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British Pound / Japanese Yen

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GBPJPY trade ideas

GBPJPY fromed Symmetrical Triangle Enter on Breakout 🔻 Bias: Bearish Lower highs and tightening range indicate weakening bullish momentum. A confirmed break below the 196.345 support could trigger a bearish move. Downside targets: TP1: 195.60 TP2: 195.23 🔍 Invalidation: Bullish breakout above 197.59 would negate this setup and suggest trend continuation. Strategy: Wait for a clean breakout and retest for confirmation. Use tight SL above the triangle if entering short.
Short
by SILICIDE
GBPJPY| - Bullish Play with Eyes on Deeper Liquidity📌 Pair: GBPJPY 📈 Bias: Bullish 🕰 HTF View (4H): Major external structure has been broken to the upside, showing clear bullish intent. Price hasn’t aggressively swept sell-side liquidity yet, so we stay aware of the possibility—but structure favors a continuation north. 🧭 LTF View (30M): Refined bullish structure forming. Waiting for liquidity sweep into the 30M OB for mitigation and signs of lower timeframe shift. 🎯 Entry Criteria: After liquidity sweep → LTF CHoCH → Return into OB Entry off optimal zone (refined precision based on PA) 🎯 Target: Near recent structure highs 🧠 Mindset Note: Let price come to you. Don’t chase—anticipate. We’re playing the long game through structure and flow, not emotion. Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
GJ Potentially BearishHi there, We take another look at GJ. I see an ascending channel pattern with GBP/JPY trading within parallel trendlines. The pair respected both the upper and lower boundaries of this bullish channel, with the current price action showing consolidation near the upper resistance around 198.20 levels. 🎙️ **Key Support and Resistance Levels** We have critical levels at the time of this writing as following: - **Immediate Support**: 197.30 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement level) and 196.434 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) - **Major Support**: 194.0 37 representing the main channel support - **Resistance**: 198.80 acting as the primary obstacle. - **Extended Target**: 199.55 as the next potential bullish objective **Wave Structure Analysis** We have ABC wave pattern, with the pair seeming to have completed a Wave (C) bullish rally and now forming a temporary retracement. The current consolidation suggests the pair is "catching its breath" before a breakout. ## 🎲 Some Fundamental Highlights Appealing to Bullish Bias: **1. Bank of England's Cautious Easing Stance** BoE Governor Bailey has signaled a "gradual and careful" approach to monetary policy, pointing to sticky inflation concerns while acknowledging a softening labor market with over 100,000 fewer payrolled workers in May. This measured approach is keeping the British Pound supported near year-to-date highs. **2. Bank of Japan's Divided Policy Response** The BoJ remains cautious despite rising inflationary pressures, with Governor Ueda maintaining a data-dependent approach. While hawkish board member Naoki Tamura suggests "decisive" rate hikes may be needed, the central bank's measured pace at just 0.5% rates keeps the Yen defensive against stronger currencies. **3. Inflation Dynamics Favoring GBP** Japan's Consumer Price Index has surged due to higher food and energy costs, yet the BoJ's hesitant response contrasts with the BoE's more proactive stance on inflation management. This divergence in central bank responses to inflation is supporting GBP strength against the Yen. **4. Upcoming Japanese Economic Data Releases** Key Japanese economic indicators are scheduled for release, including June Tokyo CPI, May Unemployment Rate, and Retail Trade data. These releases could provide clarity on the BoJ's future policy direction and potentially impact the Yen's performance against the Pound. Happy Trading, K. Not trading advice.
