strong confluence of technical structure and fundamental drivers. A breakout above the triangle’s upper boundary could present a high-probability long opportunity with minimal drawdown. With momentum aligning and market sentiment supporting GBP strength, this could be a prime move to capture in the coming sessions.
GBPJPYGBP/JPY Current 10-Year Bond Yield and Interest Rate Differential (June 2025)
1. Japan 10-Year Government Bond Yield
As of early June 2025, the Japan 10-year government bond yield is approximately 1.50% to 1.52%.
The yield rose by about 18 basis points in May 2025, closing near 1.50%, influenced by global yield increases, Moody’s US credit downgrade, and reduced BoJ purchases of super-long bonds.
The Bank of Japan maintains a very accommodative monetary policy with a policy rate around 0.50%, and the yield curve control program continues to cap longer-term yields, though with some recent volatility.
2. UK 10-Year Government Bond Yield (Gilt)
While the exact current UK 10-year gilt yield is not explicitly in the search results, typical recent yields for UK 10-year bonds have been around 3.5% to 4.0% in mid-2025, reflecting tighter monetary policy by the Bank of England amid inflation concerns.
The Bank of England’s policy rate is higher than Japan’s, around 4.5% to 5.0%, consistent with the higher gilt yields.
3. Interest Rate Differential
Using approximate yields:
UK 10-year gilt yield: ~3.75% (midpoint estimate)
Japan 10-year JGB yield: ~1.50%
The 10-year bond yield differential (UK minus Japan) is roughly:
3.75%−1.50%=2.25%
This positive differential indicates UK bonds offer significantly higher yields than Japanese bonds, reflecting the divergent monetary policies and economic conditions.
Summary Table
Metric United Kingdom (GBP) Japan (JPY) Differential (GBP - JPY)
10-Year Government Bond Yield ~3.5% - 4.0% ~1.50% ~2.25%
Policy Interest Rate ~4.5% - 5.0% ~0.50% ~4.0%
Implications for GBP/JPY
The higher UK bond yields relative to Japan suggest a carry advantage for GBP over JPY, encouraging investors to hold GBP assets funded by low-yielding JPY.
According to uncovered interest rate parity (UIP), this yield gap implies the GBP should depreciate against JPY by about 2.25% annually to offset the higher returns, but in practice, GBP/JPY movements also depend on risk sentiment, growth outlook, and central bank policies.
The yen’s safe-haven status and BoJ’s yield curve control can dampen yield-driven moves, while the UK’s inflation and policy tightening support higher yields and GBP strength.
#GBPJPY
USDJPY and GBPJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
YEN WEAKENS ON UEDA’S DOVISH CAUTION;WHILE GBPJPY SLIDES TO
During governor Kazuo Ueda’s speech on Tuesday, he emphasized that the central bank would raise interest rates once it is convinced enough that economic and price growth will re-accelerate after a period of stagnation.
He further signaled the central bank will continue to taper its huge bond buying even after an existing plan running through March expires, underscoring its resolve to stay on course for a slow but steady withdrawal of ultra-easy policy.
The Bank governor further highlighted the challenges posed by higher U.S. tariffs, which could reduce exports, hamper corporate profits, and impact wage growth and consumer sentiment. Despite headline inflation reaching 4.6% in April, above the BOJ's 2% target the central bank maintains low interest rates at 0.50%, expecting food price inflation to ease.
Ueda's remarks led to a depreciation of the yen, as markets interpreted his cautious stance as a sign that immediate rate hikes are unlikely. As at the time of writing, the yen is down by 0.08%, and the GBP by 0.14%.
TECHNICAL VIEW:
From technical perspective, GBPJPY remains in a short-term downtrend on the 2-hour chart. The pair is currently trading at 193.16 and down by 0.07% as at 02:25PM GMT+4. Meanwhile, the pair found support near 192.56, with the RSI hovering around 38.6. The emergence of a bearish hidden divergence suggests there may still be further downside potential. If the bearish momentum continues, technicians expect price to tank further with potential target around 192.56, 191.88 and then 190.86. On the flipside, a bullish rally would likely usher in potential targets around 193.86, 194.65 and 196.18 according to analysts. Break out of these levels are possible.
GJ-Wed-4/06/25 TDA-GJ strong push, will it continue?Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Trading is not easy, there are so many factors,
variants that influence the price movement.
Generally when big moves happen, it is caused
by big news, important speeches, flash news.
Markets don't move randomly, it's really important
to understand why price had this particular move,
at that specific time and ask why.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
Bullish bounce?GBP/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 100% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 191.97
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 190.39
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 196.27
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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GBPJPYGBPJPY price has a chance to test the support zone 192.349-192.002. If the price cannot break through the 192.002 level, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
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>>GooD Luck 😊
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