Short
by Khiwe
GBPJPY → Assault on the resistance 196.400FX:GBPJPY under the pressure of the bull market breaks through the resistance with the aim of possible continuation of growth and retest of the liquidity zone Against the background of the dollar growth, the Japanese yen is losing value, which in general may provide support for the currency pair GBPJPY The currency pair, after a false breakout of the key resistance and a small correction, technically, the bullish structure has not broken. The price returns to the resistance at 196.400 and breaks it. If the bulls hold their defenses above the level, we can expect a rise Resistance levels: 196.400, 198.24 Support levels: 195.94, 195.45 Consolidation above 196.400, retest and break of 196.93 may trigger continuation of the growth. Zones of interest 198.24, 198.94 Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
GBPJPY Keeps Recovering, But It’s Approaching ResistanceGBP/JPY is on the rise but is approaching the upper boundary of the 2024–2025 range, which could present strong resistance around the 200 level. Keep in mind that the decline from the 2024 highs to the July lows near 180 was impulsive, while the current rebound appears slow and corrective—possibly a wave B within a flat correction or even part of a triangle formation. In either case, we believe some further sideways price action is likely, followed by a potential downward turn from this prior subwave A resistance zone.
by ew-forecast
GBP/JPY Faces Key Resistance LevelOver the last four trading sessions, the GBP/JPY pair has appreciated by nearly 1%, favoring the British pound against the yen. This move has been driven mainly by the strength of the British currency, which for now has allowed a consistent bullish bias to take hold in the short term. At the moment, the pound has remained strong in part due to the neutral policy stance taken by the Bank of England, which maintained its rate at 5% in the latest decision, reflecting continued high inflation in the UK. In contrast, Japan's situation appears different: in its most recent meeting, the Bank of Japan kept interest rates close to 0% after observing signs of inflation slowing, maintaining its ultra-loose monetary policy, unlike other central banks. The contrast between low rates in Japan and higher rates in the UK has created a divergence in central bank policy, making pound-denominated assets more attractive—a dynamic that has continued to weigh on the yen’s recovery in the short term. Additionally, it’s important to consider that the yen is viewed as a key safe-haven currency. However, this week, following the ceasefire in the Middle East conflict, market confidence has rebounded, reducing constant demand for safe-haven assets like the yen in recent sessions. If these factors persist, they could support a stronger buying pressure on GBP/JPY in the coming days. Broad Lateral Range Although there has been an attempt to establish a short-term uptrend, the broader view on the chart still shows a clear sideways range, and for now, the price must once again face the upper resistance zone of that range to confirm a potential breakout that would establish a stronger bullish bias. Until then, the lateral range remains the dominant structure, particularly while resistance holds firm at the upper boundary around 198.245—a level where some corrective pullbacks may begin to build. RSI The RSI indicator has started to show lower highs, while the price continues to print higher highs. This confirms the presence of a bearish divergence, which could open the door for possible downward corrections to emerge on the chart. MACD The MACD histogram is hovering close to the neutral zero line, indicating that the average strength of the moving averages is still in a zone of indecision, with no clear dominant momentum. If this situation continues, the current bullish bias may struggle to advance further. Key Levels to Watch: 198.245 – Major resistance: This level marks the most important resistance on the chart, sitting at the top of the broader lateral range. Sustained bullish momentum above this level could trigger an aggressive buying bias, potentially extending the short-term uptrend. 196.406 – Nearby barrier: A short-term neutral zone, this level may act as a barrier to downward corrections if selling pressure increases. 193.592 – Critical support: This level aligns with the 50- and 200-period moving averages. If selling pressure brings the price back to this zone, it could negate the current bullish trend and give way to a broader sideways channel on the chart. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
#GBPJPY: UPDATED VIEW 24/10/2024 **GBPJPY UPDATED VIEW BASED ON PREVIOUS ANALYSIS** Dear Traders, I hope you are doing well. Based on our previous analysis of GBPJPY, we identified two potential selling opportunities within the market. However, the bullish sentiment in the DXY currency pair has had a significant impact on JPY, causing it to fall short of its full value within the daily timeframe. As of today, we have observed a potential exhaustion of DXY’s bullish momentum, with four-hour candles indicating a strong bearish pressure. This development presents an opportunity for JPY to rebound, potentially allowing us to secure substantial profits within the market. Now, let’s focus on the GBPJPY currency pair. The price has extended its bullish trend, although there is a possibility of a reversal from its current position. We recommend implementing appropriate stop-loss orders for any sell entries taken from the current market price. If the initial entry fails, we are confident that the price is likely to reverse from our second entry. Before making any decisions based on this analysis, it is essential to conduct your own research. This analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. We appreciate your feedback and support. If you find our work valuable, please consider liking and commenting on our ideas. Additionally, following us will provide us with encouragement and motivation. Best regards, Team SetupsFX_
Short
by Setupsfx_
20
GBPJPY SHORT (swing)This is a trade setup based on a **Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern**. The pattern meets all the key Fibonacci criteria for validity. Specifically, the AB leg retraces 80.8% of XA, which is close to the ideal 78.6% level and is considered acceptable, especially since it closed with a wick. The BC leg retraces 37.5% of AB, which is within the standard range of 38.2% to 88.6%. The CD leg extends 127% of XA, which is the minimum required for a valid Butterfly pattern, and also extends 252% of BC, which falls within the acceptable range of 161.8% to 261.8%. What makes this setup stronger is that the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) at point D coincides with a **major resistance level**, adding significant technical confluence to the area. This increases the probability of a market reaction or reversal from that zone. However, no entry will be taken immediately upon price reaching the PRZ. A trade will only be initiated **after the appearance of a confirmed reversal candlestick pattern** at or near the D point, such as a bearish engulfing. This ensures that we enter with confirmation and not just based on pattern completion.
Short
by SIGNALS_VAULTFX
GBPJPY| Midweek OutlookEven though it’s midweek, I wanted to share an update on GBPJPY and walk you through the process so far. ⁣ Price has been showing clear bullish structure from the 4H down to the 30M, so I remained patient and waited for price to revisit and mitigate a bullish order block — and that’s exactly what we got. ⁣ Now that mitigation has played out, I’m watching closely for LTF confirmations to line up. Ideally looking for entry opportunities around 196.006 – 195.922, depending on how the lower timeframes react and confirm. ⁣ Not rushing anything — just executing based on structure, mitigation, and confirmation. I’ll continue updating as price develops. ⁣ #GBPJPY #SMC #OrderBlock #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #ForexTrading #GJSetup #MidweekOutlook #InducementKing #DayTrader Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
GBPJPY Elliott Wave Outlook: Impulse Pattern Approaching EndThe short-term Elliott Wave analysis for GBPJPY indicates that the cycle initiated from the April 9, 2025 low has reached a mature stage. The upward movement is unfolding as a five-wave impulse structure, a hallmark of Elliott Wave theory, signaling a strong bullish trend. Wave 1 concluded at 189.82, followed by a corrective pullback in Wave 2, which found support at 185.98. The subsequent rally in Wave 3, as depicted on the 1-hour chart, peaked at 196.84. Wave 4 then unfolded as a zigzag corrective structure. Its internal subdivisions completing as follows: Wave ((a)) declined to 194.75, and wave ((b)) rebounded to 195.33. Wave ((c)) finalized at 196, marking the completion of Wave 4 in the higher degree. Currently, GBPJPY has resumed its ascent in Wave 5. From the Wave 4 low, the rally has so far developed in three waves. Wave (i) reached 196.7, followed by a dip in Wave (ii) to 196.09. Wave (iii) extended higher to 198.19. A corrective pullback in Wave (iv) is anticipated to find support within the 196.2–196.8 range, likely in a three-wave structure. Afterwards, one final push higher in Wave (v) should happen to complete Wave ((i)) of 5 in the higher degree. Following this, a larger-degree correction in Wave ((ii)) is expected to retrace the cycle from the June 19, 2025 low. Pullback is likely unfolding in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern before the pair resumes its upward trajectory.
by Elliottwave-Forecast